Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#282
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#276
Pace65.3#290
Improvement-0.1#201

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#265
First Shot+0.8#148
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#356
Layup/Dunks-3.8#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#17
Freethrows-4.8#361
Improvement-1.9#312

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#265
First Shot-3.2#288
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#155
Layups/Dunks+4.4#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#305
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#351
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement+1.7#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 5.7% 6.7% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 12.4% 13.5% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 35.0% 33.1% 42.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 94 - 13
Quad 47 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 302 @Bucknell L 70-78 44%     0 - 1 -12.9 -4.6 -8.1
  Tue, Nov 11 9 @BYU L 68-85 1%     0 - 2 +5.3 +15.4 -12.7
  Tue, Nov 18 292 St. Peter's W 81-70 64%     1 - 2 +0.8 +8.2 -7.0
  Sun, Nov 23 130 Southern Illinois L 59-79 21%     1 - 3 -17.9 -10.7 -7.7
  Tue, Nov 25 281 UNC Greensboro W 73-60 50%     2 - 3 +6.5 +2.5 +5.2
  Mon, Dec 1 170 Iona L 66-89 40%     2 - 4 -26.9 -8.7 -18.2
  Sat, Dec 6 348 @Delaware St. L 72-75 OT 60%     2 - 5 -12.1 -8.6 -3.2
  Wed, Dec 10 81 @George Washington W 70-58 7%     3 - 5 +22.3 +1.0 +21.6
  Sat, Dec 13 222 Cal St. Northridge L 66-88 50%     3 - 6 -28.6 -8.6 -20.7
  Tue, Dec 16 347 Rider W 69-61 79%    
  Mon, Dec 29 250 Missouri St. W 68-66 56%    
  Fri, Jan 2 252 Jacksonville St. W 67-65 55%    
  Sun, Jan 4 160 Kennesaw St. L 76-80 37%    
  Thu, Jan 8 126 @Sam Houston St. L 68-80 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 179 @Louisiana Tech L 60-68 23%    
  Thu, Jan 15 218 UTEP L 65-66 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 132 New Mexico St. L 65-70 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 108 @Liberty L 63-76 11%    
  Wed, Jan 28 132 @New Mexico St. L 62-73 15%    
  Sat, Jan 31 218 @UTEP L 63-69 29%    
  Wed, Feb 4 108 Liberty L 66-73 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 154 Middle Tennessee L 69-73 37%    
  Thu, Feb 12 186 @Florida International L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 250 @Missouri St. L 65-69 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 145 Western Kentucky L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 154 @Middle Tennessee L 66-76 20%    
  Thu, Feb 26 252 @Jacksonville St. L 64-68 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 160 @Kennesaw St. L 73-83 20%    
  Thu, Mar 5 126 Sam Houston St. L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Mar 7 179 Louisiana Tech L 63-65 42%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 0.8 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.2 1.3 0.1 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.1 2.5 0.2 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.2 3.6 0.7 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.0 6.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 15.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.8 7.2 4.8 1.1 0.1 20.1 11th
12th 0.5 2.2 4.7 6.7 6.4 3.4 0.9 0.1 24.7 12th
Total 0.5 2.2 5.0 8.6 11.8 14.0 14.3 12.7 10.4 8.0 5.2 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 80.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 63.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 56.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 24.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 14.0% 14.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.4% 16.3% 16.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-8 2.0% 4.7% 4.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.9
11-9 3.5% 2.2% 2.2% 15.2 0.1 0.0 3.4
10-10 5.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 5.1
9-11 8.0% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 7.9
8-12 10.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.4
7-13 12.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.6
6-14 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.3
5-15 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
4-16 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.8
3-17 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.6
2-18 5.0% 5.0
1-19 2.2% 2.2
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%