IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Furman
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.7	#151
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.3	#134

Pace	67.0	#249
Improvement	+3.2	#28

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#140

First Shot	+2.8	#98
After Offensive Rebound	-2.0	#310

Layup/Dunks	+3.0	#74
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.5	#259
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.5	#102
Freethrows	-1.2	#261

Improvement	+2.1	#45

Defense
Total Defense	-0.1	#168

First Shot	+1.7	#121
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.7	#305

Layups/Dunks	+0.9	#152
2 Pt Jumpshots	-3.9	#356
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.0	#144
Freethrows	+3.7	#12

Improvement	+1.1	#112

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.9%	27.1%	21.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.9	13.8	14.3

.500 or above	95.4%	97.3%	89.0%
.500 or above in Conference	94.5%	95.4%	91.4%
Conference Champion	36.2%	38.4%	28.5%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.1%	0.3%

First Four	0.4%	0.3%	0.6%
First Round	25.7%	27.0%	21.3%
Second Round	1.4%	1.5%	1.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 78.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 2
Quad 3	4 - 5	5 - 7
Quad 4	15 - 3	20 - 10

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	108 High Point	L	71-97	37%	0 - 1			-22.0	-6.4	-14.5
Fri, Nov 7	138 Troy	L	61-64	59%	0 - 2			-4.6	-10.7	+6.0
Fri, Nov 14	94 @Northern Iowa	L	54-70	23%	0 - 3			-7.4	-5.1	-3.8
Sun, Nov 23	209 Queens	W	90-79	75%	1 - 3			+4.8	+18.8	-12.8
Thu, Nov 27	104 Richmond	W	73-72	36%	2 - 3			+5.4	+3.7	+1.7
Fri, Nov 28	88 Illinois St.	L	65-72	29%	2 - 4			-0.6	-2.4	+1.5
Wed, Dec 3	166 @Elon	W	97-88	43%	3 - 4			+11.5	+19.0	-7.7
Sat, Dec 6	185 Harvard	W	79-69	70%	4 - 4			+5.2	+6.1	-0.6
Thu, Dec 18	319 @Manhattan	W	75-68	75%	5 - 4			+0.7	-2.9	+3.6
Sun, Dec 21	240 Charleston Southern	W	78-70	78%
Wed, Dec 31	173 Mercer	W	79-74	67%
Sat, Jan 3	302 Western Carolina	W	80-69	85%
Wed, Jan 7	253 @Chattanooga	W	74-71	60%
Sat, Jan 10	331 VMI	W	81-67	90%
Wed, Jan 14	227 @Samford	W	75-73	57%
Sat, Jan 17	220 Wofford	W	76-69	76%
Wed, Jan 21	354 @The Citadel	W	77-66	86%
Sat, Jan 24	292 @UNC Greensboro	W	76-71	67%
Thu, Jan 29	227 Samford	W	78-70	76%
Sun, Feb 1	253 Chattanooga	W	77-68	79%
Wed, Feb 4	142 @East Tennessee St.	L	71-75	37%
Sun, Feb 8	292 UNC Greensboro	W	79-68	84%
Wed, Feb 11	173 @Mercer	L	76-77	45%
Sat, Feb 14	331 @VMI	W	78-70	77%
Wed, Feb 18	142 East Tennessee St.	W	74-72	58%
Sat, Feb 21	220 @Wofford	W	73-72	55%
Wed, Feb 25	354 The Citadel	W	80-63	94%
Sat, Feb 28	302 @Western Carolina	W	77-72	68%
Projected Record					18 - 10	13 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	1.1	4.7	8.8	10.1	7.4	3.2	0.8		36.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	1.6	6.3	8.9	5.8	1.8	0.2				24.7	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.4	5.3	6.1	2.5	0.4	0.0					15.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.9	3.8	3.8	1.2	0.1							9.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.6	2.5	0.7	0.0								6.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	1.4	1.5	0.4	0.0									3.6	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.2	0.0										1.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1												1.1	8th
9th					0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												0.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														0.1	10th

Total				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.9	5.4	8.2	11.6	14.7	16.2	15.0	11.9	7.6	3.2	0.8			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
17-1	100.0%	3.2		3.1	0.0
16-2	97.4%	7.4		6.7	0.6
15-3	85.1%	10.1		7.6	2.4	0.1
14-4	59.0%	8.8		4.8	3.5	0.5	0.0
13-5	29.1%	4.7		1.5	2.2	0.9	0.1
12-6	7.6%	1.1		0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	36.2%	36.2		24.8	9.2	1.9	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.8%		58.3%	58.3%		11.6								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			0.3
17-1	3.2%		47.2%	47.2%		12.6												0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.0		1.7
16-2	7.6%		42.9%	42.9%		13.2												0.0	0.5	1.8	0.9	0.1		4.3
15-3	11.9%		36.9%	36.9%		13.5												0.0	0.2	1.9	2.0	0.3		7.5
14-4	15.0%		33.3%	33.3%		13.9													0.1	1.3	2.7	0.9	0.0	10.0
13-5	16.2%		27.2%	27.2%		14.2													0.0	0.6	2.3	1.4	0.1	11.8
12-6	14.7%		20.2%	20.2%		14.5														0.2	1.2	1.4	0.2	11.8
11-7	11.6%		17.0%	17.0%		14.8														0.1	0.6	1.0	0.3	9.6
10-8	8.2%		13.4%	13.4%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.3	7.1
9-9	5.4%		10.8%	10.8%		15.4															0.0	0.3	0.2	4.8
8-10	2.9%		7.0%	7.0%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	2.7
7-11	1.4%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																	0.1	1.4
6-12	0.7%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
5-13	0.3%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
4-14	0.1%																							0.1
3-15	0.0%																							0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18

Total	100%		25.9%	25.9%	0.0%	13.9								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	1.7	6.7	9.9	6.0	1.3	74.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.4%	100.0%	11.5							0.8		0.8	3.2	41.1	50.0	4.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.1%