Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Connecticut 100.0%   2   12 - 1 2 - 0 27 - 4 17 - 3 +21.2      +9.8 17 +11.4 4 63.9 319 +26.8 4 +21.7 2
20 St. John's 90.0%   7   7 - 4 1 - 0 21 - 10 14 - 6 +16.3      +8.2 29 +8.1 16 74.1 62 +11.6 50 +15.6 4
34 Villanova 76.0%   9   9 - 2 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 8 +13.3      +7.6 39 +5.7 37 60.1 364 +16.8 23 0.0 9
37 Creighton 59.8%   10   7 - 5 2 - 0 19 - 12 13 - 7 +13.1      +6.8 48 +6.3 30 67.4 241 +9.4 64 +21.2 3
51 Seton Hall 60.1%   10   11 - 1 1 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 9 +10.2      +2.3 115 +7.8 19 64.6 307 +18.7 15 +25.3 1
55 Butler 40.6%   9 - 3 1 - 1 19 - 12 10 - 10 +9.7      +5.5 63 +4.2 65 73.0 86 +13.2 41 +14.2 5
78 Providence 3.9%   7 - 6 0 - 2 14 - 17 7 - 13 +7.1      +6.9 46 +0.2 150 76.8 31 +3.1 127 -5.9 10
98 Xavier 5.0%   9 - 4 1 - 1 15 - 16 7 - 13 +5.5      +2.1 117 +3.4 78 72.8 89 +9.0 69 +9.2 6
100 Georgetown 4.2%   8 - 4 1 - 1 15 - 16 7 - 13 +5.3      +3.6 92 +1.7 117 70.0 167 +8.1 73 +4.9 7
105 Marquette 0.3%   5 - 8 0 - 2 10 - 21 5 - 15 +4.3      +1.1 135 +3.2 81 73.6 70 -2.1 198 -9.5 11
113 DePaul 0.5%   8 - 5 0 - 2 14 - 17 6 - 14 +3.4      -0.4 175 +3.8 72 68.4 215 +2.9 129 +3.5 8




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Dec 19 34 Villanova 76 47 Wisconsin 66   
Fri, Dec 19 78 Providence 67 51 Seton Hall 72   
Sat, Dec 20 19 Kentucky 78 20 St. John's 66   
Sat, Dec 20 55 Butler 61 60 Northwestern 58   
Sat, Dec 20 100 Georgetown 77 98 Xavier 80   
Sat, Dec 20 37 Creighton 84 105 Marquette 63   
Sun, Dec 21 113 DePaul 54 7 Connecticut 72   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Dec 22 37 Creighton 82 251 Utah Tech 61 96%   
Mon, Dec 22 55 Butler 86 351 NJIT 61 98%   
Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. 61 100 Georgetown 89 99%   
Tue, Dec 23 51 Seton Hall 64 34 Villanova 65 51%   
Tue, Dec 23 187 Harvard 62 20 St. John's 83 96%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Connecticut 1.3 77.0 16.3 4.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. John's 2.6 20.6 36.9 20.9 11.3 5.8 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Villanova 3.8 7.0 18.8 23.2 20.2 14.1 8.2 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2
Creighton 3.6 7.6 21.2 25.3 20.6 12.7 7.1 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
Seton Hall 5.0 1.9 8.0 14.2 19.0 20.0 16.3 9.6 5.7 3.1 1.6 0.5
Butler 5.4 0.9 6.0 11.1 16.3 19.5 18.3 12.0 7.6 4.7 2.5 1.0
Providence 7.6 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.4 8.5 13.3 18.1 17.3 15.3 12.2 8.3
Xavier 7.7 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.2 8.2 13.4 17.8 18.1 16.0 12.4 7.7
Georgetown 8.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.3 6.6 10.8 15.8 18.6 18.1 15.3 9.8
Marquette 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 6.0 9.8 13.6 18.0 22.4 25.4
DePaul 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.2 6.0 10.0 14.2 17.7 21.4 25.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Connecticut 17 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.1 4.6 9.1 15.5 20.6 22.6 17.0 7.3
St. John's 14 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.8 9.4 12.4 15.7 16.7 14.3 10.8 6.0 2.3 0.4
Villanova 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.2 9.5 12.3 14.2 14.9 13.2 10.1 6.6 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.0
Creighton 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.8 5.0 8.2 11.9 15.2 15.8 14.5 11.5 7.6 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.0
Seton Hall 11 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.6 8.9 12.3 14.1 15.1 13.7 10.7 7.2 4.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Butler 10 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.8 7.6 10.9 13.7 15.1 14.1 11.9 8.8 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Providence 7 - 13 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.6 7.1 11.2 14.4 16.3 14.7 12.2 8.7 5.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Xavier 7 - 13 0.2 1.1 3.4 7.2 11.5 15.2 16.2 15.4 12.3 8.3 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Georgetown 7 - 13 0.3 1.8 4.9 9.2 13.3 16.3 16.6 13.7 10.5 6.5 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Marquette 5 - 15 0.5 2.5 6.5 11.1 14.8 17.0 15.5 12.8 8.7 5.6 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
DePaul 6 - 14 0.5 2.4 6.2 10.9 14.8 16.8 15.7 12.7 8.9 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Connecticut 77.0% 65.1 10.6 1.2 0.1
St. John's 20.6% 12.5 7.0 1.0 0.1
Villanova 7.0% 3.6 2.6 0.6 0.1
Creighton 7.6% 3.9 2.9 0.8 0.1
Seton Hall 1.9% 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
Butler 0.9% 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Providence 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Xavier 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Marquette 0.0% 0.0 0.0
DePaul 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 53.0% 47.0% 2   33.4 34.7 19.4 8.2 2.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 90.0% 20.4% 69.6% 7   1.1 2.5 5.7 9.7 12.6 14.0 14.4 12.1 8.7 5.9 3.2 0.1 0.0 10.0 87.4%
Villanova 76.0% 9.2% 66.8% 9   0.2 0.5 1.7 3.9 6.6 9.3 10.8 11.4 12.5 11.4 7.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 24.0 73.5%
Creighton 59.8% 9.0% 50.9% 10   0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.9 5.2 8.7 11.2 10.8 10.3 8.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 40.2 55.9%
Seton Hall 60.1% 3.4% 56.7% 10   0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.8 7.0 9.6 12.6 12.6 9.7 0.3 0.0 39.9 58.7%
Butler 40.6% 2.8% 37.8% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.5 5.9 8.3 11.0 8.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 59.4 38.9%
Providence 3.9% 0.8% 3.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.1 3.1%
Xavier 5.0% 0.5% 4.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.0 4.5%
Georgetown 4.2% 0.4% 3.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.8 3.8%
Marquette 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.2%
DePaul 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.4%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.1% 73.2% 45.1% 24.6% 12.5% 5.9%
St. John's 90.0% 3.5% 88.4% 63.2% 27.8% 11.4% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6%
Villanova 76.0% 8.3% 72.1% 41.4% 13.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Creighton 59.8% 8.8% 55.8% 31.1% 8.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Seton Hall 60.1% 10.7% 54.0% 23.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 40.6% 9.8% 35.2% 14.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 3.9% 1.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 5.0% 2.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 4.2% 1.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.4 0.0 0.8 12.2 41.8 36.3 8.5 0.4
1st Round 100.0% 4.2 0.0 1.8 18.6 46.1 28.8 4.6 0.1
2nd Round 99.9% 2.7 0.1 6.9 33.1 40.7 17.0 2.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 88.1% 1.3 11.9 51.0 31.4 5.3 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 57.3% 0.7 42.7 48.8 8.1 0.4 0.0
Final Four 30.6% 0.3 69.4 29.1 1.4 0.0
Final Game 14.9% 0.2 85.1 14.8 0.1
Champion 6.7% 0.1 93.3 6.7