Georgetown
Big East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#188
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#239
Pace71.4#95
Improvement+0.2#154

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#130
First Shot+0.6#161
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#121
Layup/Dunks-3.8#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#317
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement+0.2#145

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#249
First Shot-1.4#226
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#271
Layups/Dunks-0.8#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#323
Freethrows+2.9#16
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 97.5% 91.3% 98.2%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 10.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 10
Quad 20 - 81 - 18
Quad 31 - 42 - 22
Quad 45 - 27 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 343   Coppin St. W 99-89 OT 89%     1 - 0 -4.3 -1.9 -4.3
  Nov 12, 2022 362   Green Bay W 92-58 95%     2 - 0 +14.0 +14.9 +1.3
  Nov 15, 2022 45   Northwestern L 63-75 20%     2 - 1 -4.3 -1.6 -3.1
  Nov 18, 2022 90   Loyola Marymount L 66-84 27%     2 - 2 -12.5 -4.3 -8.1
  Nov 20, 2022 241   La Salle W 69-62 62%     3 - 2 +2.9 -8.8 +11.3
  Nov 23, 2022 228   American L 70-74 68%     3 - 3 -9.9 -6.4 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2022 216   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-70 65%     4 - 3 +3.9 -1.8 +5.6
  Nov 30, 2022 54   @ Texas Tech L 65-79 11%     4 - 4 -1.7 -2.2 +0.8
  Dec 03, 2022 225   South Carolina L 71-74 OT 68%     4 - 5 -8.8 -3.0 -5.9
  Dec 07, 2022 153   Siena W 75-68 53%     5 - 5 +5.1 +6.7 -1.1
  Dec 10, 2022 76   @ Syracuse L 64-83 16%     5 - 6 -9.3 -3.0 -7.1
  Dec 16, 2022 20   Xavier L 89-102 13%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -1.7 +9.8 -10.3
  Dec 20, 2022 6   @ Connecticut L 73-84 4%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +8.8 +8.8 +0.1
  Dec 29, 2022 123   @ DePaul L 76-83 27%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -1.7 +3.4 -5.0
  Jan 01, 2023 87   Butler L 51-80 34%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -25.9 -16.4 -11.0
  Jan 04, 2023 66   Villanova L 57-73 26%     5 - 11 0 - 5 -10.3 -11.5 +0.4
  Jan 07, 2023 8   @ Marquette L 73-95 4%     5 - 12 0 - 6 -3.3 +2.1 -4.2
  Jan 10, 2023 47   Seton Hall L 51-66 21%     5 - 13 0 - 7 -7.4 -10.1 +1.2
  Jan 16, 2023 66   @ Villanova L 73-77 13%     5 - 14 0 - 8 +7.0 +7.3 -0.4
  Jan 21, 2023 20   @ Xavier L 82-95 6%     5 - 15 0 - 9 +3.6 +8.8 -4.3
  Jan 24, 2023 123   DePaul W 81-76 46%     6 - 15 1 - 9 +4.9 +7.4 -2.5
  Jan 29, 2023 68   @ St. John's L 73-75 14%     6 - 16 1 - 10 +8.8 +5.3 +3.6
  Feb 01, 2023 11   Creighton L 68-82 10%    
  Feb 04, 2023 6   Connecticut L 67-82 8%    
  Feb 08, 2023 27   @ Providence L 66-83 6%    
  Feb 11, 2023 8   Marquette L 73-87 9%    
  Feb 14, 2023 47   @ Seton Hall L 63-77 9%    
  Feb 19, 2023 87   @ Butler L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 22, 2023 68   St. John's L 77-83 28%    
  Feb 26, 2023 27   Providence L 69-80 15%    
  Mar 01, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 65-84 4%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 2 - 18





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 3.3 3.7 0.8 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 33.3 37.7 16.9 2.7 0.1 90.7 11th
Total 33.3 37.7 20.1 6.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 0.0% 0.0
7-13 0.0% 0.0
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-17 20.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 20.1
2-18 37.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 37.7
1-19 33.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 33.2
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 33.3% 0.2% 16.0 0.2