IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#183
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.4	#166

Pace	65.0	#298
Improvement	+1.2	#102

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#122

First Shot	+2.5	#110
After Offensive Rebound	-0.6	#212

Layup/Dunks	-1.4	#241
2 Pt Jumpshots	-3.0	#327
3 Pt Jumpshots	+6.6	#25
Freethrows	+0.3	#160

Improvement	+1.4	#78

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#289

First Shot	-4.1	#311
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.6	#144

Layups/Dunks	-2.3	#267
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.8	#132
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.5	#210
Freethrows	-2.1	#305

Improvement	-0.3	#204

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.7%	13.1%	6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	14.1	14.3

.500 or above	79.1%	88.5%	71.2%
.500 or above in Conference	76.7%	87.0%	68.1%
Conference Champion	10.8%	16.9%	5.8%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.2%	0.9%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	9.7%	13.0%	6.9%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 5	5 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 4	17 - 13

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	65 @Akron	L	71-85	12%	0 - 1			-2.6	-3.4	+1.2
Sun, Nov 9	364 Coppin St.	W	84-70	95%	1 - 1			-7.0	+2.1	-9.1
Wed, Nov 12	310 @Longwood	L	72-82	64%	1 - 2			-15.3	-4.4	-10.9
Sat, Nov 15	213 @LIU Brooklyn	L	79-88	45%	1 - 3			-9.3	+0.3	-8.8
Tue, Nov 18	139 Towson	W	81-75	50%	2 - 3			+4.5	+18.6	-13.3
Mon, Nov 24	186 @Florida International	W	80-72	39%	3 - 3			+9.3	+11.3	-1.7
Tue, Nov 25	235 Nebraska Omaha	W	88-77	60%	4 - 3			+6.9	+18.7	-11.0
Sat, Nov 29	75 @George Mason	L	66-82	13%	4 - 4			-5.3	+2.4	-8.6
Wed, Dec 3	349 NC Central	W	67-62	90%	5 - 4			-10.4	-4.7	-5.3
Sat, Dec 6	234 Norfolk St.	W	68-67	70%	6 - 4			-6.1	+0.6	-6.5
Wed, Dec 17	216 @Old Dominion	L	74-75	46%
Sat, Dec 20	231 @Georgia Southern	L	78-79	48%
Sun, Dec 28	20 @Arkansas	L	67-87	3%
Sun, Jan 4	153 @Arkansas St.	L	76-81	32%
Wed, Jan 7	159 Marshall	W	76-75	55%
Sat, Jan 10	216 Old Dominion	W	77-72	67%
Thu, Jan 15	259 @Appalachian St.	W	68-67	53%
Sat, Jan 17	159 @Marshall	L	73-78	34%
Thu, Jan 22	176 South Alabama	W	72-70	59%
Sat, Jan 24	239 Texas St.	W	73-67	71%
Thu, Jan 29	147 @Troy	L	70-75	32%
Sat, Jan 31	202 @Southern Miss	L	73-75	44%
Wed, Feb 4	325 Louisiana	W	73-62	84%
Thu, Feb 12	334 Georgia St.	W	79-67	86%
Sat, Feb 14	259 Appalachian St.	W	71-64	73%
Wed, Feb 18	243 @Coastal Carolina	W	74-73	51%
Sat, Feb 21	334 @Georgia St.	W	76-70	71%
Wed, Feb 25	231 Georgia Southern	W	81-76	69%
Fri, Feb 27	243 Coastal Carolina	W	76-70	71%
Projected Record					16 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	2.0	3.5	2.9	1.5	0.4	0.1		10.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	3.0	4.9	2.9	0.7	0.0	0.0			11.7	2nd
3rd											0.2	2.3	5.5	2.8	0.5	0.0					11.2	3rd
4th										0.0	1.4	5.4	3.5	0.5	0.0						10.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	4.2	4.6	0.8	0.0							10.2	5th
6th									0.1	2.3	5.4	1.3	0.0								9.2	6th
7th								0.0	1.1	4.7	2.7	0.2									8.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.4	3.6	0.5	0.0									7.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.8	3.7	1.1	0.0										6.7	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	1.0	2.7	1.4	0.1											5.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	1.2	0.2												3.8	11th
12th				0.0	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.2													2.3	12th
13th			0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1														1.1	13th
14th		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.0													0.2	14th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.0	3.9	6.4	9.7	12.3	14.3	14.1	13.3	10.2	6.8	3.6	1.6	0.4	0.1			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.2%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	97.3%	1.5		1.4	0.2
15-3	81.7%	2.9		2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0
14-4	51.0%	3.5		1.5	1.5	0.4	0.0	0.0
13-5	20.0%	2.0		0.4	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.5%	0.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	10.8%	10.8		5.8	3.5	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
17-1	0.4%		42.4%	42.4%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.3
16-2	1.6%		38.1%	38.1%		13.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0		1.0
15-3	3.6%		33.9%	33.9%		13.7													0.0	0.4	0.6	0.1		2.4
14-4	6.8%		28.4%	28.4%		14.0													0.0	0.4	1.1	0.4	0.0	4.9
13-5	10.2%		22.1%	22.1%		14.3													0.0	0.3	1.0	0.9	0.1	7.9
12-6	13.3%		14.2%	14.2%		14.5														0.1	0.8	0.9	0.1	11.4
11-7	14.1%		6.0%	6.0%		14.7														0.0	0.3	0.5	0.1	13.3
10-8	14.3%		3.2%	3.2%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	13.9
9-9	12.3%		1.7%	1.7%		15.2															0.0	0.1	0.1	12.1
8-10	9.7%		0.9%	0.9%		15.5																0.0	0.0	9.7
7-11	6.4%		0.3%	0.3%		15.6																0.0	0.0	6.3
6-12	3.9%																							3.9
5-13	2.0%																							2.0
4-14	0.9%																							0.9
3-15	0.3%																							0.3
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		9.7%	9.7%	0.0%	14.2												0.0	0.2	1.7	4.2	3.3	0.4	90.3		0.0%