DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.2 99
Expected Predictive Rating +5.2 90
Pace 67.3 223
Improvement +2.9 70

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #153 C C+ C C C-
Defense B #53 B- B B C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 259 60% 120 -0.7 203
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 166 40% 97 +0.7 139
Three Pointers 43% 144 33% 215 +0.4 163
1st FG Attempt 1.03 160 +0.4 161
Second Chance 30.3% 190 1.14 51 0.35 103
Turnovers 17.1% 194
Freethrows 0.32 134 70% 250 0.23 167
Total Offense +0.3 153

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 188 50% 28 +2.9 86
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 38 38% 190 -2.3 337
Three Pointers 35% 330 36% 266 +1.9 103
1st FG Attempt 0.97 94 +2.6 96
Second Chance 29.2% 119 0.89 24 0.26 55
Turnovers 19.4% 48
Freethrows 0.32 216 71% 85 0.22 199
Total Defense +4.9 53

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.3 227 -0.7 65
Shot Type Accuracy +0.7 147 -1.8 109
Possession Length 18.0 252 17.3 190
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 111 0.12 26
Improvement +2.0 #80 +0.8 #131

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.7 12.3
.500 or above 24.6% 39.0% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 3.3% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.9% 18.9% 45.5%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 47.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 8
Quad 23 - 74 - 15
Quad 35 - 19 - 17
Quad 46 - 115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 354 Chicago St. W 92 - 62 97% +19  99% 1 - 0 B+ +13 B- +5 D+ A B- B+ +7 A- D- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 330 Stonehill W 72 - 64 95% +8  85% 2 - 0 D+ -6 F -10 F C- B B- +3 C+ D+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 211 Buffalo L 53 - 66 85% -11  3% 2 - 1 F -19 F -27 F F F B+ +7 A+ D B-
 Fri, Nov 14 64 Northwestern L 79 - 81 49% -1  27% 2 - 2 C+ +3 B+ +8 C- A+ D+ D+ -5 F A- A-
 Tue, Nov 18 363 Gardner-Webb W 93 - 62 98% +21  98% 3 - 2 B +10 D+ -4 B- F D- A- +10 B C B-
 Sun, Nov 23 270 Detroit Mercy W 95 - 75 90% +9  66% 4 - 2 B +11 A+ +18 A A+ A- D -6 D- B- B-
 Fri, Nov 28 121 Georgia Tech W 75 - 61 60% +1  54% 5 - 2 A- +17 B +6 B B C+ A +11 A+ C- D+
 Sat, Nov 29 49 LSU L 63 - 96 30% -23  0% 5 - 3 F -22 F+ -8 C F D- F -14 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 317 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76 - 72 94% -1  44% 6 - 3 D -9 F -10 F C A+ C+ +1 F A A-
 Tue, Dec 9 352 Morgan St. W 92 - 49 97% +28  96% 7 - 3 A+ +26 A- +11 A C B- A+ +17 A+ A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 92 @Wichita St. W 61 - 58 37% +1  69% 8 - 3 B+ +12 D+ -3 A+ D- F A+ +15 A- A+ B
 Tue, Dec 16 15 @St. John's L 66 - 79 8% -10  1% 8 - 4 0 - 1 B +8 C +1 D- A- A B+ +8 C- A+ C
 Sun, Dec 21 8 Connecticut L 54 - 72 12% -5  26% 8 - 5 0 - 2 C +0 F -10 C D- C+ A +10 A- C A
 Wed, Dec 31 30 @Villanova L 66 - 71 12% +2  72% 8 - 6 0 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +2 C B C- A +11 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 87 Xavier W 86 - 77 57% +3  87% 9 - 6 1 - 3 B+ +12 A +14 B+ B+ A- C -1 C- C C-
 Tue, Jan 6 76 Georgetown W 56 - 50 53% +2  59% 10 - 6 2 - 3 B +11 F -14 D C- F A+ +25 A+ F A
 Sat, Jan 10 8 @Connecticut L 60 - 72 5% -11  0% 10 - 7 2 - 4 B+ +12 C+ +2 A C+ D- A- +9 C+ A+ A
 Fri, Jan 16 89 Marquette W 80 - 75 58% -0  46% 11 - 7 3 - 4 B +8 A +13 B A+ A+ D+ -5 F A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 20 77 @Butler L 80 - 87 30% -2  51% 11 - 8 3 - 5 C+ +3 B +7 D+ A+ C+ C- -3 F C B-
 Sat, Jan 24 54 Seton Hall W 67 - 60 43% +8  97% 12 - 8 4 - 5 B+ +14 C+ +3 B+ D+ A A +11 A- B+ C-
 Wed, Jan 28 76 @Georgetown L 61 - 70 30% -6  0% 12 - 9 4 - 6 C +2 C+ +2 C B+ D+ C- -2 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 87 @Xavier L 66 - 68 35% +7  93% 12 - 10 4 - 7 B- +7 C +1 B- B- C+ B +6 C- A B+
 Tue, Feb 3 15 St. John's L 56 - 68 17% -4  15% 12 - 11 4 - 8 C+ +3 F+ -9 D- B- D+ A +11 A+ C+ D-
 Sat, Feb 7 60 @Providence L 72 - 90 25% -14  0% 12 - 12 4 - 9 D+ -6 D+ -4 D+ B+ B- C- -2 F F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 62 Creighton L 72 - 73 47%
 Wed, Feb 18 54 @Seton Hall L 61 - 69 22%
 Sat, Feb 21 60 Providence L 80 - 81 46%
 Wed, Feb 25 62 @Creighton L 69 - 76 27%
 Sun, Mar 1 89 @Marquette L 70 - 74 36%
 Wed, Mar 4 30 Villanova L 65 - 72 27%
 Sat, Mar 7 77 Butler W 74 - 73 52%
Totals 15 - 16 7 - 13 +5 C +0 C C+ C B +5 B- B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C+ C- C+ 36% 21% 43% C- C C B C+ C C+ D+ C B B+ C D+ B- 39% 26% 35% B B- C+ B+ B B C- B- C
1.09 60% 40% 33% +1 0 1.03 30% 1.1 .35 17% .32 70% .23 1.02 50% 38% 36% -2 -1 0.97 29% 0.9 .26 19% .32 71% .23
Nov
3		 Chicago St. B- B- A+ F D 47% 10% 43% B D+ B A A B- A+ F A+ B+ A+ F+ A+ B 17% 50% 33% A+ A- C- F D- A+ F B+ F
1.26 67% 60% 27% +2 +2 1.10 41% 1.3 .54 18% .59 69% .40 0.85 13% 46% 25% -8 -5 0.75 29% 1.1 .32 22% .41 70% .28
Nov
7		 Stonehill F B+ F F F 42% 17% 41% C+ F D- A- C- B A+ F A+ B- A+ F C- C 35% 25% 40% B+ C+ A+ F D+ C C- A+ C+
0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30 0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15
Nov
11		 Buffalo F F F A+ F 32% 17% 51% D+ F C+ F F F A+ F C+ B+ A+ D+ C- A+ 36% 32% 32% A+ A+ C+ F D B- F B F
0.78 38% 14% 43% -3 0 0.95 34% 0.3 .11 30% .42 50% .21 0.98 31% 43% 36% -7 -2 0.84 26% 1.3 .34 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Northwestern B+ F D+ B- D+ 43% 20% 37% B C- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F F 46% 22% 33% D+ F B+ B A- A- F A D+
1.17 45% 33% 35% -6 0 0.91 46% 1.3 .57 19% .49 81% .40 1.20 71% 50% 47% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.2 .29 16% .42 67% .28
Nov
18		 Gardner-Webb D+ A- A+ D- B- 43% 18% 38% C B- F B F D- D A+ C- A- A+ A C- B 35% 23% 42% B+ B F+ A- C B- B- A+ A-
1.17 73% 64% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.2 .23 18% .24 81% .20 0.78 40% 23% 33% -10 -1 0.81 30% 0.8 .23 23% .24 53% .13
Nov
23		 Detroit Mercy A+ C+ F A+ A+ 36% 18% 46% D+ A A A+ A+ A- A- A A+ D C+ D+ F D- 42% 35% 23% D D- F+ A B- B- F+ F F
1.41 61% 22% 52% +11 0 1.24 41% 1.4 .59 10% .43 81% .35 1.12 55% 41% 45% +4 -2 1.06 38% 0.7 .26 18% .34 84% .29
Nov
28		 Georgia Tech B C A+ D B- 41% 18% 41% B B C- A+ B C+ C+ A+ B+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 26% 31% C+ A+ C C- C- D+ B+ F B-
1.12 55% 56% 30% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.4 .37 15% .30 82% .25 0.91 57% 21% 12% -15 0 0.70 33% 1.2 .38 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
29		 LSU F+ F A+ F C+ 29% 27% 45% D C F+ F F D- A+ F B- F F F D- F 60% 13% 28% F F F F F A+ F D F
0.91 43% 69% 27% 0 -1 0.98 22% 0.6 .14 19% .41 52% .21 1.39 79% 67% 38% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.8 .74 22% .48 81% .39
Dec
6		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F F+ F+ F F 49% 16% 36% B- F F A+ C A+ A+ D A+ C+ B- F F F 31% 33% 35% A- F A A A A- A+ F A+
1.03 50% 29% 13% -17 +1 0.71 24% 1.7 .41 9% .61 71% .43 0.97 53% 56% 42% +9 -2 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 23% .12 86% .11
Dec
9		 Morgan St. A- A+ F A+ A 38% 17% 45% D A F+ A+ C B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 26% 38% 36% A A+ F A+ A A+ F D F
1.36 88% 14% 42% +13 0 1.29 28% 1.6 .44 13% .63 78% .49 0.72 27% 25% 20% -20 -3 0.55 45% 0.3 .13 30% .65 77% .50
Dec
13		 Wichita St. D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 38% B A+ D+ F D- F D- F F+ A+ B+ A+ B A 50% 19% 31% D A- C A+ A+ B F A+ D
0.97 59% 56% 44% +10 0 1.21 25% 0.7 .17 29% .22 60% .13 0.92 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 39% 0.7 .26 17% .54 46% .25
Dec
16		 St. John's C F A F D- 36% 22% 41% C- D- C- A+ A- A F A+ F B+ B+ B F C- 47% 12% 41% C- C- A+ A+ A+ C B F+ C+
0.94 38% 46% 25% -11 0 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 17% .09 100% .09 1.13 50% 33% 43% +1 +2 1.08 29% 0.9 .26 14% .35 81% .28
Dec
21		 Connecticut F F A F C 41% 35% 24% D C C F D- C+ B F D- A D A+ C B+ 35% 28% 37% A+ A- C- C+ C A C+ D C-
0.79 35% 47% 25% -10 -2 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 19% .38 52% .20 1.05 69% 31% 35% +2 -1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 22% .30 75% .23
Dec
31		 Villanova C+ D+ C+ C C 41% 29% 29% C C B B- B C- C F D+ A A+ A+ F A 31% 27% 42% A A+ B A+ A+ D- F B+ F
0.99 52% 40% 33% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 21% .23 58% .13 1.06 33% 23% 50% -2 -1 0.96 33% 0.6 .20 12% .53 68% .36
Jan
3		 Xavier A C+ A+ C+ A- 32% 19% 49% C B+ B- A B+ A- A+ A+ A+ C B+ F D- C 31% 22% 47% C- C- F A+ C C- B- C B-
1.25 60% 67% 35% +7 0 1.15 30% 1.1 .33 15% .53 81% .43 1.12 53% 50% 38% +4 -1 1.09 36% 0.7 .26 12% .23 71% .16
Jan
6		 Georgetown F A+ F A- C- 16% 42% 42% F D C- C C- F A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 34% 25% B+ A+ C+ F F A F D- F
0.84 71% 17% 39% -4 -4 0.86 27% 1.0 .27 23% .41 62% .25 0.75 17% 20% 9% -32 -2 0.34 33% 1.5 .49 20% .58 81% .47
Jan
10		 Connecticut C+ B- A+ D- A+ 39% 34% 27% D- A D A C+ D- C C C A- C C D B- 55% 16% 30% D+ C+ A A+ A+ A F+ F F
0.93 56% 50% 27% +1 -2 1.00 21% 1.2 .25 23% .34 71% .24 1.12 63% 43% 38% +5 +2 1.16 30% 0.6 .19 22% .38 84% .32
Jan
16		 Marquette A B- D A+ B+ 36% 26% 38% D B A A+ A+ A+ D+ F F D+ D- C F F 37% 15% 48% A F A+ A+ A+ D- A A+ A+
1.24 61% 31% 42% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.3 .51 12% .23 54% .12 1.16 65% 38% 46% +11 +1 1.26 23% 0.4 .09 11% .23 38% .09
Jan
20		 Butler B F A+ D D+ 25% 16% 59% C- D+ B- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- D- F F 41% 25% 34% A F A- F C B- F B- F
1.11 38% 63% 30% -5 0 0.92 32% 1.4 .44 17% .35 86% .30 1.21 67% 45% 47% +12 0 1.25 31% 1.4 .42 17% .52 68% .35
Jan
24		 Seton Hall C+ A+ F C A- 28% 18% 54% D+ B+ D C+ D+ A A+ B- A+ A A+ B- D A- 48% 30% 22% B A- A+ D B+ C- B- A+ A
1.01 73% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 20% .63 74% .47 0.90 42% 33% 36% -8 -1 0.84 28% 1.1 .31 15% .30 59% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Georgetown C+ A+ F B- C+ 27% 27% 46% D+ C B+ B B+ D+ F F F C- F B- F F 44% 33% 23% B F B A+ A+ B+ D+ F F
1.03 69% 15% 36% -1 -2 0.96 35% 1.1 .38 19% .10 40% .04 1.19 74% 36% 50% +12 -1 1.23 30% 0.5 .15 17% .37 94% .35
Jan
31		 Xavier C C- A+ C B 34% 26% 40% D+ B- D A+ B- C+ F F F B C- F D D- 24% 40% 36% A+ C- A+ A- A B+ F F F
1.04 56% 57% 33% +4 -1 1.08 23% 1.3 .29 17% .02 0% .00 1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -4 1.11 17% 0.8 .14 16% .35 84% .30
Feb
3		 St. John's F+ B+ F F D- 35% 26% 40% D D- B C B- D+ A+ B A+ A A+ A+ B A+ 53% 13% 34% D A+ B- C- C+ D- F B+ F+
0.85 60% 18% 24% -11 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .31 23% .39 75% .30 1.04 32% 17% 31% -18 +2 0.70 37% 1.3 .46 11% .49 69% .34
Feb
7		 Providence D+ C+ A+ F D- 48% 17% 34% A- D+ B- A- B+ B- F F F C- C F F F 46% 20% 35% C+ F F C F A+ F A+ C
1.01 57% 50% 20% -6 +1 0.93 33% 1.1 .37 14% .18 64% .11 1.26 62% 78% 44% +15 +1 1.33 46% 1.2 .54 22% .45 60% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 1.3 0.1 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 2.5 3.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 1.6 7.8 1.2 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.3 9.6 4.9 0.1 14.9 7th
8th 0.0 4.5 11.3 0.5 16.3 8th
9th 1.0 13.1 3.6 0.0 17.6 9th
10th 0.1 7.7 8.9 0.3 17.0 10th
11th 4.7 8.5 1.1 0.0 14.3 11th
Total 4.8 17.2 27.9 26.4 15.8 6.2 1.5 0.2 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.2% 3.1% 3.1% 11.0 0.0 0.2 3.1%
10-10 1.5% 2.6% 1.6% 1.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0%
9-11 6.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.1%
8-12 15.8% 0.3% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8
7-13 26.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 26.4
6-14 27.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 27.8
5-15 17.2% 17.2
4-16 4.8% 4.8
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 11.9 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.5%