Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#233
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#283
Pace63.7#320
Improvement+0.4#146

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#320
First Shot-4.7#307
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#214
Layup/Dunks-6.6#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#21
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
Freethrows-2.5#317
Improvement+0.3#147

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#129
First Shot+3.1#80
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#300
Layups/Dunks+3.0#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement+0.0#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.9% 61.8% 45.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.2 15.8
.500 or above 73.6% 95.0% 73.4%
.500 or above in Conference 96.1% 100.0% 96.1%
Conference Champion 64.8% 85.1% 64.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.0% 0.5%
First Four31.9% 15.4% 32.1%
First Round30.8% 56.8% 30.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 31 - 7
Quad 415 - 616 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 130 William & Mary L 78-81 38%     0 - 1 -3.9 -2.2 -1.4
  Tue, Nov 11 216 @Old Dominion L 57-60 36%     0 - 2 -3.5 -7.4 +3.4
  Fri, Nov 14 128 @Towson L 41-51 19%     0 - 3 -4.9 -21.1 +14.5
  Fri, Nov 21 235 Hampton W 62-60 62%     1 - 3 -5.2 -6.2 +1.3
  Sun, Nov 23 117 @Wyoming L 67-75 17%     1 - 4 -1.9 +1.3 -3.5
  Sat, Nov 29 11 @Arizona L 57-83 1%    
  Sat, Dec 6 147 @James Madison L 65-72 25%    
  Wed, Dec 10 28 @Baylor L 60-81 3%    
  Thu, Dec 18 290 Grambling St. W 67-64 61%    
  Fri, Dec 19 326 Jackson St. W 70-65 67%    
  Sun, Dec 21 234 @UTEP L 60-63 39%    
  Sun, Dec 28 304 @Louisiana W 64-63 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 350 @NC Central W 68-63 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 357 @Delaware St. W 68-62 71%    
  Mon, Jan 12 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-55 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 347 @South Carolina St. W 69-65 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 364 Coppin St. W 73-57 92%    
  Mon, Jan 26 360 Morgan St. W 76-63 87%    
  Sat, Jan 31 315 @Howard W 68-67 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 350 NC Central W 71-60 83%    
  Sat, Feb 14 357 Delaware St. W 71-59 86%    
  Mon, Feb 16 339 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-58 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 347 South Carolina St. W 72-62 82%    
  Sat, Feb 28 364 @Coppin St. W 70-60 81%    
  Mon, Mar 2 360 @Morgan St. W 73-66 72%    
  Thu, Mar 5 315 Howard W 71-64 73%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.5 9.7 16.4 17.4 13.0 5.5 64.8 1st
2nd 0.2 2.5 6.7 6.2 3.2 0.6 19.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 3.8 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.1 0.0 4.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.2 4.5 7.8 11.5 16.2 19.6 18.0 13.0 5.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 5.5    5.5
13-1 100.0% 13.0    12.8 0.2
12-2 96.6% 17.4    16.1 1.3 0.0
11-3 83.6% 16.4    12.2 4.1 0.2
10-4 59.6% 9.7    4.7 4.2 0.7 0.0
9-5 21.5% 2.5    0.5 1.2 0.7 0.1
8-6 4.1% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
Total 64.8% 64.8 51.8 11.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 5.5% 73.7% 73.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.6 1.5
13-1 13.0% 64.9% 64.9% 15.7 0.1 0.5 1.9 6.1 4.6
12-2 18.0% 58.0% 58.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 9.5 7.6
11-3 19.6% 49.6% 49.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.5 9.9
10-4 16.2% 40.0% 40.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 9.7
9-5 11.5% 32.3% 32.3% 16.0 0.0 3.7 7.8
8-6 7.8% 24.0% 24.0% 16.0 1.9 5.9
7-7 4.5% 17.1% 17.1% 16.0 0.8 3.7
6-8 2.2% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.2 1.9
5-9 1.0% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.1 0.9
4-10 0.5% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-11 0.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 45.9% 45.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.7 39.8 54.1 0.0%