Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -11.1 329
Results Rating -9.9 319
Consistency 0.12 34
Pace 69.5 147
Improvement +1.6 130

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 263 D C- C+ C+ D+
Defense F+ 351 D- F D+ B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 244 D- 50% 343 -4.2 321
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 118 C+ 40% 104 +1.7 90
Three Pointers 40% 204 D+ 31% 289 -2.0 250
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.5 261 D -3.9 314
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 320
Second Chance D+ 26.8% 283 B- 1.08 103 C- 0.29 226
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 97
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 217
Turnovers C+ 16.0% 133
Freethrows C- 0.29 241 A 80% 3 C+ 0.23 140
Total Offense D+ -3.4 263

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 45% 240 F+ 15.0% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 129 B- 3.7% 87
Three Pointers D 77% 317 F 2.4% 363
Total D+ 51% 276 D- 7.3% 334


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 150 D 63% 317 +2.7 273
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 228 D 42% 311 +0.1 201
Three Pointers 41% 160 D- 38% 341 +2.6 309
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 219 F+ +5.1 350
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 343
Second Chance F 37.3% 360 D+ 1.11 291 F 0.41 356
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.6% 96
Other Turnovers F 4.8% 365
Turnovers D+ 15.4% 260
Freethrows B+ 0.25 32 D+ 74% 291 B 0.19 51
Total Defense F+ -7.7 351

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 356 D- 5.9% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 45% 361 D- 1.9% 327
Three Pointers D+ 87% 273 D+ 0.4% 288
Total F+ 66% 353 F+ 2.9% 351

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 222 16.6 45
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 301 0.18 229
Consistency 0.13 211 0.13 226
Improvement -1.8 280 +3.5 34

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 329 329 329
Results Rating Rank 319 318 318
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 8 - 12
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 410 - 1111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 75 @USC L 83 - 114 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 F -20 C+ +2 C D- B+ F -17 C F D
 Wed, Nov 12 199 Utah Tech W 79 - 75 20% +3  77% 1 - 1 C+ +2 B +7 B B F+ D -5 B+ F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 119 @Hawaii L 56 - 86 7% -15  1% 1 - 2 F -24 F -15 D+ F C- D- -8 C F F
 Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 73 86% +5  85% 2 - 2 F+ -16 C+ +3 B- B+ F+ F -18 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 35 @Texas A&M L 68 - 109 1% -21  0% 2 - 3 F -24 D+ -4 B F D F -18 F D F+
 Wed, Nov 26 310 Wagner L 101 - 103 OT 54% +8  85% 2 - 4 D- -14 A- +10 C+ A- B F -24 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 340 @Army L 78 - 81 OT 44% -3  9% 2 - 5 D- -13 D- -6 F B- B- D -6 F C- B
 Fri, Dec 5 258 Fairfield W 70 - 66 40% +4  86% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C- -4 F -12 D- F F A- +7 B B- A
 Sun, Dec 7 205 @Marist L 68 - 80 14% -3  15% 3 - 6 1 - 1 D -11 D -6 C- F C D+ -4 C- F D+
 Sat, Dec 13 152 @Fordham L 53 - 82 9% -11  0% 3 - 7 F -26 F -13 F D B+ F -14 F F C+
 Thu, Dec 18 182 Furman L 68 - 75 26% -2  18% 3 - 8 D -11 F+ -9 D C- D- C- -3 D D- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 266 Presbyterian W 87 - 81 42% +3  63% 4 - 8 C- -3 B +7 A D A F -10 D F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 357 @Rider W 74 - 71 56% -2  10% 5 - 8 2 - 1 D -10 C- -2 F C+ C- D- -7 D+ F B-
 Fri, Jan 2 216 Quinnipiac W 80 - 79 32% -8  5% 6 - 8 3 - 1 D+ -5 C +2 B F B- D- -7 C+ F A
 Sun, Jan 4 175 @Merrimack L 66 - 73 12% -4  13% 6 - 9 3 - 2 D+ -5 D+ -4 D+ F A+ C -1 F B D
 Fri, Jan 9 338 Canisius L 64 - 70 67% +1  49% 6 - 10 3 - 3 F -21 F -13 D- F D+ F+ -9 C- D F
 Sun, Jan 11 333 Niagara W 79 - 70 64% -1  43% 7 - 10 4 - 3 D+ -6 B+ +9 F A+ A+ F -14 F B D
 Wed, Jan 14 258 @Fairfield L 62 - 98 21% -20  0% 7 - 11 4 - 4 F -38 F -17 F F+ D F -21 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 194 Siena L 59 - 74 28% -12  0% 7 - 12 4 - 5 F -20 F -11 F D- B+ F -10 F C+ B
 Mon, Jan 19 216 @Quinnipiac L 92 - 98 OT 15% +1  44% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D+ -6 B +7 C C+ B+ F -12 F F C
 Sat, Jan 24 254 @Iona L 57 - 66 20% -8  0% 7 - 14 4 - 7 D -11 F -14 F D+ D+ B- +2 C C+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 357 Rider W 95 - 90 77% +2  72% 8 - 14 5 - 7 D- -14 A +15 A D+ B+ F -28 F F F
 Sun, Feb 1 274 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 72 23% -4  1% 8 - 15 5 - 8 D -10 D+ -4 F+ B+ B D- -7 A- F D
 Thu, Feb 5 239 St. Peter's L 75 - 80 37% -7  0% 8 - 16 5 - 9 D- -13 B +7 D A+ C F -20 C F F
 Sat, Feb 7 289 Sacred Heart W 80 - 68 48% -2  28% 9 - 16 6 - 9 C +2 D -4 D- F B B+ +6 A- C- D-
 Fri, Feb 13 333 @Niagara W 76 - 69 41% +5  85% 10 - 16 7 - 9 C- -2 B- +4 C+ B C- D -5 F A D
 Sun, Feb 15 338 @Canisius W 69 - 65 44% +6  76% 11 - 16 8 - 9 D+ -5 D+ -3 F A+ C+ C- -3 D A F
 Fri, Feb 20 205 Marist L 70 - 84 29% -7  25% 11 - 17 8 - 10 F -19 B- +4 D+ A+ B- F -25 F F D-
 Fri, Feb 27 239 @St. Peter's L 65 - 75 19% -13  0% 11 - 18 8 - 11 D- -12 C- -2 F B+ A F -11 F D C+
 Sun, Mar 1 254 Iona L 65 - 69 39% -3  18% 11 - 19 8 - 12 D- -12 F -18 F F C B+ +6 B- F A+
 Thu, Mar 5 258 Fairfield L 60 - 71 29% -8  3% 11 - 20 F+ -16 F -17 F C F C -0 C+ D+ D
Totals 11 - 20 8 - 12 -11 D+ -3 C D D+ F+ -8 D+ A C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C+ D+ D 36% 43% 40% D+ D D+ B- C- C+ C- A C+ F+ D D D- F+ 40% 19% 41% C- D- F D+ F D+ B+ D+ B
1.04 50% 40% 31% -4 -1 0.93 27% 1.1 .29 16% .29 80% .23 1.20 63% 42% 38% +5 0 1.13 37% 1.1 .41 15% .25 74% .21
Nov
9		 USC C+ F+ A+ D C 42% 19% 38% B- C D F D- B+ A+ A- A+ F D A+ F+ C+ 48% 23% 30% D+ C F F F D D- D+ D-
1.01 45% 60% 30% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.7 .17 15% .51 81% .41 1.39 66% 21% 39% +2 0 1.07 52% 1.3 .65 15% .46 75% .34
Nov
12		 Utah Tech B D+ C+ A+ B 52% 17% 30% B- B B+ C+ B F+ A A+ A+ D A- C+ C+ A- 38% 15% 46% C- B+ F D F F+ D+ A+ C+
1.22 58% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 19% .38 85% .32 1.16 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 43% 1.0 .43 12% .26 60% .16
Nov
14		 Hawaii F D F A D 57% 25% 19% B- D+ F F F C- C+ F D- D- B+ A+ F C+ 55% 13% 32% D- C F D- F F F+ C+ D-
0.77 50% 15% 40% -8 +1 0.87 15% 0.2 .03 17% .33 50% .17 1.19 52% 0% 47% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .47 14% .42 73% .30
Nov
15		 Mississippi Valley C+ A A+ C+ B 27% 12% 61% C B- A D- B+ F+ A+ A- A+ F C F A- F 27% 43% 31% B- F F F F C- A- F D+
1.25 73% 60% 36% +8 0 1.20 48% 1.2 .56 20% .62 81% .51 1.14 54% 62% 27% +6 -4 1.06 35% 1.8 .61 20% .21 100% .21
Nov
21		 Texas A&M D+ C- D A+ B+ 37% 24% 39% C- B F F F D B F D+ F F A- F F 44% 5% 52% D+ F A F D F+ A D+ B+
0.91 56% 33% 42% +3 -1 1.06 19% 0.7 .14 21% .32 58% .19 1.46 74% 33% 47% +17 +2 1.40 25% 1.4 .36 11% .26 76% .20
Nov
26		 Wagner A- F A+ A+ B- 37% 23% 40% D- C+ B A- A- B A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 60% 12% 29% F F F B+ F C- F D+ F
1.30 33% 54% 48% +3 0 1.07 36% 1.2 .43 12% .51 77% .39 1.33 65% 50% 60% +16 +3 1.40 48% 0.9 .45 18% .42 74% .31
Nov
29		 Army D- C- F F F 34% 22% 44% D+ F F+ A+ B- B- F A+ D D B A+ F F 45% 9% 47% D- F C D+ C- B A+ F A
1.05 60% 23% 27% -7 0 0.86 23% 1.8 .40 14% .27 88% .23 1.10 50% 0% 48% +3 +2 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 20% .10 100% .10
Dec
5		 Fairfield F D- A+ F F+ 52% 12% 36% B D- D- F F F A A A+ A- B- D A+ B- 25% 28% 47% A B F A+ B- A A+ F A
0.97 50% 50% 28% -6 +2 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 21% .37 81% .30 0.91 50% 44% 26% -6 -2 0.86 43% 0.7 .28 21% .12 86% .10
Dec
7		 Marist D F+ C- B C- 35% 33% 33% D C- F F F C B A- A- D+ D D A C+ 35% 15% 50% F C- F D+ F D+ C A+ B-
0.90 50% 35% 35% -3 -2 0.92 20% 0.5 .10 19% .39 75% .29 1.06 62% 44% 27% -3 0 0.97 36% 1.1 .38 16% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Fordham F F D+ F F 32% 32% 36% D F F A+ D B+ F A+ D+ F B- F F+ F 36% 29% 35% B+ F F B F C+ A+ D A+
0.81 41% 35% 21% -13 -2 0.72 16% 1.5 .24 14% .16 100% .16 1.26 55% 75% 37% +11 -1 1.22 50% 0.9 .43 18% .08 75% .06
Dec
18		 Furman F+ A- D+ F D+ 28% 30% 43% F+ D B- F+ C- D- B- C- C+ C- C- F D D 42% 8% 50% D D F B- D- A+ B- A+ A+
0.98 67% 38% 26% -3 -2 0.93 33% 0.9 .29 17% .28 69% .19 1.08 62% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.14 39% 0.9 .36 24% .27 36% .10
Dec
21		 Presbyterian B A A B A 42% 15% 44% C+ A D+ D D A C+ B- B- F C+ B F D 46% 20% 34% D- D F+ D+ F+ F+ A+ F A
1.23 70% 50% 38% +9 +1 1.22 27% 0.9 .24 11% .32 70% .22 1.14 56% 33% 40% +1 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 16% .18 82% .15
Dec
29		 Rider C- F A+ C- F 40% 17% 43% D F A- F+ C+ C- A+ A A+ D- B- C B- C- 44% 22% 34% F D+ F D F B- B- A B
1.13 32% 75% 35% -4 +1 0.96 41% 0.9 .36 15% .49 78% .38 1.08 50% 36% 29% -6 0 0.90 45% 1.0 .45 18% .24 62% .15
Jan
2		 Quinnipiac C C A+ C B+ 40% 23% 38% C- B D- F F B- D+ A+ B D- F A+ D C- 26% 38% 36% A+ C+ F+ F F A A+ F B
1.12 57% 58% 35% +5 0 1.11 26% 0.7 .18 15% .26 94% .25 1.10 71% 20% 37% -2 -3 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 21% .18 100% .18
Jan
4		 Merrimack D+ F A+ F D 51% 28% 21% C D+ F F+ F A+ F A+ F C F F A- F 41% 8% 51% D+ F A C- B D C- A+ B+
0.98 41% 56% 25% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.8 .26 13% .14 88% .12 1.09 75% 50% 28% +3 +2 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 13% .34 65% .22
Jan
9		 Canisius F C+ F B D 36% 28% 36% D- D- D- F F D+ F A+ F F+ D+ D+ A D+ 42% 29% 29% C C- F B- D F D F F
0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16 1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26
Jan
11		 Niagara B+ C F F F 44% 29% 27% D+ F B- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ F B- F F F 49% 9% 43% F+ F F+ A+ B D A+ F A-
1.31 60% 31% 25% -5 -1 0.91 37% 1.7 .63 8% .38 90% .34 1.16 52% 75% 50% +10 +2 1.28 28% 0.5 .14 17% .14 86% .12
Jan
14		 Fairfield F F C+ F F 40% 26% 34% F+ F F+ D+ F+ D A+ A- A+ F F F F F 34% 25% 41% B- F C- F+ D- D+ F A- F+
0.86 40% 38% 18% -15 -1 0.70 23% 1.0 .23 18% .41 79% .32 1.36 68% 57% 48% +17 -1 1.34 34% 1.1 .38 14% .36 64% .23
Jan
17		 Siena F F A+ F F 31% 19% 50% C F D- D+ D- B+ D- D- D- F C D F F 35% 22% 43% D F D+ A C+ B A+ A+ A+
0.94 44% 60% 23% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.9 .22 13% .22 67% .15 1.18 59% 45% 57% +17 0 1.35 32% 0.8 .25 19% .06 33% .02
Jan
19		 Quinnipiac B F D A+ C 47% 22% 32% C C C C+ C+ B+ B A+ A+ F C+ F+ F F 40% 22% 38% C- F F F F C F B F
1.15 46% 31% 47% -1 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .36 14% .33 91% .30 1.22 55% 42% 43% +4 0 1.11 44% 1.3 .59 16% .48 66% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Iona F F A+ F F 34% 19% 47% C- F D+ C- D+ D+ C A B B- F+ C- B- D+ 26% 21% 53% A- C F A+ C+ C+ D D- D-
0.88 39% 50% 16% -17 0 0.68 30% 0.9 .28 17% .28 80% .22 1.02 67% 40% 32% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.7 .24 19% .30 75% .23
Jan
30		 Rider A B+ F A+ A 37% 10% 53% C- A C- C- D+ B+ A A+ A+ F F B- F F 48% 23% 29% F F F F F F F B- F
1.41 67% 20% 50% +14 +1 1.33 31% 1.0 .31 12% .37 95% .35 1.34 68% 33% 40% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .45 9% .49 67% .33
Feb
1		 Mount St. Mary's D+ F+ A+ F F+ 25% 17% 58% C- F+ D+ A+ B+ B F A+ F+ D- A- B- A- A- 40% 21% 38% B+ A- F F F D B- F D-
0.99 46% 56% 23% -9 -1 0.83 26% 1.5 .39 12% .23 85% .19 1.10 47% 30% 28% -10 0 0.83 39% 1.6 .64 20% .27 93% .25
Feb
5		 St. Peter's B C- A- F+ D+ 27% 22% 51% F+ D A A A+ C A+ A A+ F B+ F A+ C 38% 22% 40% C- C F F+ F F C+ F D+
1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42 1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26
Feb
7		 Sacred Heart D D- B- C D- 39% 21% 40% D+ D- F D+ F B A- A+ A+ B+ D A- A+ A 30% 20% 50% B- A- B+ F C- D- B F C+
1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29 0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20
Feb
13		 Niagara B- A+ F A+ B 27% 29% 44% F+ C+ D A+ B C- D- A D+ D F F B- F 43% 15% 41% C- F A- A+ A D F+ F F
1.20 77% 14% 48% +7 -2 1.13 29% 1.4 .42 16% .24 85% .21 1.09 75% 57% 32% +9 +1 1.22 16% 0.5 .08 17% .31 81% .25
Feb
15		 Canisius D+ F D- B+ F 46% 26% 28% C- F C- A+ A+ C+ A+ F B- C- F A A+ D- 33% 27% 39% B- D C+ A+ A F C F F+
1.07 43% 33% 38% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.8 .55 14% .43 58% .25 1.00 76% 29% 25% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.5 .12 14% .27 93% .25
Feb
20		 Marist B- C- A+ F D+ 35% 26% 39% C- D+ B A+ A+ B- A- A+ A+ F D- F F F 36% 30% 34% C+ F F F F D- D- D F+
1.09 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.91 35% 1.5 .55 17% .41 77% .32 1.31 65% 57% 44% +13 -1 1.26 38% 1.4 .54 14% .29 81% .24
Feb
27		 St. Peter's C- F A+ F F 43% 20% 37% C F C A+ B+ A A A A+ F F C+ F F 35% 24% 41% C+ F F A- D C+ B+ A+ A
1.04 30% 78% 12% -17 +1 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 14% .48 81% .39 1.19 69% 36% 42% +8 -1 1.17 48% 0.8 .39 19% .26 62% .16
Mar
1		 Iona F F D- F F 35% 24% 42% D F F F F C B- A+ A- B+ B- F A- B+ 43% 9% 48% F B- F D F A+ F A+ F
0.87 42% 31% 26% -12 -1 0.76 23% 0.7 .16 16% .30 84% .25 0.92 53% 50% 29% -5 +2 0.95 37% 1.1 .42 31% .44 61% .27
Mar
5		 Fairfield F D D- F F 36% 34% 30% F F D+ A- C F D- A+ D+ C A B C- B- 38% 16% 46% D C+ C- D+ D+ D C D C-
0.88 53% 31% 29% -7 -2 0.85 27% 1.2 .33 24% .23 83% .19 1.05 43% 33% 35% -6 +1 0.91 34% 1.0 .34 13% .25 73% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%