Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#254
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#249
Pace71.7#124
Improvement+1.1#111

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#187
First Shot-0.3#181
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#211
Layup/Dunks-7.2#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#5
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement-0.5#221

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#319
First Shot-3.1#280
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#277
Layups/Dunks-2.8#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#333
Freethrows+2.2#65
Improvement+1.6#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.6% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 44.3% 57.3% 31.4%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 77.7% 68.1%
Conference Champion 4.0% 5.1% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.4%
First Four1.7% 1.6% 1.8%
First Round4.6% 5.9% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 49.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 414 - 715 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 137 @Duquesne L 80-92 18%     0 - 1 -7.4 +4.3 -11.1
  Tue, Nov 11 37 @Villanova L 60-94 4%     0 - 2 -18.6 -2.5 -18.3
  Sat, Nov 15 191 @Queens L 64-81 27%     0 - 3 -15.9 -12.6 -3.4
  Fri, Nov 21 289 Holy Cross W 79-66 68%     1 - 3 +3.0 +4.4 -0.8
  Mon, Nov 24 241 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 36%     1 - 4 -3.6 +19.1 -22.4
  Sat, Nov 29 104 @Penn St. L 59-90 13%     1 - 5 -23.8 -18.8 -2.0
  Wed, Dec 3 296 @Mount St. Mary's W 87-80 47%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +2.6 +15.9 -13.1
  Sun, Dec 7 170 Iona L 69-81 45%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -15.9 -6.4 -9.4
  Sat, Dec 13 352 @NJIT W 65-49 68%     3 - 6 +6.1 -2.2 +10.0
  Tue, Dec 16 304 @Umass Lowell L 78-79 50%    
  Fri, Dec 19 247 Dartmouth W 81-78 60%    
  Mon, Dec 22 139 @Towson L 66-76 18%    
  Mon, Dec 29 273 Merrimack W 74-70 64%    
  Fri, Jan 2 353 @Niagara W 74-69 68%    
  Sun, Jan 4 339 @Canisius W 72-69 60%    
  Fri, Jan 9 155 Marist L 70-72 41%    
  Sun, Jan 11 168 Quinnipiac L 79-80 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 164 @Siena L 69-77 23%    
  Mon, Jan 19 347 @Rider W 72-68 64%    
  Thu, Jan 22 339 Canisius W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 353 Niagara W 77-66 84%    
  Fri, Jan 30 168 @Quinnipiac L 76-83 25%    
  Sun, Feb 1 273 @Merrimack L 71-73 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 305 Fairfield W 79-73 70%    
  Sat, Feb 7 321 @Manhattan W 81-80 54%    
  Fri, Feb 13 292 St. Peter's W 73-68 68%    
  Sun, Feb 15 347 Rider W 75-65 81%    
  Fri, Feb 20 305 @Fairfield L 76-77 49%    
  Sun, Feb 22 155 @Marist L 67-75 23%    
  Fri, Feb 27 296 Mount St. Mary's W 78-73 68%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.6 4.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.0 5.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.2 6.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 17.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.3 5.4 1.7 0.1 14.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.0 4.6 1.4 0.1 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.3 1.1 0.1 8.0 8th
9th 0.3 1.6 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.9 0.1 3.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 4.5 7.9 10.4 13.3 14.9 14.4 11.9 8.6 5.5 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.3% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 79.5% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
16-4 51.8% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 18.9% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 27.2% 27.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.1% 21.9% 21.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.8% 20.5% 20.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.2
15-5 5.5% 14.6% 14.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 4.7
14-6 8.6% 12.1% 12.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 7.6
13-7 11.9% 7.9% 7.9% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 11.0
12-8 14.4% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 13.7
11-9 14.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 14.4
10-10 13.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.0
9-11 10.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.2
8-12 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.8
7-13 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
6-14 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.2 94.5 0.0%