Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#97
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#107
Pace71.1#140
Improvement+0.7#127

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#110
First Shot+1.7#129
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#107
Layup/Dunks+1.8#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#197
Freethrows+0.0#184
Improvement+2.3#40

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#104
First Shot+1.3#124
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#119
Layups/Dunks-0.2#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#2
Freethrows-6.9#364
Improvement-1.5#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.4% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.5
.500 or above 84.8% 89.8% 73.9%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 65.5% 53.5%
Conference Champion 4.0% 4.5% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 1.0%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round4.4% 5.0% 3.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Neutral) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 35 - 38 - 12
Quad 411 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 272 Cal St. Fullerton W 92-82 90%     1 - 0 +1.2 -0.5 -0.1
  Tue, Nov 11 193 Austin Peay W 79-65 83%     2 - 0 +9.0 -0.4 +8.2
  Sat, Nov 15 269 Portland W 93-56 90%     3 - 0 +28.3 +15.4 +12.6
  Wed, Nov 19 126 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 49%     3 - 1 -2.6 -2.4 -0.1
  Sun, Nov 23 234 Norfolk St. W 75-67 87%     4 - 1 +0.9 +5.7 -4.4
  Wed, Nov 26 314 Denver W 101-59 93%     5 - 1 +30.0 +15.7 +14.1
  Sun, Nov 30 24 @Texas Tech L 72-76 12%     5 - 2 +13.9 +8.8 +4.9
  Sat, Dec 6 247 Dartmouth W 93-80 88%     6 - 2 +5.1 +13.5 -8.9
  Tue, Dec 9 278 South Dakota W 106-79 90%     7 - 2 +17.8 +20.2 -4.0
  Mon, Dec 15 158 South Dakota St. W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Dec 20 91 Grand Canyon W 74-72 58%    
  Tue, Dec 30 324 @Air Force W 75-63 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 74 @New Mexico L 76-82 31%    
  Tue, Jan 6 141 UNLV W 83-76 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 99 @Nevada L 72-75 39%    
  Wed, Jan 14 52 San Diego St. L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 184 @Fresno St. W 78-74 63%    
  Tue, Jan 20 46 Boise St. L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 188 San Jose St. W 78-68 82%    
  Wed, Jan 28 43 @Utah St. L 72-81 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 69 Colorado St. W 75-74 50%    
  Tue, Feb 3 52 @San Diego St. L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 43 Utah St. L 75-78 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 69 @Colorado St. L 71-77 30%    
  Tue, Feb 17 184 Fresno St. W 81-71 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 91 @Grand Canyon L 71-75 37%    
  Tue, Feb 24 46 @Boise St. L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 324 Air Force W 78-60 94%    
  Tue, Mar 3 99 Nevada W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 188 @San Jose St. W 75-71 63%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.1 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.6 4.3 0.7 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.6 5.1 1.0 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.3 5.5 1.4 0.1 13.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 4.7 1.5 0.1 12.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 3.6 3.4 0.9 0.1 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.7 7.2 10.2 12.5 14.4 13.9 11.6 9.0 6.0 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 89.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 63.9% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.8% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 8.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 61.8% 24.7% 37.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 49.3%
17-3 0.7% 42.3% 15.0% 27.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 32.0%
16-4 1.9% 26.4% 16.5% 9.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.4 11.8%
15-5 3.7% 17.7% 14.3% 3.4% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 3.0 3.9%
14-6 6.0% 11.1% 9.7% 1.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 5.4 1.5%
13-7 9.0% 7.8% 7.4% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.3 0.4%
12-8 11.6% 5.2% 5.1% 0.0% 11.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.0 0.0%
11-9 13.9% 3.6% 3.6% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 13.4
10-10 14.4% 2.1% 2.1% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.1
9-11 12.5% 1.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.4
8-12 10.2% 0.9% 0.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.1
7-13 7.2% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
6-14 4.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 4.6
5-15 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.0% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.3 0.8%