Marquette
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#62
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#22
Pace83.0#4
Improvement+0.6#135

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#99
First Shot+0.2#174
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#51
Layup/Dunks-0.5#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
Freethrows+2.3#50
Improvement+0.0#180

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#57
First Shot+4.6#49
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks-3.5#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#52
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement+0.6#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 1.9% 3.9% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 7.3% 14.3% 5.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.1% 58.4% 34.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.2% 56.3% 33.2%
Average Seed 8.6 8.2 8.8
.500 or above 66.5% 82.1% 62.1%
.500 or above in Conference 43.7% 53.0% 41.1%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.3% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 5.1% 9.7%
First Four7.1% 7.0% 7.1%
First Round35.9% 54.5% 30.6%
Second Round15.6% 24.6% 13.0%
Sweet Sixteen4.5% 7.3% 3.7%
Elite Eight1.5% 2.4% 1.2%
Final Four0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 22.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 10
Quad 26 - 410 - 14
Quad 33 - 113 - 15
Quad 44 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 322   SIU Edwardsville W 88-77 96%     1 - 0 -1.2 -4.0 +1.1
  Nov 12, 2021 195   New Hampshire W 75-70 87%     2 - 0 +0.5 -1.5 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2021 30   Illinois W 67-66 43%     3 - 0 +10.3 -8.6 +18.8
  Nov 18, 2021 69   Mississippi W 78-72 52%     4 - 0 +13.2 +13.0 +0.3
  Nov 19, 2021 45   West Virginia W 82-71 41%     5 - 0 +20.9 +13.3 +7.6
  Nov 21, 2021 39   St. Bonaventure L 54-70 38%     5 - 1 -5.3 -16.3 +11.8
  Nov 27, 2021 312   Northern Illinois W 80-66 95%     6 - 1 +2.6 -3.4 +4.8
  Nov 30, 2021 258   Jackson St. W 83-54 92%     7 - 1 +20.6 +1.0 +16.6
  Dec 04, 2021 29   @ Wisconsin L 65-73 22%    
  Dec 08, 2021 91   @ Kansas St. L 70-71 45%    
  Dec 11, 2021 8   UCLA L 75-82 26%    
  Dec 18, 2021 37   @ Xavier L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 21, 2021 26   Connecticut L 75-78 38%    
  Dec 29, 2021 61   @ St. John's L 82-85 41%    
  Jan 01, 2022 66   Creighton W 78-75 61%    
  Jan 04, 2022 54   Providence W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 07, 2022 128   @ Georgetown W 80-78 58%    
  Jan 11, 2022 86   DePaul W 82-78 64%    
  Jan 15, 2022 28   Seton Hall L 75-77 41%    
  Jan 19, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 67-80 13%    
  Jan 23, 2022 37   Xavier L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 26, 2022 28   @ Seton Hall L 72-80 23%    
  Jan 29, 2022 54   @ Providence L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 02, 2022 6   Villanova L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 08, 2022 26   @ Connecticut L 72-81 22%    
  Feb 12, 2022 103   @ Butler W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 16, 2022 128   Georgetown W 83-75 76%    
  Feb 20, 2022 66   @ Creighton L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 103   Butler W 72-66 71%    
  Mar 02, 2022 86   @ DePaul L 79-81 44%    
  Mar 05, 2022 61   St. John's W 85-82 60%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.1 2.7 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.1 4.3 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.4 4.2 1.2 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.7 4.9 1.0 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.6 4.0 1.3 0.1 13.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 4.6 4.0 1.4 0.2 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.2 3.7 0.8 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.8 2.7 0.9 0.1 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.2 4.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.7 5.5 8.6 11.4 12.3 12.0 13.0 10.7 7.9 5.8 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 84.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
16-4 61.8% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 28.6% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 10.5% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 21.2% 78.8% 2.6 0.0 0.1 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 23.3% 76.7% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
16-4 0.8% 100.0% 22.8% 77.3% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.7% 100.0% 12.4% 87.6% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.4% 99.4% 10.0% 89.4% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-7 5.8% 97.4% 7.8% 89.6% 7.3 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.2%
12-8 7.9% 94.1% 4.9% 89.2% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 2.0 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.5 93.8%
11-9 10.7% 81.2% 5.0% 76.2% 9.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.9 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 2.0 80.2%
10-10 13.0% 57.2% 3.2% 54.0% 10.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 5.5 55.8%
9-11 12.0% 28.0% 1.6% 26.4% 10.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 8.6 26.8%
8-12 12.3% 8.0% 1.0% 7.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.3 7.1%
7-13 11.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 11.0 0.1 0.0 11.4 0.4%
6-14 8.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 8.6 0.5%
5-15 5.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 0.4%
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17 2.0% 2.0
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 40.1% 3.0% 37.1% 8.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.3 4.9 5.9 6.3 5.8 6.8 2.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 60.0 38.2%