Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +6.1 #90
Expected Predictive Rating +6.2 #86
Pace 67.2 #229
Improvement +0.7 #153

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #90 C- B B+ B- C-
Defense #104 B- C C C B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #160 1.14 #195 +0.0 #175
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #123 0.75 #180 +0.9 #127
Three Pointers 38% #248 0.96 #254 -2.6 #274
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #231 -1.7 #231
Freethrows 0.34 #78 74% #116 0.25 #76
Second Chance 33.6% #96 1.16 #50 0.39 #54
Turnovers 13.2% #21
Total Offense +3.6 #90

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #318 0.98 #16 +6.2 #20
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #47 0.80 #262 -2.6 #342
Three Pointers 41% #177 1.04 #223 -0.6 #201
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #82 +3.1 #81
Freethrows 0.30 #170 74% #270 0.22 #194
Second Chance 29.6% #139 1.07 #221 0.32 #174
Turnovers 16.6% #175
Total Defense +2.5 #104

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #225 -2.1% #34
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.8% #222 -3.9% #105
Possession Length 16.8 #117 19.0 #352
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 #20 0.16 #159
Improvement +0.4 #159 +0.3 #175

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.3% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.0 10.7 12.4
.500 or above 20.5% 27.6% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.1% 3.1% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 39.4% 29.6% 55.2%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Home) - 61.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 10
Quad 25 - 67 - 16
Quad 32 - 29 - 18
Quad 46 - 015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 356 Morgan St. W 87 - 70 97% +10  1 - 0 -0 -1 F C A+ -1 C C- B
 Fri, Nov 7 105 @Maryland W 70 - 60 45% +10  2 - 0 +17 +2 F C+ C+ +15 A+ C+ B
 Wed, Nov 12 362 Binghamton W 83 - 70 98% +8  3 - 0 -6 +5 F+ B- A+ -11 C- C+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 33 Clemson W 79 - 74 31% +1  4 - 0 +16 +14 B+ C+ A+ +2 A- C+ C
 Sat, Nov 22 324 Wagner W 92 - 75 95% +11  5 - 0 +4 +5 C B- C+ -2 C B+ B+
 Thu, Nov 27 86 Dayton L 79 - 84 OT 48% -7  5 - 1 +2 +6 B+ D A+ -4 C+ C C+
 Fri, Nov 28 39 Miami (FL) L 65 - 78 26% -14  5 - 2 -0 +4 F A+ B+ -5 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 263 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90 - 81 91% +11  6 - 2 +1 +15 A- B+ A- -15 C- F F
 Sun, Dec 7 29 @North Carolina L 61 - 81 14% -7  6 - 3 -2 -6 F C A+ +4 C+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 228 St. Peter's W 76 - 68 OT 88% +7  7 - 3 +1 +1 C B- D+ -0 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 94 @Marquette W 78 - 69 40% +2  8 - 3 1 - 0 +18 +17 C A+ A+ +2 A F D+
 Sat, Dec 20 79 Xavier L 77 - 80 57% +2  8 - 4 1 - 1 +1 +2 C- D+ A +0 C+ C+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97 - 67 99% +22  9 - 4 +7 +10 B- D+ A+ -4 D+ D+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 21 St. John's L 83 - 95 22% -6  9 - 5 1 - 2 +2 +17 A+ B- A -15 D F B
 Tue, Jan 6 92 @DePaul L 50 - 56 39% -2  9 - 6 1 - 3 +3 -13 F A+ D+ +16 A+ B A+
 Sat, Jan 10 57 Seton Hall L 67 - 76 48% +2  9 - 7 1 - 4 -2 +2 D- B A+ -5 B+ D+ C
 Tue, Jan 13 53 @Creighton L 83 - 86 OT 25% +1  9 - 8 1 - 5 +10 +22 A+ A+ B -12 F C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 9 Connecticut L 62 - 64 15% -4  9 - 9 1 - 6 +15 +10 B A+ D- +5 A+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 21 34 @Villanova L 51 - 66 15% -8  9 - 10 1 - 7 +2 -8 D- D- F +9 A+ B+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 67 @Providence W 81 - 78 30% -9  10 - 10 2 - 7 +14 +16 A+ C A -1 B B D
 Wed, Jan 28 92 DePaul W 73 - 70 62%
 Sat, Jan 31 58 @Butler L 75 - 81 27%
 Wed, Feb 4 53 Creighton L 75 - 76 46%
 Sat, Feb 7 34 Villanova L 67 - 72 32%
 Sat, Feb 14 9 @Connecticut L 62 - 79 5%
 Wed, Feb 18 58 Butler L 77 - 78 48%
 Sat, Feb 21 57 @Seton Hall L 64 - 71 27%
 Tue, Feb 24 94 Marquette W 77 - 74 62%
 Sat, Feb 28 79 @Xavier L 75 - 79 35%
 Tue, Mar 3 21 @St. John's L 70 - 84 9%
 Sat, Mar 7 67 Providence W 84 - 83 52%
Totals 14 - 17 6 - 14 +6 +4 C- B B+ +2 B- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.6 2.0 0.7 0.1 3.4 5th
6th 0.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 6.9 6th
7th 0.2 4.5 5.3 0.6 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.1 3.8 9.2 2.0 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 10.9 4.7 0.2 18.7 9th
10th 0.1 2.8 10.0 7.7 0.5 21.1 10th
11th 0.9 4.7 9.6 6.7 0.9 0.0 22.8 11th
Total 0.9 4.8 12.5 19.6 23.4 19.3 12.0 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.4% 54.7% 2.7% 52.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 53.4%
10-10 1.7% 16.6% 3.2% 13.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4 13.9%
9-11 5.4% 3.4% 0.8% 2.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.2 2.5%
8-12 12.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 11.1 0.1 0.0 11.9 0.3%
7-13 19.3% 0.3% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 19.3
6-14 23.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.4
5-15 19.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 19.5
4-16 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 12.5
3-17 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.0% 0.3% 0.6% 11.0 99.1 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%