Villanova
Big East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#62
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#93
Pace60.9#343
Improvement+0.5#123

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#45
First Shot+6.8#23
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#277
Layup/Dunks-0.5#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#18
Freethrows+3.2#14
Improvement-1.2#329

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#94
First Shot+0.7#148
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#22
Layups/Dunks+3.8#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#314
Freethrows+1.2#84
Improvement+1.7#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.2% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.9 13.7 15.3
.500 or above 9.8% 26.0% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 9.8% 26.0% 6.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four2.1% 1.9% 2.1%
First Round3.6% 4.7% 3.4%
Second Round0.8% 1.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 22 - 54 - 15
Quad 35 - 29 - 17
Quad 45 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 230   La Salle W 81-68 91%     1 - 0 +6.7 +15.9 -7.6
  Nov 11, 2022 98   @ Temple L 64-68 53%     1 - 1 +3.6 +0.9 +2.3
  Nov 14, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 60-50 98%     2 - 1 -7.3 -8.2 +3.2
  Nov 18, 2022 39   @ Michigan St. L 71-73 29%     2 - 2 +12.2 +13.2 -1.3
  Nov 24, 2022 22   Iowa St. L 79-81 OT 30%     2 - 3 +11.8 +7.9 +4.1
  Nov 25, 2022 166   Portland L 71-83 78%     2 - 4 -11.8 -3.7 -8.3
  Nov 27, 2022 48   Oregon L 67-74 44%     2 - 5 +3.0 +7.9 -5.9
  Dec 03, 2022 43   Oklahoma W 70-66 53%     3 - 5 +11.8 +17.4 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2022 148   Penn W 70-59 83%     4 - 5 +9.3 +5.6 +5.6
  Dec 10, 2022 144   Boston College W 77-56 75%     5 - 5 +22.6 +12.3 +11.6
  Dec 17, 2022 162   @ Saint Joseph's W 71-64 70%     6 - 5 +10.0 +4.0 +6.4
  Dec 21, 2022 72   St. John's W 78-63 64%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +19.8 +3.1 +15.8
  Dec 28, 2022 6   @ Connecticut L 66-74 14%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +12.0 +2.9 +9.1
  Dec 31, 2022 8   Marquette L 66-68 32%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +11.2 +4.7 +6.3
  Jan 04, 2023 186   @ Georgetown W 73-57 74%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +17.8 +3.7 +14.9
  Jan 07, 2023 19   Xavier L 80-88 40%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +3.1 +4.0 -0.4
  Jan 10, 2023 124   @ DePaul L 65-75 62%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -4.7 -2.4 -2.9
  Jan 13, 2023 86   @ Butler L 71-79 50%     8 - 10 2 - 5 +0.5 +9.6 -9.8
  Jan 16, 2023 186   Georgetown W 77-73 87%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +0.4 +4.5 -3.9
  Jan 20, 2023 72   @ St. John's W 57-49 43%     10 - 10 4 - 5 +18.3 -6.8 +25.5
  Jan 29, 2023 25   Providence L 65-70 43%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +5.2 +4.0 +0.6
  Feb 01, 2023 8   @ Marquette L 64-73 17%     10 - 12 4 - 7 +9.7 +0.6 +8.6
  Feb 04, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 62-72 17%    
  Feb 08, 2023 124   DePaul W 75-66 80%    
  Feb 11, 2023 41   Seton Hall W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 14, 2023 86   Butler W 67-62 70%    
  Feb 18, 2023 25   @ Providence L 65-72 24%    
  Feb 21, 2023 19   @ Xavier L 70-78 21%    
  Feb 25, 2023 11   Creighton L 65-69 35%    
  Feb 28, 2023 41   @ Seton Hall L 61-66 31%    
  Mar 04, 2023 6   Connecticut L 65-71 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.8 1.0 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.7 13.6 20.9 13.4 3.1 0.1 53.8 7th
8th 1.1 9.0 11.1 4.2 0.6 0.0 26.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.4 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.6 0.9 0.1 1.6 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.7 5.4 16.2 25.6 25.5 16.7 7.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 33.3% 4.8% 28.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 30.0%
11-9 2.1% 12.3% 6.7% 5.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8 6.0%
10-10 7.4% 5.8% 5.7% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.9 0.1%
9-11 16.7% 4.4% 4.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 16.0
8-12 25.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.2 0.8 24.6
7-13 25.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 24.8
6-14 16.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 15.7
5-15 5.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 5.3
4-16 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.9% 3.6% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.2 96.1 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7% 2.2% 16.0 2.2