Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
8 Connecticut 100.0%   2   28 - 4 17 - 3 +20.3      +10.3 21 +10.0 15 63.5 315 +23.4 4 +19.9 2
19 St. John's 100.0%   5   26 - 6 18 - 2 +17.9      +7.2 47 +10.8 10 73.6 48 +18.6 18 +23.2 1
37 Villanova 97.3%   10   24 - 8 15 - 5 +13.7      +7.4 44 +6.3 37 63.7 305 +16.1 27 +17.1 3
51 Seton Hall 34.0%   21 - 11 10 - 10 +11.1      +0.7 144 +10.4 12 64.1 299 +11.6 48 +10.2 4
70 Providence 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 13 +8.6      +8.2 38 +0.4 159 76.3 21 +6.9 85 +6.6 9
71 Creighton 0.0%   15 - 17 9 - 11 +8.5      +5.3 69 +3.2 87 68.2 186 +8.0 73 +9.2 5
72 Georgetown 2.6%   16 - 17 6 - 14 +8.5      +4.3 84 +4.2 68 66.5 232 +7.5 78 +5.2 11
76 Marquette 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 13 +7.9      +2.4 109 +5.5 40 71.6 95 +4.5 108 +6.6 8
83 Butler 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 13 +7.1      +5.0 74 +2.1 118 71.2 106 +7.9 74 +6.7 7
88 Xavier 0.0%   15 - 18 6 - 14 +6.3      +6.1 59 +0.3 168 74.2 38 +7.4 84 +5.4 10
94 DePaul 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 12 +5.7      -0.9 188 +6.6 33 66.4 237 +6.7 89 +8.2 6


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 11 76 Marquette 87 88 Xavier 89   
Wed, Mar 11 94 DePaul 56 72 Georgetown 63   
Wed, Mar 11 83 Butler 81 70 Providence 91   
Thu, Mar 12 71 Creighton 61 51 Seton Hall 72   
Thu, Mar 12 72 Georgetown 78 37 Villanova 64   
Thu, Mar 12 8 Connecticut 93 88 Xavier 68   
Thu, Mar 12 70 Providence 72 19 St. John's 85   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 13 51 Seton Hall 64 19 St. John's 71 74%   
Fri, Mar 13 72 Georgetown 65 8 Connecticut 77 86%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
St. John's 1.0 100.0
Connecticut 2.0 100.0
Villanova 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.0 100.0
Creighton 5.0 100.0
DePaul 6.0 100.0
Providence 7.0 100.0
Butler 7.0 100.0
Marquette 7.0 100.0
Xavier 10.0 100.0
Georgetown 10.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
St. John's 18 - 2 27 - 6 100.0
Connecticut 17 - 3 29 - 4 100.0
Villanova 15 - 5 24 - 8 100.0
Seton Hall 10 - 10 21 - 12 100.0
Creighton 9 - 11 15 - 17 100.0
DePaul 8 - 12 16 - 16 100.0
Providence 7 - 13 15 - 18 100.0
Butler 7 - 13 16 - 16 100.0
Marquette 7 - 13 12 - 20 100.0
Xavier 6 - 14 15 - 18 100.0
Georgetown 6 - 14 16 - 18 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. John's 100.0% 100.0
Connecticut
Villanova
Seton Hall
Creighton
DePaul
Providence
Butler
Marquette
Xavier
Georgetown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 57.0% 43.0% 2   11.5 51.4 26.5 9.4 1.1 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 100.0% 34.8% 65.2% 5   0.1 1.1 6.6 16.1 31.3 30.8 12.8 1.3 0.1 100.0%
Villanova 97.3% 0.0% 97.3% 10   0.0 0.5 3.5 19.1 39.0 30.0 5.3 2.7 97.3%
Seton Hall 34.0% 5.6% 28.4% 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.7 24.3 0.8 66.0 30.0%
Providence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Creighton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgetown 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 1.6 0.9 0.0 97.4 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Xavier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.3 1.5 63.9 33.9 0.7
1st Round 100.0% 3.2 2.8 72.6 24.1 0.5
2nd Round 99.8% 2.3 0.2 9.5 50.9 36.8 2.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 83.8% 1.2 16.2 52.8 29.1 1.9 0.0
Elite Eight 47.7% 0.5 52.3 42.2 5.4 0.1
Final Four 19.6% 0.2 80.4 19.0 0.6
Final Game 7.1% 0.1 92.9 7.1 0.0
Champion 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.7% 68.2% 36.7% 14.7% 5.6% 2.2%
St. John's 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 82.2% 39.3% 13.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Villanova 97.3% 3.4% 95.8% 44.3% 7.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 34.0% 21.1% 23.8% 7.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%