North Texas
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#146
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#146
Pace61.9#354
Improvement+0.0#184

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#234
First Shot-2.3#237
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#187
Layup/Dunks+3.5#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#312
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#326
Freethrows+2.0#78
Improvement+0.4#141

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#78
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#145
Layups/Dunks+2.9#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#41
Freethrows-4.2#357
Improvement-0.4#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.4% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.2
.500 or above 65.4% 78.1% 54.8%
.500 or above in Conference 55.1% 61.3% 50.0%
Conference Champion 3.6% 4.7% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.4% 4.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.4% 4.4% 2.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Away) - 45.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 34 - 66 - 13
Quad 411 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 274 Northwestern St. W 80-53 82%     1 - 0 +18.1 +15.5 +7.6
  Sun, Nov 9 263 Loyola Chicago W 64-62 73%     2 - 0 -3.5 -8.7 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 12 157 @Oregon St. L 64-66 41%     2 - 1 +1.1 +0.1 +0.9
  Fri, Nov 14 38 @St. Mary's L 49-80 10%     2 - 2 -15.8 -12.7 -4.6
  Thu, Nov 20 283 Central Arkansas W 74-56 83%     3 - 2 +8.5 +0.1 +8.7
  Tue, Nov 25 240 Eastern Washington W 79-71 OT 79%     4 - 2 +0.5 -3.8 +4.0
  Sun, Nov 30 327 Prairie View W 72-69 89%     5 - 2 -9.8 -6.7 -3.1
  Tue, Dec 2 275 Houston Christian W 77-75 82%     6 - 2 -7.0 +7.9 -14.6
  Sun, Dec 7 45 TCU L 55-65 25%     6 - 3 -2.0 -8.9 +6.4
  Sun, Dec 14 176 @South Alabama L 64-65 45%    
  Wed, Dec 17 73 Santa Clara L 66-73 26%    
  Wed, Dec 31 76 @Memphis L 63-73 18%    
  Sun, Jan 4 83 Tulsa L 67-70 38%    
  Wed, Jan 7 86 South Florida L 69-72 40%    
  Sun, Jan 11 98 @Wichita St. L 61-68 25%    
  Sun, Jan 18 207 @Tulane W 68-67 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 286 Texas San Antonio W 72-61 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 287 East Carolina W 71-60 84%    
  Wed, Jan 28 83 @Tulsa L 64-73 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 110 UAB W 69-68 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 210 @Rice W 65-64 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 286 @Texas San Antonio W 69-64 66%    
  Thu, Feb 12 76 Memphis L 66-70 37%    
  Sun, Feb 15 163 @Temple L 69-71 43%    
  Wed, Feb 18 207 Tulane W 71-64 73%    
  Sun, Feb 22 118 Florida Atlantic W 70-69 52%    
  Wed, Feb 25 195 @Charlotte W 64-63 50%    
  Sun, Mar 1 110 @UAB L 65-71 30%    
  Wed, Mar 4 210 Rice W 68-61 73%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 3.6 1.3 0.1 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 4.3 2.0 0.2 8.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.2 4.5 0.7 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.2 5.5 1.3 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.0 2.2 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.2 2.4 0.2 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.9 0.3 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.5 8.6 12.1 14.0 14.7 13.4 10.7 7.7 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 82.3% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 53.1% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 19.0% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 26.9% 23.1% 3.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.0%
16-2 0.3% 19.4% 19.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 15.4% 15.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.6% 12.6% 12.6% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2
13-5 4.6% 12.3% 12.3% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.1
12-6 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.1
11-7 10.7% 6.2% 6.2% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.1
10-8 13.4% 3.4% 3.4% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.9
9-9 14.7% 1.8% 1.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.4
8-10 14.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.8
7-11 12.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.0
6-12 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 5.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 3.0% 3.0
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 96.6 0.0%