Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +18.3 17
Results Rating +21.8 8
Consistency 0.16 220
Pace 64.7 282
Improvement +0.6 159

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 29 B+ A B C B
Defense A 16 A A- C B- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 150 C+ 61% 109 +1.6 120
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 336 A 48% 10 -1.8 273
Three Pointers 48% 43 B 37% 68 +5.6 25
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 47 B +4.0 62
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 49
Second Chance A 39.5% 8 B 1.12 58 A 0.44 11
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 140
Other Turnovers B+ 5.8% 27
Turnovers B 14.9% 78
Freethrows C 0.30 182 C+ 74% 149 C 0.22 161
Total Offense A- +8.9 29

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 93 B- 9.5% 104
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 41% 17 B- 3.7% 90
Three Pointers B- 88% 96 C 0.9% 195
Total B+ 65% 30 B- 4.7% 73


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 292 A+ 45% 5 -6.7 15
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 18 C+ 37% 115 +2.6 345
Three Pointers 37% 292 A- 30% 23 -4.3 20
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.2 23 A -7.2 9
1st FG Attempt A 0.85 8
Second Chance B+ 25.6% 30 A 0.86 9 A- 0.22 12
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 116
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 290
Turnovers C 16.8% 168
Freethrows B- 0.27 78 D- 75% 330 B- 0.20 104
Total Defense A +9.4 16

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 93 A+ 23.4% 3
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 134 B- 6.3% 87
Three Pointers B 79% 61 B+ 1.8% 42
Total B 49% 45 A+ 10.6% 4

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 64 19.6 363
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 48 0.14 95
Consistency 0.12 115 0.12 170
Improvement -2.2 298 +2.8 63

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 20 14 11
Results Rating Rank 8 7 5
Conference Record 15 - 3 15 - 3 15 - 3
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Sweet 16 Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 4% 11% 2%
Top 2 Seed 43% 71% 35%
Top 4 Seed 96% 100% 95%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% n/a 100%
Average Seed 2.8 2.2 2.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round95% 97% 95%
Sweet Sixteen58% 62% 57%
Elite Eight26% 29% 25%
Final Four8% 10% 8%
Championship Game3% 3% 3%
National Champion1% 1% 1%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 23 - 2
Quad 1b5 - 28 - 4
Quad 29 - 117 - 5
Quad 35 - 022 - 5
Quad 47 - 029 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 357 Rider W 87 - 53 100% +17  95% 1 - 0 A- +15 A- +11 D+ A+ A+ A- +7 B- B A
 Fri, Nov 7 349 NC Central W 81 - 62 100% +19  100% 2 - 0 C+ +2 B- +5 C- A D+ C -1 A- B- D-
 Tue, Nov 11 268 Hampton W 91 - 53 99% +24  98% 3 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +16 A- A+ D- A+ +14 A+ C D+
 Sat, Nov 15 202 Marshall W 104 - 78 98% +20  99% 4 - 0 A +21 A+ +15 A- A+ A B +4 A+ F B
 Fri, Nov 21 57 Northwestern W 83 - 78 79% -1  35% 5 - 0 B+ +15 A- +11 D A A- B +4 B- B D
 Sun, Nov 23 83 Butler L 73 - 80 85% -5  1% 5 - 1 C +0 C +1 D- A A- C -1 D- A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 192 Queens W 94 - 69 97% +18  99% 6 - 1 A +20 A+ +19 A+ B B+ B- +3 A+ F B-
 Wed, Dec 3 36 @Texas W 88 - 69 56% +16  91% 7 - 1 A+ +36 A+ +23 A+ A+ A- A+ +14 A+ B F+
 Sat, Dec 6 79 Dayton W 86 - 73 84% +6  70% 8 - 1 A +20 A +13 A+ A+ F A- +7 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 352 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84 - 60 100% +16  97% 9 - 1 B- +6 B +6 B+ C- A+ C+ +1 C- B- D+
 Sat, Dec 20 104 Maryland W 80 - 72 93% +4  66% 10 - 1 B +10 B+ +9 B C- A C+ +1 D- B- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 250 American W 95 - 51 98% +22  97% 11 - 1 A+ +36 A+ +25 A+ A+ A A+ +15 A+ C+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 56 @Virginia Tech L 85 - 95 3OT 69% -2  22% 11 - 2 0 - 1 C+ +3 D- -7 D- D C A+ +13 A+ C- C
 Sat, Jan 3 34 @North Carolina St. W 76 - 61 56% +13  95% 12 - 2 1 - 1 A+ +32 A +12 A A+ D A+ +21 A+ A+ B+
 Wed, Jan 7 74 California W 84 - 60 89% +12  93% 13 - 2 2 - 1 A+ +29 A +14 A A+ C+ A+ +16 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 60 Stanford W 70 - 55 86% +9  89% 14 - 2 3 - 1 A +22 B- +4 C+ A- A A+ +19 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 13 19 @Louisville W 79 - 70 39% +9  97% 15 - 2 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +17 A+ A+ D A+ +13 A+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 42 @SMU W 72 - 68 58% +1  54% 16 - 2 5 - 1 A +20 A- +11 C- A+ C+ A +10 A+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 24 28 North Carolina L 80 - 85 72% +4  74% 16 - 3 5 - 2 B- +7 A +12 B A+ D+ D+ -5 C A+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 90 @Notre Dame W 100 - 97 2OT 81% -5  19% 17 - 3 6 - 2 B+ +12 A+ +17 A B B- D -5 D- A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 131 @Boston College W 73 - 66 89% -1  36% 18 - 3 7 - 2 B+ +12 B+ +9 B- C A B- +3 C B- C
 Tue, Feb 3 91 Pittsburgh W 67 - 47 92% +10  85% 19 - 3 8 - 2 A +23 C+ +3 B- A C+ A+ +23 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 82 Syracuse W 72 - 59 90% +6  85% 20 - 3 9 - 2 A- +17 B +7 B- B+ B A+ +12 B+ B+ A+
 Tue, Feb 10 62 @Florida St. W 61 - 58 72% -2  19% 21 - 3 10 - 2 A- +15 F+ -8 F+ A C- A+ +24 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Feb 14 24 Ohio St. W 70 - 66 59% -2  29% 22 - 3 A +20 B- +5 C+ C+ D+ A+ +16 A A+ D
 Wed, Feb 18 138 @Georgia Tech W 94 - 68 90% +26  99% 23 - 3 11 - 2 A+ +30 A- +11 A- A+ D+ A+ +16 A+ C B
 Sat, Feb 21 31 Miami (FL) W 86 - 83 74% -0  47% 24 - 3 12 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +22 A+ F A+ D- -7 B F D+
 Tue, Feb 24 34 North Carolina St. W 90 - 61 76% +12  97% 25 - 3 13 - 2 A+ +40 A+ +16 A+ A+ B+ A+ +24 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Feb 28 2 @Duke L 51 - 77 15% -14  0% 25 - 4 13 - 3 C+ +3 C- -2 F B- A C+ +1 B- A- D
 Tue, Mar 3 64 Wake Forest W 75 - 70 87% +6  94% 26 - 4 14 - 3 B +11 C+ +3 B- B A A- +8 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Mar 7 56 Virginia Tech W 76 - 72 85% +8  97% 27 - 4 15 - 3 B +11 B+ +8 B- A+ C B +4 C A+ C
 Thu, Mar 12 34 North Carolina St. W 81 - 74 67% +2  55% 28 - 4 A +21 A- +11 A- C+ A+ A +10 A+ A+ B
 Fri, Mar 13 31 Miami (FL) W 84 - 62 65% +9  75% 29 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +25 A+ A+ A- A+ +14 A+ A F
 Sat, Mar 14 2 Duke L 66 - 74 22%
Totals 29 - 5 15 - 3 +18 A- +9 D+ B B A +9 B C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- C+ A B B 39% 23% 48% B B+ A B A B C C+ C A A+ C+ A- A 35% 28% 37% A- A B+ A A- C B- D- B-
1.21 61% 48% 37% +4 +1 1.13 40% 1.1 .44 15% .30 74% .22 0.95 45% 37% 30% -7 -1 0.85 26% 0.9 .22 17% .27 75% .23
Nov
3		 Rider A- A- A F D+ 47% 9% 45% B- D+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- B+ A D+ C+ 33% 45% 23% A B- D+ A+ B A F A F
1.36 68% 50% 29% +2 +2 1.11 54% 1.2 .63 9% .59 56% .33 0.83 46% 28% 33% -9 -4 0.78 33% 0.7 .23 22% .58 62% .36
Nov
7		 NC Central B- A+ F B C 22% 15% 63% D C- A+ C A D+ A F C C A+ A+ F A 43% 29% 29% B- A- F A+ B- D- F F F
1.29 80% 29% 38% +7 0 1.15 53% 1.0 .53 19% .37 58% .22 0.99 33% 21% 43% -12 -1 0.78 36% 0.7 .25 14% .41 82% .33
Nov
11		 Hampton A+ C B- A+ B+ 53% 10% 37% A A- A+ B A+ D- F+ A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 19% 43% D- A+ A F C D+ A+ A+ A+
1.36 62% 40% 44% +8 +2 1.22 52% 1.1 .59 19% .31 82% .26 0.79 35% 30% 22% -18 0 0.66 24% 1.2 .29 16% .20 64% .12
Nov
15		 Marshall A+ C- B+ A+ A- 42% 13% 45% A- A- C A+ A+ A A+ C A+ B A+ F A+ A+ 28% 30% 42% B A+ C F F B F F+ F
1.37 57% 43% 44% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.5 .51 12% .54 72% .39 1.03 47% 50% 23% -7 -2 0.85 31% 1.8 .56 20% .40 79% .31
Nov
21		 Northwestern A- F+ A- F D- 40% 23% 36% C+ D A+ D+ A A- A+ A+ A+ B C+ A F B- 42% 30% 28% B- B- A+ F B D D B+ D+
1.17 47% 45% 24% -8 0 0.85 53% 0.9 .45 16% .60 83% .50 1.10 59% 31% 40% +1 -1 1.02 18% 1.8 .32 10% .38 71% .27
Nov
23		 Butler C F+ D+ F F 47% 11% 42% A D- A B- A A- B- F D- C B F F F+ 48% 22% 30% B- D- D- A+ A+ A F B F
1.06 50% 33% 26% -9 +2 0.87 38% 1.0 .38 13% .25 47% .12 1.16 55% 60% 43% +7 +1 1.17 40% 0.6 .23 19% .52 69% .36
Nov
28		 Queens A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 10% 57% C+ A+ A D- B B+ B D- C+ B- A C+ A A+ 34% 22% 44% B+ A+ F C F B- D+ A C+
1.46 69% 60% 50% +19 +1 1.43 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 68% .27 1.07 47% 36% 27% -9 0 0.84 40% 1.1 .44 17% .34 67% .22
Dec
3		 Texas A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ 40% 15% 46% A- A+ C+ A+ A+ A- A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 22% 34% C A+ B+ C B F+ D+ A C+
1.35 63% 29% 45% +9 +1 1.21 24% 1.7 .41 11% .50 69% .34 1.06 55% 27% 24% -9 0 0.84 33% 1.2 .40 11% .43 68% .29
Dec
6		 Dayton A B A+ A+ A+ 38% 19% 43% B- A+ C- A+ A+ F A+ B A+ A- B A D B+ 43% 23% 34% A- B+ A A+ A+ F A- B- A
1.17 63% 50% 56% +18 0 1.38 27% 1.7 .45 29% .51 74% .38 0.99 54% 23% 37% -4 0 0.95 20% 0.7 .14 12% .34 73% .25
Dec
9		 Maryland Eastern Shore B D+ D+ A+ B 49% 5% 45% A B+ D B C- A+ F C- F C+ A F A C 56% 21% 23% F C- A+ F B- D+ A F B
1.25 56% 33% 44% +5 +3 1.18 28% 1.2 .34 10% .25 73% .18 0.90 45% 64% 25% -5 +1 0.94 21% 1.2 .24 22% .15 88% .13
Dec
20		 Maryland B+ C F+ A- B- 53% 13% 34% A B A+ F C- A A- F C+ C+ C+ B- F F 21% 26% 53% A+ D- F A+ B- A+ F C- F
1.19 57% 29% 39% +1 +2 1.08 40% 0.6 .25 12% .35 62% .22 1.07 56% 36% 43% +7 -2 1.12 49% 0.7 .34 28% .46 73% .33
Dec
22		 American A+ A A+ B+ A 52% 4% 44% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A D F F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 19% 23% 58% A+ A+ C+ C C+ C- A+ F A+
1.49 72% 100% 38% +13 +3 1.33 52% 1.5 .78 14% .33 56% .18 0.80 60% 25% 23% -12 -2 0.75 24% 0.9 .22 16% .11 83% .09
Dec
31		 Virginia Tech D- B- F F F+ 32% 11% 57% B+ D- C F D C D- C D A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 25% 38% 37% A+ A+ C- C C- C F A- F
0.89 63% 13% 24% -10 +1 0.84 30% 0.8 .23 18% .19 73% .14 0.99 44% 25% 30% -11 -3 0.75 35% 1.1 .39 15% .50 68% .34
Jan
3		 North Carolina St. A C+ A+ B- A 27% 9% 64% C+ A A- A+ A+ D C B C+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 32% 30% 39% A+ A+ A+ B A+ B+ F D F
1.18 58% 100% 36% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.4 .50 22% .30 73% .22 0.95 57% 23% 24% -11 -2 0.77 21% 1.1 .24 16% .46 80% .37
Jan
7		 California A A- A+ D- A 39% 12% 49% B A A+ A A+ C+ A C A- A+ C- B A+ A+ 27% 37% 37% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D F F
1.23 65% 83% 28% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.2 .48 16% .40 65% .26 0.88 62% 33% 17% -10 -3 0.76 16% 0.7 .11 13% .37 86% .32
Jan
10		 Stanford B- A A- F C+ 35% 20% 46% C+ C+ A- C+ A- A D+ A C A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 17% 46% A- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ C- F D-
1.10 69% 44% 24% -2 0 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 14% .31 82% .26 0.87 61% 25% 23% -9 0 0.85 32% 0.2 .05 20% .34 82% .28
Jan
13		 Louisville A+ D D A+ A+ 14% 23% 63% D+ A+ A+ C A+ D A+ A A+ A+ A+ F C- A+ 35% 12% 54% B A+ C- A+ A+ F+ C A+ B
1.19 50% 30% 44% +7 -2 1.12 42% 1.0 .42 20% .55 79% .43 1.06 33% 67% 36% -4 +1 0.96 36% 0.6 .21 12% .31 67% .21
Jan
17		 SMU A- F D- B C- 29% 22% 49% C C- A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ A+ C+ A A+ D D- A+ 40% 40% 19% A+ A+ B+ F+ C D+ B- D- C
1.16 46% 30% 36% -3 -1 0.93 44% 1.4 .61 18% .23 83% .20 1.09 38% 48% 40% -2 -2 0.92 33% 1.2 .39 13% .26 79% .20
Jan
24		 North Carolina A A+ D- F B- 37% 20% 43% B+ B A+ A A+ D+ A+ C A+ D+ C+ C- F D 27% 35% 38% A+ C A+ A+ A+ F C C C
1.18 68% 30% 27% -2 0 0.98 44% 1.1 .47 16% .35 70% .25 1.25 60% 42% 48% +10 -3 1.16 22% 0.9 .19 6% .34 68% .23
Jan
27		 Notre Dame A+ A A+ C+ A 36% 15% 49% B A A D- B B- A+ B+ A+ D B- D F F+ 31% 26% 43% B- D- A A+ A+ D- F F F
1.28 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 35% 0.9 .30 14% .52 80% .42 1.24 59% 43% 48% +10 -1 1.20 26% 0.7 .17 13% .50 82% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Boston College B+ A A+ F B- 46% 15% 38% B+ B- A F C A C+ A- B B- F+ D A+ D+ 33% 39% 28% A+ C A- D- B- C F A F
1.12 67% 50% 20% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.6 .23 11% .31 72% .22 1.01 67% 44% 23% +1 -3 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .47 58% .27
Feb
3		 Pittsburgh C+ C- F A- B- 38% 8% 54% B+ B- A B A C+ F F F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 43% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B
1.11 56% 25% 38% +2 +2 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 17% .18 44% .08 0.78 64% 22% 24% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.8 .18 28% .28 58% .16
Feb
7		 Syracuse B F A+ B C+ 42% 13% 46% B+ B- A+ D- B+ B C- C- C- A+ A+ F A+ B- 40% 40% 20% A+ B+ A+ D- B+ A+ A+ F A+
1.16 35% 67% 36% -4 +1 0.96 44% 1.0 .44 16% .27 71% .19 0.95 44% 67% 22% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.2 .26 21% .14 86% .12
Feb
10		 Florida St. F+ F B+ F F 24% 18% 58% C F+ C A+ A C- F F F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 17% 50% B+ A+ A A+ A+ D D- C D-
0.90 42% 44% 28% -8 -1 0.84 32% 1.3 .42 21% .15 63% .09 0.85 47% 22% 19% -17 0 0.67 24% 0.8 .20 12% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 Ohio St. B- B F+ C- C+ 31% 31% 38% C- C+ A- F+ C+ D+ A+ D- A+ A+ B A- F A- 27% 49% 24% A+ A A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+
1.06 62% 31% 31% -3 -2 0.93 35% 0.8 .29 18% .60 69% .41 1.00 60% 37% 46% +4 -4 1.02 17% 0.7 .11 12% .16 67% .10
Feb
18		 Georgia Tech A- C+ F+ A- B+ 38% 11% 51% A- A- A+ C- A+ D+ F F F A+ A- B A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% A- A+ A F C B C F D
1.19 57% 29% 39% +2 +1 1.08 45% 1.1 .48 18% .20 62% .12 0.86 50% 32% 18% -12 -2 0.74 24% 1.5 .37 20% .30 84% .25
Feb
21		 Miami (FL) A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 11% 47% A A+ D F F A+ A A+ A+ D- B+ C+ F B- 38% 31% 31% A+ B C F F D+ B F F+
1.33 70% 60% 55% +22 +2 1.49 18% 0.5 .09 14% .32 89% .29 1.28 55% 38% 44% +3 -1 1.06 39% 1.5 .58 14% .30 94% .29
Feb
24		 North Carolina St. A+ B+ A+ A- A+ 42% 13% 44% B- A+ C A+ A+ B+ C+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A+ 39% 9% 53% D+ A+ C- A+ A+ B- A D A-
1.28 64% 57% 39% +8 +1 1.21 26% 1.9 .48 17% .31 89% .27 0.87 45% 0% 30% -11 +2 0.82 33% 0.4 .12 14% .25 80% .20
Feb
28		 Duke C- D- F F F 19% 11% 70% B F C+ B B- A B A+ A+ C+ A D- F B 50% 8% 42% C- B- A+ F A- D A F C+
0.84 44% 20% 21% -18 0 0.66 23% 0.9 .21 15% .25 92% .23 1.26 50% 50% 45% +4 +2 1.15 26% 1.6 .41 13% .26 93% .25
Mar
3		 Wake Forest C+ D- A+ D+ C+ 38% 6% 55% A- B- B- B B A A+ F B+ A- A- B A- A+ 41% 15% 44% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D A- F C+
1.10 50% 100% 31% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 15% .40 65% .26 1.03 50% 38% 29% -7 +1 0.91 21% 0.9 .18 12% .25 93% .23
Mar
7		 Virginia Tech B+ C F C+ C 45% 11% 45% A B- A- A+ A+ C A- A+ A+ B D- F B C 30% 23% 47% B C C- A+ A+ C B- C B-
1.15 57% 20% 33% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 18% .31 88% .28 1.09 69% 50% 32% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.5 .16 15% .28 75% .21
Mar
12		 North Carolina St. A- F A+ A+ A 38% 19% 43% C- A- C+ C+ C+ A+ F+ A+ D+ A A+ C F A+ 42% 23% 35% B+ A+ B- A+ A+ B F F F
1.18 45% 50% 48% +6 0 1.15 28% 1.0 .28 15% .24 79% .19 1.08 25% 36% 53% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.8 .23 15% .41 88% .36
Mar
13		 Miami (FL) A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 39% 16% 45% B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A- C- A+ B A+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 35% 35% A+ A+ A+ F A F A- F C-
1.35 60% 50% 43% +9 +1 1.22 41% 1.2 .48 16% .23 92% .21 0.99 40% 50% 22% -7 -3 0.82 26% 1.3 .34 11% .27 93% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 20.7% 79.4% 2.8 4.1 38.6 34.6 19.1 3.5 0.1 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 20.7% 79.4% 2.8 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 20.7% 100.0% 2.2 11.4 59.4 23.8 5.1 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 79.4% 100.0% 2.9 2.1 33.2 37.4 22.7 4.4 0.2