Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.3#358
Expected Predictive Rating-20.7#363
Pace72.3#110
Improvement+2.1#59

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#341
First Shot-2.9#259
After Offensive Rebound-4.2#354
Layup/Dunks-0.8#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#181
Freethrows-2.0#297
Improvement+1.1#90

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#352
First Shot-4.5#326
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#323
Layups/Dunks-4.7#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#304
Freethrows+2.5#48
Improvement+1.0#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.4% 4.3% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.5% 40.1% 64.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Home) - 17.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 81 - 13
Quad 44 - 114 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 326 @Northern Illinois L 82-102 24%     0 - 1 -26.8 -0.4 -25.1
  Fri, Nov 7 60 @Mississippi L 65-86 2%     0 - 2 -8.9 -4.9 -2.8
  Thu, Nov 13 275 @Houston Christian L 61-72 15%     0 - 3 -14.0 -14.9 +1.0
  Mon, Nov 17 224 Lamar L 66-79 23%     0 - 4 -19.7 -8.2 -11.1
  Sat, Nov 22 323 Morehead St. L 80-83 33%     0 - 5 -12.6 +1.6 -14.2
  Sun, Nov 23 123 @East Tennessee St. L 55-97 4%     0 - 6 -36.1 -14.3 -22.2
  Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66-52 86%     1 - 6 -11.7 -12.2 +1.6
  Sun, Dec 7 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 76-96 5%     1 - 7 -15.6 +3.5 -18.3
  Sat, Dec 13 33 @Miami (FL) L 79-104 1%     1 - 8 -8.8 +13.9 -22.4
  Wed, Dec 17 176 South Alabama L 67-77 17%    
  Sat, Dec 20 325 Louisiana L 67-69 44%    
  Sun, Dec 28 67 @Kansas St. L 69-95 1%    
  Thu, Jan 1 202 Southern Miss L 72-80 22%    
  Sat, Jan 3 239 Texas St. L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Jan 8 325 @Louisiana L 64-72 24%    
  Sat, Jan 10 202 @Southern Miss L 69-83 10%    
  Sat, Jan 17 334 Georgia St. L 74-75 48%    
  Thu, Jan 22 159 @Marshall L 68-85 6%    
  Sat, Jan 24 259 @Appalachian St. L 62-74 14%    
  Thu, Jan 29 231 Georgia Southern L 77-84 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 243 Coastal Carolina L 71-78 28%    
  Wed, Feb 4 216 @Old Dominion L 69-83 10%    
  Wed, Feb 11 153 @Arkansas St. L 71-89 6%    
  Sat, Feb 14 239 @Texas St. L 65-78 13%    
  Wed, Feb 18 147 Troy L 68-80 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 153 Arkansas St. L 74-86 15%    
  Wed, Feb 25 176 @South Alabama L 64-80 7%    
  Fri, Feb 27 147 @Troy L 65-83 6%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.5 0.2 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.9 0.9 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 4.7 5.4 2.0 0.2 13.7 12th
13th 0.6 4.4 8.9 8.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 25.8 13th
14th 5.0 12.4 15.1 9.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 45.7 14th
Total 5.0 13.0 19.5 19.7 16.9 11.6 7.1 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 0.9% 0.9
8-10 2.0% 2.0
7-11 3.9% 3.9
6-12 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.1
5-13 11.6% 11.6
4-14 16.9% 16.9
3-15 19.7% 19.7
2-16 19.5% 19.5
1-17 13.0% 13.0
0-18 5.0% 5.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.9%