Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#252
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#225
Pace65.2#294
Improvement-1.0#259

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#341
First Shot-8.3#363
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#73
Layup/Dunks-2.0#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#328
Freethrows-3.7#348
Improvement-1.5#314

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#125
First Shot-0.8#200
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#62
Layups/Dunks+0.4#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#99
Freethrows-4.5#354
Improvement+0.5#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.6% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 16.2% 24.9% 10.2%
.500 or above in Conference 34.0% 41.1% 29.3%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.1% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 16.8% 13.1% 19.4%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round3.3% 4.4% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Away) - 40.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 83 - 14
Quad 48 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 256 Nebraska Omaha W 73-71 62%     1 - 0 -6.2 -4.7 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 14 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 19%     1 - 1 -5.7 -0.9 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 18 203 @Texas St. L 49-63 30%     1 - 2 -13.7 -16.1 +0.9
  Mon, Nov 24 231 Texas San Antonio W 61-50 46%     2 - 2 +7.0 -5.1 +13.5
  Tue, Nov 25 130 William & Mary L 58-92 25%     2 - 3 -31.9 -17.3 -12.5
  Tue, Dec 2 264 @Pepperdine L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Dec 6 108 New Mexico St. L 60-66 29%    
  Tue, Dec 16 11 @Arizona L 56-83 1%    
  Fri, Dec 19 7 @BYU L 55-83 1%    
  Mon, Dec 22 307 @Texas Southern L 69-70 50%    
  Thu, Jan 1 281 Utah Tech W 66-62 66%    
  Sat, Jan 3 89 Utah Valley L 63-71 23%    
  Thu, Jan 8 195 @Tarleton St. L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 184 @Texas Arlington L 62-68 28%    
  Thu, Jan 15 136 California Baptist L 62-66 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 331 @Southern Utah W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 195 @Tarleton St. L 65-71 30%    
  Thu, Jan 29 281 Utah Tech W 66-62 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 331 Southern Utah W 74-66 75%    
  Thu, Feb 5 89 @Utah Valley L 60-74 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 136 @California Baptist L 59-69 20%    
  Thu, Feb 12 184 Texas Arlington L 65-66 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 195 Tarleton St. W 69-68 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 331 Southern Utah W 74-66 74%    
  Thu, Feb 26 281 @Utah Tech L 63-65 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 89 @Utah Valley L 60-74 11%    
  Thu, Mar 5 136 @California Baptist L 59-69 20%    
  Sat, Mar 7 184 Texas Arlington L 65-66 48%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.0 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.9 6.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 20.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.5 8.2 4.9 1.4 0.1 23.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 4.2 7.0 5.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 20.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 10.7 7th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.2 4.6 7.5 10.7 13.0 13.9 13.2 11.7 8.7 6.2 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 87.8% 0.3    0.3 0.1
14-4 60.7% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 30.0% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1
12-6 10.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 39.3% 39.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 31.3% 31.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 26.5% 26.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.1% 14.9% 14.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.8% 15.3% 15.3% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 3.3
11-7 6.2% 11.1% 11.1% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 5.5
10-8 8.7% 5.8% 5.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 8.2
9-9 11.7% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.1 0.3 11.3
8-10 13.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.9
7-11 13.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.6
6-12 13.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.8
5-13 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-14 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
3-15 4.6% 4.6
2-16 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.3 96.4 0.0%