Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -15.1 356
Results Rating -18.7 358
Consistency 0.13 71
Pace 64.6 285
Improvement +0.7 163

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 349 F D+ C- D F+
Defense D- 344 F+ C- D B- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 217 F+ 48% 360 -4.3 329
2 Pt. Jumpers 68% 2 D+ 35% 279 +4.3 23
Three Pointers 28% 363 F 28% 362 -9.2 364
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.9 349 F -7.5 361
1st FG Attempt F 0.84 363
Second Chance C 31.0% 164 D- 0.88 348 D+ 0.27 266
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 231
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 207
Turnovers C- 17.3% 216
Freethrows D 0.27 298 D 69% 288 D 0.18 316
Total Offense D- -8.3 349

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 221 C- 11.8% 234
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 150 B 2.7% 34
Three Pointers D- 76% 332 F 2.0% 350
Total D- 46% 335 C- 5.9% 218

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 11 D+ 61% 252 +6.0 350
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 360 D 42% 312 -2.4 23
Three Pointers 40% 202 F 40% 363 +3.4 323
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.5 363 F+ +5.2 349
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.16 357
Second Chance D 33.8% 313 C+ 1.00 138 C- 0.34 255
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.5% 250
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 321
Turnovers D 14.7% 302
Freethrows C+ 0.29 147 B+ 69% 25 B- 0.20 94
Total Defense D- -6.8 344

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 281 D+ 8.9% 258
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 122 D 2.7% 307
Three Pointers C+ 83% 147 D- 0.0% 354
Total D+ 59% 266 D+ 4.5% 266

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.4 349 16.6 61
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 249 0.22 333
Consistency 0.15 336 0.11 85
Improvement +3.1 46 -2.4 304

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 357 355 352
Results Rating Rank 360 359 357
Conference Record 3 - 17 3 - 17 4 - 16
Conference Finish 13 13 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Siena (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 43 - 143 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 20 @Virginia L 53 - 87 0% -17  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 D- -7 D C F F+ -9 C+ F F
 Wed, Nov 5 113 @Rutgers L 53 - 81 3% -14  1% 0 - 2 F -22 F -17 F C F+ D -6 C D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 28 @Texas L 65 - 99 1% -18  0% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -11 F D+ D+ C- -3 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 6 @Houston L 45 - 91 0% -25  0% 0 - 4 F -22 F -16 F+ D+ F D- -7 F A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 25 364 Coppin St. L 65 - 68 73% +5  79% 0 - 5 F -24 F -19 F F D- D -6 C- F+ C
 Thu, Dec 4 172 @Merrimack L 66 - 68 6% -1  27% 0 - 6 0 - 1 C +0 C +0 C- A+ F C -0 F B+ D-
 Sun, Dec 7 211 @Quinnipiac L 58 - 72 8% -15  0% 0 - 7 0 - 2 D- -14 F -14 F D D C -0 C+ F+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 334 Bucknell L 38 - 51 48% -8  0% 0 - 8 F -28 F -37 F F F A- +7 B- A D
 Tue, Dec 16 268 @Delaware L 57 - 65 13% -6  3% 0 - 9 D -11 F -14 F B+ C- C+ +1 C+ C+ D-
 Mon, Dec 22 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 79 - 100 1% -11  11% 0 - 10 D+ -7 B +7 D+ A+ B F -13 F F D-
 Mon, Dec 29 324 Manhattan L 71 - 74 43% +2  75% 0 - 11 0 - 3 F+ -16 F+ -9 F B- F+ D- -7 C- D C-
 Sun, Jan 4 201 Siena L 65 - 74 18% -7  12% 0 - 12 0 - 4 D- -14 C- -2 D+ F+ A F -14 C- F B-
 Fri, Jan 9 245 @Fairfield L 62 - 68 11% -8  1% 0 - 13 0 - 5 D+ -8 F+ -8 D+ F C- C -0 A+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 183 Marist L 49 - 71 16% -12  2% 0 - 14 0 - 6 F -27 F -21 F D- C+ D- -7 F A+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 242 Iona W 72 - 68 23% +7  91% 1 - 14 1 - 6 C- -4 B- +5 D+ A+ C- D- -8 C- B F
 Sat, Jan 17 238 @St. Peter's L 58 - 69 10% -4  12% 1 - 15 1 - 7 D- -12 F+ -9 F B+ F D+ -5 F+ F+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 284 Sacred Heart L 85 - 105 31% -12  1% 1 - 16 1 - 8 F -30 D -6 D+ F A- F -22 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 286 @Mount St. Mary's L 61 - 71 15% -0  50% 1 - 17 1 - 9 D- -14 D -5 F A C+ F -11 F D+ D
 Fri, Jan 30 324 @Manhattan L 90 - 95 23% -2  20% 1 - 18 1 - 10 D- -12 A- +11 C B- A+ F -24 F C- F+
 Sun, Feb 1 238 St. Peter's W 81 - 78 23% -6  2% 2 - 18 2 - 10 C- -4 A- +10 A+ F B F -14 D- F F
 Thu, Feb 5 183 @Marist L 52 - 81 7% -18  3% 2 - 19 2 - 11 F -28 D- -8 F C+ C F -25 F D+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 172 Merrimack L 47 - 73 15% -16  0% 2 - 20 2 - 12 F -30 F -19 F D+ A F -17 F F A-
 Fri, Feb 13 286 Mount St. Mary's L 55 - 65 31% -5  14% 2 - 21 2 - 13 F -20 F -18 F C- A- C- -3 F B+ A
 Sun, Feb 15 284 @Sacred Heart L 75 - 86 15% -11  5% 2 - 22 2 - 14 F+ -15 D+ -4 D D A- F -11 D- F D
 Fri, Feb 20 343 Canisius L 66 - 72 50% -6  0% 2 - 23 2 - 15 F -21 F -12 F F A+ F -10 F A A-
 Sun, Feb 22 335 Niagara W 67 - 62 48% -0  36% 3 - 23 3 - 15 D -10 F+ -10 F+ F+ D C+ +1 F A A+
 Fri, Feb 27 242 @Iona L 58 - 80 11% -11  0% 3 - 24 3 - 16 F -24 F -19 F F+ C- D+ -4 F F A+
 Sun, Mar 1 201 @Siena L 61 - 77 7%
Totals 3 - 25 3 - 17 -15 D- -8 D F F+ D- -7 F D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- F+ D+ F F 37% 68% 28% F+ F C D- D+ C- D D D D- D+ D F F+ 47% 13% 40% F F+ D C+ C- D C+ B+ B-
0.97 48% 35% 28% -7 -2 0.84 31% 0.9 .27 17% .27 69% .18 1.18 61% 42% 40% +5 +2 1.16 34% 1.0 .34 15% .29 69% .18
Nov
3		 Virginia D- D F C+ C- 33% 45% 23% F D B+ F+ C F A+ F A+ F+ D- F+ A B- 47% 9% 45% D- C+ F D+ F F F A+ F
0.83 46% 28% 33% -9 -4 0.78 33% 0.7 .23 22% .58 62% .36 1.36 68% 50% 29% +2 +2 1.11 54% 1.2 .63 9% .59 56% .33
Nov
5		 Rutgers F F F F F 38% 30% 32% D F A+ F C F+ A A A+ D A+ C D- B- 42% 11% 47% F C F A D+ F F A+ F
0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29 1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +2 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35
Nov
18		 Texas F F D+ C- F+ 25% 43% 32% F F C- D+ D+ D+ D A+ B- C- F F D+ F 39% 9% 53% D- F A+ A A+ F F A+ C-
0.87 36% 33% 33% -8 -4 0.79 21% 0.9 .19 16% .29 89% .25 1.32 82% 60% 37% +13 +2 1.32 18% 1.0 .18 8% .49 65% .32
Nov
20		 Houston F F+ F+ F F 40% 27% 33% C+ F+ B+ F D+ F F A+ D+ D- F F F F 38% 26% 36% F+ F A A+ A+ D+ A+ F A+
0.67 44% 25% 20% -16 -1 0.69 33% 0.6 .19 34% .20 100% .20 1.35 77% 53% 48% +19 -1 1.38 31% 0.7 .21 10% .12 100% .12
Nov
25		 Coppin St. F F F C F 51% 20% 29% C+ F B F F D- A+ C A+ D B- B- C- C 58% 25% 17% F C- F B+ F+ C C A+ A-
0.92 32% 30% 36% -14 +1 0.76 40% 0.4 .18 20% .56 75% .42 0.96 50% 31% 33% -7 +1 0.90 43% 0.8 .36 23% .33 50% .16
Dec
4		 Merrimack C F A+ D C- 52% 25% 23% C+ C- A- A A+ F C- F D- C C+ F D- F 34% 12% 54% C+ F A C B+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.05 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 48% 1.2 .59 24% .33 63% .21 1.08 53% 67% 37% +4 +1 1.12 15% 1.0 .15 13% .20 64% .13
Dec
7		 Quinnipiac F F C- A+ D 26% 50% 24% F F D+ D- D D F F F C A C+ C- B+ 59% 11% 30% F C+ C- F F+ F A+ B- A+
0.85 36% 33% 46% -4 -5 0.85 30% 0.9 .27 19% .14 50% .07 1.05 45% 33% 35% -7 +3 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .15 67% .10
Dec
9		 Bucknell F F B- F F 34% 34% 32% F+ F F F F F F F F A- C+ A A+ B 46% 8% 46% F B- A A+ A D A+ C+ A+
0.62 36% 43% 23% -11 -2 0.76 17% 0.7 .11 25% .20 33% .07 0.84 55% 25% 23% -10 +2 0.85 19% 0.8 .16 18% .16 75% .12
Dec
16		 Delaware F F C+ F F 34% 20% 46% B- F C- A+ B+ C- F A+ F+ C+ B F C+ B 53% 12% 35% F C+ B+ D- C+ D- F D F
0.91 41% 40% 17% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 14% .17 100% .17 1.04 52% 60% 33% -1 +2 1.05 15% 1.0 .15 14% .37 80% .30
Dec
22		 Virginia Commonwealth B C B F C 42% 40% 19% F D+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ C A+ F F C+ F F 54% 9% 38% F+ F C F F D- B- D+ C+
1.09 55% 43% 20% -4 -2 0.91 36% 1.4 .49 15% .41 72% .29 1.39 70% 40% 43% +12 +3 1.30 34% 1.5 .52 12% .35 77% .27
Dec
29		 Manhattan F+ F D+ F F 44% 22% 34% C F A- D B- F+ C F D D- A+ F D+ C 40% 17% 43% D- C- F A D C- F C+ F
1.08 50% 36% 29% -6 0 0.90 45% 1.0 .45 18% .24 62% .15 1.13 32% 75% 35% -4 +1 0.96 41% 0.9 .36 15% .49 78% .38
Jan
4		 Siena C- C+ A+ F D+ 36% 28% 36% D+ D+ C F F+ A D A+ C+ F A+ F F B- 66% 12% 22% F C- F C F B- F B- F
1.09 61% 64% 17% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.6 .20 12% .25 85% .21 1.24 44% 60% 44% -3 +3 1.02 55% 1.0 .55 18% .45 73% .33
Jan
9		 Fairfield F+ C A+ F C 39% 33% 29% F D+ D F F C- B+ F D+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 13% 45% F A+ D- F F F F D+ F
0.99 58% 50% 29% +2 -2 1.02 26% 0.3 .08 16% .34 56% .19 1.09 30% 17% 24% -22 +1 0.62 39% 1.4 .52 10% .39 73% .28
Jan
11		 Marist F B F F F 31% 58% 11% F F F A+ D- C+ B F D+ D- C+ B- F F+ 48% 20% 32% F F B- A+ A+ F+ A+ D- A+
0.74 64% 27% 0% -10 -5 0.71 9% 2.3 .20 18% .39 57% .22 1.07 56% 36% 44% +3 +1 1.11 23% 0.5 .11 14% .10 83% .09
Jan
14		 Iona B- D+ F A+ C- 41% 36% 23% F D+ A+ A- A+ C- A+ C A+ D- C- A+ D+ C- 32% 6% 62% F+ C- C+ A- B F B A+ A+
1.19 56% 29% 44% -1 -2 0.97 47% 1.1 .53 17% .55 71% .40 1.12 59% 0% 36% 0 +1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 7% .21 42% .09
Jan
17		 St. Peter's F+ D- C- F F+ 43% 43% 13% F F A+ F B+ F F D F D+ D- F A+ F 33% 33% 33% A F+ F C+ F+ D- B+ A+ A+
0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22 1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13
Jan
19		 Sacred Heart D D+ D+ A- D+ 47% 22% 31% C- D+ F F+ F A- C- F+ D+ F F B+ F F 41% 13% 46% F+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A F+
1.10 57% 36% 40% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .20 10% .25 65% .16 1.36 78% 29% 58% +24 +1 1.52 14% 0.8 .10 12% .38 69% .26
Jan
24		 Mount St. Mary's D F F F F 36% 40% 23% F F A+ C+ A C+ B- B+ B F D+ C+ F F 46% 8% 46% D- F C D D+ D F A- F
1.00 29% 26% 27% -17 -3 0.62 41% 1.1 .46 13% .36 79% .28 1.16 61% 33% 44% +8 +2 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 20% .47 61% .29
Jan
30		 Manhattan A- B+ D- B+ C 48% 23% 29% C C C+ B- B- A+ A+ F A+ F F A+ F F 37% 10% 53% F F D B C- F+ F F F
1.34 68% 33% 40% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .45 9% .49 67% .33 1.41 67% 20% 50% +14 +1 1.33 31% 1.0 .31 12% .37 95% .35
Feb
1		 St. Peter's A- B- A- A+ A+ 30% 37% 33% F A+ F+ F F B B- A+ A+ F A- D F F+ 31% 24% 45% B- D- D- F F F B+ A A
1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41 1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Marist D- F B- F F 35% 37% 28% F+ F A F C+ C F F F F D- D F F 48% 19% 33% F F F A+ D+ D A F B
0.88 44% 41% 15% -12 -2 0.74 41% 0.8 .32 19% .19 44% .08 1.37 65% 44% 63% +19 +1 1.42 36% 0.9 .32 15% .16 100% .16
Feb
7		 Merrimack F F C F F 32% 41% 27% F F F+ B D+ A A+ F C F F F C F 59% 10% 31% F F F F F A- F B- F
0.82 14% 39% 17% -21 -3 0.55 33% 1.1 .37 14% .47 52% .24 1.27 70% 50% 33% +8 +3 1.23 45% 1.3 .60 19% .45 76% .34
Feb
13		 Mount St. Mary's F F D- F F 33% 41% 25% F F D B+ C- A- D F F+ C- F A+ C F 46% 2% 52% F F C- A+ B+ A A+ B+ A+
0.85 41% 33% 15% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 11% .29 65% .19 1.00 71% 0% 33% +5 +3 1.17 31% 0.8 .23 28% .17 63% .11
Feb
15		 Sacred Heart D+ D D+ A+ C- 34% 44% 22% F D C+ F D A- F C+ F+ F D- C+ D F+ 29% 12% 59% D+ D- F D+ F D F F F
1.09 55% 35% 54% +4 -3 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 10% .18 73% .13 1.25 64% 33% 38% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.1 .38 16% .40 87% .34
Feb
20		 Canisius F F+ D+ D- F 47% 24% 29% C- F D- F F A+ D+ F D- F D+ F F+ F 51% 7% 42% F F F A+ A A- F F F
0.98 52% 36% 29% -5 0 0.91 24% 0.4 .10 7% .29 61% .18 1.07 55% 67% 39% +3 +3 1.14 38% 0.4 .14 24% .43 86% .37
Feb
22		 Niagara F+ A- F B- D 34% 43% 23% F F+ B- F F+ D B- A- B+ C+ F A+ F F 55% 11% 34% F F A- A+ A A+ C A+ B
1.03 69% 25% 36% -1 -3 0.94 36% 0.7 .24 17% .33 83% .28 0.96 71% 20% 40% +8 +2 1.23 16% 0.5 .08 28% .23 55% .13
Feb
27		 Iona F F+ F F F 23% 38% 40% F F D+ F F+ C- A- C- B+ D+ D+ A+ F F 39% 7% 54% F F D- F F A+ F C- F
0.81 50% 25% 19% -16 -3 0.64 31% 0.7 .20 17% .33 70% .23 1.12 61% 0% 44% +7 +2 1.20 29% 1.3 .39 24% .38 71% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 92.9 7.1 100.0 13th
Total 92.9 7.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 7.1% 7.1
3-17 92.9% 92.9
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.1%
Lose Out 92.9%