Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#230
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#282
Pace64.5#308
Improvement+0.1#180

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#251
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#169
Layup/Dunks-5.6#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#267
Freethrows+2.9#36
Improvement-1.6#301

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot+0.6#147
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#287
Layups/Dunks-3.8#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#12
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#40
Freethrows-2.7#329
Improvement+1.6#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.6% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 19.7% 24.7% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 35.2% 38.8% 27.3%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.7% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 9.1% 14.4%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round2.1% 2.4% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Neutral) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 49 - 713 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86-90 38%     0 - 1 -4.8 +1.7 -6.0
  Tue, Nov 11 25 @Virginia L 53-91 3%     0 - 2 -20.1 -11.2 -10.5
  Fri, Nov 14 219 @Brown W 72-63 37%     1 - 2 +8.6 +9.9 -0.5
  Sun, Nov 16 289 Holy Cross L 61-67 62%     1 - 3 -13.0 -4.5 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 18 150 @Boston College L 52-63 23%     1 - 4 -7.3 -12.0 +3.8
  Fri, Nov 21 234 @Norfolk St. L 60-62 39%     1 - 5 -3.1 -2.0 -1.4
  Tue, Nov 25 343 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-68 67%     2 - 5 -2.6 +9.1 -10.8
  Wed, Dec 3 338 Loyola Maryland W 93-71 83%     3 - 5 +7.9 +7.3 -0.4
  Sat, Dec 13 299 Howard L 57-61 64%     3 - 6 -11.6 -15.6 +3.9
  Thu, Dec 18 316 Jackson St. W 70-65 69%    
  Fri, Dec 19 284 Grambling St. W 68-65 60%    
  Mon, Dec 29 197 Stony Brook W 68-67 56%    
  Wed, Dec 31 139 Towson L 64-66 41%    
  Sat, Jan 3 109 @UNC Wilmington L 63-74 16%    
  Thu, Jan 8 226 @Campbell L 71-74 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 172 @College of Charleston L 66-72 29%    
  Mon, Jan 19 311 N.C. A&T W 75-67 76%    
  Thu, Jan 22 206 Monmouth W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 109 UNC Wilmington L 66-71 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 271 @Drexel L 66-67 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 139 @Towson L 61-69 22%    
  Thu, Feb 5 192 Elon W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 121 William & Mary L 74-78 36%    
  Fri, Feb 13 311 N.C. A&T W 73-68 67%    
  Thu, Feb 19 115 @Hofstra L 63-73 18%    
  Sat, Feb 21 197 @Stony Brook L 65-70 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 172 College of Charleston W 70-69 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 211 Northeastern W 70-68 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 121 @William & Mary L 71-81 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.5 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 6.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 3.9 1.3 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.3 0.2 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.7 3.9 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.4 1.0 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.8 2.2 0.1 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.2 2.0 4.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.5 4.0 7.2 9.9 13.1 14.1 14.3 12.3 9.5 6.5 3.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 51.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.0% 13.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 20.8% 20.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 14.5% 14.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.8% 12.2% 12.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
12-6 3.8% 10.0% 10.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.4
11-7 6.5% 7.1% 7.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.0
10-8 9.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.1
9-9 12.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.1
8-10 14.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.2
7-11 14.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-13 9.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.2
3-15 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.7 97.7 0.0%