Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -12.5 338
Results Rating -11.3 331
Consistency 0.17 278
Pace 62.2 338
Improvement +2.5 95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 352 F+ D D- D+ D+
Defense D+ 273 D+ C- D+ C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 290 F 45% 365 -6.8 357
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 131 C- 37% 225 +0.9 129
Three Pointers 41% 172 D+ 32% 258 -0.9 212
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 282 F+ -6.1 349
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.89 351
Second Chance D 25.8% 304 D 0.93 321 D 0.24 329
Opponents' Steals C- 10.0% 251
Other Turnovers F 9.6% 352
Turnovers D- 19.5% 332
Freethrows D+ 0.28 272 C- 71% 227 D+ 0.20 269
Total Offense F+ -9.2 352

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 125 D- 14.6% 343
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 30% 105 B 2.7% 33
Three Pointers D 78% 299 C- 1.1% 257
Total C 56% 170 C- 6.2% 254


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 228 D- 64% 333 +1.6 229
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 282 D+ 40% 271 -0.8 122
Three Pointers 45% 55 C 34% 197 +2.4 299
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 227 D+ +2.7 288
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 287
Second Chance C- 31.4% 234 C 1.03 181 C- 0.32 225
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.7% 344
Other Turnovers B 8.1% 72
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 293
Freethrows C- 0.31 218 C 72% 168 C- 0.23 213
Total Defense D+ -3.3 273

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 240 D 7.6% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 310 C 4.8% 175
Three Pointers C 84% 175 C- 0.7% 199
Total D+ 59% 268 D 4.0% 308

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 334 17.2 156
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 303 0.18 219
Consistency 0.13 199 0.13 255
Improvement +0.5 163 +2.0 99

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 338 338 338
Results Rating Rank 331 331 331
Conference Record 5 - 15 5 - 15 5 - 15
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 77 @Dayton L 48 - 88 3% -21  0% 0 - 1 F -29 F -14 F C+ F F -19 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 130 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 89 6% -10  11% 0 - 2 D- -14 C+ +2 A- D- C- F -18 C F F
 Wed, Nov 12 291 Mercyhurst W 58 - 55 42% +3  70% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F -13 C- F F+ B+ +6 C+ B B
 Mon, Nov 17 92 @High Point L 50 - 93 3% -25  2% 1 - 3 F -34 F -20 F C+ F F -16 F F+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 352 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60 - 57 69% +3  87% 2 - 3 D- -15 F+ -9 C- B- D- D+ -5 C- D D-
 Sun, Nov 23 358 Binghamton W 75 - 66 75% +3  74% 3 - 3 D -11 C -0 D A+ D+ F+ -9 C F F+
 Sat, Nov 29 211 Buffalo L 53 - 71 26% -8  21% 3 - 4 F -24 F -24 F C- D+ C- -2 B- C- D
 Fri, Dec 5 239 @St. Peter's L 57 - 69 16% -6  10% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D- -14 F -12 F D+ C- C- -2 A F D-
 Sun, Dec 7 194 @Siena L 52 - 74 11% -14  4% 3 - 6 0 - 2 F -21 F -18 F D- F D -5 D A- F
 Sat, Dec 13 345 @Maine W 70 - 43 41% +16  88% 4 - 6 A- +17 C +1 B- C- F+ A+ +18 A+ C- A
 Tue, Dec 16 136 @Rhode Island L 45 - 62 7% -3  44% 4 - 7 D- -13 F -20 F F F B+ +6 B A C+
 Mon, Dec 22 121 @Duquesne L 59 - 103 5% -22  2% 4 - 8 F -38 F -16 D- D+ F F -21 F D+ F+
 Fri, Jan 2 258 Fairfield W 85 - 81 35% +4  87% 5 - 8 1 - 2 C- -4 B+ +9 C+ B A+ F -13 D+ D- F+
 Sun, Jan 4 289 Sacred Heart W 82 - 78 42% -4  8% 6 - 8 2 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 D- B D D- -7 D C- C-
 Fri, Jan 9 329 @Manhattan W 70 - 64 33% -1  39% 7 - 8 3 - 2 C- -2 D- -8 F F+ B B+ +6 C- A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 11 254 @Iona L 48 - 74 17% -8  13% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -28 F -21 F D A+ F -11 F F+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 333 Niagara L 54 - 59 59% -3  14% 7 - 10 3 - 4 F -20 F -18 F F+ F+ D+ -3 C- A- D
 Sat, Jan 17 274 Mount St. Mary's L 68 - 78 38% -1  50% 7 - 11 3 - 5 F -19 D -6 B F C- F -14 F C- C
 Thu, Jan 22 289 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 69 22% +2  58% 7 - 12 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -13 C- F D B+ +6 D A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 258 @Fairfield L 55 - 61 17% -7  4% 7 - 13 3 - 7 D -8 F -14 F D+ F B +5 D+ B- A-
 Fri, Jan 30 205 Marist L 86 - 88 OT 24% +1  41% 7 - 14 3 - 8 D+ -7 B+ +9 A B C+ F -16 F B C
 Sun, Feb 1 194 Siena L 63 - 78 23% -8  24% 7 - 15 3 - 9 F -20 D+ -3 C C- F F -19 F F D+
 Tue, Feb 3 333 @Niagara L 56 - 65 36% -8  0% 7 - 16 3 - 10 F+ -18 F -11 F F B- F+ -8 F C B-
 Thu, Feb 5 216 @Quinnipiac L 60 - 75 13% -13  1% 7 - 17 3 - 11 F+ -15 F -16 F C F+ C+ +2 D+ F A+
 Fri, Feb 13 254 Iona L 63 - 69 34% -3  27% 7 - 18 3 - 12 D- -14 F+ -10 C F F D -5 C+ C+ C-
 Sun, Feb 15 329 Manhattan L 65 - 69 56% -6  18% 7 - 19 3 - 13 F+ -18 F -14 F F B- D+ -4 C+ F D
 Fri, Feb 20 357 @Rider W 72 - 66 51% +6  95% 8 - 19 4 - 13 D+ -7 D- -6 C- F F C -0 D A+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 274 @Mount St. Mary's L 47 - 68 19% -6  38% 8 - 20 4 - 14 F -24 F -21 F B- F D -6 B F D+
 Fri, Feb 27 175 Merrimack W 67 - 62 21% -2  20% 9 - 20 5 - 14 C +1 C +2 B- C C C+ +0 C+ B F+
 Sun, Mar 1 216 Quinnipiac L 63 - 67 27% +1  54% 9 - 21 5 - 15 D -10 F+ -10 F D- A+ C -0 A A- F
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -12 F+ -9 F F+ D+ D+ -3 D+ C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F C- D+ F+ 35% 42% 41% D+ F+ D D D D- D+ C- D+ D+ D- D+ C D+ 37% 18% 45% C- D+ C- C C- D+ C- C C-
0.96 45% 37% 32% -6 -1 0.89 26% 0.9 .24 20% .28 71% .20 1.13 64% 40% 34% +3 0 1.08 31% 1.0 .32 15% .31 72% .20
Nov
3		 Dayton F F A D F 36% 26% 38% C- F B D+ C+ F D- F F F F A+ A+ D- 48% 11% 41% D D- F F F F F A F
0.76 27% 45% 31% -11 -1 0.79 33% 0.9 .30 30% .25 45% .11 1.39 95% 20% 17% +5 +2 1.16 35% 1.4 .48 6% .69 68% .47
Nov
8		 St. Bonaventure C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 29% 31% 40% F A- D F D- C- B D- C+ F D+ D C C- 33% 24% 43% C+ C F D F F D D+ D
1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23 1.39 61% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25
Nov
12		 Mercyhurst F D+ A+ F C 47% 21% 32% C C- F F F F+ A+ F B B+ B F A+ C+ 17% 33% 50% B+ C+ B+ C+ B B B+ C- B
0.94 56% 63% 25% 0 +1 1.03 19% 0.8 .15 21% .54 58% .31 0.89 50% 63% 21% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 18% .16 75% .12
Nov
17		 High Point F F F+ F F 38% 25% 38% D- F A- D- C+ F A+ F A+ F F F D F 37% 11% 53% C F B+ F F+ F A+ D- A+
0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35 1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13
Nov
21		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ F F+ A+ C 30% 23% 48% F+ C- D- A+ B- D- F D F D+ A+ C D- D 19% 30% 51% A+ C- D+ D D D- D+ B+ C
1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15 0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17
Nov
23		 Binghamton C F+ F A+ D 41% 20% 39% D+ D F+ A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+ F+ F F A+ C- 26% 24% 50% B C F F F F+ F D F
1.22 50% 22% 47% +1 0 1.05 24% 2.2 .52 13% .39 86% .34 1.07 80% 67% 16% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 16% .62 78% .48
Nov
29		 Buffalo F F B F F 40% 23% 36% D F F A+ C- D+ C- D D+ C- B- C- C+ B- 23% 10% 67% C+ B- A F C- D B- F C-
0.82 47% 45% 12% -15 0 0.72 23% 1.3 .29 19% .27 71% .19 1.10 55% 40% 34% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.7 .31 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
5		 St. Peter's F F F F F 40% 17% 43% C F B- F D+ C- A+ F A- C- A+ F A+ A+ 42% 12% 47% F A C+ F F D- F F F
0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35 1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39
Dec
7		 Siena F F C- F F 42% 18% 40% B F C- F D- F A+ B- A+ D F A+ C- D 27% 15% 58% D- D B- A+ A- F C- A+ B
0.81 37% 38% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 22% .38 74% .28 1.15 79% 25% 33% +3 0 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 9% .31 61% .19
Dec
13		 Maine C F A A+ B- 38% 22% 40% C- B- C D+ C- F+ B- D- C A+ A+ B A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C A+ F A C- A B- A+ A
1.09 35% 50% 50% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .37 22% .34 65% .22 0.67 35% 33% 24% -16 0 0.70 26% 0.8 .21 25% .29 50% .14
Dec
16		 Rhode Island F F C- C- F 43% 29% 29% D F D F F F D C+ D+ B+ B A+ B- B+ 37% 8% 56% D B F A+ A C+ A F B
0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23 0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22
Dec
22		 Duquesne F D- C C+ C- 22% 47% 31% F D- F A+ D+ F B- F D- F F F F F 38% 4% 58% D+ F A- F D+ F+ A- D B
0.81 50% 38% 36% -1 -4 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 29% .35 56% .19 1.41 76% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.47 25% 1.4 .36 14% .27 76% .21
Jan
2		 Fairfield B+ F F A+ B- 34% 16% 50% D C+ C- A+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ F D A- B- C- 43% 20% 37% D D+ F C D- F+ F D- F
1.27 35% 25% 52% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.4 .40 9% .44 74% .33 1.21 59% 30% 32% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.9 .38 12% .39 74% .29
Jan
4		 Sacred Heart C A+ D F D- 35% 23% 43% D D- F A+ B D A+ A+ A+ D- F D B+ D 27% 11% 61% D+ D B F C- C- F F F
1.20 79% 33% 24% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54 1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43
Jan
9		 Manhattan D- D C F F 42% 29% 29% D F C- F F+ B A- A+ A B+ F+ A+ D- D+ 36% 28% 36% B- C- B- A+ A+ C+ A+ F A
1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26 0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
11		 Iona F F F B- F 48% 25% 27% C F F B+ D A+ F B F F C- F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F D F F+ A- A+ A+ A+
0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11 1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06
Jan
14		 Niagara F F B- F F 25% 16% 59% C- F B+ F F+ F+ B D+ B- D+ C A D+ C 56% 17% 27% D C- D A+ A- D F D- F
0.93 45% 43% 23% -12 0 0.77 41% 0.6 .26 19% .34 75% .25 1.02 57% 29% 36% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.4 .10 17% .37 78% .29
Jan
17		 Mount St. Mary's D D D+ A B+ 25% 20% 55% C- B F F F C- F A+ F F F F F F 32% 28% 40% A+ F C+ D+ C- C D+ D D
1.01 50% 36% 40% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.5 .08 15% .12 100% .12 1.16 73% 46% 42% +12 -1 1.23 29% 1.1 .32 22% .33 71% .23
Jan
22		 Sacred Heart F F A+ A+ D+ 45% 9% 45% B+ C- F F F D F F F B+ A- A+ F D+ 39% 6% 56% F D A- A+ A+ C- A- A+ A+
0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07 1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11
Jan
24		 Fairfield F F F F F 58% 8% 34% A- F A+ F D+ F F F F B C- D- B D 43% 26% 31% C+ D+ F A+ B- A- F A+ C-
0.90 45% 25% 24% -14 +3 0.80 45% 0.7 .30 23% .17 38% .06 1.00 56% 45% 31% -1 0 1.00 41% 0.7 .27 20% .33 56% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Marist B+ B B+ B+ A 38% 13% 48% A- A B- B+ B C+ A F B- F F F C- F 44% 25% 31% D- F D+ A+ B C F D- F
1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26 1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38
Feb
1		 Siena D+ F F A+ B 9% 33% 58% F C A+ F C- F D- C- D- F F F F+ F 38% 24% 38% D F F F+ F D+ F A F
1.06 25% 27% 46% +4 -4 1.02 47% 0.6 .28 23% .22 70% .15 1.31 81% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 15% .43 68% .30
Feb
3		 Niagara F C- A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B- F F A+ F B- F A+ F F+ F F F F 50% 5% 45% F F C- B C B- B D- B-
0.97 58% 63% 19% -6 +1 0.92 16% 1.4 .23 14% .16 88% .14 1.13 70% 50% 44% +14 +3 1.35 23% 0.8 .18 21% .20 78% .15
Feb
5		 Quinnipiac F F F A F 41% 24% 35% D+ F F+ A+ C F+ A+ F B+ C+ A- F D+ D+ 30% 20% 50% C+ D+ C F F A+ F D F
0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26 1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37
Feb
13		 Iona F+ B+ D B B- 24% 31% 45% F C C- F F F F+ F F D A+ C- F+ B 45% 12% 43% F+ C+ B+ D- C+ C- F F F
0.98 67% 33% 36% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.6 .19 23% .20 60% .12 1.07 42% 40% 39% -4 +2 0.98 21% 1.2 .24 17% .47 88% .41
Feb
15		 Manhattan F A+ F F F+ 33% 27% 39% D- F F F F B- C+ A+ A D+ A B+ F+ B- 46% 26% 28% C- C+ D F F D F A+ D+
1.00 76% 29% 25% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.5 .12 14% .27 93% .25 1.07 43% 33% 38% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.8 .55 14% .43 58% .25
Feb
20		 Rider D- D A+ B D+ 51% 7% 42% B C- B F F F A+ A+ A+ C C+ C+ B- D+ 47% 24% 29% F D A- A+ A+ F D+ A C+
1.07 55% 67% 39% +3 +3 1.14 38% 0.4 .14 24% .43 86% .37 0.98 52% 36% 29% -5 0 0.91 24% 0.4 .10 7% .29 61% .18
Feb
22		 Mount St. Mary's F F C+ F F 20% 37% 44% F F D- A+ B- F D+ B C- D C A+ B+ B+ 44% 13% 44% C- B D- F F D+ C+ F D+
0.75 38% 40% 22% -11 -3 0.73 23% 1.6 .35 27% .31 79% .24 1.09 57% 0% 29% -9 +1 0.88 34% 1.5 .53 21% .28 79% .22
Feb
27		 Merrimack C F B- A+ B- 43% 27% 30% C- B- F A+ C C C+ A+ A+ C+ F B- A+ B- 38% 6% 55% D C+ B B+ B F+ F B F
1.10 37% 42% 54% +1 0 1.02 30% 1.4 .41 20% .35 94% .33 1.02 67% 33% 23% -6 +2 0.94 20% 0.8 .17 12% .45 75% .33
Mar
1		 Quinnipiac F+ B- C+ F F 33% 20% 46% D+ F F A D- A+ C- D D+ C C- A+ A+ A 35% 27% 39% B- A C A+ A- F F B- F
0.95 61% 36% 20% -9 0 0.83 21% 1.3 .26 11% .27 69% .19 1.01 59% 15% 26% -10 -1 0.80 32% 0.7 .23 11% .50 67% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%