Connecticut
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +20.4 9
Results Rating +23.4 4
Consistency 0.17 284
Pace 63.3 317
Improvement -4.2 320

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 23 A A- C+ C B
Defense A 11 A B+ B+ C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 118 A- 68% 13 +5.5 20
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 331 A+ 51% 5 -0.7 223
Three Pointers 45% 94 B- 36% 100 +3.4 71
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 51 A- +6.8 17
1st FG Attempt A 1.18 16
Second Chance A- 37.8% 19 B 1.14 44 A- 0.43 18
Opponents' Steals B 7.8% 36
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 288
Turnovers C+ 15.8% 123
Freethrows C 0.30 198 C 72% 196 C 0.22 193
Total Offense A- +10.1 23

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A 68% 4 B 8.6% 56
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 44% 11 B 3.0% 47
Three Pointers B 89% 70 C- 1.2% 266
Total A+ 71% 4 B 4.4% 55


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 172 A+ 45% 4 -4.8 46
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 72 B- 35% 76 +0.7 246
Three Pointers 37% 299 A- 29% 16 -4.8 12
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 106 A+ -8.3 4
1st FG Attempt A 0.84 7
Second Chance B+ 25.5% 28 B+ 0.92 32 B+ 0.23 20
Turnovers from Steals B 11.2% 57
Other Turnovers B+ 8.6% 30
Turnovers B+ 19.8% 30
Freethrows D+ 0.33 266 B- 71% 97 C- 0.23 245
Total Defense A +10.3 11

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 35% 6 A+ 21.4% 5
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 65 B- 6.6% 78
Three Pointers C+ 81% 106 B+ 1.8% 44
Total A- 45% 14 A+ 10.6% 3

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 274 18.1 296
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 98 0.09 11
Consistency 0.11 69 0.12 189
Improvement -0.4 209 -3.8 333

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 9 9 8
Results Rating Rank 6 5 4
Conference Record 17 - 3 17 - 3 17 - 3
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 4 2 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Sweet 16 Champ Game

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 15% 21% 7%
Top 2 Seed 76% 87% 60%
Top 4 Seed 99% 100% 99%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% n/a 100%
Average Seed 2.2 1.9 2.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round98% 98% 98%
Sweet Sixteen69% 70% 67%
Elite Eight39% 40% 37%
Final Four16% 17% 14%
Championship Game6% 7% 6%
National Champion2% 2% 2%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 26 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 08 - 2
Quad 211 - 119 - 3
Quad 36 - 125 - 4
Quad 45 - 030 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 326 New Haven W 79 - 55 100% +12  99% 1 - 0 B +10 B- +4 C+ A- D A- +7 C- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 7 315 Umass Lowell W 110 - 47 99% +42  98% 2 - 0 A+ +50 A+ +21 A+ A+ C- A+ +25 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 198 Columbia W 89 - 62 98% +16  89% 3 - 0 A +22 A+ +15 A+ B+ A A- +8 A+ A- D+
 Sat, Nov 15 22 BYU W 86 - 84 64% +9  87% 4 - 0 A +19 A- +11 A+ A- F+ A- +8 B- D+ A
 Wed, Nov 19 3 Arizona L 67 - 71 41% -4  6% 4 - 1 A +19 A- +10 A+ D+ A+ A- +8 A+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 23 354 Bryant W 72 - 49 100% +14  98% 5 - 1 B- +5 D- -6 F C+ B- A+ +14 A B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 7 Illinois W 74 - 61 45% +10  99% 6 - 1 A+ +35 A- +10 A+ B D A+ +26 A+ A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 2 21 @Kansas W 61 - 56 50% -2  29% 7 - 1 A+ +25 B- +5 B- A+ F A+ +20 A+ A+ B
 Fri, Dec 5 302 East Texas A&M W 83 - 59 99% +13  95% 8 - 1 B+ +12 B+ +9 B- C A+ B +5 C- A B
 Tue, Dec 9 4 Florida W 77 - 73 30% +2  73% 9 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +18 A+ B+ A- A+ +12 B+ A+ B
 Fri, Dec 12 36 Texas W 71 - 63 82% +6  93% 10 - 1 A +19 C +1 A+ B- F A+ +18 A+ A- B+
 Tue, Dec 16 83 Butler W 79 - 60 93% +10  75% 11 - 1 1 - 0 A +23 B- +4 B A+ F A+ +19 A+ A- C
 Sun, Dec 21 94 @DePaul W 72 - 54 86% +5  67% 12 - 1 2 - 0 A+ +27 B +7 B A D+ A+ +21 A+ A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 88 @Xavier W 90 - 67 85% +18  97% 13 - 1 3 - 0 A+ +32 A +13 A+ A- D A+ +18 A+ A+ B+
 Sun, Jan 4 76 Marquette W 73 - 57 92% +11  96% 14 - 1 4 - 0 A +21 C+ +3 C- B A A+ +18 A+ A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 70 @Providence W 103 - 98 OT 80% -5  16% 15 - 1 5 - 0 A- +17 A +14 A+ C C B- +2 D+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 10 94 DePaul W 72 - 60 94% +11  98% 16 - 1 6 - 0 B+ +15 B+ +8 A D- D+ A- +8 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 13 51 @Seton Hall W 69 - 64 73% +7  74% 17 - 1 7 - 0 A +19 A- +11 A- A+ D- A +9 A+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 73 @Georgetown W 64 - 62 80% +4  80% 18 - 1 8 - 0 B+ +13 B +6 D- B+ A+ A- +8 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 37 Villanova W 75 - 67 OT 82% -2  17% 19 - 1 9 - 0 A +19 A- +11 C- A+ A+ A +9 A+ F B+
 Tue, Jan 27 70 Providence W 87 - 81 91% +4  91% 20 - 1 10 - 0 B+ +12 B+ +8 B+ B C+ B- +3 A- B- C
 Sat, Jan 31 71 @Creighton W 85 - 58 80% +11  94% 21 - 1 11 - 0 A+ +38 A+ +30 A+ A+ B A+ +14 A+ C+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 88 Xavier W 92 - 60 93% +23  97% 22 - 1 12 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +17 A+ D+ D A+ +19 A+ A A+
 Fri, Feb 6 20 @St. John's L 72 - 81 47% -3  20% 22 - 2 12 - 1 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ B- D+ B- +2 C+ F B-
 Wed, Feb 11 83 @Butler W 80 - 70 83% +3  67% 23 - 2 13 - 1 A +20 A+ +21 A A+ A- C+ +1 C- A D+
 Sat, Feb 14 73 Georgetown W 79 - 75 91% +7  96% 24 - 2 14 - 1 B +9 A +12 A A- B C- -2 F+ B+ B
 Wed, Feb 18 71 Creighton L 84 - 91 91% -2  26% 24 - 3 14 - 2 C -2 B- +4 C+ D+ A+ D -5 C B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 37 @Villanova W 73 - 63 64% +6  72% 25 - 3 15 - 2 A+ +27 A +14 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 A+ A- B-
 Wed, Feb 25 20 St. John's W 72 - 40 69% +18  97% 26 - 3 16 - 2 A+ +47 A+ +20 A- A A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 51 Seton Hall W 71 - 67 87% -1  34% 27 - 3 17 - 2 B+ +12 A +12 A+ B C- C+ +0 C- F A+
 Sat, Mar 7 76 @Marquette L 62 - 68 81% -1  55% 27 - 4 17 - 3 C+ +5 D+ -4 F A D- A +9 F+ A+ A
 Thu, Mar 12 88 Xavier W 93 - 68 90% +15  97% 28 - 4 A+ +31 A+ +26 A+ A+ B- A- +8 A+ D+ A-
 Fri, Mar 13 73 Georgetown W 67 - 51 87% +9  97% 29 - 4 A+ +24 B+ +8 B+ A+ D- A+ +19 A+ C- A-
 Sat, Mar 14 20 St. John's W 73 - 71 59%
Totals 30 - 4 17 - 3 +20 A- +10 B+ A- B A +10 B- C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- A- A+ B- A- 41% 23% 45% B A A- B A- C+ C C C A A+ B- A- A+ 39% 24% 37% C+ A B+ B+ B+ B+ D+ B- C-
1.23 68% 51% 36% +7 +1 1.18 38% 1.1 .43 16% .30 72% .22 0.94 45% 35% 29% -8 0 0.84 25% 0.9 .23 20% .33 71% .21
Nov
3		 New Haven B- D A+ B- C 47% 6% 47% A- C+ B A- A- D A A A+ A- C F A+ D+ 39% 33% 29% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ D+ C+ A+ A
1.19 55% 67% 36% +2 +2 1.11 32% 1.3 .42 18% .37 85% .31 0.83 58% 50% 21% -2 -2 0.96 12% 0.5 .06 17% .25 43% .11
Nov
7		 Umass Lowell A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 61% 7% 32% A+ A+ A+ D A+ C- A- B+ A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 43% 26% 31% B- A+ A+ A A+ A+ F F F
1.47 74% 75% 39% +15 +3 1.39 52% 1.1 .55 13% .34 77% .26 0.63 22% 0% 31% -27 0 0.48 21% 0.9 .18 28% .59 72% .43
Nov
10		 Columbia A+ A A A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% A A+ D+ A+ B+ A A+ F A+ A- B D A+ A+ 40% 26% 34% A- A+ A B- A- D+ F D- F
1.34 70% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .36 9% .48 66% .31 0.93 53% 42% 19% -9 0 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 20% .37 75% .28
Nov
15		 BYU A- A B+ A+ A+ 50% 15% 35% A+ A+ C+ A+ A- F+ A+ D A+ A- B- F B+ A- 41% 12% 47% F B- B F D+ A F+ D+ F+
1.16 70% 43% 50% +15 +2 1.35 28% 1.4 .40 22% .46 67% .31 1.13 60% 67% 30% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.4 .47 19% .38 78% .30
Nov
19		 Arizona A- A+ A C A+ 19% 33% 48% D+ A+ D- C D+ A+ A- F C- A- B A- A+ A+ 47% 33% 20% B- A+ D+ F F B- F D+ F
1.06 70% 47% 32% +4 -3 1.04 17% 0.8 .14 8% .31 50% .15 1.12 57% 33% 11% -9 -1 0.82 43% 1.2 .53 16% .47 76% .36
Nov
23		 Bryant D- D F F F 59% 6% 35% A F A F+ C+ B- A B+ A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 24% 14% 62% B A A+ F B A+ F F F
1.10 53% 0% 28% -8 +3 0.92 45% 0.8 .38 12% .38 77% .30 0.75 22% 20% 30% -14 0 0.73 17% 1.2 .21 32% .47 95% .45
Nov
28		 Illinois A- C+ A+ B- A 35% 15% 50% A+ A+ A+ D- B D A+ C A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 44% 8% 48% D- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ C F F+
1.12 56% 63% 35% +3 0 1.10 36% 0.8 .28 15% .30 71% .21 0.92 43% 50% 20% -16 +2 0.75 31% 0.7 .21 15% .32 94% .30
Dec
2		 Kansas B- A+ C- F B 26% 26% 49% D+ B- B+ A+ A+ F F+ A- D A+ A- A- A+ A+ 33% 31% 36% B+ A+ A A+ A+ B F A- D-
0.98 75% 33% 22% -6 -2 0.87 32% 1.3 .41 21% .16 75% .12 0.90 53% 29% 25% -9 -2 0.80 25% 0.6 .14 16% .40 71% .29
Dec
5		 East Texas A&M B+ A F F C+ 60% 15% 25% B+ B- B D- C A+ F A D- B C B- D D 29% 25% 46% A C- B A+ A B C+ F C-
1.26 70% 25% 29% +3 +2 1.13 38% 1.0 .38 9% .23 79% .18 0.90 57% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 21% 0.6 .12 20% .23 75% .17
Dec
9		 Florida A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 29% 33% C+ A+ C+ A+ B+ A- C C- C A+ A- F+ B- A 64% 9% 28% F B+ C+ A+ A+ B F B- F
1.14 63% 47% 41% +8 -1 1.16 23% 1.0 .23 13% .27 69% .19 1.08 53% 50% 31% -3 +3 1.02 43% 0.4 .16 18% .48 70% .34
Dec
12		 Texas C A+ A B+ A+ 43% 28% 28% C+ A+ B C+ B- F F+ F F A+ A+ B A A+ 44% 31% 24% A- A+ C A+ A- B+ F A D-
1.07 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 28% 1.0 .28 23% .25 54% .14 0.95 40% 36% 27% -11 -1 0.78 37% 1.0 .37 18% .52 68% .35
Dec
16		 Butler B- A- F B+ B 49% 20% 31% B B A+ A+ A+ F C+ F C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 6% 43% F A+ A C A- C D F F+
1.13 68% 20% 38% +3 +1 1.10 47% 1.2 .56 21% .24 62% .15 0.86 35% 0% 23% -21 +3 0.65 27% 1.1 .30 14% .40 79% .32
Dec
21		 DePaul B A+ D- C+ B+ 35% 28% 37% C- B A A- A D+ C- B+ C A+ A+ F A+ A+ 41% 35% 24% A A+ B+ A+ A+ B D- A+ B-
1.05 69% 31% 35% +2 -1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 22% .30 75% .23 0.79 35% 47% 25% -10 -2 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 19% .38 52% .20
Dec
31		 Xavier A C+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 16% 47% B- A+ B+ A- A- D D+ A C A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 28% 34% C A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F A- D-
1.24 60% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 32% 1.1 .35 19% .24 79% .19 0.92 70% 27% 22% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 15% .36 68% .24
Jan
4		 Marquette C+ A- C- F D+ 42% 18% 40% C+ C- A- C- B A A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 4% 42% D- A+ B A+ A+ B- D+ B+ C
1.07 67% 33% 20% -6 +1 0.92 40% 0.9 .36 16% .37 67% .24 0.83 41% 0% 23% -18 +3 0.74 27% 0.7 .18 16% .33 63% .21
Jan
7		 Providence A C C A+ A+ 29% 26% 45% D+ A+ C- C+ C C C- A+ B- B- A- A F D+ 44% 18% 39% C D+ B F+ C A+ F+ B- D-
1.25 56% 38% 57% +15 -1 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 15% .25 83% .21 1.19 52% 30% 55% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .39 21% .41 74% .30
Jan
10		 DePaul B+ B+ B+ B+ A 55% 16% 30% A+ A C+ F D- D+ B+ A+ A+ A- B- F A C 39% 34% 27% A C+ A+ D+ A- A+ D+ C- D+
1.12 63% 43% 38% +5 +2 1.16 30% 0.6 .19 22% .38 84% .32 0.93 56% 50% 27% +1 -2 1.00 21% 1.2 .25 23% .34 71% .24
Jan
13		 Seton Hall A- A- A+ F B+ 51% 11% 38% A A- A+ A A+ D- A+ F A+ A D- F A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% A- A+ F B F+ A+ F A+ F+
1.07 63% 75% 21% -1 +2 1.05 43% 1.1 .47 26% .55 62% .34 0.99 65% 46% 0% -10 -1 0.79 49% 1.0 .46 22% .49 60% .30
Jan
17		 Georgetown B F A+ F F+ 31% 20% 49% B- D- A C- B+ A+ A+ C- A+ A- A C+ D+ B+ 33% 36% 31% A+ A- F C F A+ A+ D+ A+
1.08 43% 78% 18% -8 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .37 10% .45 71% .32 1.04 47% 38% 36% -3 -2 0.91 45% 1.1 .52 22% .19 78% .15
Jan
24		 Villanova A- D+ F A C- 35% 24% 41% C C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ 29% 25% 45% A A+ D F F B+ F D- F
1.16 53% 17% 40% -3 -1 0.94 41% 1.2 .49 14% .40 77% .31 1.04 33% 23% 30% -13 -1 0.73 38% 1.4 .52 17% .41 77% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Providence B+ A- F A B+ 39% 22% 39% B- B+ A- C- B C+ A+ F A+ B- A F C- A 57% 13% 30% F A- B+ D+ B- C F C- F
1.21 65% 27% 40% +4 0 1.10 37% 0.9 .34 14% .45 64% .29 1.12 50% 50% 36% -2 +2 1.02 29% 1.2 .35 15% .51 77% .39
Jan
31		 Creighton A+ F A+ A+ A+ 27% 22% 51% C A+ A+ A+ A+ B F+ F F A+ B F A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% C+ A+ A F C+ B+ F B+ F
1.43 43% 55% 46% +9 -1 1.18 42% 1.8 .74 13% .14 43% .06 0.98 57% 50% 21% -7 0 0.88 20% 1.3 .27 17% .49 71% .34
Feb
3		 Xavier A+ A+ A A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% A A+ A+ F D+ D B+ A A- A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ 26% 36% 38% A A+ A- A+ A A+ F A+ F
1.34 83% 50% 45% +20 +2 1.46 43% 0.5 .21 19% .32 78% .25 0.88 55% 20% 38% -5 -3 0.86 22% 0.8 .16 19% .51 64% .32
Feb
6		 St. John's A- C A+ A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% A+ A+ D- A+ B- D+ D- F F B- B- F A C+ 48% 13% 39% D+ C+ A- F F B- F B- F
1.05 52% 80% 47% +8 +2 1.23 21% 1.5 .31 22% .22 42% .09 1.18 55% 67% 28% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.8 .55 15% .53 71% .37
Feb
11		 Butler A+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 24% 56% F+ A A+ A+ A+ A- D- A D+ C+ B C- F C- 52% 11% 37% D- C- A B A D+ A- D+ B
1.32 40% 67% 43% +11 -2 1.20 40% 1.3 .53 13% .17 78% .13 1.16 54% 40% 41% +2 +2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 13% .31 75% .23
Feb
14		 Georgetown A A+ A+ D- A 23% 9% 68% B+ A B- A A- B A+ C A+ C- B- A F F 28% 15% 57% C- F+ B- B+ B+ B F A+ D
1.21 90% 75% 30% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.2 .40 15% .45 72% .32 1.15 54% 29% 46% +8 0 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 17% .42 65% .28
Feb
18		 Creighton B- B- C D+ C+ 31% 25% 44% C C+ F+ A+ D+ A+ B+ F C+ D A+ F F C 43% 18% 39% D+ C A+ F B+ F+ F F F
1.11 60% 38% 32% -1 -1 0.98 18% 1.3 .22 7% .26 61% .16 1.21 45% 56% 45% +4 +1 1.12 13% 1.8 .23 11% .47 84% .40
Feb
21		 Villanova A A+ A+ D+ A+ 44% 20% 36% B+ A+ A+ A- A+ D+ B- A+ A- A+ A- F A+ A+ 37% 19% 44% C+ A+ B+ A- A- B- B A B+
1.16 75% 56% 31% +10 +1 1.22 43% 1.1 .48 22% .27 85% .22 1.00 53% 50% 26% -5 0 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 16% .26 64% .17
Feb
25		 St. John's A+ A+ A+ F A- 48% 18% 34% B A- B- A+ A A+ F+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 30% 36% A+ A+ B A+ A+ C+ B D+ B-
1.24 67% 56% 18% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.3 .40 9% .21 82% .17 0.69 40% 0% 25% -22 -1 0.55 33% 0.4 .13 14% .34 76% .26
Feb
28		 Seton Hall A F A+ A+ A+ 48% 8% 45% A A+ A C- B C- A+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ F D 32% 27% 41% A C- B- F F A+ A+ F A
1.13 42% 100% 44% +4 +2 1.15 40% 0.8 .33 24% .60 69% .42 1.06 43% 25% 50% +1 -1 1.02 33% 1.6 .52 24% .19 89% .17
Mar
7		 Marquette D+ B+ F F F 44% 11% 44% B+ F A+ C+ A D- A A+ A+ A B- F F F 45% 11% 43% B- F+ A+ A+ A+ A F A D-
0.92 65% 20% 10% -15 +2 0.76 44% 0.9 .42 24% .35 94% .33 1.01 55% 60% 42% +6 +2 1.18 17% 0.4 .07 19% .42 61% .26
Mar
12		 Xavier A+ A+ A+ D+ A 38% 6% 56% A A+ A+ A+ A+ B- D+ A+ C+ A- A+ F A A+ 18% 25% 57% B+ A+ D C+ D+ A- F A+ F
1.44 79% 100% 32% +10 +2 1.26 44% 1.8 .81 16% .24 85% .20 1.06 38% 55% 28% -5 -2 0.89 32% 1.0 .32 16% .61 64% .39
Mar
13		 Georgetown B+ A+ B+ D+ A 26% 34% 40% F+ B+ A+ B A+ D- F B- F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% C- A+ B F C- A- B- C+ B-
1.13 75% 44% 32% +5 -3 1.06 45% 1.1 .48 20% .08 75% .06 0.86 44% 50% 14% -13 0 0.76 30% 1.3 .40 18% .31 73% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 59.1% 40.9% 2.2 15.1 60.9 18.4 5.2 0.5 0.0 100.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 59.1% 40.9% 2.2 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 59.1% 100.0% 1.9 20.8 65.9 12.0 1.3 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 40.9% 100.0% 2.5 6.8 53.7 27.6 10.7 1.2 0.0