Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.2 #314
Expected Predictive Rating -11.1 #332
Pace 60.3 #360
Improvement +1.7 #104

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #341 D- D- C F+ F
Defense #238 D C- C+ D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #360 1.01 #333 -7.9 #359
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% #20 0.77 #151 +4.2 #23
Three Pointers 40% #191 0.92 #296 -2.2 #257
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #337 -5.8 #337
Freethrows 0.23 #352 67% #326 0.15 #360
Second Chance 24.4% #331 0.89 #342 0.22 #351
Turnovers 16.9% #211
Total Offense -7.2 #341

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #38 1.19 #216 -4.0 #307
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #341 0.65 #34 +3.0 #5
Three Pointers 41% #181 1.17 #347 -3.3 #311
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #310 -4.2 #310
Freethrows 0.37 #344 72% #184 0.27 #336
Second Chance 31.9% #249 1.05 #189 0.34 #229
Turnovers 17.1% #137
Total Defense -2.0 #238

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.1% #357 2.4% #354
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.7% #307 5.8% #290
Possession Length 19.7 #355 17.6 #231
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #347 0.15 #131
Improvement +2.5 #59 -0.8 #234

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.2% 5.5% 0.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 47 - 108 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 294 @Ball St. L 64 - 75 33% -2  0 - 1 -16 -5 D D D+ -12 F D B-
 Fri, Nov 7 266 SE Louisiana W 58 - 52 48% +9  1 - 1 -3 -4 A- F C +2 A- C- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 174 Tulane L 62 - 66 31% -3  1 - 2 -8 -7 F C- A+ -2 C+ D- B-
 Fri, Nov 14 83 @McNeese St. L 62 - 88 5% -18  1 - 3 -16 -4 F C D+ -13 F A+ A-
 Tue, Nov 18 84 @Stanford L 66 - 93 5% -12  1 - 4 -17 -3 C+ F+ C -14 F+ B- C-
 Fri, Nov 21 50 @Santa Clara L 43 - 80 3% -20  1 - 5 -23 -21 F F F -4 A+ F D-
 Mon, Nov 24 182 @UC Davis L 56 - 77 16% -8  1 - 6 -20 -12 F F F+ -9 F C D+
 Fri, Nov 28 336 Jackson St. L 45 - 51 68% -5  1 - 7 -20 -29 F C- F +8 B C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 207 @Lamar L 55 - 65 19% +2  1 - 8 -10 -8 D C- F -3 C- B+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 122 UNC Wilmington L 63 - 70 20% -3  1 - 9 -7 -4 D+ D+ C -4 D+ B- B
 Sat, Dec 13 221 @Louisiana Tech L 44 - 65 20% -11  1 - 10 -22 -19 F+ F F -6 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 262 @Southern Miss L 54 - 62 26% -2  1 - 11 0 - 1 -10 -17 F F B +6 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 76 - 62 64% +12  2 - 11 1 - 1 +1 +5 B- F A+ -2 C+ F A
 Sun, Dec 28 295 Norfolk St. W 63 - 54 56% +9  3 - 11 -2 -1 C+ F A +1 A- B- D+
 Wed, Dec 31 190 South Alabama L 58 - 63 34% -2  3 - 12 1 - 2 -10 -1 D C- B -10 D+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 262 Southern Miss L 67 - 74 47% -2  3 - 13 1 - 3 -15 -6 D- A+ F+ -9 F B- A+
 Thu, Jan 8 361 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 79 82% +3  4 - 13 2 - 3 -13 +2 C- A- F -15 F C C
 Sat, Jan 10 115 Troy L 70 - 90 18% -16  4 - 14 2 - 4 -20 +3 A F C -25 D F B+
 Wed, Jan 14 275 @Texas St. L 54 - 59 29% -5  4 - 15 2 - 5 -8 -11 F D- C+ +1 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 190 @South Alabama W 59 - 56 17% +1  5 - 15 3 - 5 +4 +1 C- F+ A +3 C D- C
 Thu, Jan 22 202 @Appalachian St. L 58 - 72 18% -1  5 - 16 3 - 6 -14 -3 F C- A- -14 F C A+
 Thu, Jan 29 269 Georgia St. L 65 - 66 49%
 Sat, Jan 31 246 Georgia Southern L 70 - 72 45%
 Wed, Feb 4 210 @James Madison L 62 - 71 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 304 Central Michigan W 67 - 65 58%
 Thu, Feb 12 237 Coastal Carolina L 65 - 67 43%
 Mon, Feb 16 232 @Old Dominion L 63 - 71 23%
 Thu, Feb 19 151 Arkansas St. L 69 - 76 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 275 Texas St. W 65 - 64 51%
 Tue, Feb 24 115 @Troy L 59 - 75 7%
 Fri, Feb 27 151 @Arkansas St. L 66 - 79 12%
Totals 8 - 23 6 - 12 -9 -7 D- D- C -2 D C- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 0.5 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 3.4 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 5.1 1.7 7.3 10th
11th 0.2 4.0 7.1 0.3 11.7 11th
12th 0.2 4.6 12.1 3.5 0.0 20.3 12th
13th 4.1 15.1 21.2 9.1 0.5 50.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 4.2 15.3 26.0 25.6 17.6 8.2 2.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
9-9 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
8-10 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.2
7-11 17.6% 17.6
6-12 25.6% 25.6
5-13 26.0% 26.0
4-14 15.3% 15.3
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.2%