Connecticut
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +19.9 9
Results Rating +23.2 4
Consistency 0.17 293
Pace 63.8 306
Improvement -5.4 347

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 22 A- A- C+ C B
Defense A 12 A A- B+ C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 103 A- 67% 21 +5.5 20
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 327 A+ 50% 5 -0.8 223
Three Pointers 45% 100 B- 36% 100 +3.2 75
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 52 A- +6.6 19
1st FG Attempt A- 1.18 16
Second Chance B+ 37.2% 22 B 1.12 57 A- 0.42 24
Opponents' Steals B 7.8% 35
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 273
Turnovers C+ 15.7% 116
Freethrows C 0.31 165 C 72% 200 C 0.22 171
Total Offense A- +9.7 22

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A 69% 4 B- 9.0% 82
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 45% 9 B 2.8% 37
Three Pointers B 90% 58 D+ 1.2% 281
Total A+ 72% 3 B- 4.7% 78


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 159 A+ 45% 4 -4.6 48
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 66 B 34% 51 +0.5 233
Three Pointers 36% 310 A- 30% 25 -4.7 15
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 99 A+ -8.2 5
1st FG Attempt A 0.85 6
Second Chance B+ 25.1% 26 B+ 0.90 25 A- 0.23 16
Turnovers from Steals B 11.2% 56
Other Turnovers B+ 8.5% 37
Turnovers B+ 19.7% 31
Freethrows C- 0.33 258 C+ 71% 116 C- 0.23 243
Total Defense A +10.1 12

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 36% 7 A+ 20.9% 7
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 73 B- 6.6% 77
Three Pointers C+ 82% 142 B 1.7% 46
Total A- 46% 20 A+ 10.4% 5

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 268 18.0 285
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 107 0.09 11
Consistency 0.10 47 0.13 209
Improvement -0.9 234 -4.5 343

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 12 9 7
Results Rating Rank 7 5 4
Conference Record 17 - 3 17 - 3 17 - 3
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 4 2 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Sweet 16 Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 13% 14% 2%
Top 2 Seed 66% 69% 39%
Top 4 Seed 99% 99% 96%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 2.3 2.3 2.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round98% 98% 97%
Sweet Sixteen67% 67% 66%
Elite Eight36% 36% 32%
Final Four13% 13% 13%
Championship Game5% 5% 4%
National Champion2% 2% 2%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 25 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 08 - 2
Quad 210 - 118 - 4
Quad 36 - 124 - 5
Quad 45 - 029 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 326 New Haven W 79 - 55 99% +12  99% 1 - 0 B +10 B- +4 C+ A- D A- +7 C- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 7 311 Umass Lowell W 110 - 47 99% +42  98% 2 - 0 A+ +51 A+ +21 A+ A+ C- A+ +25 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 197 Columbia W 89 - 62 98% +16  89% 3 - 0 A +22 A+ +15 A+ B A A- +8 A+ A- D+
 Sat, Nov 15 23 BYU W 86 - 84 64% +9  87% 4 - 0 A +18 A- +10 A+ A- F A- +8 B- C- A
 Wed, Nov 19 4 Arizona L 67 - 71 40% -4  6% 4 - 1 A +18 A- +11 A+ D+ A+ A- +7 A+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 23 351 Bryant W 72 - 49 100% +14  98% 5 - 1 B- +6 D- -6 F C+ B- A+ +14 A B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 6 Illinois W 74 - 61 42% +10  99% 6 - 1 A+ +35 A- +10 A+ B D A+ +26 A+ A+ B
 Tue, Dec 2 20 @Kansas W 61 - 56 47% -2  29% 7 - 1 A+ +26 B- +5 B- A+ F A+ +21 A+ A+ B-
 Fri, Dec 5 303 East Texas A&M W 83 - 59 99% +13  95% 8 - 1 B+ +12 B+ +9 B- C A+ B +5 C- A B
 Tue, Dec 9 3 Florida W 77 - 73 29% +2  73% 9 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +17 A+ B+ A- A+ +13 A- A+ B
 Fri, Dec 12 33 Texas W 71 - 63 79% +6  93% 10 - 1 A +19 C +1 A+ B- F A+ +19 A+ A- A-
 Tue, Dec 16 80 Butler W 79 - 60 92% +10  75% 11 - 1 1 - 0 A+ +23 B- +5 B+ A+ F A+ +19 A+ A- C
 Sun, Dec 21 96 @DePaul W 72 - 54 85% +5  67% 12 - 1 2 - 0 A+ +27 B +6 B A D+ A+ +21 A+ A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 88 @Xavier W 90 - 67 84% +18  97% 13 - 1 3 - 0 A+ +32 A +14 A+ A- D A+ +18 A+ A+ B+
 Sun, Jan 4 74 Marquette W 73 - 57 91% +11  96% 14 - 1 4 - 0 A +21 C+ +3 C- B A A+ +18 A+ A B-
 Wed, Jan 7 70 @Providence W 103 - 98 OT 79% -5  16% 15 - 1 5 - 0 A- +16 A +13 A+ C C B- +2 D+ C A
 Sat, Jan 10 96 DePaul W 72 - 60 93% +11  98% 16 - 1 6 - 0 A- +15 B+ +8 A D- D+ A- +8 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 13 54 @Seton Hall W 69 - 64 72% +7  74% 17 - 1 7 - 0 A +19 A- +11 A- A+ D- A- +8 A+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 79 @Georgetown W 64 - 62 81% +4  80% 18 - 1 8 - 0 B+ +12 B- +5 D- B A+ A- +8 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 34 Villanova W 75 - 67 OT 79% -2  17% 19 - 1 9 - 0 A +19 A- +11 C- A+ A+ A +9 A+ F B+
 Tue, Jan 27 70 Providence W 87 - 81 91% +4  91% 20 - 1 10 - 0 B +11 B+ +8 B+ B C+ B- +3 A- B C
 Sat, Jan 31 68 @Creighton W 85 - 58 78% +11  94% 21 - 1 11 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +29 A+ A+ B A+ +14 A+ B- B
 Tue, Feb 3 88 Xavier W 92 - 60 93% +23  97% 22 - 1 12 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +18 A+ C- D A+ +18 A+ A A+
 Fri, Feb 6 19 @St. John's L 72 - 81 47% -3  20% 22 - 2 12 - 1 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ B- C- C+ +2 C+ F B-
 Wed, Feb 11 80 @Butler W 80 - 70 82% +3  67% 23 - 2 13 - 1 A +20 A+ +21 A A+ A- C+ +1 C- A D+
 Sat, Feb 14 79 Georgetown W 79 - 75 92% +7  96% 24 - 2 14 - 1 B +8 A- +11 A A- B C- -2 F+ B B
 Wed, Feb 18 68 Creighton L 84 - 91 90% -2  26% 24 - 3 14 - 2 C -1 B- +4 C+ D+ A+ D -5 C B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 34 @Villanova W 73 - 63 60% +6  72% 25 - 3 15 - 2 A+ +27 A +14 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 A+ A B-
 Wed, Feb 25 19 St. John's W 72 - 40 69% +18  97% 26 - 3 16 - 2 A+ +47 A+ +20 A- A A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 54 Seton Hall W 71 - 67 87% -1  34% 27 - 3 17 - 2 B+ +12 A +12 A+ B C- C+ +0 C- F A+
 Sat, Mar 7 74 @Marquette L 62 - 68 80% -1  55% 27 - 4 17 - 3 B- +5 D+ -4 F A D- A- +8 D- A+ A
Totals 27 - 4 17 - 3 +20 A- +10 A+ A- B A +10 B- C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- A- A+ B- A- 41% 24% 45% B A- B+ B A- C+ C C C A A+ B A- A+ 39% 24% 36% B- A B+ B+ A- B+ C- C+ C-
1.23 67% 50% 36% +7 +1 1.18 37% 1.1 .42 16% .31 72% .22 0.94 45% 34% 30% -8 0 0.85 25% 0.9 .23 20% .33 71% .22
Nov
3		 New Haven B- D A+ B- C 47% 6% 47% A- C+ B A- A- D A A A+ A- C F A+ D+ 39% 33% 29% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ D+ C+ A+ A
1.19 55% 67% 36% +2 +2 1.11 32% 1.3 .42 18% .37 85% .31 0.83 58% 50% 21% -2 -2 0.96 12% 0.5 .06 17% .25 43% .11
Nov
7		 Umass Lowell A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 61% 7% 32% A+ A+ A+ D A+ C- A- B+ A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 43% 26% 31% B A+ A+ A A+ A+ F F F
1.47 74% 75% 39% +15 +3 1.39 52% 1.1 .55 13% .34 77% .26 0.63 22% 0% 31% -27 0 0.48 21% 0.9 .18 28% .59 72% .43
Nov
10		 Columbia A+ A A A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% A A+ D+ A+ B A A+ F A+ A- B D A+ A+ 40% 26% 34% A- A+ A B- A- D+ F D F
1.34 70% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .36 9% .48 66% .31 0.93 53% 42% 19% -9 0 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 20% .37 75% .28
Nov
15		 BYU A- A B+ A+ A+ 50% 15% 35% A+ A+ C+ A+ A- F A+ D A+ A- B- F B+ B+ 41% 12% 47% F B- B F C- A D- D F+
1.16 70% 43% 50% +15 +2 1.35 28% 1.4 .40 22% .46 67% .31 1.13 60% 67% 30% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.4 .47 19% .38 78% .30
Nov
19		 Arizona A- A+ A C A+ 19% 33% 48% D+ A+ D- C D+ A+ A- F D+ A- B A- A+ A+ 47% 33% 20% B- A+ D F F B- F C- F
1.06 70% 47% 32% +4 -3 1.04 17% 0.8 .14 8% .31 50% .15 1.12 57% 33% 11% -9 -1 0.82 43% 1.2 .53 16% .47 76% .36
Nov
23		 Bryant D- D F F F 59% 6% 35% A F A F+ C+ B- A B+ A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 24% 14% 62% B A A+ F B A+ F F F
1.10 53% 0% 28% -8 +3 0.92 45% 0.8 .38 12% .38 77% .30 0.75 22% 20% 30% -14 0 0.73 17% 1.2 .21 32% .47 95% .45
Nov
28		 Illinois A- C+ A+ B- A 35% 15% 50% A+ A+ A+ D B D A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 44% 8% 48% D- A+ A+ A+ A+ B C F F+
1.12 56% 63% 35% +3 0 1.10 36% 0.8 .28 15% .30 71% .21 0.92 43% 50% 20% -16 +2 0.75 31% 0.7 .21 15% .32 94% .30
Dec
2		 Kansas B- A+ C- F B 26% 26% 49% D+ B- B+ A+ A+ F F+ A- D A+ A- A- A+ A+ 33% 31% 36% A- A+ A A+ A+ B- F A- D-
0.98 75% 33% 22% -6 -2 0.87 32% 1.3 .41 21% .16 75% .12 0.90 53% 29% 25% -9 -2 0.80 25% 0.6 .14 16% .40 71% .29
Dec
5		 East Texas A&M B+ A F F C+ 60% 15% 25% B+ B- B D- C A+ F A D- B C B- D D 29% 25% 46% A C- B A+ A B C+ F C-
1.26 70% 25% 29% +3 +2 1.13 38% 1.0 .38 9% .23 79% .18 0.90 57% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 21% 0.6 .12 20% .23 75% .17
Dec
9		 Florida A+ A A A+ A+ 37% 29% 33% C+ A+ C+ A+ B+ A- C C C A+ A- F+ B A 64% 9% 28% F A- C A+ A+ B F B- F
1.14 63% 47% 41% +8 -1 1.16 23% 1.0 .23 13% .27 69% .19 1.08 53% 50% 31% -3 +3 1.02 43% 0.4 .16 18% .48 70% .34
Dec
12		 Texas C A+ A B+ A+ 43% 28% 28% C+ A+ B C+ B- F F+ F F A+ A+ B A A+ 44% 31% 24% A- A+ C A A- A- F A D-
1.07 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 28% 1.0 .28 23% .25 54% .14 0.95 40% 36% 27% -11 -1 0.78 37% 1.0 .37 18% .52 68% .35
Dec
16		 Butler B- A- F B+ B 49% 20% 31% B B+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ F C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 6% 43% F A+ A C A- C D+ F F+
1.13 68% 20% 38% +3 +1 1.10 47% 1.2 .56 21% .24 62% .15 0.86 35% 0% 23% -22 +3 0.65 27% 1.1 .30 14% .40 79% .32
Dec
21		 DePaul B A+ D- C+ B+ 35% 28% 37% C- B A A- A D+ C- B+ C A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 41% 35% 24% A A+ B+ A+ A+ B D- A+ B-
1.05 69% 31% 35% +2 -1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 22% .30 75% .23 0.79 35% 47% 25% -10 -2 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 19% .38 52% .20
Dec
31		 Xavier A C+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 16% 47% B- A+ B+ A A- D D A C A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 28% 34% C A+ A+ A A+ B+ F A- F+
1.24 60% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 32% 1.1 .35 19% .24 79% .19 0.92 70% 27% 22% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 15% .36 68% .24
Jan
4		 Marquette C+ A- C- F D+ 42% 18% 40% C+ C- A- C- B A A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 4% 42% D- A+ B A+ A B- D+ B+ C
1.07 67% 33% 20% -6 +1 0.92 40% 0.9 .36 16% .37 67% .24 0.83 41% 0% 23% -18 +3 0.74 27% 0.7 .18 16% .33 63% .21
Jan
7		 Providence A C C A+ A+ 29% 26% 45% D+ A+ C- C C C C- A+ C+ B- A- A F D+ 44% 18% 39% C D+ B+ F+ C A F+ B- D-
1.25 56% 38% 57% +15 -1 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 15% .25 83% .21 1.19 52% 30% 55% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .39 21% .41 74% .30
Jan
10		 DePaul B+ B+ B B+ A 55% 16% 30% A+ A C+ F D- D+ B+ A+ A+ A- B- F A C 39% 34% 27% A C+ A+ D+ A- A+ C- C- C-
1.12 63% 43% 38% +5 +2 1.16 30% 0.6 .19 22% .38 84% .32 0.93 56% 50% 27% +1 -2 1.00 21% 1.2 .25 23% .34 71% .24
Jan
13		 Seton Hall A- A A+ F B+ 51% 11% 38% A A- A+ A A+ D- A+ F A+ A- D- F A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% A- A+ F B F+ A+ F A+ F+
1.07 63% 75% 21% -1 +2 1.05 43% 1.1 .47 26% .55 62% .34 0.99 65% 46% 0% -10 -1 0.79 49% 1.0 .46 22% .49 60% .30
Jan
17		 Georgetown B- F A+ F F+ 31% 20% 49% C+ D- A D+ B A+ A+ C- A+ A- A C+ D+ B+ 33% 36% 31% A+ A- F C F A+ A+ D+ A+
1.08 43% 78% 18% -8 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .37 10% .45 71% .32 1.04 47% 38% 36% -3 -2 0.91 45% 1.1 .52 22% .19 78% .15
Jan
24		 Villanova A- D+ F A C- 35% 24% 41% C C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ 29% 25% 45% A A+ D F F B+ F F+ F
1.16 53% 17% 40% -3 -1 0.94 41% 1.2 .49 14% .40 77% .31 1.04 33% 23% 30% -14 -1 0.73 38% 1.4 .52 17% .41 77% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Providence B+ A- F A B+ 39% 22% 39% B- B+ A- D+ B C+ A+ F A+ B- A F C- A 57% 13% 30% F+ A- A- D+ B C F C- F
1.21 65% 27% 40% +4 0 1.10 37% 0.9 .34 14% .45 64% .29 1.12 50% 50% 36% -2 +2 1.02 29% 1.2 .35 15% .51 77% .39
Jan
31		 Creighton A+ F A+ A+ A+ 27% 22% 51% C A+ A+ A+ A+ B F+ F F A+ B F A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% C+ A+ A F B- B F B+ F
1.43 43% 55% 46% +9 -1 1.18 42% 1.8 .74 13% .14 43% .06 0.98 57% 50% 21% -7 0 0.88 20% 1.3 .27 17% .49 71% .34
Feb
3		 Xavier A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% A A+ A+ F C- D B+ A A- A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ 26% 36% 38% A A+ A- A+ A A+ F A+ F
1.34 83% 50% 45% +20 +2 1.46 43% 0.5 .21 19% .32 78% .25 0.88 55% 20% 38% -5 -3 0.86 22% 0.8 .16 19% .51 64% .32
Feb
6		 St. John's A- C A+ A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% A+ A+ D- A+ B- C- D- F F C+ B- F A C+ 48% 13% 39% D+ C+ A- F F B- F B- F
1.05 52% 80% 47% +8 +2 1.23 21% 1.5 .31 22% .22 42% .09 1.18 55% 67% 28% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.8 .55 15% .53 71% .37
Feb
11		 Butler A+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 24% 56% F+ A A+ A+ A+ A- D- A D+ C+ B C- F C- 52% 11% 37% D- C- A B A D+ A- D+ B
1.32 40% 67% 43% +11 -2 1.20 40% 1.3 .53 13% .17 78% .13 1.16 54% 40% 41% +2 +2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 13% .31 75% .23
Feb
14		 Georgetown A- A+ A+ D- A 23% 9% 68% B+ A B- A A- B A+ C A+ C- B A F F 28% 15% 57% C- F+ C+ B+ B B F A+ D+
1.21 90% 75% 30% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.2 .40 15% .45 72% .32 1.15 54% 29% 46% +8 0 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 17% .42 65% .28
Feb
18		 Creighton B- B- C D+ C+ 31% 25% 44% C C+ F+ A D+ A+ B+ F C+ D A+ F F C 43% 18% 39% D+ C A+ F B+ F+ F F F
1.11 60% 38% 32% -1 -1 0.98 18% 1.3 .22 7% .26 61% .16 1.21 45% 56% 45% +4 +1 1.12 13% 1.8 .23 11% .47 84% .40
Feb
21		 Villanova A A+ A+ D+ A+ 44% 20% 36% B+ A+ A+ A- A+ D+ B- A+ A- A+ A- F A+ A+ 37% 19% 44% C+ A+ B+ A- A B- B A B+
1.16 75% 56% 31% +10 +1 1.22 43% 1.1 .48 22% .27 85% .22 1.00 53% 50% 26% -5 0 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 16% .26 64% .17
Feb
25		 St. John's A+ A+ A+ F A- 48% 18% 34% B A- B- A+ A A+ F+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 30% 36% A+ A+ B A+ A+ C+ B D B-
1.24 67% 56% 18% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.3 .40 9% .21 82% .17 0.69 40% 0% 25% -22 -1 0.55 33% 0.4 .13 14% .34 76% .26
Feb
28		 Seton Hall A F A+ A+ A+ 48% 8% 45% A A+ A C- B C- A+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ F D 32% 27% 41% A C- B- F F A+ A+ F A
1.13 42% 100% 44% +4 +2 1.15 40% 0.8 .33 24% .60 69% .42 1.06 43% 25% 50% +1 -1 1.02 33% 1.6 .52 24% .19 89% .17
Mar
7		 Marquette D+ B+ F F F 44% 11% 44% B+ F A+ C+ A D- A A+ A+ A- B- F F F 45% 11% 43% B- D- A+ A+ A+ A F A D-
0.92 65% 20% 10% -15 +2 0.76 44% 0.9 .42 24% .35 94% .33 1.01 55% 60% 42% +6 +2 1.18 17% 0.4 .07 19% .42 61% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 45.8% 54.2% 2.3 13.0 52.8 24.8 8.2 1.1 0.1 100.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 45.8% 54.2% 2.3 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 45.8% 100.0% 2.0 21.1 61.4 15.6 1.8 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 22.0% 100.0% 2.5 7.8 49.5 31.2 9.8 1.6 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 21.5% 100.0% 2.6 6.2 45.9 32.4 13.7 1.8 0.1
Lose Out 10.7% 100.0% 2.9 2.3 36.8 35.9 21.3 3.5 0.3