Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
9 Connecticut 100.0%   3   24 - 3 14 - 2 +19.6      +10.1 17 +9.6 15 64.3 300 +24.3 4 +20.4 2
20 St. John's 99.6%   6   21 - 5 14 - 1 +17.7      +8.1 37 +9.6 14 73.5 58 +17.7 22 +24.3 1
31 Villanova 96.2%   7   21 - 5 12 - 3 +14.8      +8.1 36 +6.6 34 62.4 333 +17.8 21 +18.0 3
56 Seton Hall 32.2%   18 - 9 8 - 8 +10.0      +0.2 157 +9.9 11 64.6 290 +11.2 52 +9.7 5
60 Creighton 6.4%   14 - 13 8 - 8 +9.2      +6.7 52 +2.5 107 68.0 201 +9.2 61 +10.6 4
64 Providence 0.9%   11 - 15 4 - 11 +8.8      +8.9 28 -0.1 175 77.6 16 +5.3 94 +4.8 10
74 Georgetown 1.0%   13 - 13 5 - 10 +7.9      +5.0 71 +2.8 97 67.0 230 +7.0 82 +6.2 8
77 Butler 1.1%   14 - 13 5 - 11 +7.5      +5.6 64 +2.0 114 70.6 124 +8.1 77 +6.0 9
82 Xavier 0.6%   13 - 13 5 - 10 +7.0      +4.3 77 +2.7 100 74.7 37 +7.6 79 +6.3 7
87 Marquette 0.4%   9 - 18 4 - 12 +6.5      +3.0 99 +3.5 76 71.9 92 +2.3 124 +3.8 11
93 DePaul 0.6%   14 - 12 6 - 9 +6.0      +0.7 147 +5.3 50 66.8 234 +7.0 83 +8.8 6


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Feb 17 31 Villanova 92 82 Xavier 89   
Wed, Feb 18 60 Creighton 91 9 Connecticut 84   
Wed, Feb 18 87 Marquette 70 20 St. John's 76   
Wed, Feb 18 93 DePaul 69 56 Seton Hall 57   
Wed, Feb 18 77 Butler 93 74 Georgetown 89   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 21 9 Connecticut 70 31 Villanova 68 57%   
Sat, Feb 21 74 Georgetown 65 56 Seton Hall 70 69%   
Sat, Feb 21 77 Butler 83 82 Xavier 79 63%   
Sat, Feb 21 60 Creighton 72 20 St. John's 83 86%   
Sat, Feb 21 93 DePaul 81 64 Providence 80 51%   
Tue, Feb 24 64 Providence 90 82 Xavier 86 68%   
Tue, Feb 24 74 Georgetown 78 87 Marquette 74 66%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Connecticut 1.5 52.6 41.9 5.5
St. John's 1.3 73.1 23.7 3.2
Villanova 2.7 7.2 18.9 73.9
Seton Hall 4.6 53.1 39.1 6.6 1.2 0.0
Creighton 4.4 0.0 70.1 23.7 5.4 0.7 0.0
Providence 8.1 1.0 3.9 17.1 18.1 17.6 18.2 14.2 9.9
Georgetown 7.5 2.1 7.5 20.0 23.9 18.8 14.7 8.7 4.4
Butler 7.8 0.7 3.4 17.6 20.7 22.4 19.8 12.6 2.8
Xavier 7.7 1.6 6.1 17.5 22.1 18.6 16.7 13.6 3.8
Marquette 9.8 0.1 2.2 5.8 8.8 16.8 22.2 44.0
DePaul 6.3 10.6 16.8 36.6 18.5 9.5 5.7 2.2 0.2

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Connecticut 17 - 3 27 - 4 0.4 4.9 22.6 42.6 29.5
St. John's 17 - 3 24 - 7 0.2 2.7 13.2 33.7 37.3 12.9
Villanova 15 - 5 24 - 7 0.5 5.3 21.2 37.9 27.7 7.4
Seton Hall 10 - 10 20 - 11 10.1 33.6 38.9 15.7 1.8
Creighton 10 - 10 16 - 15 5.5 25.5 41.3 24.2 3.5
Providence 7 - 13 14 - 17 2.3 13.1 29.5 31.8 18.9 4.4
Georgetown 7 - 13 15 - 16 6.0 24.0 35.5 25.3 8.3 0.9
Butler 7 - 13 16 - 15 8.6 29.8 38.1 20.5 3.0
Xavier 7 - 13 15 - 16 8.8 27.5 34.7 21.5 6.6 0.9
Marquette 5 - 15 10 - 21 15.4 39.1 32.5 11.5 1.5
DePaul 8 - 12 16 - 15 8.3 25.7 33.4 23.0 8.3 1.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Connecticut 52.6% 24.1 26.0 2.5
St. John's 73.1% 44.7 25.9 2.5
Villanova 7.2% 0.9 3.7 2.5
Seton Hall
Creighton
Providence
Georgetown
Butler
Xavier
Marquette
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 44.1% 55.9% 3   8.3 30.5 35.6 19.2 5.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 99.6% 32.1% 67.5% 6   0.5 2.2 6.4 16.1 28.4 26.7 14.8 3.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.4 99.4%
Villanova 96.2% 14.8% 81.4% 7   0.0 0.6 1.9 6.8 16.1 25.5 22.8 15.5 6.0 1.0 3.9 95.5%
Seton Hall 32.2% 3.0% 29.2% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 8.2 20.6 0.6 67.8 30.1%
Creighton 6.4% 2.6% 3.8% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 4.7 0.6 0.0 93.6 3.9%
Providence 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.1 0.0%
Georgetown 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.0 0.3%
Butler 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 98.9 0.6%
Xavier 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4 0.1%
Marquette 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%
DePaul 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4 0.2%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.4 2.0 59.6 35.8 2.6 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 3.3 3.0 70.0 25.8 1.2 0.0
2nd Round 99.8% 2.4 0.2 8.3 43.9 44.4 3.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 82.8% 1.2 17.2 51.0 28.4 3.4 0.0
Elite Eight 44.6% 0.5 55.4 39.1 5.4 0.1
Final Four 19.6% 0.2 80.4 18.8 0.7
Final Game 7.8% 0.1 92.2 7.7 0.1
Champion 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.6% 63.4% 30.8% 13.4% 5.7% 2.3%
St. John's 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 81.2% 38.5% 14.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Villanova 96.2% 0.8% 95.8% 55.8% 14.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Seton Hall 32.2% 19.4% 21.5% 6.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton 6.4% 3.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.9% 0.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 1.0% 0.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 1.1% 0.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%