Georgetown
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#128
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#247
Pace72.4#92
Improvement+1.0#90

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#105
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#53
Layup/Dunks-3.4#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#102
Freethrows+1.9#71
Improvement+1.9#28

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#167
First Shot-1.6#234
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#77
Layups/Dunks+1.4#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#293
Freethrows+1.1#126
Improvement-0.9#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Average Seed 10.3 10.1 10.6
.500 or above 11.4% 19.6% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 8.5% 12.1% 7.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.4% 34.4% 47.2%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round1.5% 2.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 29.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 10
Quad 23 - 65 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 19
Quad 45 - 212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 230   Dartmouth L 60-69 80%     0 - 1 -15.3 -12.8 -2.6
  Nov 16, 2021 320   American W 79-57 90%     1 - 1 +10.1 -6.0 +14.6
  Nov 19, 2021 275   Siena W 83-65 86%     2 - 1 +8.8 +11.3 -1.3
  Nov 25, 2021 48   San Diego St. L 56-73 25%     2 - 2 -7.4 -7.4 -0.3
  Nov 26, 2021 220   Saint Joseph's L 74-77 68%     2 - 3 -5.5 -3.3 -2.1
  Nov 30, 2021 210   Longwood W 91-83 76%     3 - 3 +2.9 +10.9 -8.4
  Dec 05, 2021 98   @ South Carolina L 74-80 30%    
  Dec 08, 2021 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-71 76%    
  Dec 11, 2021 71   Syracuse L 78-80 44%    
  Dec 15, 2021 310   Howard W 87-73 90%    
  Dec 18, 2021 90   TCU L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 22, 2021 54   @ Providence L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 28, 2021 66   @ Creighton L 70-78 24%    
  Jan 01, 2022 61   St. John's L 79-81 42%    
  Jan 04, 2022 37   Xavier L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 07, 2022 62   Marquette L 78-80 42%    
  Jan 13, 2022 103   Butler W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 16, 2022 61   @ St. John's L 76-84 24%    
  Jan 22, 2022 6   Villanova L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 25, 2022 26   @ Connecticut L 67-81 11%    
  Jan 29, 2022 103   @ Butler L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 01, 2022 28   Seton Hall L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 06, 2022 54   Providence L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 09, 2022 86   @ DePaul L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 12, 2022 66   Creighton L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 16, 2022 62   @ Marquette L 75-83 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 63-81 6%    
  Feb 24, 2022 86   DePaul L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 27, 2022 26   Connecticut L 70-78 24%    
  Mar 02, 2022 28   @ Seton Hall L 67-80 12%    
  Mar 05, 2022 37   @ Xavier L 67-78 16%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.7 0.2 3.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.9 6th
7th 0.3 1.7 3.1 2.1 0.4 7.5 7th
8th 0.3 2.3 5.2 3.2 0.4 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 3.0 6.6 4.3 0.9 15.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.4 7.4 4.7 0.7 0.0 20.7 10th
11th 1.0 4.0 6.7 9.2 7.1 3.2 0.8 0.0 32.0 11th
Total 1.0 4.0 7.1 11.4 13.1 13.8 14.8 12.1 8.4 5.8 3.8 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 17.5% 0.0    0.0
14-6 5.2% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.4% 84.8% 4.8% 80.0% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 84.0%
13-7 0.4% 35.7% 4.5% 31.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 32.7%
12-8 1.7% 25.2% 2.7% 22.5% 10.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3 23.1%
11-9 2.0% 11.7% 1.3% 10.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.8 10.6%
10-10 3.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.3% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7 1.3%
9-11 5.8% 0.8% 0.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
8-12 8.4% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 8.4
7-13 12.1% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 12.0
6-14 14.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 14.8
5-15 13.8% 13.8
4-16 13.1% 13.1
3-17 11.4% 11.4
2-18 7.1% 7.1
1-19 4.0% 4.0
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.6% 0.4% 1.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.4 1.2%