Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#98
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#159
Pace65.0#297
Improvement-3.0#342

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#118
First Shot-3.8#283
After Offensive Rebound+5.8#2
Layup/Dunks-2.3#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#238
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement-1.9#315

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#83
First Shot+2.9#81
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#188
Layups/Dunks+2.4#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows+2.4#52
Improvement-1.1#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 13.0% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.4
.500 or above 87.4% 89.3% 72.8%
.500 or above in Conference 84.6% 85.4% 78.2%
Conference Champion 15.1% 15.8% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 0.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round12.5% 13.0% 8.5%
Second Round2.1% 2.3% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 43 - 7
Quad 35 - 48 - 12
Quad 411 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 227 UNC Asheville W 75-58 86%     1 - 0 +10.3 +0.5 +10.4
  Sat, Nov 8 327 Prairie View W 105-62 94%     2 - 0 +30.2 +17.3 +9.0
  Thu, Nov 13 263 Loyola Chicago W 95-74 89%     3 - 0 +12.5 +23.6 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 18 46 @Boise St. L 59-62 20%     3 - 1 +11.0 +0.2 +10.4
  Sat, Nov 22 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-58 86%     4 - 1 +10.2 +1.4 +9.5
  Wed, Nov 26 38 St. Mary's L 65-70 24%     4 - 2 +7.2 +0.7 +6.4
  Thu, Nov 27 69 Colorado St. L 70-76 39%     4 - 3 +1.9 +10.1 -9.3
  Fri, Nov 28 145 Western Kentucky L 70-75 66%     4 - 4 -4.2 +5.0 -9.7
  Sat, Dec 6 92 @Northern Iowa W 74-69 OT 36%     5 - 4 +13.7 +8.5 +5.1
  Sat, Dec 13 114 DePaul L 58-61 68%     5 - 5 -2.7 -6.7 +3.7
  Wed, Dec 17 244 Wofford W 77-64 89%    
  Sun, Dec 21 257 Eastern Kentucky W 79-66 89%    
  Wed, Dec 31 110 @UAB L 71-73 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 195 @Charlotte W 69-65 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 210 Rice W 74-63 85%    
  Sun, Jan 11 146 North Texas W 68-61 75%    
  Thu, Jan 15 118 @Florida Atlantic L 73-74 46%    
  Sun, Jan 18 86 @South Florida L 73-78 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 287 East Carolina W 78-63 92%    
  Sat, Jan 24 76 Memphis W 72-71 51%    
  Sun, Feb 1 83 @Tulsa L 71-76 32%    
  Wed, Feb 4 195 Charlotte W 72-62 82%    
  Sun, Feb 8 207 @Tulane W 74-69 68%    
  Wed, Feb 11 86 South Florida W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 83 Tulsa W 74-73 53%    
  Wed, Feb 18 287 @East Carolina W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 163 Temple W 78-70 77%    
  Thu, Feb 26 76 @Memphis L 69-75 31%    
  Sun, Mar 1 286 @Texas San Antonio W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 118 Florida Atlantic W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.8 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 15.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.3 4.1 0.9 0.1 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 7.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.8 3.7 0.5 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.5 4.1 0.5 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.7 1.1 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.4 0.1 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.2 0.1 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.3 7.4 10.7 13.0 15.4 14.8 12.6 9.5 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 97.8% 2.4    2.1 0.2
15-3 83.6% 4.4    3.0 1.3 0.1
14-4 50.7% 4.8    2.0 2.2 0.6 0.0
13-5 18.0% 2.3    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
12-6 2.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 8.4 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 59.1% 43.2% 15.9% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 28.0%
17-1 0.8% 36.6% 34.5% 2.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.2%
16-2 2.4% 32.9% 32.0% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 1.2%
15-3 5.3% 28.7% 28.6% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.0 3.8 0.2%
14-4 9.5% 24.1% 24.1% 11.8 0.6 1.5 0.2 7.2
13-5 12.6% 17.7% 17.7% 12.1 0.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 10.4
12-6 14.8% 13.6% 13.6% 12.2 0.2 1.3 0.6 0.0 12.8
11-7 15.4% 10.5% 10.5% 12.5 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.7
10-8 13.0% 6.7% 6.7% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.2
9-9 10.7% 4.1% 4.1% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.2
8-10 7.4% 3.0% 3.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.2
7-11 4.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.2
6-12 2.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.2
5-13 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.5% 12.4% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.5 6.6 2.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 87.5 0.1%