Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.1 #100
Expected Predictive Rating +5.0 #94
Pace 69.2 #183
Improvement -0.4 #208

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #90 D+ B+ A+ B C
Defense #126 C+ C C+ C+ A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #115 1.11 #240 +0.3 #162
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #135 0.74 #187 +0.7 #140
Three Pointers 36% #278 0.96 #251 -3.4 #294
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #240 -2.3 #240
Freethrows 19.6 #80 73% #168 14.3 #77
Second Chance 32.7% #124 1.21 #27 0.40 #55
Turnovers 12.1% #4
Total Offense +3.8 #90

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #335 0.99 #22 +6.8 #17
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #38 0.82 #280 -3.2 #353
Three Pointers 42% #148 1.10 #292 -2.4 #284
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #139 +1.3 #138
Freethrows 16.4 #134 73% #201 12.0 #217
Second Chance 29.2% #120 1.11 #269 0.32 #190
Turnovers 17.2% #134
Total Defense +1.3 #126

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.2% #208 -2.6% #24
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.4% #239 0.1% #184
Possession Length 16.5 #100 18.7 #348
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #27 0.18 #188
Improvement +1.1 #112 -1.5 #282

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 2.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 2.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.0 10.6 11.2
.500 or above 13.3% 30.3% 11.2%
.500 or above in Conference 1.6% 5.8% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.2% 20.3% 40.5%
First Four0.4% 1.3% 0.3%
First Round0.5% 1.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Home) - 11.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 24 - 66 - 17
Quad 32 - 28 - 19
Quad 46 - 014 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 363 Morgan St. W 87 - 70 98% +10  1 - 0 -2 -2 F C A+ -1 C D+ B
 Fri, Nov 7 112 @Maryland W 70 - 60 43% +10  2 - 0 +17 +3 F B- B +14 A+ C+ B
 Wed, Nov 12 359 Binghamton W 83 - 70 97% +8  3 - 0 -5 +5 F B- A+ -10 D+ C+ D+
 Sat, Nov 15 33 Clemson W 79 - 74 28% +1  4 - 0 +16 +13 A- C A+ +3 A B- C
 Sat, Nov 22 316 Wagner W 92 - 75 94% +11  5 - 0 +5 +7 C B+ C+ -3 C- A- A
 Thu, Nov 27 70 Dayton L 79 - 84 OT 39% -7  5 - 1 +3 +7 B+ D- A+ -3 C+ C B
 Fri, Nov 28 35 Miami (FL) L 65 - 78 20% -14  5 - 2 +1 +3 F A+ A+ -3 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 277 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90 - 81 91% +11  6 - 2 -1 +15 A+ A- A+ -15 D+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 29 @North Carolina L 61 - 81 12% -7  6 - 3 -2 -5 F C A+ +3 C A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 246 St. Peter's W 76 - 68 OT 88% +7  7 - 3 +0 +1 C B C- -1 C A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 106 @Marquette W 78 - 69 41% +2  8 - 3 1 - 0 +16 +17 C A+ A+ -0 A F D-
 Sat, Dec 20 92 Xavier L 77 - 80 58% +2  8 - 4 1 - 1 +0 +2 D+ D A+ -1 C C+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97 - 67 99% +22  9 - 4 +7 +10 B D+ A+ -5 D D D
 Wed, Dec 31 15 St. John's L 83 - 95 19% -6  9 - 5 1 - 2 +2 +17 A+ B- A+ -15 D- F B-
 Tue, Jan 6 98 @DePaul L 50 - 56 38% -2  9 - 6 1 - 3 +2 -13 F A+ C- +15 A+ B- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 49 Seton Hall L 67 - 76 40% +2  9 - 7 1 - 4 -1 +2 F B A+ -4 A D+ C
 Tue, Jan 13 43 @Creighton L 83 - 86 OT 17% +1  9 - 8 1 - 5 +12 +23 A+ A+ B+ -11 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 4 Connecticut L 66 - 79 11%
 Wed, Jan 21 34 @Villanova L 66 - 78 13%
 Sat, Jan 24 68 @Providence L 81 - 87 28%
 Wed, Jan 28 98 DePaul W 73 - 70 61%
 Sat, Jan 31 58 @Butler L 75 - 82 25%
 Wed, Feb 4 43 Creighton L 74 - 78 36%
 Sat, Feb 7 34 Villanova L 69 - 75 29%
 Sat, Feb 14 4 @Connecticut L 63 - 82 4%
 Wed, Feb 18 58 Butler L 78 - 79 45%
 Sat, Feb 21 49 @Seton Hall L 65 - 74 21%
 Tue, Feb 24 106 Marquette W 78 - 74 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 92 @Xavier L 75 - 79 36%
 Tue, Mar 3 15 @St. John's L 71 - 86 8%
 Sat, Mar 7 68 Providence L 83 - 84 50%
Totals 13 - 18 5 - 15 +5 +4 D+ B+ A+ +1 C+ C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 6.3 5.8 1.5 0.1 15.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 7.7 8.0 2.0 0.1 19.3 9th
10th 0.3 2.9 9.3 10.0 2.9 0.2 25.6 10th
11th 0.8 4.5 8.3 7.2 2.1 0.1 0.0 23.1 11th
Total 0.8 4.8 11.2 18.1 21.2 18.4 12.9 7.6 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.3% 46.2% 3.1% 43.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 44.4%
10-10 1.2% 19.5% 0.8% 18.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 18.9%
9-11 3.4% 3.5% 0.3% 3.2% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.3 3.2%
8-12 7.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.1%
7-13 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-14 18.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.4
5-15 21.2% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 21.2
4-16 18.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 18.1
3-17 11.2% 11.2
2-18 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20
Total 100% 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 11.0 99.3 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%