Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
9 Connecticut 100.0%   2   27 - 4 17 - 3 +19.9      +9.7 22 +10.1 13 63.8 308 +23.2 4 +19.9 2
19 St. John's 99.5%   5   25 - 6 18 - 2 +17.7      +7.2 45 +10.5 10 73.6 51 +18.2 21 +23.1 1
34 Villanova 91.7%   9   24 - 7 15 - 5 +14.3      +7.7 41 +6.6 33 63.8 309 +17.0 23 +16.9 3
54 Seton Hall 19.5%   20 - 11 10 - 10 +10.7      +0.8 142 +10.0 15 63.9 304 +11.2 53 +10.2 4
68 Creighton 2.0%   15 - 16 9 - 11 +8.8      +5.7 64 +3.1 92 68.0 191 +8.3 73 +9.1 5
70 Providence 0.8%   14 - 17 7 - 13 +8.4      +8.2 39 +0.2 166 76.3 21 +6.5 88 +6.5 9
74 Marquette 0.5%   12 - 19 7 - 13 +8.1      +2.3 113 +5.8 40 71.3 105 +4.8 105 +6.6 8
79 Butler 0.5%   16 - 15 7 - 13 +7.4      +5.0 71 +2.4 108 71.3 103 +8.3 72 +6.6 7
80 Georgetown 0.4%   14 - 17 6 - 14 +7.4      +4.0 84 +3.4 83 66.8 222 +6.3 89 +5.2 11
88 Xavier 0.3%   14 - 17 6 - 14 +6.4      +5.6 66 +0.9 144 74.1 39 +6.9 85 +5.4 10
95 DePaul 0.2%   16 - 15 8 - 12 +5.9      -0.5 175 +6.4 36 66.6 231 +7.0 83 +8.2 6


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Mar 6 54 Seton Hall 65 19 St. John's 72   
Sat, Mar 7 74 Marquette 68 9 Connecticut 62   
Sat, Mar 7 80 Georgetown 80 70 Providence 79   
Sat, Mar 7 34 Villanova 91 88 Xavier 78   
Sat, Mar 7 79 Butler 81 95 DePaul 71   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 11 79 Butler 85 70 Providence 86 54%   
Wed, Mar 11 74 Marquette 80 88 Xavier 79 56%   
Wed, Mar 11 95 DePaul 69 80 Georgetown 70 56%   
Thu, Mar 12 68 Creighton 67 54 Seton Hall 69 58%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
St. John's 1.0 100.0
Connecticut 2.0 100.0
Villanova 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.0 100.0
Creighton 5.0 100.0
DePaul 6.0 100.0
Providence 7.0 100.0
Butler 7.0 100.0
Marquette 7.0 100.0
Xavier 10.0 100.0
Georgetown 10.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
St. John's 18 - 2 25 - 6 100.0
Connecticut 17 - 3 27 - 4 100.0
Villanova 15 - 5 24 - 7 100.0
Seton Hall 10 - 10 21 - 11 100.0
Creighton 9 - 11 15 - 17 100.0
DePaul 8 - 12 16 - 16 100.0
Providence 7 - 13 15 - 17 100.0
Butler 7 - 13 16 - 16 100.0
Marquette 7 - 13 13 - 19 100.0
Xavier 6 - 14 14 - 18 100.0
Georgetown 6 - 14 15 - 17 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. John's 100.0% 100.0
Connecticut
Villanova
Seton Hall
Creighton
DePaul
Providence
Butler
Marquette
Xavier
Georgetown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 45.9% 54.2% 2   13.1 52.8 24.8 8.2 1.1 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 99.5% 31.7% 67.8% 5   0.1 2.1 8.7 17.0 29.2 30.1 11.6 0.8 0.0 0.5 99.2%
Villanova 91.7% 13.3% 78.4% 9   0.0 0.1 0.6 4.6 15.0 26.9 28.2 14.5 1.9 8.3 90.4%
Seton Hall 19.5% 4.5% 15.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.3 13.4 1.1 80.5 15.7%
Creighton 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 1.0 0.1 98.0 0.0%
Providence 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.7 0.1 99.2 0.0%
Marquette 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 0.0 99.5 0.0%
Butler 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 99.5 0.0%
Georgetown 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 99.6 0.0%
Xavier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.7 0.0%
DePaul 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.2 0.0 6.4 72.1 21.1 0.3
1st Round 100.0% 3.1 0.0 7.5 76.8 15.5 0.2
2nd Round 99.8% 2.3 0.2 9.5 50.0 38.9 1.5
Sweet Sixteen 83.7% 1.2 16.3 52.1 29.4 2.2 0.0
Elite Eight 48.3% 0.5 51.7 42.5 5.7 0.1
Final Four 18.9% 0.2 81.1 18.2 0.7
Final Game 7.2% 0.1 92.8 7.1 0.1
Champion 2.5% 0.0 97.6 2.5

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.6% 67.3% 36.6% 13.7% 5.4% 1.9%
St. John's 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 82.8% 40.7% 14.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Villanova 91.7% 1.9% 90.9% 47.1% 8.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Seton Hall 19.5% 12.5% 13.3% 4.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton 2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.8% 0.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%