Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -14.6 353
Results Rating -20.8 362
Consistency 0.17 280
Pace 74.1 39
Improvement +3.3 68

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 313 D D C C+ C-
Defense F+ 361 F F D+ B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 233 D- 50% 346 -4.0 320
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 160 C- 36% 245 -0.3 194
Three Pointers 42% 154 D+ 32% 267 -0.6 201
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 210 D- -4.7 326
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 324
Second Chance D- 24.2% 334 C 1.02 191 D 0.25 318
Opponents' Steals C- 9.7% 221
Other Turnovers C 7.0% 162
Turnovers C 16.8% 191
Freethrows C+ 0.32 144 C 72% 193 C+ 0.23 138
Total Offense D -5.6 313

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 44% 261 D- 14.3% 337
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 218 C+ 4.5% 153
Three Pointers C- 81% 257 D+ 1.3% 296
Total C- 52% 250 D 6.8% 309


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 185 D- 65% 347 +3.0 281
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 346 F 46% 354 -1.2 92
Three Pointers 47% 31 F+ 38% 346 +5.9 356
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 322 F +6.6 361
1st FG Attempt F 1.17 361
Second Chance F+ 35.9% 347 D- 1.15 331 F 0.41 357
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 276
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 189
Turnovers D+ 15.4% 262
Freethrows B 0.26 50 B- 70% 66 B 0.18 49
Total Defense F+ -9.0 361

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 353 D+ 8.0% 300
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 286 C 4.8% 170
Three Pointers D- 89% 335 C 0.8% 162
Total F+ 66% 354 D+ 4.2% 294

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 145 16.3 24
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 292 0.20 285
Consistency 0.15 337 0.15 330
Improvement +3.4 41 -0.2 191

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 353 353 352
Results Rating Rank 362 362 362
Conference Record 1 - 17 1 - 17 1 - 17
Conference Finish 14 14 14
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 90 - 14
Quad 42 - 142 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 342 @Northern Illinois L 82 - 102 32% -10  19% 0 - 1 F -30 C- -1 C+ C- C- F -27 F F B
 Fri, Nov 7 66 @Mississippi L 65 - 86 2% -17  0% 0 - 2 D -9 D- -7 C F+ D C -1 D D- A
 Thu, Nov 13 290 @Houston Christian L 61 - 72 17% +3  60% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -16 F+ F F+ C+ +1 D+ C D-
 Mon, Nov 17 238 Lamar L 66 - 79 25% -9  0% 0 - 4 F -21 F -13 F+ C- D D- -7 D+ C F
 Sat, Nov 22 285 Morehead St. L 80 - 83 24% -0  35% 0 - 5 D -10 C- -2 D F+ C+ D- -8 F D- D+
 Sun, Nov 23 165 @East Tennessee St. L 55 - 97 6% -20  0% 0 - 6 F -39 F -18 F D C F -21 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66 - 52 85% +4  82% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -15 D- F D B +4 A+ C- F
 Sun, Dec 7 106 @Stephen F. Austin L 76 - 96 3% -11  0% 1 - 7 D- -13 C+ +2 F A- A F -14 F D+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 31 @Miami (FL) L 79 - 104 1% -12  0% 1 - 8 D+ -8 A- +10 A- B- A+ F -17 F C- F
 Wed, Dec 17 206 South Alabama L 92 - 96 2OT 19% +7  72% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -9 D+ -4 B A+ F D+ -4 F+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 299 Louisiana L 62 - 76 38% -12  0% 1 - 10 0 - 2 F -25 F -11 F C F+ F -16 F A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 97 @Kansas St. L 85 - 94 3% -6  27% 1 - 11 C -1 B- +4 A- F C D+ -3 D B C
 Thu, Jan 1 213 Southern Miss L 73 - 87 21% -11  0% 1 - 12 0 - 3 F -20 F -10 F+ D B- F+ -8 F C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 233 Texas St. L 79 - 84 24% -3  12% 1 - 13 0 - 4 D- -12 C- -2 A F C- F -10 C- F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 299 @Louisiana L 79 - 85 19% -3  21% 1 - 14 0 - 5 D -11 C +1 B F+ B- F -12 F F A
 Sat, Jan 10 213 @Southern Miss L 60 - 70 9% +0  48% 1 - 15 0 - 6 D -10 F -12 F+ F+ F+ C+ +2 B+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 17 305 Georgia St. L 57 - 77 39% -9  8% 1 - 16 0 - 7 F -32 F -19 F F C F -13 F C+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 202 @Marshall L 60 - 115 8% -28  2% 1 - 17 0 - 8 F -54 F -21 F D- C+ F -30 F F C
 Fri, Jan 23 190 @Appalachian St. L 43 - 59 8% -8  15% 1 - 18 0 - 9 D- -15 F -30 F F F+ A+ +15 B A+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 230 Georgia Southern L 76 - 79 23% -2  18% 1 - 19 0 - 10 D -10 F+ -10 D+ D D+ C -0 B D- B+
 Sun, Feb 1 240 Coastal Carolina L 79 - 83 25% -5  0% 1 - 20 0 - 11 D- -12 B +6 A- C- B- F -18 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 244 @Old Dominion W 85 - 79 12% +6  97% 2 - 20 1 - 11 C+ +4 B- +4 C F+ D- C -1 B F+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 281 Ball St. L 68 - 73 33% -8  0% 2 - 21 F+ -15 F+ -8 F B- C+ D- -7 D F A-
 Wed, Feb 11 145 @Arkansas St. L 70 - 103 5% -15  0% 2 - 22 1 - 12 F -29 D- -8 F+ D+ D+ F -20 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 233 @Texas St. L 84 - 95 11% -6  2% 2 - 23 1 - 13 D- -12 A+ +17 A A C+ F -31 F F F
 Wed, Feb 18 142 Troy L 76 - 77 12% -0  40% 2 - 24 1 - 14 C- -3 C- -1 F+ D A+ C- -2 C- C D-
 Sat, Feb 21 145 Arkansas St. L 94 - 102 13% -6  4% 2 - 25 1 - 15 D -10 B+ +8 B+ A+ F F -17 F D+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 206 @South Alabama L 54 - 89 8% -21  0% 2 - 26 1 - 16 F -34 F -18 F F A+ F -17 F F+ B+
 Fri, Feb 27 142 @Troy L 65 - 80 5% -7  8% 2 - 27 1 - 17 D -11 C- -1 F B- B F -12 F F D
 Tue, Mar 3 244 Old Dominion L 80 - 87 18% -11  0% 2 - 28 D- -12 C+ +2 F+ C+ A+ F -14 F C- F
Totals 2 - 28 1 - 17 -15 D -6 F+ D- C- F+ -9 D+ C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- D+ D- 37% 39% 42% C- D D- C D C C+ C C+ F+ D- F F+ F 39% 15% 47% D F F+ D- F D+ B B- B
1.01 50% 36% 32% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .25 17% .32 72% .23 1.22 65% 46% 38% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.1 .41 15% .26 70% .22
Nov
3		 Northern Illinois C- D A+ A- C+ 40% 20% 40% D+ C+ F A+ C- C- B- C B- F B- F D F 51% 4% 45% F F F F F B F F F
1.09 55% 50% 40% +5 0 1.12 19% 1.7 .32 17% .36 73% .26 1.36 52% 100% 36% +1 +3 1.10 61% 1.6 1.00 24% .46 73% .33
Nov
7		 Mississippi D- F C+ C C 22% 28% 50% D C F+ F+ F+ D D+ F D- C B- B+ F D+ 26% 26% 47% D D C+ F D- A A A- A+
0.88 42% 40% 33% -4 -2 0.91 20% 0.9 .18 20% .29 59% .17 1.16 60% 33% 44% +7 -2 1.12 29% 1.4 .39 18% .21 69% .15
Nov
13		 Houston Christian F F+ C D F 43% 15% 42% C+ F+ F D- F F+ F A+ F C+ C+ B- C+ C 45% 11% 45% F D+ C C C D- A+ F A-
0.87 52% 38% 32% -4 +1 0.96 12% 1.0 .12 21% .13 86% .11 1.03 56% 33% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 14% .17 80% .13
Nov
17		 Lamar F D- F C+ F 43% 22% 35% C F+ C- C- C- D A- F D D- D F A+ D+ 28% 33% 38% C D+ C C C F D+ C+ D+
0.92 52% 18% 35% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .45 54% .24 1.10 59% 50% 26% 0 -2 0.97 33% 0.9 .31 13% .25 69% .17
Nov
22		 Morehead St. C- F A+ D D- 38% 14% 48% C+ D C- F F+ C+ D B D+ D- D- B- F F 36% 30% 34% C+ F F C D- D+ F A F
1.13 45% 63% 32% -3 +1 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 14% .28 76% .21 1.17 65% 36% 44% +7 -1 1.13 42% 0.9 .39 16% .48 66% .32
Nov
23		 East Tennessee St. F D- F F F 31% 20% 49% D F F A- D C D- B+ D F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F F F F D+ A+ F+ A+
0.79 53% 20% 21% -15 -1 0.71 21% 1.1 .23 19% .25 79% .20 1.40 76% 50% 43% +15 +1 1.34 39% 1.4 .54 14% .17 80% .14
Dec
3		 Mississippi Valley F A+ F F+ F+ 36% 17% 48% C D- F F F D A+ D- A B B- B+ A+ A+ 27% 43% 29% B- A+ D+ B- C- F B C+ B
1.02 80% 0% 30% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 18% .55 69% .38 0.80 50% 32% 13% -14 -4 0.67 26% 0.8 .21 15% .24 69% .16
Dec
7		 Stephen F. Austin C+ D- F F F 46% 18% 37% B- F C+ A+ A- A A+ B+ A+ F F A+ F F 38% 24% 38% D F C- D D+ D+ B- A- B
1.04 50% 30% 19% -13 +1 0.77 30% 1.4 .42 12% .38 79% .30 1.32 91% 21% 45% +15 0 1.31 32% 1.1 .35 11% .20 62% .12
Dec
13		 Miami (FL) A- D- F A+ A- 29% 18% 54% C+ A- C A B- A+ C- F D- F F+ F F F 59% 3% 38% F F F A- C- F A- A+ A+
1.11 50% 20% 47% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.2 .28 14% .23 57% .13 1.47 71% 50% 45% +14 +4 1.38 47% 1.0 .47 11% .27 53% .14
Dec
17		 South Alabama D+ A F A B+ 12% 15% 73% F+ B D+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ D+ F F A+ F 38% 16% 46% C F+ B F F A+ B F C-
1.05 71% 22% 40% +5 -1 1.10 28% 1.8 .50 27% .33 81% .27 1.10 78% 50% 25% +3 +1 1.10 20% 2.1 .43 19% .27 79% .21
Dec
20		 Louisiana F F F A+ F 36% 28% 36% F F F A+ C F+ A+ B+ A+ F F C- F F 30% 30% 40% D F A- A A- F F A+ C-
0.97 36% 27% 43% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.4 .33 22% .67 79% .52 1.19 67% 40% 50% +13 -2 1.24 21% 0.7 .14 9% .31 56% .17
Dec
28		 Kansas St. B- B+ B- A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% F+ A- F F F C A+ C A+ D+ F B- B+ D 40% 10% 50% D D F A+ B C F D F
1.07 65% 41% 41% +7 -2 1.12 20% 0.9 .17 19% .53 71% .37 1.19 83% 33% 31% +7 +1 1.19 39% 0.7 .29 16% .36 75% .27
Jan
1		 Southern Miss F F B D F+ 39% 21% 39% C- F+ F A+ D B- D+ F D- F+ F F D F 49% 13% 38% F F D- A- C+ A- A+ F A-
0.95 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 14% 1.7 .24 16% .34 64% .22 1.13 69% 71% 35% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.9 .32 22% .25 87% .22
Jan
3		 Texas St. C- A- F A+ A 37% 19% 44% D+ A F F F C- F+ D F+ F C- D A+ C- 49% 31% 20% D+ C- F F F C- A A+ A+
1.08 68% 20% 52% +12 0 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 19% .27 69% .19 1.15 59% 44% 25% -1 0 1.00 43% 1.3 .54 18% .20 67% .13
Jan
8		 Louisiana C C- F A+ B 58% 15% 27% B+ B F A+ F+ B- C- C C- F D F C+ F 28% 22% 50% F F F F F A D+ A+ B-
1.11 57% 29% 54% +6 +2 1.19 15% 1.5 .23 17% .37 73% .27 1.19 60% 67% 33% +6 -1 1.13 49% 1.1 .51 21% .27 53% .14
Jan
10		 Southern Miss F F F C+ F 42% 6% 52% A- F+ C+ F F+ F+ F+ D+ F+ C+ C- A+ A- B+ 35% 27% 37% C- B+ A F C- F D A C
0.88 40% 0% 36% -8 +2 0.90 31% 0.6 .18 21% .30 69% .20 1.03 61% 21% 26% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.6 .36 13% .41 67% .27
Jan
17		 Georgia St. F F D+ D F 31% 26% 43% F+ F F+ F F C F D+ F F D B- F F 18% 16% 65% D F A- F C+ D- A+ A A+
0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13 1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12
Jan
22		 Marshall F F A+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F F C+ D- C+ A+ C A+ F C- A+ F F 26% 7% 67% F F F F F C A+ D- A
0.81 28% 50% 17% -20 0 0.62 24% 1.0 .24 16% .47 72% .34 1.55 63% 25% 51% +18 +1 1.39 54% 1.3 .71 18% .15 78% .11
Jan
23		 Appalachian St. F F F F F 47% 9% 43% A F F F F F+ B- C B- A+ D F A+ A- 39% 5% 56% F B D A+ A+ C A+ F A+
0.62 20% 20% 22% -28 +2 0.51 20% 0.5 .10 17% .30 71% .21 0.85 64% 67% 19% -9 +2 0.88 34% 0.1 .04 16% .15 78% .12
Jan
30		 Georgia Southern F+ C+ D D D+ 43% 18% 39% C- D+ D- C- D D+ A A- A+ C C- F A+ B 35% 23% 42% A B C+ F D- B+ F C- F
1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37 1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 0 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Coastal Carolina B D- A+ B A- 30% 21% 48% B A- C+ D- C- B- D C+ D F F D- F F 29% 22% 49% D F F F+ F C- A+ A- A+
1.18 47% 67% 37% +5 -1 1.11 30% 0.9 .27 10% .25 73% .18 1.24 67% 45% 48% +14 -1 1.29 37% 1.1 .40 15% .16 67% .11
Feb
4		 Old Dominion B- B+ A+ F C 40% 27% 33% D+ C A+ F F+ D- A+ B A+ C D+ A- A+ B+ 38% 20% 42% F+ B F+ D+ F+ D F A F
1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46 1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30
Feb
7		 Ball St. F+ B+ D- F F 29% 31% 40% F+ F D A+ B- C+ A+ B+ A+ D- A- F C- D 45% 24% 31% C+ D F F F A- D F F+
0.98 67% 31% 12% -13 -2 0.71 28% 1.3 .38 17% .63 83% .52 1.05 45% 50% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.1 .42 20% .33 78% .25
Feb
11		 Arkansas St. D- F D B- D- 29% 23% 48% D+ F+ D C- D+ D+ A F B- F D- F F F 47% 5% 48% F F F D F F A A+ A+
0.95 40% 33% 36% -5 -1 0.90 23% 1.0 .23 16% .42 62% .26 1.39 67% 67% 39% +9 +3 1.26 51% 1.1 .56 15% .25 50% .13
Feb
14		 Texas St. A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 13% 39% B A A- A- A C+ B- F D+ F D F F F 55% 25% 21% F F F F F F A B A
1.31 50% 67% 56% +13 +2 1.30 38% 1.1 .41 17% .36 63% .23 1.48 62% 77% 45% +15 +1 1.34 57% 1.5 .87 11% .19 73% .14
Feb
18		 Troy C- F+ A+ F F+ 41% 20% 39% C+ F+ F+ B- D A+ A- B- A- C- C F B C- 42% 6% 52% D+ C- B+ F+ C D- F A F+
1.08 48% 73% 18% -7 0 0.89 24% 1.1 .27 6% .35 74% .26 1.09 57% 67% 31% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 14% .43 65% .28
Feb
21		 Arkansas St. B+ A+ F B+ B+ 40% 19% 40% C+ B+ A+ A A+ F A+ C+ A+ F B F F F 32% 8% 60% D+ F B- F+ D+ F F F F
1.21 76% 20% 38% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .48 19% .46 72% .33 1.31 53% 50% 44% +8 +1 1.21 35% 1.2 .41 15% .47 84% .40
Feb
25		 South Alabama F F F+ F F 22% 13% 65% D+ F F D F A+ B- C B F F F F F 26% 11% 64% C+ F B F F+ B+ F+ F+ F
0.80 33% 29% 23% -18 0 0.67 14% 1.0 .14 10% .27 75% .20 1.32 83% 60% 43% +18 0 1.38 20% 1.8 .36 16% .37 71% .27
Feb
27		 Troy C- F A- F F 47% 16% 37% B F C+ B- B- B A+ D+ A+ F F+ F C F+ 48% 4% 48% F+ F F F F D A A A
1.04 43% 50% 22% -11 +1 0.82 34% 1.1 .37 14% .43 70% .30 1.28 67% 50% 33% +4 +3 1.16 44% 1.1 .50 14% .23 67% .15
Mar
3		 Old Dominion C+ D- F C D- 26% 20% 54% D F+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ A F F 25% 37% 38% A F C- C C- F F+ A+ C-
1.15 54% 20% 33% -5 -1 0.90 18% 1.8 .33 9% .53 85% .45 1.25 62% 26% 65% +14 -3 1.25 26% 1.1 .29 11% .36 64% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 100.0 100.0 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%