Villanova
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#44
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#65
Pace60.1#356
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#48
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#35
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 2.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 9.3% 9.6% 1.2%
Top 6 Seed 21.1% 21.6% 7.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.1% 53.0% 27.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 49.2% 50.0% 26.2%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 8.2
.500 or above 74.5% 75.6% 41.0%
.500 or above in Conference 64.7% 65.6% 38.6%
Conference Champion 5.1% 5.2% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 3.6% 11.2%
First Four6.6% 6.6% 6.4%
First Round48.8% 49.7% 24.4%
Second Round30.5% 31.1% 12.5%
Sweet Sixteen11.5% 11.7% 3.7%
Elite Eight4.2% 4.3% 1.0%
Final Four1.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 96.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 12
Quad 36 - 115 - 13
Quad 44 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 12   BYU L 66-71 28%     0 - 1 +12.9 +1.7 +11.1
  Nov 08, 2025 245   Queens W 78-59 97%    
  Nov 11, 2025 235   Sacred Heart W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 15, 2025 110   Duquesne W 69-58 85%    
  Nov 19, 2025 193   @ La Salle W 73-62 84%    
  Nov 25, 2025 205   Old Dominion W 74-57 94%    
  Dec 01, 2025 133   Temple W 76-63 88%    
  Dec 09, 2025 5   @ Michigan L 64-75 16%    
  Dec 13, 2025 64   Pittsburgh W 69-62 72%    
  Dec 19, 2025 21   Wisconsin L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 23, 2025 100   @ Seton Hall W 64-60 65%    
  Dec 31, 2025 80   DePaul W 71-63 76%    
  Jan 03, 2026 69   @ Butler W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 07, 2026 25   Creighton W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 10, 2026 45   @ Marquette L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 13, 2026 68   @ Providence W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 17, 2026 11   St. John's L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 21, 2026 76   Georgetown W 71-63 74%    
  Jan 24, 2026 4   @ Connecticut L 59-71 14%    
  Jan 30, 2026 68   Providence W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 04, 2026 100   Seton Hall W 67-57 81%    
  Feb 07, 2026 76   @ Georgetown W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 10, 2026 45   Marquette W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 14, 2026 25   @ Creighton L 65-71 32%    
  Feb 17, 2026 65   @ Xavier W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 21, 2026 4   Connecticut L 62-68 30%    
  Feb 25, 2026 69   Butler W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 28, 2026 11   @ St. John's L 65-75 21%    
  Mar 04, 2026 80   @ DePaul W 68-66 58%    
  Mar 07, 2026 65   Xavier W 71-64 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 3.0 2.4 0.8 0.1 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.9 4.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 4.2 5.7 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 4.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.3 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.2 3.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 2.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.0 4.7 6.2 8.5 9.5 10.6 11.3 11.1 10.0 8.1 6.0 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 87.9% 0.9    0.7 0.2
17-3 63.4% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.1
16-4 33.6% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 13.4% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
14-6 3.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 48.1% 51.9% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.0% 100.0% 38.7% 61.3% 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.3% 100.0% 24.4% 75.6% 3.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.0% 100.0% 19.7% 80.3% 4.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 6.0% 99.4% 14.5% 84.9% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-6 8.1% 98.0% 10.6% 87.3% 6.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.9 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.7%
13-7 10.0% 93.1% 8.3% 84.8% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.7 92.5%
12-8 11.1% 81.3% 5.2% 76.1% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.0 2.1 80.3%
11-9 11.3% 61.1% 3.1% 58.1% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1 1.1 0.0 4.4 59.9%
10-10 10.6% 36.3% 1.9% 34.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.4 0.1 6.8 35.1%
9-11 9.5% 12.6% 1.1% 11.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.3 11.7%
8-12 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 2.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.2 2.5%
7-13 6.2% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
6-14 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
5-15 3.0% 3.0
4-16 1.8% 1.8
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 52.1% 5.8% 46.3% 7.1 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.0 5.5 6.4 6.6 6.3 6.8 6.7 4.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.9 49.2%