DePaul
Big East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#124
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#125
Pace71.9#85
Improvement+0.2#163

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#99
First Shot+2.3#95
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#145
Layup/Dunks-2.3#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#65
Freethrows+1.4#75
Improvement+0.2#157

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#177
First Shot-0.2#181
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#168
Layups/Dunks-0.6#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#140
Freethrows-0.3#208
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 1.2% 6.8%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
First Round0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 14.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 11
Quad 21 - 72 - 17
Quad 34 - 36 - 20
Quad 45 - 011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 333   Loyola Maryland W 72-66 92%     1 - 0 -7.0 -3.5 -3.3
  Nov 11, 2022 256   Western Illinois W 86-74 83%     2 - 0 +4.4 +6.8 -2.5
  Nov 14, 2022 173   @ Minnesota W 69-53 49%     3 - 0 +18.7 +7.8 +12.7
  Nov 18, 2022 93   Santa Clara L 61-69 39%     3 - 1 -2.7 -14.4 +12.3
  Nov 20, 2022 35   Oklahoma St. L 78-82 19%     3 - 2 +7.9 +11.0 -2.8
  Nov 25, 2022 42   Texas A&M L 66-82 30%     3 - 3 -8.1 -5.4 -2.3
  Nov 30, 2022 145   Samford W 103-98 OT 65%     4 - 3 +3.6 +7.2 -4.5
  Dec 03, 2022 220   @ Loyola Chicago W 78-72 OT 59%     5 - 3 +6.2 +6.7 -0.3
  Dec 07, 2022 72   @ St. John's L 67-86 23%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -8.7 -2.5 -5.5
  Dec 10, 2022 175   UTEP W 91-70 70%     6 - 4 +18.1 +17.2 -0.2
  Dec 14, 2022 126   @ Duquesne L 55-66 40%     6 - 5 -5.9 -12.1 +5.2
  Dec 17, 2022 50   @ Northwestern L 45-83 17%     6 - 6 -25.4 -22.0 -1.3
  Dec 25, 2022 11   @ Creighton L 65-80 8%     6 - 7 0 - 2 +3.1 -0.8 +4.5
  Dec 29, 2022 186   Georgetown W 83-76 72%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +3.4 +5.7 -2.5
  Jan 01, 2023 25   Providence L 59-74 23%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -4.8 -13.4 +9.4
  Jan 04, 2023 86   @ Butler L 70-78 28%     7 - 9 1 - 4 +0.5 +3.6 -3.2
  Jan 10, 2023 62   Villanova W 75-65 38%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +15.7 +8.5 +7.8
  Jan 14, 2023 41   Seton Hall L 67-71 30%     8 - 10 2 - 5 +4.0 +6.6 -2.9
  Jan 18, 2023 19   Xavier W 73-72 21%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +12.1 -1.3 +13.4
  Jan 21, 2023 25   @ Providence L 64-75 11%     9 - 11 3 - 6 +4.7 +1.3 +2.8
  Jan 24, 2023 186   @ Georgetown L 76-81 53%     9 - 12 3 - 7 -3.2 +3.2 -6.4
  Jan 28, 2023 8   Marquette L 69-89 16%     9 - 13 3 - 8 -6.8 +2.2 -9.7
  Jan 31, 2023 6   Connecticut L 76-90 13%     9 - 14 3 - 9 +0.5 +10.7 -10.3
  Feb 05, 2023 41   @ Seton Hall L 64-75 15%    
  Feb 08, 2023 62   @ Villanova L 66-75 20%    
  Feb 14, 2023 72   St. John's L 79-81 43%    
  Feb 18, 2023 19   @ Xavier L 74-88 9%    
  Feb 22, 2023 86   Butler L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 25, 2023 8   @ Marquette L 71-87 6%    
  Mar 01, 2023 6   @ Connecticut L 66-83 5%    
  Mar 04, 2023 11   Creighton L 69-79 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 2.0 6.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 4.1 15.6 6.9 0.6 0.0 27.1 9th
10th 13.9 29.2 13.2 1.0 0.0 57.3 10th
11th 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 14.8 33.6 30.8 15.2 4.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1
8-12 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.8
7-13 4.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.5
6-14 15.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 15.1
5-15 30.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 30.6
4-16 33.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 33.4
3-17 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.8
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 14.8% 0.4% 16.0 0.4