Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
8 Connecticut 100.0%   2   27 - 3 17 - 2 +20.5      +10.4 18 +10.1 14 63.8 307 +25.2 4 +22.1 2
20 St. John's 99.8%   5   23 - 6 16 - 2 +17.9      +7.2 49 +10.7 9 73.9 48 +17.7 21 +22.5 1
37 Villanova 93.6%   9   22 - 7 13 - 5 +13.6      +7.4 47 +6.2 37 63.1 325 +16.6 24 +16.4 3
55 Seton Hall 28.9%   19 - 10 9 - 9 +10.3      -0.2 166 +10.5 12 64.5 286 +11.0 52 +9.8 4
59 Providence 1.5%   14 - 15 7 - 11 +9.3      +9.3 24 0.0 171 76.4 22 +7.4 84 +7.7 7
72 Creighton 0.9%   14 - 16 8 - 11 +8.1      +5.8 58 +2.3 113 68.0 193 +7.5 81 +8.3 6
79 Butler 0.6%   15 - 14 6 - 12 +7.5      +5.7 60 +1.9 122 70.8 115 +8.2 74 +6.4 8
83 Georgetown 0.4%   13 - 16 5 - 13 +6.9      +4.0 84 +2.8 95 66.8 230 +5.7 91 +4.3 10
84 Xavier 0.4%   14 - 15 6 - 12 +6.8      +5.2 70 +1.7 124 74.3 39 +7.3 85 +6.0 9
85 DePaul 0.8%   16 - 13 8 - 10 +6.7      +0.2 156 +6.5 34 65.9 250 +7.9 75 +9.4 5
88 Marquette 0.3%   10 - 19 5 - 13 +6.4      +2.3 110 +4.1 67 71.4 101 +2.8 122 +4.1 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 55 Seton Hall 67 8 Connecticut 71   
Sat, Feb 28 72 Creighton 76 59 Providence 79   
Sat, Feb 28 83 Georgetown 84 84 Xavier 91   
Sat, Feb 28 20 St. John's 89 37 Villanova 57   
Sun, Mar 1 85 DePaul 62 88 Marquette 51   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 3 55 Seton Hall 72 84 Xavier 71 52%   
Tue, Mar 3 83 Georgetown 68 20 St. John's 82 90%   
Wed, Mar 4 79 Butler 80 72 Creighton 78 59%   
Wed, Mar 4 88 Marquette 81 59 Providence 87 71%   
Wed, Mar 4 85 DePaul 66 37 Villanova 70 65%   
Fri, Mar 6 55 Seton Hall 65 20 St. John's 70 67%   
Sat, Mar 7 79 Butler 72 85 DePaul 74 58%   
Sat, Mar 7 83 Georgetown 83 59 Providence 82 52%   
Sat, Mar 7 37 Villanova 81 84 Xavier 71 82%   
Sat, Mar 7 88 Marquette 67 8 Connecticut 78 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Connecticut 1.1 90.8 9.2
St. John's 1.3 66.1 33.9
Villanova 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.1 92.7 7.3
DePaul 4.9 34.1 49.5 12.6 3.8
Creighton 5.6 10.2 35.7 39.8 14.3
Providence 5.9 8.8 28.9 31.2 26.2 4.6 0.3
Butler 7.6 10.9 11.1 10.5 48.6 17.6 1.4 0.0
Xavier 8.3 1.0 3.7 9.2 42.5 40.4 3.1 0.1
Georgetown 9.7 1.1 8.3 24.0 48.9 17.9
Marquette 10.0 1.8 5.6 16.0 41.9 34.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Connecticut 18 - 2 28 - 3 15.2 84.8
St. John's 18 - 2 25 - 6 3.2 36.1 60.7
Villanova 14 - 6 23 - 8 6.8 40.5 52.7
Seton Hall 10 - 10 20 - 11 32.6 49.7 17.7
DePaul 9 - 11 17 - 14 27.2 51.1 21.6
Creighton 8 - 12 14 - 17 58.8 41.2
Providence 8 - 12 15 - 16 15.8 50.1 34.1
Butler 7 - 13 16 - 15 24.6 50.4 25.0
Xavier 7 - 13 15 - 16 43.0 47.7 9.3
Georgetown 6 - 14 14 - 17 43.3 51.6 5.2
Marquette 5 - 15 10 - 21 60.4 34.8 4.8

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Connecticut 90.8% 33.9 56.9
St. John's 66.1% 9.2 56.9
Villanova
Seton Hall
DePaul
Creighton
Providence
Butler
Xavier
Georgetown
Marquette


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 50.2% 49.9% 2   32.6 54.8 11.7 0.9 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 99.8% 32.9% 66.8% 5   0.2 1.1 7.1 16.9 32.6 28.5 11.6 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 99.6%
Villanova 93.6% 8.9% 84.7% 9   0.1 0.2 1.8 7.1 16.4 23.3 25.0 15.7 4.0 0.0 6.4 93.0%
Seton Hall 28.9% 3.4% 25.5% 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.8 20.4 1.2 71.1 26.4%
Providence 1.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 98.5 0.1%
Creighton 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 99.1 0.0%
Butler 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 99.4 0.1%
Georgetown 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0%
Xavier 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.0%
DePaul 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 99.2 0.1%
Marquette 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.3 0.0 4.0 65.6 29.4 0.9
1st Round 100.0% 3.1 0.0 6.1 74.0 19.5 0.4
2nd Round 99.9% 2.3 0.1 8.8 50.6 38.5 2.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 85.0% 1.2 15.0 51.9 30.8 2.2
Elite Eight 52.2% 0.6 47.8 46.2 5.9 0.1
Final Four 23.3% 0.2 76.7 22.6 0.7
Final Game 9.1% 0.1 91.0 9.0 0.1
Champion 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.7% 71.3% 41.4% 18.0% 7.3% 2.7%
St. John's 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 83.1% 39.4% 14.2% 5.4% 1.7% 0.5%
Villanova 93.6% 3.7% 91.9% 45.5% 8.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 28.9% 19.6% 17.8% 5.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 1.5% 0.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.8% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%