Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.4 #178
Expected Predictive Rating +0.7 #150
Pace 75.2 #39
Improvement -1.8 #272

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #219 C- C+ C C- C-
Defense #149 C- C- C C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #155 1.12 #218 -0.2 #185
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #87 0.65 #322 +0.4 #157
Three Pointers 35% #302 1.05 #129 -2.2 #258
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #236 -2.0 #237
Freethrows 0.28 #247 70% #255 0.20 #252
Second Chance 31.3% #159 1.10 #102 0.34 #121
Turnovers 16.0% #148
Total Offense -1.9 #219

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #83 1.19 #227 -2.9 #279
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #204 0.59 #9 +1.9 #51
Three Pointers 38% #261 1.14 #329 -0.9 #223
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #245 -1.9 #245
Freethrows 0.28 #115 71% #137 0.20 #112
Second Chance 33.5% #300 1.03 #146 0.34 #245
Turnovers 16.9% #152
Total Defense +0.5 #149

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #260 0.8% #240
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.8% #221 2.8% #234
Possession Length 16.3 #75 17.6 #224
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #48 0.18 #224
Improvement +0.1 #173 -2.0 #299

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% 18.6% 14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 99.8% 99.9% 99.4%
.500 or above in Conference 99.5% 99.9% 98.2%
Conference Champion 19.7% 23.2% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round17.6% 18.6% 14.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 78.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 417 - 421 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 21 @St. John's L 74 - 108 3% -21  0 - 1 -14 -1 C D+ F -7 F D+ B+
 Thu, Nov 6 296 Central Connecticut St. W 71 - 49 81% +12  1 - 1 +11 -8 D F A+ +19 A+ C D
 Tue, Nov 11 70 Yale L 60 - 97 27% -18  1 - 2 -32 -15 F+ C F -16 F F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 335 @Maine W 70 - 64 74% -2  2 - 2 -2 -1 F B C -1 F+ A+ F+
 Sun, Nov 23 93 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 75 17% +5  3 - 2 +17 +15 A+ B+ F +2 D C- A+
 Tue, Nov 25 49 @Central Florida L 91 - 102 9% -2  3 - 3 +3 +14 A+ F B+ -10 C- C+ D
 Sun, Nov 30 334 Stonehill W 76 - 62 88% +8  4 - 3 -0 +2 A F+ D- -2 B F C+
 Fri, Dec 5 227 @Iona W 89 - 68 48% +7  5 - 3 1 - 0 +20 +14 B- A+ C +5 A+ F C
 Sun, Dec 7 352 Rider W 72 - 58 91% +15  6 - 3 2 - 0 -2 -6 F B C +4 C- B- B-
 Sat, Dec 13 317 Umass Lowell W 75 - 71 85% -1  7 - 3 -8 -9 F B C +0 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 185 @Monmouth W 85 - 75 40% +15  8 - 3 +11 +13 B B B -2 D+ A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 128 @Hofstra L 66 - 74 27% -2  8 - 4 -3 -4 F B B +0 A+ F B
 Mon, Dec 29 160 Marist W 64 - 58 56% +3  9 - 4 3 - 0 +3 -3 F+ A- F+ +6 A D+ A
 Fri, Jan 2 327 @Manhattan L 79 - 80 72% +8  9 - 5 3 - 1 -8 -1 F A+ F -7 F B+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 286 Mount St. Mary's W 80 - 69 80% +9  10 - 5 4 - 1 +1 +4 B+ D+ D- -3 B+ F C-
 Sun, Jan 11 277 @Sacred Heart W 70 - 60 59% +0  11 - 5 5 - 1 +6 -1 D F+ A- +8 B- C B+
 Wed, Jan 14 228 St. Peter's L 70 - 74 70% -4  11 - 6 5 - 2 -11 -4 C- C A -7 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 205 @Merrimack L 71 - 83 44% -12  11 - 7 5 - 3 -12 +3 D- C A -15 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 327 Manhattan W 98 - 92 OT 86% -1  12 - 7 6 - 3 -7 +4 C- A+ C -12 D F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 22 286 @Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 62 61% +12  13 - 7 7 - 3 +11 +4 B F+ C +6 D A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 160 @Marist L 64 - 71 34% -8  13 - 8 7 - 4 -4 +2 C- D- A+ -6 F C+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 277 Sacred Heart W 84 - 76 78%
 Sun, Feb 1 271 @Fairfield W 78 - 76 57%
 Thu, Feb 5 341 Canisius W 76 - 63 89%
 Sat, Feb 7 349 Niagara W 77 - 63 90%
 Fri, Feb 13 173 @Siena L 71 - 74 37%
 Sun, Feb 15 205 Merrimack W 73 - 69 66%
 Sun, Feb 22 271 Fairfield W 81 - 73 76%
 Fri, Feb 27 349 @Niagara W 74 - 66 77%
 Sun, Mar 1 341 @Canisius W 73 - 66 75%
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 -1 -2 C- C+ C +1 C- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 3.8 10.9 4.9 19.7 1st
2nd 0.1 2.7 12.5 7.1 0.5 22.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 10.1 9.2 0.9 0.0 21.6 3rd
4th 0.5 5.6 9.5 1.7 0.0 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.7 6.4 2.2 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.8 1.3 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 6.6 14.7 24.8 27.3 18.9 5.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 91.2% 4.9    3.4 1.3 0.1
15-5 57.5% 10.9    2.9 5.1 2.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 13.7% 3.8    0.3 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.7% 19.7 6.6 7.7 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 5.3% 28.5% 28.5% 13.1 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.8
15-5 18.9% 25.2% 25.2% 14.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.1 0.0 14.2
14-6 27.3% 19.9% 19.9% 14.4 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.4 0.1 21.9
13-7 24.8% 15.1% 15.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.2 0.2 21.0
12-8 14.7% 10.6% 10.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.3 13.1
11-9 6.6% 7.8% 7.8% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.1
10-10 1.9% 5.2% 5.2% 15.5 0.1 0.0 1.8
9-11 0.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
8-12 0.0% 0.0 0.0
7-13 0.0% 0.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 14.3 82.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 13.1 15.1 56.9 27.0 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%