Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#170
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#138
Pace76.2#38
Improvement-2.9#338

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#177
First Shot+2.2#116
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#329
Layup/Dunks+0.2#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#98
Freethrows-0.9#238
Improvement-2.6#346

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#185
First Shot+0.8#138
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#280
Layups/Dunks-3.1#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
Freethrows+3.2#24
Improvement-0.3#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.0% 20.9% 15.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 98.9% 99.7% 98.4%
.500 or above in Conference 96.3% 97.5% 95.4%
Conference Champion 19.6% 22.9% 17.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round17.8% 20.8% 15.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 34 - 6
Quad 418 - 523 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 115 Hofstra W 81-73 45%     1 - 0 +8.3 +3.5 +4.3
  Tue, Nov 11 345 @UMKC W 105-91 78%     2 - 0 +5.2 +11.2 -8.7
  Fri, Nov 14 198 Fordham W 76-71 67%     3 - 0 -0.5 +1.6 -2.0
  Tue, Nov 18 255 Princeton W 89-69 76%     4 - 0 +11.7 +5.4 +4.4
  Fri, Nov 21 65 Akron L 75-96 19%     4 - 1 -12.6 -5.9 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 22 157 Oregon St. W 91-84 2OT 46%     5 - 1 +7.1 +2.1 +3.8
  Mon, Nov 24 277 Green Bay L 75-80 69%     5 - 2 -11.2 +0.3 -11.7
  Mon, Dec 1 282 @Delaware W 89-66 60%     6 - 2 +19.5 +15.1 +4.5
  Fri, Dec 5 168 Quinnipiac L 68-89 61%     6 - 3 0 - 1 -24.8 -8.0 -15.9
  Sun, Dec 7 254 @Sacred Heart W 81-69 55%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +9.8 +4.7 +5.0
  Wed, Dec 10 297 Bryant W 69-63 81%     8 - 3 -4.4 -4.0 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 13 16 @St. John's L 64-91 4%     8 - 4 -6.7 -4.1 -0.4
  Sat, Dec 20 185 @Vermont L 75-77 42%    
  Mon, Dec 29 296 @Mount St. Mary's W 77-74 63%    
  Fri, Jan 2 164 Siena W 74-72 59%    
  Sun, Jan 4 155 @Marist L 69-73 35%    
  Fri, Jan 9 353 Niagara W 80-65 92%    
  Sun, Jan 11 339 Canisius W 77-64 89%    
  Wed, Jan 14 347 @Rider W 74-66 77%    
  Mon, Jan 19 292 @St. Peter's W 73-70 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 273 Merrimack W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 321 Manhattan W 87-75 85%    
  Fri, Jan 30 305 Fairfield W 82-72 82%    
  Thu, Feb 5 164 @Siena L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 296 Mount St. Mary's W 80-71 81%    
  Fri, Feb 13 339 @Canisius W 74-67 74%    
  Sun, Feb 15 353 @Niagara W 77-68 80%    
  Fri, Feb 20 292 St. Peter's W 76-67 80%    
  Sun, Feb 22 273 @Merrimack W 73-71 57%    
  Fri, Feb 27 347 Rider W 77-63 89%    
  Sun, Mar 1 321 @Manhattan W 84-78 69%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.1 6.0 6.0 3.0 0.6 19.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 5.3 8.2 6.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 23.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 5.6 7.9 4.6 1.1 0.1 20.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.9 6.5 3.0 0.6 0.0 16.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.2 0.8 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.3 4.4 7.0 11.1 14.9 17.2 16.5 13.1 8.2 3.2 0.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 98.5% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 92.6% 3.0    2.5 0.5
17-3 74.0% 6.0    4.0 1.9 0.2
16-4 46.0% 6.0    2.7 2.5 0.7 0.0
15-5 18.7% 3.1    0.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 4.2% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.6% 19.6 10.7 6.6 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.7% 42.3% 42.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
18-2 3.2% 35.2% 35.2% 13.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.1
17-3 8.2% 31.1% 31.1% 13.8 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.6
16-4 13.1% 28.0% 28.0% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.2 0.1 9.5
15-5 16.5% 21.1% 21.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.6 0.2 13.1
14-6 17.2% 17.8% 17.8% 14.8 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.4 14.1
13-7 14.9% 12.6% 12.6% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 13.0
12-8 11.1% 10.2% 10.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 9.9
11-9 7.0% 6.6% 6.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.5
10-10 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 15.8 0.1 0.2 4.2
9-11 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.3
8-12 0.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
7-13 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-14 0.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.4 2.3 6.2 6.9 2.2 82.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.9 23.5 66.7 9.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%