Villanova
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +14.7 30
Expected Predictive Rating +17.8 21
Pace 62.4 333
Improvement -0.4 202

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 36 B+ B- B C C+
Defense B+ 33 B- B- A- A- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 299 A- 67% 24 +0.8 148
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 336 C 38% 178 -2.2 290
Three Pointers 51% 22 B 37% 49 +7.4 16
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 125 B+ +5.3 34
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 34
Second Chance B 35.9% 40 C 1.03 174 B- 0.37 65
Turnovers B 14.4% 40
Freethrows C 0.31 169 C- 72% 212 C 0.22 191
Total Offense B+ +8.1 36

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 54% 89 A 6.1% 8
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 150 A 0.1% 1
Three Pointers C 83% 212 C 0.9% 174
Total B 62% 52 A+ 2.5% 2

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 250 B- 55% 95 -2.4 99
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 39 C+ 37% 158 +2.0 328
Three Pointers 37% 283 B- 32% 98 -2.8 69
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.9 52 B- -2.3 88
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 74
Second Chance C+ 29.3% 139 B 0.94 58 B- 0.27 73
Turnovers A- 20.7% 19
Freethrows A- 0.23 14 B+ 69% 28 A- 0.16 12
Total Defense B+ +6.6 33

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 84 D+ 9.0% 254
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 148 D 2.0% 325
Three Pointers B- 80% 212 C 1.0% 174
Total B 49% 60 D+ 4.2% 299

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 249 18.4 322
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 138 0.11 21
Improvement -1.2 #250 +0.8 #138

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 2% 5% 1%
Top 6 Seed 25% 39% 15%
NCAA Tourney Bid 96% 98% 95%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96% 98% 94%
Average Seed 7.4 6.8 7.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 7% 16% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round96% 98% 94%
Second Round56% 62% 51%
Sweet Sixteen15% 19% 12%
Elite Eight5% 6% 4%
Final Four1% 2% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Home) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 15 - 6
Quad 27 - 112 - 7
Quad 39 - 121 - 8
Quad 44 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 21 BYU L 66 - 71 40% -6  4% 0 - 1 B+ +12 C- -2 F A+ C+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 205 Queens W 94 - 74 96% +12  99% 1 - 1 B+ +14 A +13 C A B+ C+ +2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 284 Sacred Heart W 94 - 60 98% +21  92% 2 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +17 A+ B F A +9 C D+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 110 Duquesne W 87 - 77 90% +6  66% 3 - 1 B +11 A +13 D+ A+ C- C- -2 F B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 213 @La Salle W 70 - 55 91% +11  99% 4 - 1 A- +15 B+ +9 A+ D+ F A +9 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 237 Old Dominion W 89 - 75 97% +6  79% 5 - 1 B- +7 A+ +15 A+ A- A- D- -8 D+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 1 152 Temple W 74 - 56 94% +5  89% 6 - 1 A- +15 A +11 B- C+ C- A- +8 B+ B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 174 Penn W 90 - 63 92% +15  96% 7 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +21 A+ C+ C+ A- +7 B C- A-
 Tue, Dec 9 1 @Michigan L 61 - 89 9% -23  1% 7 - 2 C+ +2 D -5 C+ D- C- A +10 A+ C+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 101 Pittsburgh W 79 - 61 88% +6  81% 8 - 2 A +20 A+ +21 A+ B A+ B- +3 A+ F A-
 Fri, Dec 19 29 Wisconsin W 76 - 66 OT 49% +7  95% 9 - 2 A+ +25 B +7 C A A A+ +18 A- C A+
 Tue, Dec 23 56 @Seton Hall W 64 - 56 57% +8  90% 10 - 2 1 - 0 A +21 B +7 A+ A- F A+ +15 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 92 DePaul W 71 - 66 86% -2  25% 11 - 2 2 - 0 B- +8 C+ +3 C- D A+ B+ +5 B B- A-
 Sat, Jan 3 76 @Butler W 85 - 67 66% +3  47% 12 - 2 3 - 0 A+ +29 A +12 A+ C- B A+ +16 A+ F A
 Wed, Jan 7 59 Creighton L 72 - 76 79% +2  69% 12 - 3 3 - 1 C+ +2 B +6 C C A+ D+ -4 C- D D+
 Sat, Jan 10 87 @Marquette W 76 - 73 69% +3  94% 13 - 3 4 - 1 B+ +12 A +14 A+ B- A C -1 D B+ C
 Tue, Jan 13 63 @Providence W 88 - 82 61% +7  87% 14 - 3 5 - 1 A +18 A+ +15 A+ C- C B- +3 D+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 17 20 St. John's L 79 - 86 50% -5  14% 14 - 4 5 - 2 B- +8 A- +11 A+ A- B- C- -3 D+ B C-
 Wed, Jan 21 74 Georgetown W 66 - 51 82% +8  74% 15 - 4 6 - 2 A +20 C- -1 D+ C+ B A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 9 @Connecticut L 67 - 75 OT 23% +2  66% 15 - 5 6 - 3 A- +15 B+ +8 D- A+ B B+ +5 A+ D- D
 Fri, Jan 30 63 Providence W 87 - 73 80% +10  88% 16 - 5 7 - 3 A +20 A +12 A+ F A+ A- +8 B- A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 56 Seton Hall W 72 - 60 77% +10  94% 17 - 5 8 - 3 A +19 A +13 A+ D C A- +8 B+ A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 74 @Georgetown W 80 - 73 65% -1  32% 18 - 5 9 - 3 A +18 A- +10 A+ C A- A- +8 A F A+
 Tue, Feb 10 87 Marquette W 77 - 74 85% +3  69% 19 - 5 10 - 3 B- +6 C+ +3 C A- A- B- +3 D+ D A+
 Sat, Feb 14 59 @Creighton W 80 - 69 60% +9  93% 20 - 5 11 - 3 A+ +23 A- +9 C B+ A+ A+ +14 A- A B+
 Tue, Feb 17 82 @Xavier W 92 - 89 OT 68% +2  68% 21 - 5 12 - 3 B+ +13 A- +11 C B- A+ B- +2 D F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 9 Connecticut L 68 - 70 43%
 Wed, Feb 25 76 Butler W 79 - 69 83%
 Sat, Feb 28 20 @St. John's L 70 - 76 29%
 Wed, Mar 4 92 @DePaul W 71 - 65 70%
 Sat, Mar 7 82 Xavier W 80 - 69 84%
Totals 24 - 7 15 - 5 +15 B+ +8 C B+ C+ B+ +7 B C- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ A- C B B+ 34% 23% 51% C+ B+ B C B- B C C- C B+ B- C+ B- B- 36% 26% 37% B B- C+ B B- A- A- B+ A-
1.20 67% 38% 37% +5 0 1.14 36% 1.0 .37 14% .31 72% .22 0.99 55% 37% 32% -2 -1 0.96 29% 0.9 .27 21% .23 69% .21
Nov
3		 BYU C- F F F F 29% 17% 54% A F A A+ A+ C+ B- F D+ A+ A- A+ B A+ 51% 20% 29% F A+ A+ A+ A+ F C A B
0.97 33% 22% 18% -23 0 0.56 35% 1.8 .65 16% .26 53% .14 1.04 54% 27% 31% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.8 .23 6% .33 67% .22
Nov
8		 Queens A A+ F F C- 54% 14% 32% B+ C A+ D- A B+ A- C- B+ C+ D+ F F F 49% 13% 38% D- F A+ A+ A+ A+ C C C
1.38 80% 13% 22% +2 +2 1.11 56% 0.9 .51 12% .42 72% .30 1.08 64% 67% 47% +14 +2 1.33 13% 0.7 .09 23% .31 75% .23
Nov
11		 Sacred Heart A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 20% 6% 74% C- A+ A D B F F F+ F A B- A+ F+ C 31% 17% 52% C- C D+ D D+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.43 82% 67% 50% +24 +1 1.52 43% 1.0 .43 20% .11 67% .08 0.91 53% 13% 40% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 26% .06 67% .04
Nov
15		 Duquesne A B- F C D 45% 17% 38% B+ D+ A+ C A+ C- A+ B A+ C- A F F F 41% 13% 46% C+ F F A+ B+ A+ D+ A- C+
1.25 62% 0% 33% -5 +1 0.94 55% 1.0 .55 19% .58 76% .44 1.11 47% 67% 52% +12 +1 1.28 38% 0.6 .22 24% .38 65% .25
Nov
19		 La Salle B+ A+ A B A+ 45% 5% 50% A A+ A+ F D+ F D F D- A B- F B D 44% 33% 23% B D+ F+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A-
1.18 79% 50% 38% +13 +3 1.33 46% 0.6 .29 22% .22 60% .13 0.92 53% 50% 30% 0 -1 1.00 39% 0.4 .15 27% .30 62% .18
Nov
25		 Old Dominion A+ A+ A- C+ A+ 35% 18% 47% C A+ C- A+ A- A- A C- A- D- A A- F D 28% 24% 48% C D+ B- F F C- F C F
1.34 89% 44% 33% +12 0 1.25 29% 1.4 .42 11% .44 73% .32 1.13 46% 27% 45% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.7 .38 15% .39 73% .28
Dec
1		 Temple A D D- A B- 35% 13% 52% B- B- A+ F C+ C- C+ D- C- A- A C D B- 37% 44% 20% A+ B+ A C- B+ A- C- B C
1.28 53% 33% 40% +2 +1 1.08 54% 0.6 .33 16% .31 67% .20 0.97 47% 39% 38% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 17% .38 72% .27
Dec
6		 Penn A+ B- A A+ A+ 32% 15% 53% C A+ C+ C- C+ C+ D+ B C- A- A- A F C+ 27% 37% 37% A B C- C C- A- A A+ A+
1.36 65% 50% 54% +19 0 1.42 33% 0.9 .30 15% .23 69% .16 0.96 46% 28% 44% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.0 .32 21% .23 33% .08
Dec
9		 Michigan D F A- F C+ 14% 25% 61% C- C+ F A D- C- C F C- A D F A+ A+ 35% 15% 51% A A+ B D- C+ C C A+ A-
0.78 38% 43% 26% -9 -2 0.79 14% 1.2 .16 19% .22 64% .14 1.14 68% 50% 25% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.5 .52 15% .38 56% .21
Dec
13		 Pittsburgh A+ B+ F A+ A+ 45% 9% 45% A A+ C A B A+ A+ C- A+ B- B- D+ A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% D+ A+ F D+ F A- B- C B-
1.36 65% 25% 45% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 5% .44 75% .33 1.05 55% 43% 20% -9 +1 0.85 44% 1.1 .47 21% .26 67% .17
Dec
19		 Wisconsin B D- C+ C C 24% 26% 50% D+ C A A- A A B+ D B- A+ A+ B F A 39% 16% 45% B- A- A+ F C A+ A+ A+ A+
1.10 46% 43% 33% -2 -2 0.94 33% 1.1 .38 12% .31 68% .21 0.96 42% 38% 41% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 23% .19 60% .11
Dec
23		 Seton Hall B D D+ A+ A+ 38% 8% 54% B+ A+ C A+ A- F C+ F D+ A+ D A+ A- A+ 46% 31% 23% B+ A+ C A+ A+ D+ B B- B
1.01 47% 33% 48% +6 +2 1.18 30% 1.3 .37 29% .35 63% .22 0.89 64% 0% 27% -12 -1 0.77 35% 0.6 .20 14% .30 69% .20
Dec
31		 DePaul C+ F F A+ C 31% 27% 42% D+ C- B F D A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ B+ C C B- 41% 29% 29% B B D+ A- B- A- A A+ A+
1.06 33% 23% 50% -2 -1 0.96 33% 0.6 .20 12% .53 68% .36 0.99 52% 40% 33% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 21% .23 58% .13
Jan
3		 Butler A A+ C+ B A+ 40% 25% 36% C- A+ D B- C- B A+ C A A+ B A A+ A+ 37% 19% 44% B+ A+ C F F A A+ F B
1.20 81% 38% 37% +11 0 1.23 23% 1.0 .23 15% .33 70% .23 0.94 53% 30% 17% -15 0 0.73 36% 1.5 .56 20% .25 93% .23
Jan
7		 Creighton B C A+ F C+ 36% 31% 34% D+ C B- D- C A+ C- B C- D+ C- F B+ D 28% 32% 40% A+ C- F A D D+ D+ A- C
1.14 57% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.97 32% 0.9 .29 10% .19 73% .14 1.21 64% 69% 30% +9 -2 1.16 42% 0.8 .35 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
10		 Marquette A A+ A+ D- A+ 37% 16% 47% C+ A+ D A+ B- A F A+ F C C F D D- 43% 4% 53% C- D D+ A+ B+ C B- F C-
1.20 74% 88% 29% +10 +1 1.24 26% 1.3 .35 16% .13 100% .13 1.15 59% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.14 33% 0.7 .23 14% .28 80% .22
Jan
13		 Providence A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 31% 24% 45% C- A+ A+ F C- C B- A- B B- F F A+ D+ 41% 16% 43% C+ D+ A+ F C A- B A- A-
1.27 81% 42% 43% +15 -1 1.29 41% 0.6 .26 14% .30 78% .24 1.18 90% 50% 24% +8 +1 1.20 26% 1.6 .41 19% .30 71% .21
Jan
17		 St. John's A- C+ A- A+ A+ 28% 20% 52% C- A+ C- A+ A- B- A+ B A+ C- D C D+ D 45% 27% 29% A D+ C+ B B C- F B+ D-
1.11 54% 44% 42% +6 -1 1.13 27% 1.4 .38 20% .42 75% .32 1.21 64% 38% 36% +3 0 1.08 36% 1.1 .39 13% .50 68% .34
Jan
21		 Georgetown C- B- F D- D- 49% 16% 35% A D+ C+ C C+ B C- C C A+ D+ A+ B- A 18% 32% 50% A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ B A+ A
1.05 58% 13% 29% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.0 .31 14% .28 73% .20 0.81 63% 21% 32% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.5 .17 27% .31 64% .20
Jan
24		 Connecticut B+ F F D+ D- 29% 25% 45% D D- A+ A+ A+ B A- A- A B+ A- A+ F+ A+ 35% 24% 41% A A+ D D+ D- D F F+ F
1.04 33% 23% 30% -13 -1 0.73 38% 1.4 .52 17% .41 77% .32 1.16 53% 17% 40% -3 -1 0.94 41% 1.2 .49 14% .40 77% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Providence A B+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% C+ A+ F C F A+ A- F B- A- B- F C C+ 34% 26% 40% A B- C+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+
1.27 63% 60% 43% +12 0 1.26 15% 1.0 .15 7% .35 64% .22 1.06 59% 54% 35% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .28 20% .26 64% .16
Feb
4		 Seton Hall A A+ A+ C+ A+ 29% 13% 58% C A+ A F D C A+ A- A+ A- C F+ A+ A- 48% 22% 30% C- B+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ F A-
1.14 77% 50% 35% +8 0 1.18 41% 0.5 .19 24% .46 77% .35 0.95 58% 45% 13% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.8 .19 16% .21 91% .19
Feb
7		 Georgetown A- A+ D B- A+ 29% 19% 52% B- A+ B- D+ C A- A+ F B- A- A+ F A+ A- 26% 36% 38% A+ A D+ F F A+ F+ D+ F
1.16 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.19 32% 0.9 .29 13% .47 50% .23 1.06 38% 50% 26% -5 -3 0.86 36% 1.4 .49 20% .42 78% .33
Feb
10		 Marquette C+ D+ F B- C- 32% 9% 60% B C B+ B A- A- A+ F A+ B- D- F B+ D 42% 9% 49% B- D+ A+ F D A+ F F F
1.10 53% 0% 36% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .41 17% .53 58% .31 1.06 67% 75% 29% +3 +2 1.12 21% 1.8 .38 26% .38 90% .35
Feb
14		 Creighton A- B- C D C 37% 26% 37% C C C+ A B+ A+ A B+ A A+ F A A- B+ 31% 25% 44% A- A- D+ A+ A B+ B+ A+ A
1.15 60% 36% 30% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.3 .38 10% .30 74% .22 0.99 76% 29% 29% 0 -1 1.00 31% 0.5 .17 17% .21 58% .12
Feb
17		 Xavier A- B- F B C 32% 20% 48% C C C+ B- B- A+ B- D- C B- C- F+ F D- 37% 30% 33% C+ D D+ F F A+ B F C+
1.17 62% 23% 38% +1 0 1.03 29% 0.9 .27 8% .30 64% .19 1.13 62% 47% 42% +8 -1 1.16 30% 1.4 .42 20% .21 85% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 6.0 7.0 1st
2nd 0.0 2.5 15.1 1.0 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.5 5.1 21.1 35.8 11.9 74.3 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.5 5.1 21.1 38.3 27.9 7.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 85.3% 6.0    1.0 3.4 1.6
16-4 3.4% 0.9    0.0 0.2 0.7
15-5 0.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total 7.0% 7.0 1.0 3.7 2.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 7.1% 99.7% 25.3% 74.4% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.6%
16-4 27.9% 98.9% 16.5% 82.4% 6.7 0.1 0.6 3.3 7.8 9.8 4.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 98.7%
15-5 38.3% 96.7% 13.3% 83.4% 7.6 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.2 11.0 11.3 6.3 1.6 0.1 1.3 96.2%
14-6 21.1% 93.8% 10.7% 83.1% 8.3 0.1 1.0 3.5 6.3 5.8 2.7 0.4 1.3 93.0%
13-7 5.1% 86.5% 10.2% 76.3% 9.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.7 85.0%
12-8 0.5% 70.1% 7.2% 62.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 67.8%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 96.3% 14.3% 82.0% 7.4 3.7 95.7%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8% 100.0% 4.1 0.6 2.8 24.3 38.8 28.5 5.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.2% 99.8% 5.6 2.0 11.0 32.9 36.7 14.6 2.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8% 99.7% 6.0 1.1 6.2 19.9 44.0 23.8 4.8
Lose Out 0.2% 58.1% 10.5 3.2 22.6 32.3