Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.6 #277
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #297
Pace 71.5 #108
Improvement +1.6 #110

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #191 C- D+ D- C- C
Defense #334 F+ C- D B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #347 1.13 #209 -5.2 #339
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #271 0.62 #343 -2.8 #315
Three Pointers 54% #11 1.03 #161 +6.9 #18
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #212 -1.2 #215
Freethrows 0.26 #302 76% #51 0.20 #250
Second Chance 27.6% #263 1.00 #238 0.28 #267
Turnovers 19.3% #336
Total Offense -1.0 #191

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #156 1.34 #355 -4.4 #321
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #351 0.75 #159 +2.5 #19
Three Pointers 46% #48 1.13 #323 -5.5 #350
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #356 -7.3 #357
Freethrows 0.27 #76 72% #175 0.19 #65
Second Chance 32.6% #270 1.05 #182 0.34 #241
Turnovers 14.2% #310
Total Defense -5.6 #334

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #199 1.9% #332
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.2% #207 12.1% #355
Possession Length 17.0 #142 17.0 #127
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #176 0.22 #332
Improvement +1.1 #129 +0.5 #159

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 3.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 5.2% 12.7% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.7% 64.5% 32.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four1.5% 2.0% 1.4%
First Round1.7% 2.8% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 22.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 116 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 12% -7  0 - 1 -6 +6 D+ C- B- -11 A- F F
 Tue, Nov 11 34 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  0 - 2 -17 -1 C+ C+ F -18 F D+ A
 Sat, Nov 15 186 @Queens L 64 - 81 23% -13  0 - 3 -16 -12 F+ F D- -4 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 326 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 74% +9  1 - 3 -0 +3 B- F+ C- -3 F+ C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 296 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 42% -2  1 - 4 -7 +14 B C+ D+ -21 F F D
 Sat, Nov 29 112 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 11% -21  1 - 5 -25 -19 D- F F -3 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 286 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 41% +3  2 - 5 1 - 0 +3 +18 F+ A+ D -15 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 227 Iona L 69 - 81 51% -4  2 - 6 1 - 1 -19 -6 B F+ F -13 D+ D- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 338 @NJIT W 65 - 49 57% +4  3 - 6 +8 -3 D- C+ D +12 A- B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 317 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 49% +0  3 - 7 -11 +2 B+ F+ F -14 F C F
 Fri, Dec 19 235 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 52% +8  4 - 7 +15 +4 F+ A+ D+ +10 A+ C- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 164 @Towson L 47 - 72 19% -9  4 - 8 -22 -18 F D+ F -6 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 205 Merrimack L 72 - 80 47% -8  4 - 9 1 - 2 -14 +2 B- D D+ -16 F C- D+
 Fri, Jan 2 349 @Niagara L 61 - 64 60% -9  4 - 10 1 - 3 -12 -3 F C F -10 F B+ D
 Sun, Jan 4 341 @Canisius L 78 - 82 58% +4  4 - 11 1 - 4 -13 +5 C+ C- F+ -18 F+ F D
 Fri, Jan 9 160 Marist L 72 - 76 36% +2  4 - 12 1 - 5 -7 +10 A- B D- -18 F F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 178 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 41% -0  4 - 13 1 - 6 -14 -9 D- D+ F -6 D+ A F
 Wed, Jan 14 173 @Siena W 86 - 80 21% +4  5 - 13 2 - 6 +8 +18 D- A+ A+ -9 C D+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 352 @Rider W 105 - 85 64% +12  6 - 13 3 - 6 +10 +19 A+ F C+ -11 F A F
 Thu, Jan 22 341 Canisius W 69 - 66 78% -2  7 - 13 4 - 6 -12 -7 C F D- -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 349 Niagara W 71 - 70 79% -5  8 - 13 5 - 6 -14 -4 B- F B- -10 F F B+
 Fri, Jan 30 178 @Quinnipiac L 76 - 84 22%
 Sun, Feb 1 205 @Merrimack L 69 - 76 26%
 Thu, Feb 5 271 Fairfield W 80 - 77 60%
 Sat, Feb 7 327 @Manhattan W 81 - 80 52%
 Fri, Feb 13 228 St. Peter's W 73 - 72 51%
 Sun, Feb 15 352 Rider W 78 - 68 82%
 Fri, Feb 20 271 @Fairfield L 77 - 80 38%
 Sun, Feb 22 160 @Marist L 66 - 76 18%
 Fri, Feb 27 286 Mount St. Mary's W 78 - 74 63%
Totals 12 - 18 9 - 11 -7 -1 C- D+ D- -6 F+ C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.3 1.2 0.4 1.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 2.0 0.1 4.5 5th
6th 0.4 4.1 5.8 1.1 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.7 7.7 13.0 4.0 0.1 25.4 7th
8th 0.4 6.6 12.8 4.1 0.2 24.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.8 9.7 4.1 0.2 18.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.7 5.6 3.3 0.3 10.9 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.2 2.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.4 3.3 10.9 20.5 25.3 21.6 12.5 4.5 1.1 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 35.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 1.1% 11.9% 11.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-8 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.1 0.2 4.3
11-9 12.5% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.1 0.5 11.9
10-10 21.6% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 21.0
9-11 25.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.4 24.8
8-12 20.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 20.3
7-13 10.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-14 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.2
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.9 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%