Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#357
Expected Predictive Rating-16.9#356
Pace68.2#231
Improvement-0.8#244

Offense
Total Offense-8.9#362
First Shot-5.9#338
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#339
Layup/Dunks-2.1#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.0#356
Freethrows-0.6#208
Improvement-0.6#243

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#327
First Shot-3.9#307
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#230
Layups/Dunks-5.5#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#284
Freethrows+2.4#54
Improvement-0.2#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 7.9% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.9% 10.5% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 26.2% 35.3% 24.0%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 25.2% 18.9% 26.8%
First Four4.8% 7.7% 4.1%
First Round1.8% 2.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 19.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 46 - 127 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 148 @Temple L 65-83 7%     0 - 1 -15.0 -6.5 -9.5
  Sat, Nov 8 64 @Syracuse L 43-83 2%     0 - 2 -28.5 -25.0 -2.7
  Mon, Nov 10 333 @Niagara L 57-68 28%     0 - 3 -18.3 -8.0 -12.2
  Sat, Nov 15 345 @New Haven L 52-65 32%     0 - 4 -21.5 -18.8 -3.4
  Sun, Nov 23 44 @Miami (FL) L 41-97 1%     0 - 5 -41.2 -23.9 -16.8
  Sat, Nov 29 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-77 20%    
  Wed, Dec 3 159 Navy L 64-74 18%    
  Sat, Dec 6 241 Delaware L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Dec 13 260 @Longwood L 68-79 16%    
  Thu, Dec 18 175 @Saint Joseph's L 65-80 8%    
  Mon, Dec 29 120 @Rutgers L 58-77 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. W 71-64 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 233 Norfolk St. L 62-68 29%    
  Mon, Jan 12 315 @Howard L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 360 Morgan St. W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 350 @NC Central L 67-71 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63-62 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 68-67 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 233 @Norfolk St. L 59-71 14%    
  Mon, Feb 16 315 Howard L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 360 @Morgan St. L 72-74 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 350 NC Central W 70-68 56%    
  Thu, Mar 5 339 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 60-65 31%    
Projected Record 6 - 17 5 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.1 1st
2nd 0.4 2.3 2.3 0.9 0.1 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.6 4.3 4.4 0.8 0.1 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.3 6.0 1.1 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 6.3 7.7 1.4 0.0 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 6.6 8.6 2.2 0.0 18.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 6.5 7.5 2.0 0.1 18.0 7th
8th 0.7 3.3 5.2 4.7 1.3 0.0 15.2 8th
Total 0.7 3.4 7.0 12.5 16.4 17.8 16.0 12.1 8.0 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
11-3 79.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
10-4 47.0% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
9-5 17.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
8-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.5% 38.7% 38.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.3
10-4 1.7% 23.5% 23.5% 16.0 0.4 1.3
9-5 3.8% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.6 3.2
8-6 8.0% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.9 7.1
7-7 12.1% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.9 11.2
6-8 16.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.7 15.3
5-9 17.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.6 17.2
4-10 16.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 16.1
3-11 12.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.3
2-12 7.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.9
1-13 3.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.4
0-14 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.9 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%