UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#335
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#343
Pace73.9#85
Improvement-0.3#208

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#347
First Shot-5.5#329
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#265
Layup/Dunks+0.1#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#350
Freethrows-1.0#244
Improvement-1.6#320

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#300
First Shot-1.8#237
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#293
Layups/Dunks-5.3#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows+2.1#69
Improvement+1.3#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.7% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 3.7% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 16.1% 22.6% 14.6%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 41.5% 32.8% 43.4%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 1.1%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Away) - 18.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 46 - 117 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 142 @Southern Illinois L 78-101 10%     0 - 1 -19.1 +0.9 -18.2
  Tue, Nov 11 167 Iona L 91-105 27%     0 - 2 -18.0 -1.5 -13.9
  Sat, Nov 15 36 @Texas L 55-71 2%     0 - 3 -0.5 -6.1 +3.8
  Wed, Nov 19 51 @TCU L 45-81 2%     0 - 4 -22.7 -20.6 -1.6
  Mon, Nov 24 306 @Lindenwood L 67-80 29%     0 - 5 -17.9 -10.9 -6.0
  Sat, Nov 29 229 @Weber St. L 72-81 18%    
  Wed, Dec 3 230 Idaho St. L 68-71 37%    
  Sat, Dec 6 240 @Eastern Washington L 72-81 20%    
  Wed, Dec 10 229 Weber St. L 75-78 37%    
  Tue, Dec 16 52 @Oklahoma L 66-90 2%    
  Thu, Dec 18 46 @Oklahoma St. L 70-95 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 165 Austin Peay L 69-76 27%    
  Wed, Dec 31 300 @Denver L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Jan 3 256 @Nebraska Omaha L 74-82 22%    
  Thu, Jan 8 155 North Dakota St. L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 319 North Dakota W 75-74 52%    
  Thu, Jan 15 286 @South Dakota L 78-85 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 150 @South Dakota St. L 67-80 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 256 Nebraska Omaha L 77-79 42%    
  Wed, Jan 28 300 Denver W 77-76 50%    
  Sun, Feb 1 158 @St. Thomas L 68-81 12%    
  Wed, Feb 4 286 South Dakota L 81-82 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 296 @Oral Roberts L 75-81 30%    
  Sat, Feb 14 158 St. Thomas L 71-78 27%    
  Thu, Feb 19 319 @North Dakota L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 155 @North Dakota St. L 67-80 13%    
  Thu, Feb 26 150 South Dakota St. L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 296 Oral Roberts L 78-79 50%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.2 0.3 4.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.6 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 6.9 5.2 0.8 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.7 8.2 5.4 1.0 0.0 20.3 8th
9th 1.4 5.0 8.9 9.1 4.6 0.9 0.0 29.8 9th
Total 1.4 5.0 9.8 14.0 15.5 15.0 13.1 10.2 7.2 4.3 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 75.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 47.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 20.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.5% 5.6% 5.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.3% 5.3% 5.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
10-6 2.4% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.3
9-7 4.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 4.2
8-8 7.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 7.0
7-9 10.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.9
6-10 13.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.9
5-11 15.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.9
4-12 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.4
3-13 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
2-14 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
1-15 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
0-16 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%