Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#347
Expected Predictive Rating-24.0#365
Pace64.4#311
Improvement+1.1#108

Offense
Total Offense-9.8#360
First Shot-9.5#364
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#192
Layup/Dunks-5.8#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#352
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement-1.2#275

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#244
First Shot-1.3#221
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#252
Layups/Dunks-5.3#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
Freethrows+4.1#8
Improvement+2.3#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.7% 10.2% 5.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.7% 23.1% 34.0%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 20.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 45 - 126 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 25 @Virginia L 53-87 1%     0 - 1 -16.1 -8.4 -10.9
  Wed, Nov 5 133 @Rutgers L 53-81 7%     0 - 2 -23.3 -14.2 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 18 41 @Texas L 65-99 1%     0 - 3 -19.1 -7.0 -9.9
  Thu, Nov 20 8 @Houston L 45-91 0.4%    0 - 4 -23.1 -13.6 -11.3
  Tue, Nov 25 364 Coppin St. L 65-68 80%     0 - 5 -24.0 -17.4 -6.6
  Thu, Dec 4 273 @Merrimack L 66-68 19%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -4.9 +0.2 -5.2
  Sun, Dec 7 168 @Quinnipiac L 58-72 10%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -11.8 -10.9 -1.2
  Tue, Dec 9 302 Bucknell L 38-51 46%     0 - 8 -23.9 -33.0 +7.2
  Tue, Dec 16 282 @Delaware L 61-69 21%    
  Mon, Dec 22 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 55-81 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 321 Manhattan W 71-70 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 164 Siena L 59-68 21%    
  Fri, Jan 9 305 @Fairfield L 64-71 26%    
  Sun, Jan 11 155 Marist L 57-66 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 170 Iona L 66-74 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 292 @St. Peter's L 58-66 24%    
  Mon, Jan 19 254 Sacred Heart L 68-72 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 296 @Mount St. Mary's L 62-70 25%    
  Fri, Jan 30 321 @Manhattan L 68-73 31%    
  Sun, Feb 1 292 St. Peter's L 61-63 44%    
  Thu, Feb 5 155 @Marist L 54-69 9%    
  Sat, Feb 7 273 Merrimack L 62-65 40%    
  Fri, Feb 13 296 Mount St. Mary's L 65-67 45%    
  Sun, Feb 15 254 @Sacred Heart L 65-75 19%    
  Fri, Feb 20 339 Canisius W 63-61 57%    
  Sun, Feb 22 353 Niagara W 65-61 65%    
  Fri, Feb 27 170 @Iona L 63-77 11%    
  Sun, Mar 1 164 @Siena L 56-71 10%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.4 1.3 0.2 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.1 4.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.4 6.0 2.0 0.2 17.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 4.5 7.7 6.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 22.1 12th
13th 0.6 2.9 5.6 6.4 4.1 1.2 0.1 21.0 13th
Total 0.6 3.0 6.9 11.3 14.3 15.3 14.6 12.2 9.0 6.0 3.7 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 25.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 30.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 6.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.1
13-7 0.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
12-8 0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8
11-9 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7
10-10 3.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.7
9-11 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.0
8-12 9.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.9
7-13 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.2
6-14 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.6
5-15 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.3
4-16 14.3% 14.3
3-17 11.3% 11.3
2-18 6.9% 6.9
1-19 3.0% 3.0
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%