Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#334
Expected Predictive Rating-13.1#335
Pace71.8#122
Improvement-0.3#208

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#347
First Shot-8.2#358
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#137
Layup/Dunks-9.0#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#195
Freethrows+0.4#150
Improvement+0.8#108

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#280
First Shot-3.0#274
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#201
Layups/Dunks-3.9#309
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#192
Freethrows+1.2#110
Improvement-1.0#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.8% 18.4% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.5% 14.8% 32.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 18.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 45 - 96 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 228 @Eastern Michigan L 49-71 18%     0 - 1 -22.8 -22.1 -1.2
  Fri, Nov 7 78 @Cincinnati L 64-74 4%     0 - 2 +0.5 -2.8 +4.0
  Mon, Nov 10 260 Presbyterian L 61-63 42%     0 - 3 -10.5 -3.9 -6.9
  Mon, Nov 17 61 @Arizona St. L 62-75 3%     0 - 4 -0.9 -6.9 +6.2
  Fri, Nov 21 158 @South Dakota St. L 58-105 10%     0 - 5 -43.9 -13.5 -29.3
  Tue, Nov 25 232 Samford L 63-78 26%     0 - 6 -19.0 -13.1 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 26 132 New Mexico St. L 58-77 13%     0 - 7 -17.3 -16.8 +0.6
  Tue, Dec 2 169 @Mercer L 67-78 12%     0 - 8 -8.9 -6.8 -1.9
  Sat, Dec 6 160 @Kennesaw St. L 69-92 11%     0 - 9 -19.9 -15.2 -0.8
  Sat, Dec 13 252 Jacksonville St. W 77-73 40%     1 - 9 -4.1 +7.2 -11.1
  Thu, Dec 18 231 @Georgia Southern L 73-83 18%    
  Sat, Dec 20 259 @Appalachian St. L 62-70 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 159 @Marshall L 67-81 10%    
  Sat, Jan 3 243 @Coastal Carolina L 68-77 20%    
  Thu, Jan 8 259 Appalachian St. L 65-67 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 159 Marshall L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 358 @Louisiana Monroe W 75-74 52%    
  Thu, Jan 22 202 Southern Miss L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 153 Arkansas St. L 74-82 23%    
  Thu, Jan 29 325 @Louisiana L 64-68 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 176 @South Alabama L 63-76 13%    
  Wed, Feb 4 147 Troy L 68-76 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 183 @James Madison L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Feb 14 216 @Old Dominion L 69-79 18%    
  Thu, Feb 19 231 Georgia Southern L 76-80 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 183 James Madison L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Feb 24 243 Coastal Carolina L 71-74 40%    
  Fri, Feb 27 216 Old Dominion L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.3 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.1 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.4 0.3 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.0 1.1 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.0 2.5 0.1 0.0 12.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 5.3 7.0 3.7 0.4 17.9 12th
13th 0.6 3.8 8.3 8.9 4.0 0.7 0.0 26.2 13th
14th 1.3 4.5 6.0 4.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 18.3 14th
Total 1.3 5.1 9.8 14.1 16.6 15.3 13.4 10.1 6.4 3.9 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 77.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 8.6% 8.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.9
8-10 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
7-11 10.1% 10.1
6-12 13.4% 13.4
5-13 15.3% 15.3
4-14 16.6% 16.6
3-15 14.1% 14.1
2-16 9.8% 9.8
1-17 5.1% 5.1
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%