Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#52
Expected Predictive Rating+18.6#15
Pace64.7#306
Improvement+2.9#36

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#114
First Shot+1.5#132
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#122
Layup/Dunks+3.9#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#315
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement+0.1#165

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#18
First Shot+7.2#17
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#147
Layups/Dunks+5.2#31
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#139
Freethrows-0.6#223
Improvement+2.8#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 8.5% 12.4% 4.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59.6% 70.4% 48.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 58.0% 69.1% 47.4%
Average Seed 8.6 8.4 9.0
.500 or above 98.0% 99.4% 96.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.8% 79.6% 56.1%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.7% 2.6%
First Four10.9% 10.2% 11.5%
First Round53.4% 64.7% 42.3%
Second Round23.3% 29.6% 17.1%
Sweet Sixteen5.0% 6.9% 3.2%
Elite Eight1.4% 1.9% 0.9%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 49.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 7
Quad 25 - 39 - 10
Quad 36 - 115 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 295 St. Peter's W 77-50 96%     1 - 0 +16.8 +13.3 +7.8
  Fri, Nov 7 293 Wagner W 68-61 96%     2 - 0 -3.1 -3.2 +0.7
  Mon, Nov 10 279 Fairfield W 82-59 95%     3 - 0 +13.8 +5.6 +8.6
  Thu, Nov 13 230 Monmouth W 70-58 94%     4 - 0 +4.8 -3.3 +8.6
  Tue, Nov 18 334 New Haven W 68-45 98%     5 - 0 +9.3 -0.3 +12.6
  Mon, Nov 24 28 North Carolina St. W 85-74 34%     6 - 0 +25.3 +12.6 +12.1
  Tue, Nov 25 39 USC L 81-83 41%     6 - 1 +10.5 +14.2 -3.7
  Wed, Nov 26 149 Washington St. W 75-61 81%     7 - 1 +14.9 +6.4 +9.3
  Wed, Dec 3 277 Central Connecticut St. W 77-61 95%     8 - 1 +6.8 +8.7 -0.2
  Sat, Dec 6 60 @Kansas St. W 78-67 43%     9 - 1 +23.0 +1.8 +20.2
  Sat, Dec 13 144 Rutgers W 81-59 87%     10 - 1 +20.1 +11.1 +9.8
  Fri, Dec 19 79 @Providence W 72-67 50%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +15.2 +1.5 +13.7
  Tue, Dec 23 35 Villanova L 64-65 50%    
  Tue, Dec 30 105 @Marquette W 71-68 60%    
  Sun, Jan 4 37 Creighton W 68-67 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 96 @Georgetown W 71-69 56%    
  Tue, Jan 13 7 Connecticut L 61-69 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 58 Butler W 72-69 63%    
  Tue, Jan 20 20 @St. John's L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 112 @DePaul W 68-64 63%    
  Wed, Jan 28 95 Xavier W 74-66 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 105 Marquette W 74-65 79%    
  Wed, Feb 4 35 @Villanova L 62-68 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 37 @Creighton L 65-71 29%    
  Wed, Feb 11 79 Providence W 78-72 71%    
  Sun, Feb 15 58 @Butler L 69-72 41%    
  Wed, Feb 18 112 DePaul W 71-61 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 96 Georgetown W 74-66 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 7 @Connecticut L 58-72 10%    
  Tue, Mar 3 95 @Xavier W 71-69 56%    
  Fri, Mar 6 20 St. John's L 69-72 39%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.2 5.1 3.6 1.2 0.1 14.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 5.3 6.8 3.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 18.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.6 7.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 19.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 6.0 5.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.1 0.8 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 6.0 8.8 12.0 14.2 14.9 13.2 10.5 7.3 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 90.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 72.3% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 36.4% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
15-5 11.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 26.2% 73.8% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.9% 100.0% 14.8% 85.2% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.2% 99.8% 11.6% 88.2% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 4.3% 99.2% 11.2% 88.0% 6.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.0%
14-6 7.3% 97.7% 8.1% 89.6% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.0 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.6%
13-7 10.5% 94.8% 5.6% 89.2% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.7 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.6 94.4%
12-8 13.2% 87.1% 4.4% 82.7% 9.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.6 3.7 3.1 1.0 0.0 1.7 86.5%
11-9 14.9% 72.7% 2.8% 69.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.9 4.0 2.3 0.0 4.1 71.9%
10-10 14.2% 57.1% 1.8% 55.3% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.1 3.2 0.1 6.1 56.3%
9-11 12.0% 29.6% 1.4% 28.2% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 0.1 8.5 28.6%
8-12 8.8% 8.9% 0.5% 8.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.1 8.5%
7-13 6.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.9 0.7%
6-14 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 3.2
5-15 1.5% 1.5
4-16 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 59.6% 3.6% 56.0% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.7 6.9 9.6 11.8 12.8 9.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 40.4 58.0%