Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#46
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#50
Pace66.9#216
Improvement+1.2#50

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#115
First Shot-0.5#199
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#32
Layup/Dunks-0.5#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#264
Freethrows+2.2#38
Improvement+0.4#109

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#15
First Shot+7.0#18
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#69
Layups/Dunks+3.6#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#39
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement+0.8#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 2.3% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.0% 41.5% 21.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.7% 37.6% 17.0%
Average Seed 9.8 9.5 10.4
.500 or above 93.7% 98.6% 89.4%
.500 or above in Conference 78.9% 91.9% 67.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.0% 11.9% 8.3%
First Round25.9% 35.6% 17.3%
Second Round11.6% 16.6% 7.1%
Sweet Sixteen3.7% 5.2% 2.4%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Final Four0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 46.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 24 - 9
Quad 23 - 36 - 12
Quad 35 - 111 - 13
Quad 46 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 351   Monmouth W 79-52 98%     1 - 0 +11.6 -3.8 +13.5
  Nov 12, 2022 266   St. Peter's W 80-44 95%     2 - 0 +27.8 +7.9 +20.9
  Nov 16, 2022 31   Iowa L 67-83 53%     2 - 1 -6.5 -5.1 -1.4
  Nov 20, 2022 288   Wagner W 82-44 96%     3 - 1 +28.6 +10.6 +19.7
  Nov 24, 2022 37   Memphis W 70-69 45%     4 - 1 +12.5 -0.3 +12.7
  Nov 25, 2022 41   Oklahoma L 64-77 47%     4 - 2 -2.1 +0.7 -3.6
  Nov 27, 2022 153   Siena L 55-60 81%     4 - 3 -4.2 -14.7 +10.3
  Dec 01, 2022 7   @ Kansas L 65-91 20%     4 - 4 -6.8 +2.8 -9.9
  Dec 11, 2022 24   @ Rutgers W 45-43 29%     5 - 4 +17.9 -7.3 +25.6
  Dec 14, 2022 203   Drexel W 66-49 91%     6 - 4 +12.6 -5.6 +18.8
  Dec 17, 2022 27   Providence L 67-71 50%     6 - 5 0 - 1 +6.2 -3.8 +10.1
  Dec 20, 2022 19   @ Xavier L 70-73 27%     6 - 6 0 - 2 +13.7 -0.1 +13.8
  Dec 27, 2022 8   @ Marquette L 69-83 21%     6 - 7 0 - 3 +4.7 +6.3 -2.5
  Dec 31, 2022 68   St. John's W 88-66 68%     7 - 7 1 - 3 +27.4 +17.0 +10.0
  Jan 03, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 61-83 22%     7 - 8 1 - 4 -3.7 -0.4 -4.2
  Jan 07, 2023 87   Butler W 76-51 75%     8 - 8 2 - 4 +28.1 +7.5 +21.0
  Jan 10, 2023 188   @ Georgetown W 66-51 79%     9 - 8 3 - 4 +16.6 -1.6 +19.7
  Jan 14, 2023 123   @ DePaul W 71-67 69%     10 - 8 4 - 4 +9.3 +5.5 +4.1
  Jan 18, 2023 6   Connecticut W 67-66 34%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +15.4 +3.9 +11.6
  Jan 21, 2023 8   Marquette L 53-74 38%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -7.7 -14.7 +6.2
  Jan 28, 2023 87   @ Butler W 70-49 57%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +29.5 +13.8 +19.0
  Feb 01, 2023 68   @ St. John's L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 05, 2023 123   DePaul W 74-64 84%    
  Feb 08, 2023 11   Creighton L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 11, 2023 66   @ Villanova L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 14, 2023 188   Georgetown W 77-63 91%    
  Feb 18, 2023 6   @ Connecticut L 62-71 17%    
  Feb 24, 2023 19   Xavier L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 28, 2023 66   Villanova W 66-61 68%    
  Mar 04, 2023 27   @ Providence L 65-70 29%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.1 0.1 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.1 0.6 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.9 10.3 11.2 2.5 0.0 27.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 9.7 19.3 14.6 3.3 0.1 48.5 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 4.6 1.5 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.1 1.0 5.3 14.8 23.7 25.6 18.6 8.4 2.3 0.3 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 30.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.3% 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.3% 96.6% 9.9% 86.7% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.2%
13-7 8.4% 83.6% 7.5% 76.1% 8.7 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.2 1.4 82.2%
12-8 18.6% 59.4% 6.3% 53.1% 9.9 0.1 1.0 2.4 4.7 2.8 0.0 7.5 56.7%
11-9 25.6% 28.3% 6.9% 21.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.1 0.8 0.0 18.4 23.1%
10-10 23.7% 9.7% 5.3% 4.4% 11.5 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 21.4 4.7%
9-11 14.8% 4.3% 4.3% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 14.1
8-12 5.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.1 0.2 0.0 5.1
7-13 1.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 31.0% 6.0% 25.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.3 4.9 7.6 9.3 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 69.0 26.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 4.3 3.8 15.4 30.8 46.2 3.8