Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.9 #212
Expected Predictive Rating -0.1 #165
Pace 66.3 #260
Improvement +4.0 #25

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #229 C- C F B- D
Defense #197 F C A- F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #148 1.08 #272 -1.0 #221
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #43 0.79 #134 +3.5 #39
Three Pointers 32% #337 1.05 #141 -3.9 #306
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #214 -1.5 #214
Freethrows 19.4 #85 72% #219 13.9 #105
Second Chance 34.4% #78 0.95 #286 0.33 #152
Turnovers 19.7% #339
Total Offense -2.1 #229

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #16 1.22 #263 -6.1 #350
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #281 0.79 #233 +1.0 #125
Three Pointers 36% #302 1.18 #353 -0.7 #210
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #338 -5.8 #338
Freethrows 26.4 #365 73% #224 19.4 #1
Second Chance 28.0% #92 1.13 #289 0.32 #174
Turnovers 20.1% #27
Total Defense -0.8 #197

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.9% #293 2.1% #342
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.1% #191 9.2% #326
Possession Length 18.8 #327 16.8 #103
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #202 0.24 #349
Improvement +4.8 #4 -0.8 #236

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.0% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 42.5% 55.9% 29.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.0% 65.6% 36.6%
Conference Champion 3.3% 5.5% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.4% 6.9%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round5.8% 7.8% 4.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California Baptist (Home) - 49.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 258 Nebraska Omaha W 73 - 71 71% +4  1 - 0 -6 -5 C- C F -1 F A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 108 @Stephen F. Austin L 66 - 76 17% -1  1 - 1 -3 +2 D- D+ C -5 F A+ D
 Tue, Nov 18 261 @Texas St. L 49 - 63 49% -11  1 - 2 -17 -19 F B F +1 F A+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 332 Texas San Antonio W 61 - 50 77% +7  2 - 2 +0 -6 F B F +8 B C- A+
 Tue, Nov 25 138 William & Mary L 58 - 92 34% -12  2 - 3 -33 -16 F F F -14 F D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 286 @Pepperdine W 71 - 63 55% +8  3 - 3 +4 +8 C C A+ -3 D- A C-
 Sat, Dec 6 139 New Mexico St. W 77 - 69 46% +5  4 - 3 +6 +12 A+ C+ F -5 C- B A
 Tue, Dec 16 2 @Arizona L 62 - 96 1% -21  4 - 4 -7 -0 C- C+ F -5 F D- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 11 @BYU L 67 - 85 2% -5  4 - 5 +5 +3 C B+ F +2 D- F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 334 @Texas Southern W 75 - 68 69% -2  5 - 5 -1 +1 D D- F -2 F B- B
 Thu, Jan 1 232 Utah Tech L 64 - 79 65% -14  5 - 6 0 - 1 -22 -9 C F F -13 F C+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 101 Utah Valley W 85 - 68 32% +5  6 - 6 1 - 1 +19 +15 A+ D+ A+ +4 C- C+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 173 @Tarleton St. W 84 - 80 32% +7  7 - 6 2 - 1 +6 +10 C+ A+ F -4 A+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 10 154 @Texas Arlington L 72 - 82 28% -6  7 - 7 2 - 2 -7 +8 A B+ C- -15 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 15 157 California Baptist L 68 - 69 50%
 Sat, Jan 17 323 @Southern Utah W 74 - 70 64%
 Sat, Jan 24 173 @Tarleton St. L 72 - 77 32%
 Thu, Jan 29 232 Utah Tech W 74 - 70 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 323 Southern Utah W 77 - 67 82%
 Thu, Feb 5 101 @Utah Valley L 67 - 78 15%
 Sat, Feb 7 157 @California Baptist L 65 - 71 29%
 Thu, Feb 12 154 Texas Arlington L 67 - 68 49%
 Sat, Feb 14 173 Tarleton St. W 75 - 74 53%
 Sat, Feb 21 323 Southern Utah W 77 - 67 81%
 Thu, Feb 26 232 @Utah Tech L 71 - 73 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 101 @Utah Valley L 67 - 78 16%
 Thu, Mar 5 157 @California Baptist L 65 - 71 29%
 Sat, Mar 7 154 Texas Arlington L 67 - 68 49%
Totals 14 - 14 9 - 9 -3 -2 C- C F -1 F C A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.2 2.6 5.5 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.6 8.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 17.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 6.1 10.2 3.6 0.2 21.2 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 7.8 9.6 3.3 0.1 23.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.5 6.8 5.7 1.9 0.1 19.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.3 7th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.7 4.5 9.6 14.6 18.1 18.5 14.5 9.9 5.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 96.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 78.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2
13-5 53.8% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.0
12-6 21.5% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0
11-7 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 37.9% 37.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 25.4% 25.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
13-5 2.2% 21.1% 21.1% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8
12-6 5.2% 20.1% 20.1% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 4.1
11-7 9.9% 12.8% 12.8% 14.3 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 8.6
10-8 14.5% 7.9% 7.9% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.0 13.3
9-9 18.5% 4.7% 4.7% 15.1 0.1 0.7 0.1 17.6
8-10 18.1% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.2 0.4 17.5
7-11 14.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.3
6-12 9.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.5
5-13 4.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 4.4
4-14 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 14.6 93.9 0.0%