Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
8 Connecticut 100.0%   1   27 - 3 17 - 2 +20.5      +10.4 18 +10.1 14 63.8 307 +25.1 4 +22.1 2
19 St. John's 99.8%   5   24 - 6 17 - 2 +17.5      +6.8 50 +10.7 11 73.8 47 +17.7 21 +22.6 1
38 Villanova 92.8%   9   22 - 7 13 - 5 +13.6      +7.4 44 +6.2 37 63.2 324 +16.5 24 +16.4 3
53 Seton Hall 36.4%   20 - 10 10 - 9 +10.7      +0.4 153 +10.3 12 64.2 296 +11.5 51 +10.5 4
61 Providence 1.3%   14 - 15 7 - 11 +9.3      +9.3 24 0.0 170 76.4 22 +7.4 83 +7.7 7
72 Creighton 0.7%   14 - 16 8 - 11 +8.1      +5.8 60 +2.3 115 68.0 192 +7.5 82 +8.3 6
79 Butler 0.7%   15 - 14 6 - 12 +7.5      +5.6 62 +1.9 122 70.8 113 +8.2 72 +6.4 8
80 Georgetown 0.4%   13 - 17 5 - 14 +7.3      +4.1 84 +3.3 84 66.7 229 +5.7 92 +4.3 10
84 DePaul 0.9%   16 - 13 8 - 10 +6.7      +0.2 158 +6.5 34 66.0 252 +7.9 75 +9.5 5
86 Xavier 0.3%   14 - 16 6 - 13 +6.5      +5.4 66 +1.1 138 73.9 45 +6.9 87 +5.4 9
87 Marquette 0.2%   10 - 19 5 - 13 +6.4      +2.3 109 +4.1 70 71.5 100 +2.8 121 +4.1 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 53 Seton Hall 67 8 Connecticut 71   
Sat, Feb 28 72 Creighton 76 61 Providence 79   
Sat, Feb 28 80 Georgetown 84 86 Xavier 91   
Sat, Feb 28 19 St. John's 89 38 Villanova 57   
Sun, Mar 1 84 DePaul 62 87 Marquette 51   
Tue, Mar 3 80 Georgetown 69 19 St. John's 72   
Tue, Mar 3 53 Seton Hall 77 86 Xavier 68   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 79 Butler 80 72 Creighton 78 59%   
Wed, Mar 4 87 Marquette 81 61 Providence 87 71%   
Wed, Mar 4 84 DePaul 66 38 Villanova 69 65%   
Fri, Mar 6 53 Seton Hall 66 19 St. John's 70 64%   
Sat, Mar 7 80 Georgetown 83 61 Providence 82 54%   
Sat, Mar 7 79 Butler 72 84 DePaul 74 58%   
Sat, Mar 7 38 Villanova 81 86 Xavier 71 83%   
Sat, Mar 7 87 Marquette 67 8 Connecticut 78 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Connecticut 1.1 90.5 9.6
St. John's 1.3 69.1 30.9
Villanova 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.0 100.0
DePaul 5.1 13.7 69.9 12.8 3.6
Creighton 5.7 42.6 43.3 14.0
Providence 6.0 33.8 34.8 27.4 4.1
Butler 7.4 10.9 11.5 10.8 61.4 5.2 0.1
Xavier 8.7 2.1 30.9 64.0 2.9
Georgetown 9.6 10.4 35.0 36.6 18.1
Marquette 9.8 2.0 9.1 23.7 32.5 32.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Connecticut 18 - 2 28 - 3 14.7 85.3
St. John's 18 - 2 25 - 6 36.0 64.0
Villanova 14 - 6 23 - 8 6.7 39.8 53.6
Seton Hall 10 - 10 20 - 11 64.0 36.0
DePaul 9 - 11 17 - 14 27.3 51.0 21.7
Creighton 8 - 12 14 - 17 59.3 40.7
Providence 8 - 12 15 - 16 16.2 51.1 32.7
Butler 7 - 13 16 - 15 24.5 50.4 25.1
Xavier 6 - 14 14 - 17 82.6 17.4
Georgetown 6 - 14 14 - 17 45.7 54.3
Marquette 5 - 15 10 - 21 60.7 34.7 4.6

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Connecticut 90.5% 30.9 59.6
St. John's 69.1% 9.6 59.6
Villanova
Seton Hall
DePaul
Creighton
Providence
Butler
Xavier
Georgetown
Marquette


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 50.6% 49.5% 1   38.9 52.6 7.5 0.9 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 99.8% 30.8% 69.0% 5   0.0 1.0 7.8 17.3 30.4 28.5 12.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 99.7%
Villanova 92.8% 9.7% 83.0% 9   0.0 0.2 1.4 5.8 13.1 20.4 25.5 20.5 5.9 0.0 7.3 92.0%
Seton Hall 36.4% 4.7% 31.7% 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 9.0 24.4 0.9 63.6 33.3%
Providence 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.7 0.2%
Creighton 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 99.3 0.0%
Butler 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 99.3 0.1%
Georgetown 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.6 0.0%
DePaul 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 99.1 0.0%
Xavier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%
Marquette 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.3 4.0 59.6 35.3 1.1
1st Round 100.0% 3.2 0.0 6.8 69.6 23.1 0.5
2nd Round 99.9% 2.3 0.1 9.6 50.8 37.0 2.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 84.9% 1.2 15.1 52.7 29.9 2.3
Elite Eight 52.0% 0.6 48.1 46.2 5.7 0.1
Final Four 22.8% 0.2 77.2 22.1 0.7 0.0
Final Game 9.0% 0.1 91.0 8.9 0.1
Champion 3.1% 0.0 97.0 3.1

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.9% 71.3% 41.7% 18.2% 7.4% 2.6%
St. John's 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 81.5% 38.4% 13.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Villanova 92.8% 5.9% 90.0% 43.8% 8.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 36.4% 23.8% 23.3% 7.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 1.3% 0.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%