Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.1 #143
Expected Predictive Rating +1.9 #135
Pace 65.6 #271
Improvement -1.0 #234

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #134 C D+ B+ A C
Defense #174 C C D+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #83 1.14 #196 +1.7 #116
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #164 0.80 #117 +0.6 #147
Three Pointers 37% #271 1.06 #115 -1.3 #224
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #148 +1.0 #146
Freethrows 0.38 #8 75% #84 0.29 #8
Second Chance 27.7% #260 0.96 #300 0.26 #287
Turnovers 13.7% #33
Total Offense +1.4 #134

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #101 1.15 #162 -1.7 #239
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #105 0.80 #248 -1.2 #276
Three Pointers 36% #310 0.99 #149 +3.0 #67
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #175 +0.2 #175
Freethrows 0.27 #73 70% #81 0.19 #73
Second Chance 29.4% #128 1.06 #202 0.31 #156
Turnovers 14.8% #285
Total Defense -0.2 #174

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #168 0.0% #159
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.7% #151 -0.3% #179
Possession Length 18.3 #268 17.5 #209
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #161 0.14 #90
Improvement -6.2 #364 +5.2 #4

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 3.9% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.1
.500 or above 90.4% 94.8% 80.8%
.500 or above in Conference 86.8% 92.7% 73.9%
Conference Champion 6.1% 8.0% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 3.9% 2.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 35 - 77 - 12
Quad 411 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 357 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 95% +9  1 - 0 +1 +11 B+ C- A+ -10 F A A
 Tue, Nov 11 200 La Salle W 90 - 63 74% +16  2 - 0 +21 +19 A B A+ +3 A B- D
 Sat, Nov 15 130 Boston College L 71 - 76 59% -5  2 - 1 -6 +3 D C+ A+ -9 C D- D-
 Wed, Nov 19 128 Hofstra W 81 - 76 59% +1  3 - 1 +4 +6 A F C- -2 D+ A+ C-
 Mon, Nov 24 114 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 41% -9  3 - 2 -12 +7 D+ B A+ -19 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 213 Princeton W 79 - 75 66% -1  4 - 2 +1 +9 A+ F D -8 F C+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 111 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 40% -7  4 - 3 -11 +6 C D A+ -17 F B- F
 Mon, Dec 1 34 @Villanova L 56 - 74 8% -5  4 - 4 -1 +3 D+ D B -7 B- B C
 Sat, Dec 6 137 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 49% -2  4 - 5 +0 +7 B D- D -6 B- D- B-
 Sun, Dec 14 355 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 94% +17  5 - 5 +11 +15 A+ F A -4 C- D- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 133 @Davidson W 68 - 63 37% +6  6 - 5 +10 +7 C- F A+ +3 A+ F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 213 Princeton W 65 - 61 76% +3  7 - 5 -2 +1 C+ D C+ -3 B- C+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 172 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 46% +8  8 - 5 1 - 0 +5 +5 B+ D C +1 B B- C-
 Sat, Jan 3 343 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 92% +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +4 +1 D- B+ C +4 B+ C A
 Wed, Jan 7 253 East Carolina W 75 - 67 81% +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 -0 +7 D- A B- -6 F B- C
 Wed, Jan 14 103 @Memphis L 53 - 55 25% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 +6 -7 F D+ D +13 A+ A D+
 Sun, Jan 18 102 Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 46% +2  10 - 7 3 - 2 -4 -7 D- C D +4 A+ F D+
 Wed, Jan 21 238 @Rice W 69 - 65 60% +0  11 - 7 4 - 2 +3 +4 D B- A+ -1 C D C
 Sat, Jan 24 343 @Texas San Antonio W 70 - 64 82% +0  12 - 7 5 - 2 -3 +2 C- D- B- -4 D+ D- C
 Wed, Jan 28 172 Charlotte W 74 - 69 69%
 Sat, Jan 31 69 South Florida L 76 - 80 36%
 Sat, Feb 7 253 @East Carolina W 73 - 70 62%
 Wed, Feb 11 174 @Tulane L 72 - 73 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 140 North Texas W 67 - 64 61%
 Wed, Feb 18 118 UAB W 76 - 75 55%
 Sat, Feb 21 100 @Wichita St. L 68 - 75 26%
 Wed, Feb 25 102 @Florida Atlantic L 72 - 79 26%
 Sun, Mar 1 238 Rice W 76 - 68 78%
 Thu, Mar 5 174 Tulane W 75 - 70 68%
 Sun, Mar 8 73 @Tulsa L 72 - 82 19%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +1 +1 C D+ B+ +0 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.4 0.7 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.3 4.1 4.4 0.7 0.0 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.4 7.3 1.4 0.0 12.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 8.7 3.5 0.1 13.8 4th
5th 0.5 7.1 7.1 0.4 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.4 8.9 1.6 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 7.3 3.5 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.8 4.6 0.3 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.3 0.6 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.6 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.6 8.7 16.4 21.3 21.1 15.7 8.4 3.1 0.7 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 96.4% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 76.0% 2.4    1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 30.5% 2.6    0.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
12-6 2.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 2.1 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.7% 10.2% 10.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 3.1% 10.5% 10.5% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8
13-5 8.4% 9.0% 9.0% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 7.7
12-6 15.7% 5.2% 5.2% 12.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 14.9
11-7 21.1% 4.0% 4.0% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 20.2
10-8 21.3% 2.2% 2.2% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 20.8
9-9 16.4% 0.9% 0.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.2
8-10 8.7% 0.7% 0.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-11 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 3.5
6-12 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.8
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 12.9 96.5 0.0%