Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.2 #234
Expected Predictive Rating -5.9 #253
Pace 64.5 #298
Improvement +3.7 #33

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #271 D C D+ B- D-
Defense #196 C- C C D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #313 1.12 #220 -3.6 #304
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% #37 0.70 #271 +2.3 #69
Three Pointers 38% #249 0.94 #274 -3.2 #292
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #309 -4.4 #310
Freethrows 0.34 #90 73% #158 0.25 #92
Second Chance 33.4% #102 0.97 #287 0.32 #165
Turnovers 17.9% #276
Total Offense -3.4 #271

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #73 1.31 #336 -5.7 #348
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #221 0.70 #91 +1.1 #110
Three Pointers 38% #255 0.96 #110 +2.4 #100
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #256 -2.2 #255
Freethrows 0.36 #329 67% #15 0.24 #285
Second Chance 29.9% #150 1.03 #161 0.31 #152
Turnovers 16.1% #206
Total Defense -0.8 #196

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #332 1.0% #261
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.0% #283 3.3% #243
Possession Length 18.7 #307 17.3 #173
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #174 0.20 #286
Improvement +0.7 #143 +3.1 #29

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.8% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 10.4% 20.4% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 38.9% 59.6% 28.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 1.1% 6.5%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round1.7% 2.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 33.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 83 - 12
Quad 410 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 244 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 40% -6  0 - 1 -6 +1 C C- F -6 C- C- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 22 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0 - 2 -18 -10 F C+ C- -10 D+ F A
 Fri, Nov 14 265 @Brown W 72 - 63 45% +4  1 - 2 +6 +9 D A D- -2 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 326 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 72% -0  1 - 3 -16 -5 F+ C+ F+ -12 D- F B
 Tue, Nov 18 130 @Boston College L 52 - 63 20% -12  1 - 4 -6 -10 D- C+ F +3 A- C- C
 Fri, Nov 21 295 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 52% -2  1 - 5 -7 -5 C D F+ -2 C- B+ F+
 Tue, Nov 25 331 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 63% +10  2 - 5 -2 +10 B- C- A- -11 C D- F
 Wed, Dec 3 323 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 80% +15  3 - 5 +9 +8 A+ F D -0 A F A
 Sat, Dec 13 276 Howard L 57 - 61 59% -3  3 - 6 -10 -13 F F B- +3 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 336 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 75% +5  4 - 6 -4 +4 D+ A- F -8 F C D+
 Fri, Dec 19 285 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 62% -7  4 - 7 -16 +1 B- F D -18 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 236 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 62% -2  5 - 7 1 - 0 -4 -9 F+ B- D +5 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 164 Towson W 63 - 62 47% +1  6 - 7 2 - 0 -2 +1 C- C+ F -3 B+ D+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 122 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 18% -4  6 - 8 2 - 1 +2 -17 F F C +18 B+ A B
 Thu, Jan 8 206 @Campbell L 72 - 86 34% -13  6 - 9 2 - 2 -14 -6 D- D+ F -7 D A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 162 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 25% -5  6 - 10 2 - 3 -1 +6 D- B C+ -8 D D+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 292 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 73% +5  7 - 10 3 - 3 +11 +11 D A+ A+ +2 C A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 185 Monmouth W 65 - 63 53% +3  8 - 10 4 - 3 -3 -2 F A- C- -0 C- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 122 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 36% -3  8 - 11 4 - 4 -8 +5 C+ B+ C -15 D F+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 201 @Drexel L 62 - 67 33%
 Sat, Jan 31 164 @Towson L 60 - 67 26%
 Thu, Feb 5 192 Elon W 74 - 73 53%
 Sat, Feb 7 132 William & Mary L 74 - 77 39%
 Fri, Feb 13 292 N.C. A&T W 74 - 71 63%
 Thu, Feb 19 128 @Hofstra L 65 - 74 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 236 @Stony Brook L 66 - 69 39%
 Thu, Feb 26 162 College of Charleston L 71 - 72 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 259 Northeastern W 77 - 73 65%
 Tue, Mar 3 132 @William & Mary L 71 - 80 21%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -4 -3 D C D+ -1 C- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.5 4.1 1.6 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 3.0 4.6 0.3 7.9 5th
6th 0.8 7.4 1.6 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.1 4.9 6.5 0.2 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 9.2 1.8 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 6.8 6.4 0.2 13.8 9th
10th 0.1 3.5 8.6 1.3 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 6.5 2.9 0.1 11.1 11th
12th 0.3 2.2 2.1 0.2 4.8 12th
13th 0.5 0.7 0.2 1.4 13th
Total 0.9 4.7 12.6 20.3 22.7 19.4 12.0 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 36.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 11.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.3% 12.7% 12.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.7% 8.2% 8.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
11-7 5.4% 6.8% 6.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 5.1
10-8 12.0% 4.0% 4.0% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 11.5
9-9 19.4% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.1 0.3 19.0
8-10 22.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 22.4
7-11 20.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 20.1
6-12 12.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.6
5-13 4.7% 4.7
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.4 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%