Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.2 #232
Expected Predictive Rating -7.3 #283
Pace 71.2 #116
Improvement +0.8 #147

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #251 C- D+ C C- D
Defense #221 C C D+ D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #289 1.11 #243 -3.1 #291
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #67 0.66 #314 +1.1 #115
Three Pointers 39% #229 1.07 #107 -0.2 #186
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #243 -2.2 #240
Freethrows 0.28 #240 72% #197 0.20 #228
Second Chance 24.8% #326 1.04 #179 0.26 #301
Turnovers 16.0% #152
Total Offense -2.8 #251

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #14 1.25 #296 -6.9 #357
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #195 0.70 #85 +0.8 #137
Three Pointers 34% #351 0.85 #17 +6.6 #5
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #163 +0.5 #162
Freethrows 0.34 #299 75% #314 0.26 #316
Second Chance 30.5% #178 1.09 #248 0.33 #222
Turnovers 14.5% #294
Total Defense -1.3 #221

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.1% #309 1.3% #288
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.4% #214 -2.4% #137
Possession Length 17.2 #149 14.9 #1
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #212 0.22 #326
Improvement -0.9 #227 +1.7 #85

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 0.4% 1.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 29.8% 53.0% 22.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.5% 1.1% 0.3%
First Round0.8% 1.8% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 33 - 63 - 14
Quad 48 - 611 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 91 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 11% +3  0 - 1 -6 -4 C+ C- F -1 C A C+
 Tue, Nov 11 295 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 73% +1  1 - 1 -8 -6 F D- B- -1 A- F+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 65 @George Washington L 73 - 96 8% -11  1 - 2 -11 +0 D C F+ -10 C+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 79 @Xavier L 69 - 99 9% -20  1 - 3 -20 -3 D- C C- -15 D+ F C
 Fri, Nov 21 356 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 88% +18  2 - 3 +15 +11 C D- A +6 B B- D+
 Sun, Nov 23 201 @Drexel L 71 - 75 33% -1  2 - 4 -4 +5 C D+ B- -9 C- F+ D+
 Tue, Nov 25 34 @Villanova L 75 - 89 4% -6  2 - 5 +3 +14 B B+ A -12 D- C- F+
 Sun, Nov 30 132 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 20% -7  2 - 6 -8 -4 D+ F+ D+ -3 C- A- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 121 @Richmond L 77 - 86 18% -4  2 - 7 -3 +1 D D- A+ -3 B F+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 87 @George Mason L 61 - 73 11% -10  2 - 8 -2 -9 D- B- F +7 A- B+ C+
 Wed, Dec 17 210 James Madison W 77 - 68 57% +6  3 - 8 1 - 0 +3 +2 C- F B+ +1 C B+ C+
 Sat, Dec 20 237 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 62% -1  3 - 9 1 - 1 -9 -4 C C F -5 C+ A F
 Sun, Dec 28 105 @Maryland L 58 - 73 14% -18  3 - 10 -8 -9 F D+ D +1 C- A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 202 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 56% -13  3 - 11 1 - 2 -14 +3 A- F B- -17 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 246 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 63% -12  3 - 12 1 - 3 -15 -4 F D A+ -9 D- C- D+
 Thu, Jan 8 237 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 39% +7  4 - 12 2 - 3 +3 -1 C B- F +4 B+ B- C
 Sat, Jan 10 210 @James Madison L 69 - 70 34% +9  4 - 13 2 - 4 -1 -5 F D B- +4 D+ A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 246 @Georgia Southern L 84 - 87 40% +2  4 - 14 2 - 5 -5 +7 B D B+ -12 F C+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 202 @Appalachian St. W 75 - 73 33% +10  5 - 14 3 - 5 +2 +10 A+ D D+ -7 C+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 21 115 Troy L 77 - 83 2OT 33% +1  5 - 15 3 - 6 -6 -7 D- F B +3 A+ C- C-
 Wed, Jan 28 151 @Arkansas St. L 77 - 85 24%
 Sat, Jan 31 275 @Texas St. L 71 - 72 48%
 Wed, Feb 4 361 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 70 92%
 Sat, Feb 7 214 Ohio W 78 - 76 58%
 Wed, Feb 11 163 Marshall L 77 - 78 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 269 Georgia St. W 76 - 71 67%
 Mon, Feb 16 314 Louisiana W 71 - 63 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 262 @Southern Miss L 73 - 75 43%
 Tue, Feb 24 163 @Marshall L 74 - 81 26%
 Fri, Feb 27 269 @Georgia St. L 73 - 74 45%
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 10 -4 -3 C- D+ C -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.0 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.8 3.2 0.3 4.3 5th
6th 0.1 4.4 2.3 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.7 0.5 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 5.9 4.5 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 2.1 10.5 1.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 7.3 6.0 0.1 13.8 10th
11th 0.1 3.7 9.8 1.2 0.0 14.9 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 8.2 4.0 0.1 14.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.3 0.1 6.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 1.2 5.8 14.7 23.5 25.0 18.5 8.4 2.5 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.3% 4.6% 4.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 2.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.3 0.1 0.1 2.4
10-8 8.4% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.1 0.3 8.0
9-9 18.5% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 18.2
8-10 25.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 24.9
7-11 23.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.5
6-12 14.7% 14.7
5-13 5.8% 5.8
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.8 99.0 0.0%