Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
7 Connecticut 100.0%   1   27 - 3 17 - 2 +20.5      +10.4 18 +10.1 13 63.8 305 +25.2 4 +22.2 2
19 St. John's 99.8%   5   25 - 6 18 - 2 +17.7      +7.2 46 +10.5 11 73.6 52 +18.2 20 +23.2 1
35 Villanova 94.9%   9   23 - 7 14 - 5 +14.2      +7.5 43 +6.7 34 63.6 313 +16.9 23 +16.8 3
52 Seton Hall 29.6%   20 - 11 10 - 10 +10.7      +0.7 141 +9.9 15 63.9 302 +11.2 52 +10.1 4
67 Creighton 1.2%   15 - 16 9 - 11 +8.8      +5.6 62 +3.1 86 68.0 191 +8.2 73 +9.1 5
72 Providence 0.6%   14 - 16 7 - 12 +8.3      +8.4 38 0.0 173 76.2 22 +6.8 88 +6.9 7
79 Marquette 0.4%   11 - 19 6 - 13 +7.4      +2.3 110 +5.1 48 71.3 103 +3.7 114 +5.3 10
80 Georgetown 0.3%   13 - 17 5 - 14 +7.4      +4.2 82 +3.2 84 66.8 229 +5.7 93 +4.3 11
85 Butler 0.3%   15 - 15 6 - 13 +6.9      +4.8 75 +2.1 115 71.0 109 +7.6 78 +5.7 8
87 Xavier 0.3%   14 - 16 6 - 13 +6.5      +5.4 66 +1.1 139 74.0 46 +7.0 86 +5.4 9
90 DePaul 0.6%   16 - 14 8 - 11 +6.3      -0.2 170 +6.5 36 66.3 244 +7.6 80 +9.0 6


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Mar 3 80 Georgetown 69 19 St. John's 72   
Tue, Mar 3 52 Seton Hall 77 87 Xavier 68   
Wed, Mar 4 90 DePaul 57 35 Villanova 76   
Wed, Mar 4 85 Butler 59 67 Creighton 76   
Wed, Mar 4 79 Marquette 78 72 Providence 56   
Fri, Mar 6 52 Seton Hall 65 19 St. John's 72   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 7 80 Georgetown 83 72 Providence 81 58%   
Sat, Mar 7 85 Butler 71 90 DePaul 74 59%   
Sat, Mar 7 35 Villanova 82 87 Xavier 71 84%   
Sat, Mar 7 79 Marquette 67 7 Connecticut 77 83%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
St. John's 1.0 100.0
Connecticut 1.2 83.2 16.8
Villanova 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.0 100.0
Creighton 5.0 100.0
DePaul 5.4 58.8 41.2
Providence 6.8 17.4 82.6
Butler 8.0 23.8 58.8 15.8 1.6
Marquette 8.4 10.2 48.0 36.2 5.7
Xavier 8.4 9.4 48.1 36.5 6.0
Georgetown 9.7 23.4 26.1 7.7 42.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
St. John's 18 - 2 25 - 6 100.0
Connecticut 18 - 2 28 - 3 16.8 83.2
Villanova 15 - 5 24 - 7 16.1 83.9
Seton Hall 10 - 10 20 - 11 100.0
Creighton 9 - 11 15 - 16 100.0
DePaul 9 - 11 17 - 14 41.2 58.8
Providence 7 - 13 14 - 17 57.9 42.1
Butler 6 - 14 15 - 16 58.8 41.2
Marquette 6 - 14 11 - 20 83.2 16.8
Xavier 6 - 14 14 - 17 83.9 16.1
Georgetown 6 - 14 14 - 17 42.1 57.9

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. John's 100.0% 16.8 83.2
Connecticut 83.2% 83.2
Villanova
Seton Hall
Creighton
DePaul
Providence
Butler
Marquette
Xavier
Georgetown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 48.8% 51.2% 1   37.4 52.6 8.7 1.2 0.1 100.0%
St. John's 99.8% 32.1% 67.7% 5   0.0 0.9 8.1 18.1 32.7 29.0 10.0 0.9 0.1 0.2 99.7%
Villanova 94.9% 10.8% 84.1% 9   0.0 0.2 1.3 6.4 14.2 22.1 27.4 19.0 4.2 5.1 94.3%
Seton Hall 29.6% 4.5% 25.0% 0.0 0.6 5.1 22.9 0.9 70.5 26.2%
Creighton 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.6 0.6 0.0 98.8 0.0%
Providence 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.4 0.0%
Marquette 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%
Georgetown 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%
Butler 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%
Xavier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%
DePaul 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.3 0.3 0.0 99.4 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.3 3.1 66.5 29.7 0.8
1st Round 100.0% 3.1 5.2 75.8 18.7 0.3
2nd Round 100.0% 2.4 0.1 8.3 50.0 39.5 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 85.4% 1.2 14.6 50.6 32.3 2.6 0.0
Elite Eight 52.3% 0.6 47.7 46.1 6.1 0.0
Final Four 22.6% 0.2 77.4 22.0 0.7
Final Game 8.4% 0.1 91.6 8.3 0.1
Champion 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.7% 71.4% 41.5% 17.4% 6.8% 2.4%
St. John's 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 83.7% 41.1% 13.7% 5.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Villanova 94.9% 4.0% 93.2% 47.5% 9.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 29.6% 21.8% 17.4% 5.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton 1.2% 0.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%