Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
142 Troy 100.0%   14   20 - 11 12 - 6 +0.9      +0.6 149 +0.3 164 64.4 288 +1.7 133 -0.6 1
145 Arkansas St. 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 +0.7      +0.8 143 -0.1 175 78.1 11 -0.2 161 -2.2 7
190 Appalachian St. 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 -1.6      -2.3 232 +0.7 147 60.2 360 -2.1 197 -1.8 6
202 Marshall 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 7 -2.2      +2.0 119 -4.2 295 72.4 74 -1.0 178 -1.3 3
206 South Alabama 0.0%   19 - 11 11 - 7 -2.3      -1.6 209 -0.8 199 63.1 322 -0.4 166 -1.4 4
209 James Madison 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 -2.6      -0.3 172 -2.3 246 65.2 270 -2.6 208 -3.9 8
213 Southern Miss 0.0%   17 - 16 9 - 9 -3.0      -3.1 257 +0.1 172 72.0 88 -2.4 204 -4.3 9
230 Georgia Southern 0.0%   19 - 16 8 - 10 -4.1      +0.7 145 -4.8 308 73.7 44 -2.9 214 -5.6 10
233 Texas St. 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 -4.3      -3.7 272 -0.6 194 66.0 248 -2.9 215 -1.1 2
240 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 7 -4.7      -5.1 300 +0.4 160 67.6 199 -1.5 187 -1.8 5
244 Old Dominion 0.0%   11 - 21 7 - 11 -5.0      -2.1 224 -2.9 257 71.3 105 -6.9 274 -6.9 13
299 Louisiana 0.0%   11 - 22 7 - 11 -8.5      -5.9 315 -2.5 254 60.8 351 -8.1 294 -6.7 12
305 Georgia St. 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 11 -8.8      -6.5 328 -2.3 250 69.7 142 -9.2 309 -6.3 11
353 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   2 - 28 1 - 17 -14.6      -5.6 313 -9.0 361 74.1 39 -20.8 362 -19.7 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Troy 1.0 100.0
Texas St. 2.0 100.0
South Alabama 2.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 2.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 2.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 2.0 100.0
Marshall 2.0 100.0
Southern Miss 8.0 100.0
James Madison 8.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 10.0 100.0
Louisiana 11.0 100.0
Old Dominion 11.0 100.0
Georgia St. 11.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 14.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Troy 12 - 6 20 - 11 100.0
Texas St. 11 - 7 17 - 13 100.0
South Alabama 11 - 7 19 - 11 100.0
Coastal Carolina 11 - 7 18 - 13 100.0
Arkansas St. 11 - 7 18 - 12 100.0
Appalachian St. 11 - 7 17 - 13 100.0
Marshall 11 - 7 18 - 13 100.0
Southern Miss 9 - 9 17 - 16 100.0
James Madison 9 - 9 17 - 15 100.0
Georgia Southern 8 - 10 19 - 16 100.0
Louisiana 7 - 11 11 - 22 100.0
Old Dominion 7 - 11 11 - 21 100.0
Georgia St. 7 - 11 8 - 22 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 1 - 17 2 - 28 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Troy 100.0% 100.0
Texas St.
South Alabama
Coastal Carolina
Arkansas St.
Appalachian St.
Marshall
Southern Miss
James Madison
Georgia Southern
Louisiana
Old Dominion
Georgia St.
Louisiana Monroe


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Troy 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.0 54.9 43.9 0.2
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 3.4% 0.0 96.7 3.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Troy 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%