Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#259
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#236
Pace59.9#364
Improvement+1.9#66

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#279
First Shot-6.5#343
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#49
Layup/Dunks-1.2#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#206
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#236
Freethrows-3.2#333
Improvement-1.2#285

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#213
First Shot+0.3#161
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#296
Layups/Dunks+0.9#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#223
Freethrows-1.8#293
Improvement+3.2#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.1
.500 or above 30.9% 51.5% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 47.8% 58.3% 45.9%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.5% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.7% 3.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round2.1% 3.5% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Neutral) - 15.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 73 - 10
Quad 410 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 322 @Central Michigan L 66-82 55%     0 - 1 -22.6 -5.5 -18.3
  Sun, Nov 9 349 NC Central W 76-54 83%     1 - 1 +6.6 +4.6 +4.0
  Tue, Nov 11 31 @Ohio St. L 53-75 3%     1 - 2 -5.4 -5.6 -2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 247 @Dartmouth W 85-77 37%     2 - 2 +6.1 +9.5 -3.6
  Fri, Nov 21 195 Charlotte W 65-63 50%     3 - 2 -3.3 +3.8 -6.6
  Mon, Nov 24 192 Elon L 53-88 48%     3 - 3 -39.9 -18.4 -26.7
  Wed, Nov 26 169 @Mercer L 67-75 24%     3 - 4 -5.9 +2.9 -9.7
  Sun, Nov 30 227 @UNC Asheville L 55-67 33%     3 - 5 -12.7 -14.4 +0.6
  Thu, Dec 11 287 @East Carolina W 67-54 44%     4 - 5 +9.1 -0.9 +11.0
  Sun, Dec 14 95 High Point L 67-78 15%    
  Thu, Dec 18 243 Coastal Carolina W 67-65 59%    
  Sat, Dec 20 334 Georgia St. W 70-62 78%    
  Wed, Dec 31 216 @Old Dominion L 65-70 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 159 @Marshall L 64-72 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 334 @Georgia St. W 67-65 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 243 @Coastal Carolina L 64-68 37%    
  Thu, Jan 15 183 James Madison L 67-68 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 216 Old Dominion W 68-67 53%    
  Thu, Jan 22 325 Louisiana W 65-58 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 358 Louisiana Monroe W 74-62 86%    
  Thu, Jan 29 202 @Southern Miss L 64-70 31%    
  Sat, Jan 31 147 @Troy L 62-71 20%    
  Wed, Feb 4 176 South Alabama L 64-65 45%    
  Wed, Feb 11 231 @Georgia Southern L 69-73 35%    
  Sat, Feb 14 183 @James Madison L 64-71 27%    
  Thu, Feb 19 159 Marshall L 67-69 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 231 Georgia Southern W 72-70 56%    
  Fri, Feb 27 239 @Texas St. L 62-66 36%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.7 0.1 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.7 0.9 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.2 2.3 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.4 0.4 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.4 1.3 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.4 2.3 0.1 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 2.7 0.3 10.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.3 7.4 10.5 12.9 14.4 14.1 12.0 9.1 6.2 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 94.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 77.6% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 48.6% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 31.6% 31.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 23.6% 23.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.9% 20.0% 20.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.3% 12.9% 12.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.9
12-6 6.2% 6.9% 6.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.8
11-7 9.1% 3.4% 3.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.8
10-8 12.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
9-9 14.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.0
8-10 14.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.3
7-11 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
6-12 10.5% 10.5
5-13 7.4% 7.4
4-14 4.3% 4.3
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.6 97.8 0.0%