Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#216
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#271
Pace70.6#162
Improvement+1.8#71

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#199
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#232
Layup/Dunks-2.5#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#119
Freethrows-0.7#219
Improvement+0.2#167

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#242
First Shot+1.5#119
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#351
Layups/Dunks-5.5#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#7
Freethrows-2.0#300
Improvement+1.6#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.1% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 19.3% 27.1% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 66.3% 77.3% 53.2%
Conference Champion 6.4% 9.8% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 2.3%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.9%
First Round5.0% 6.7% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 33 - 63 - 14
Quad 410 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 106 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 17%     0 - 1 -8.1 -3.2 -3.9
  Tue, Nov 11 234 Norfolk St. W 60-57 64%     1 - 1 -4.1 -2.5 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 15 81 @George Washington L 73-96 11%     1 - 2 -12.7 -1.2 -10.4
  Tue, Nov 18 77 @Xavier L 69-99 10%     1 - 3 -19.4 -2.2 -15.3
  Fri, Nov 21 359 Morgan St. W 88-56 90%     2 - 3 +14.4 +9.9 +6.1
  Sun, Nov 23 271 @Drexel L 71-75 48%     2 - 4 -6.8 +2.1 -9.2
  Tue, Nov 25 37 @Villanova L 75-89 5%     2 - 5 +1.4 +12.6 -11.9
  Sun, Nov 30 121 @William & Mary L 75-88 19%     2 - 6 -7.0 -3.3 -2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 102 @Richmond L 77-86 15%     2 - 7 -1.3 +2.5 -3.2
  Sat, Dec 13 75 @George Mason L 61-73 10%     2 - 8 -1.3 -7.2 +6.1
  Wed, Dec 17 183 James Madison W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Dec 20 243 Coastal Carolina W 76-72 66%    
  Sun, Dec 28 94 @Maryland L 70-82 14%    
  Wed, Dec 31 259 Appalachian St. W 70-65 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 231 Georgia Southern W 82-78 63%    
  Thu, Jan 8 243 @Coastal Carolina L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 183 @James Madison L 72-77 33%    
  Thu, Jan 15 231 @Georgia Southern L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 259 @Appalachian St. L 67-68 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 147 Troy L 73-74 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 325 Louisiana W 72-63 81%    
  Wed, Jan 28 153 @Arkansas St. L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 239 @Texas St. L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 358 Louisiana Monroe W 83-69 90%    
  Wed, Feb 11 159 Marshall L 76-77 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 334 Georgia St. W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 202 @Southern Miss L 73-77 38%    
  Tue, Feb 24 159 @Marshall L 73-79 28%    
  Fri, Feb 27 334 @Georgia St. W 76-72 65%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.3 2.1 3.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 4.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.9 0.4 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.5 4.5 0.7 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.3 1.3 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.5 2.9 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.2 4.1 0.5 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.9 1.3 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.6 3.8 1.8 0.1 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.4 6.1 9.3 12.6 14.1 14.5 12.8 10.4 7.2 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.1% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
15-3 79.1% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.0
14-4 51.7% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.3% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.1 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 51.0% 51.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 28.9% 28.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.1% 27.0% 27.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.5
14-4 4.2% 23.1% 23.1% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 3.2
13-5 7.2% 16.9% 16.9% 15.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 6.0
12-6 10.4% 9.7% 9.7% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 9.4
11-7 12.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.1 0.6 12.1
10-8 14.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 14.1
9-9 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.9
8-10 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.5
7-11 9.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
6-12 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-13 3.4% 3.4
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.1 94.6 0.0%