Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.6 #57
Expected Predictive Rating +11.8 #50
Pace 64.9 #287
Improvement -1.6 #263

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #158 D+ B B- B- C
Defense #12 B+ B A+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #26 1.14 #191 +3.6 #66
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #129 0.65 #324 -0.3 #192
Three Pointers 32% #341 0.93 #278 -6.0 #340
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #256 -2.7 #255
Freethrows 0.34 #61 72% #202 0.25 #89
Second Chance 36.0% #43 1.07 #145 0.38 #62
Turnovers 15.1% #97
Total Offense +0.1 #158

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #149 0.94 #8 +3.6 #67
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #235 0.66 #37 +2.0 #45
Three Pointers 42% #163 0.94 #79 +1.4 #130
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #23 +7.0 #17
Freethrows 0.37 #333 70% #71 0.26 #323
Second Chance 28.8% #110 0.87 #16 0.25 #37
Turnovers 22.1% #5
Total Defense +9.5 #12

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #164 0.7% #229
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.7% #274 -13.7% #11
Possession Length 15.6 #42 18.8 #344
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #121 0.10 #13
Improvement -2.5 #315 +0.9 #131

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.6% 37.0% 22.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.8% 35.2% 21.1%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 10.2
.500 or above 99.3% 99.9% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 59.3% 28.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.8% 4.0%
First Four12.9% 14.1% 10.4%
First Round25.4% 29.2% 17.1%
Second Round8.5% 10.0% 5.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 1.7% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 43 - 8
Quad 26 - 49 - 11
Quad 35 - 114 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 228 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 93% +16  1 - 0 +20 +16 C A+ A+ +9 A+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 324 Wagner W 68 - 61 97% +3  2 - 0 -6 -7 F+ C+ D- +2 D- C- A+
 Mon, Nov 10 271 Fairfield W 82 - 59 95% +10  3 - 0 +14 +5 F A A +9 B- A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 185 Monmouth W 70 - 58 91% +2  4 - 0 +7 +0 D- D A+ +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 333 New Haven W 68 - 45 98% +14  5 - 0 +9 -0 C D+ C +12 A B- B
 Mon, Nov 24 24 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 28% +8  6 - 0 +27 +14 B A+ B +12 A- A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 48 USC L 81 - 83 44% +2  6 - 1 +9 +15 A+ D- A -6 C- D+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 138 Washington St. W 75 - 61 79% +11  7 - 1 +15 +5 B- A+ F +11 A+ A- A
 Wed, Dec 3 296 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 96% +9  8 - 1 +5 +5 B F C +2 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 88 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 50% +8  9 - 1 +20 +2 D- B+ B +17 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 120 Rutgers W 81 - 59 82% +11  10 - 1 +22 +11 A A+ F +12 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 67 @Providence W 72 - 67 43% +3  11 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +1 C C+ D- +16 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 34 Villanova L 56 - 64 45% -8  11 - 2 1 - 1 +3 -6 F D A+ +8 D+ C+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 94 @Marquette W 79 - 73 53% -2  12 - 2 2 - 1 +15 +9 F A+ C+ +5 A+ C- D
 Sun, Jan 4 53 Creighton W 56 - 54 60% -5  13 - 2 3 - 1 +9 -10 F F B +19 A+ B A-
 Sat, Jan 10 90 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 52% -2  14 - 2 4 - 1 +18 +7 D- B+ B- +11 A+ B+ A-
 Tue, Jan 13 9 Connecticut L 64 - 69 24% -7  14 - 3 4 - 2 +12 +6 C A+ D +6 B+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 17 58 Butler L 66 - 77 62% -6  14 - 4 4 - 3 -4 -2 F B D -3 C+ A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 20 21 @St. John's L 60 - 65 16% +7  14 - 5 4 - 4 +15 +3 C B- C +12 A+ A- A
 Sat, Jan 24 92 @DePaul L 60 - 67 53% -7  14 - 6 4 - 5 +2 -3 D- C+ B +5 C+ B+ A
 Wed, Jan 28 79 Xavier W 73 - 68 69%
 Sat, Jan 31 94 Marquette W 72 - 65 74%
 Wed, Feb 4 34 @Villanova L 61 - 68 24%
 Sat, Feb 7 53 @Creighton L 67 - 70 37%
 Wed, Feb 11 67 Providence W 78 - 74 65%
 Sun, Feb 15 58 @Butler L 70 - 73 39%
 Wed, Feb 18 92 DePaul W 68 - 61 74%
 Sat, Feb 21 90 Georgetown W 71 - 64 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 9 @Connecticut L 58 - 71 11%
 Tue, Mar 3 79 @Xavier L 70 - 71 47%
 Fri, Mar 6 21 St. John's L 68 - 72 33%
Totals 19 - 12 9 - 11 +10 +0 D+ B B- +9 B+ B A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 1.6 0.4 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 7.7 10.2 4.9 0.8 0.1 24.9 4th
5th 1.1 8.8 11.4 4.1 0.4 0.0 25.8 5th
6th 0.3 5.9 9.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 18.7 6th
7th 0.0 2.5 7.2 1.9 0.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.5 4.1 2.0 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.1 8.5 16.4 21.6 22.2 16.1 8.2 2.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.6% 99.2% 12.8% 86.4% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.1%
13-7 2.6% 91.9% 7.0% 84.9% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.2 91.3%
12-8 8.2% 76.9% 5.9% 71.0% 9.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.2 0.9 1.9 75.4%
11-9 16.1% 59.5% 4.0% 55.5% 10.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.0 2.9 0.0 6.5 57.8%
10-10 22.2% 39.1% 2.6% 36.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.6 0.1 13.5 37.5%
9-11 21.6% 18.5% 1.6% 16.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.1 0.1 17.6 17.2%
8-12 16.4% 5.3% 0.8% 4.5% 11.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 15.5 4.6%
7-13 8.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.4 0.3%
6-14 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 3.0
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 32.6% 2.5% 30.0% 10.0 67.4 30.8%