Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#321
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#307
Pace70.0#170
Improvement-1.0#248

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#215
First Shot-0.2#178
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks-2.3#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#160
Freethrows+2.6#52
Improvement-3.2#358

Defense
Total Defense-7.8#358
First Shot-5.5#341
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#316
Layups/Dunks-5.4#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#291
Freethrows+3.6#13
Improvement+2.2#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 8.3% 17.2% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 30.7% 37.9% 28.3%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 5.2% 8.6%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Home) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 410 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 34 @USC L 83-114 2%     0 - 1 -15.0 +4.0 -14.5
  Wed, Nov 12 262 Utah Tech W 79-75 35%     1 - 1 -1.5 +10.8 -12.1
  Fri, Nov 14 111 @Hawaii L 56-86 8%     1 - 2 -23.5 -11.4 -11.1
  Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-73 89%     2 - 2 -15.7 +5.4 -20.4
  Fri, Nov 21 49 @Texas A&M L 68-109 3%     2 - 3 -27.2 -2.8 -21.9
  Wed, Nov 26 301 Wagner L 101-103 OT 55%     2 - 4 -12.8 +14.1 -26.7
  Sat, Nov 29 332 @Army L 78-81 OT 42%     2 - 5 -10.5 -2.2 -8.1
  Fri, Dec 5 305 Fairfield W 70-66 56%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -7.0 -10.1 +3.0
  Sun, Dec 7 155 @Marist L 68-80 12%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -8.8 -2.7 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 13 198 @Fordham L 53-82 17%     3 - 7 -28.5 -14.8 -15.9
  Thu, Dec 18 148 Furman L 73-80 25%    
  Sun, Dec 21 260 Presbyterian L 69-70 46%    
  Mon, Dec 29 347 @Rider L 70-71 48%    
  Fri, Jan 2 168 Quinnipiac L 77-83 30%    
  Sun, Jan 4 273 @Merrimack L 69-76 27%    
  Fri, Jan 9 339 Canisius W 73-68 66%    
  Sun, Jan 11 353 Niagara W 76-69 73%    
  Wed, Jan 14 305 @Fairfield L 74-79 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 164 Siena L 70-76 29%    
  Mon, Jan 19 168 @Quinnipiac L 74-86 15%    
  Sat, Jan 24 170 @Iona L 75-87 15%    
  Fri, Jan 30 347 Rider W 73-68 69%    
  Sun, Feb 1 296 @Mount St. Mary's L 73-78 32%    
  Thu, Feb 5 292 St. Peter's W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 254 Sacred Heart L 80-81 46%    
  Fri, Feb 13 353 @Niagara W 73-72 52%    
  Sun, Feb 15 339 @Canisius L 70-71 44%    
  Fri, Feb 20 155 Marist L 68-75 28%    
  Fri, Feb 27 292 @St. Peter's L 69-74 32%    
  Sun, Mar 1 170 Iona L 78-84 31%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.2 4.5 1.1 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.4 5.3 1.5 0.1 14.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 5.0 5.7 1.6 0.2 13.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 4.3 5.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 2.3 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.3 7.9 11.5 14.0 15.0 14.1 11.8 8.3 5.4 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 90.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 62.7% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 29.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 38.1% 38.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 13.6% 13.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.6% 9.3% 9.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5
14-6 1.4% 7.8% 7.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3
13-7 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.8
12-8 5.4% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.2
11-9 8.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.2
10-10 11.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.7
9-11 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.0
8-12 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 15.0
7-13 14.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.0
6-14 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-15 7.9% 7.9
4-16 4.3% 4.3
3-17 2.0% 2.0
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%