Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.2 #78
Expected Predictive Rating +7.7 #73
Pace 66.2 #247
Improvement +3.3 #51

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #78 C B- B+ B- C-
Defense #89 B- C+ C C+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #170 1.17 #159 +0.5 #157
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #117 0.80 #116 +1.4 #103
Three Pointers 38% #254 1.01 #194 -1.9 #248
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #170 -0.1 #182
Freethrows 0.33 #97 76% #68 0.25 #72
Second Chance 32.9% #115 1.13 #54 0.37 #70
Turnovers 13.5% #22
Total Offense +4.2 #78

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #315 0.98 #16 +6.0 #23
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #43 0.75 #177 -2.2 #331
Three Pointers 41% #184 1.05 #227 -0.6 #212
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #70 +3.3 #73
Freethrows 0.28 #103 74% #285 0.21 #132
Second Chance 29.6% #136 1.01 #154 0.30 #137
Turnovers 16.7% #198
Total Defense +3.0 #89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #241 -2.1% #33
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.1% #157 -4.7% #85
Possession Length 16.8 #120 19.0 #356
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 #18 0.16 #124
Improvement +1.9 #81 +1.5 #99

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Average Seed 10.9 10.9 11.1
.500 or above 52.7% 69.1% 34.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.2% 15.2% 2.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 4.4% 17.6%
First Four0.9% 1.3% 0.4%
First Round1.2% 1.8% 0.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 14
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 354 Morgan St. W 87 - 70 98% +10  1 - 0 +0 -1 F C A+ -0 C C- B-
 Fri, Nov 7 107 @Maryland W 70 - 60 52% +10  2 - 0 +17 +2 F C+ B +15 A+ C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 12 361 Binghamton W 83 - 70 98% +8  3 - 0 -6 +5 D- B- A+ -10 C- C+ D+
 Sat, Nov 15 34 Clemson W 79 - 74 35% +1  4 - 0 +16 +14 B+ C+ A+ +2 A- B- C
 Sat, Nov 22 332 Wagner W 92 - 75 96% +11  5 - 0 +3 +6 C B B -3 C- B B
 Thu, Nov 27 91 Dayton L 79 - 84 OT 55% -7  5 - 1 +1 +5 B D A+ -4 C+ C C
 Fri, Nov 28 40 Miami (FL) L 65 - 78 30% -14  5 - 2 -0 +3 F A+ B+ -4 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 262 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90 - 81 92% +11  6 - 2 +0 +16 A- B+ A -16 D+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 29 @North Carolina L 61 - 81 15% -7  6 - 3 -2 -6 F C- A+ +5 C+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 234 St. Peter's W 76 - 68 OT 90% +7  7 - 3 +1 +1 C B C- +0 B- A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 94 @Marquette W 78 - 69 44% +2  8 - 3 1 - 0 +18 +17 C A+ A+ +2 A- D- D-
 Sat, Dec 20 85 Xavier L 77 - 80 65% +2  8 - 4 1 - 1 +0 +1 C- D+ A -0 C C+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97 - 67 99% +22  9 - 4 +6 +10 B D A+ -4 D+ D D-
 Wed, Dec 31 18 St. John's L 83 - 95 24% -6  9 - 5 1 - 2 +3 +18 A+ B A -15 D- F B-
 Tue, Jan 6 95 @DePaul L 50 - 56 44% -2  9 - 6 1 - 3 +3 -13 F A+ C +16 A B+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 53 Seton Hall L 67 - 76 50% +2  9 - 7 1 - 4 -2 +2 D B- A+ -4 A- D+ C-
 Tue, Jan 13 58 @Creighton L 83 - 86 OT 31% +1  9 - 8 1 - 5 +9 +21 A+ A+ B+ -12 F C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 7 Connecticut L 62 - 64 15% -4  9 - 9 1 - 6 +16 +10 B A+ D+ +6 A+ B F
 Wed, Jan 21 33 @Villanova L 51 - 66 17% -8  9 - 10 1 - 7 +2 -8 D- D- F +9 A+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 67 @Providence W 81 - 78 35% -9  10 - 10 2 - 7 +14 +16 A C A -2 B B- D
 Wed, Jan 28 95 DePaul W 70 - 61 67% +6  11 - 10 3 - 7 +12 +14 A+ D- B -1 B D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 66 @Butler W 77 - 64 34% +5  12 - 10 4 - 7 +24 +15 A+ D+ B- +11 A+ A+ F+
 Wed, Feb 4 58 Creighton W 75 - 74 53%
 Sat, Feb 7 33 Villanova L 68 - 72 35%
 Sat, Feb 14 7 @Connecticut L 61 - 78 5%
 Wed, Feb 18 66 Butler W 78 - 76 57%
 Sat, Feb 21 53 @Seton Hall L 64 - 70 29%
 Tue, Feb 24 94 Marquette W 77 - 72 66%
 Sat, Feb 28 85 @Xavier L 75 - 77 43%
 Tue, Mar 3 18 @St. John's L 69 - 82 11%
 Sat, Mar 7 67 Providence W 84 - 82 57%
Totals 16 - 15 8 - 12 +7 +4 C B- B+ +3 B- C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 3.1 1.2 0.1 5.8 4th
5th 2.3 7.0 3.3 0.3 13.0 5th
6th 1.5 12.1 7.0 0.7 21.3 6th
7th 0.5 9.7 9.5 0.8 20.5 7th
8th 0.0 3.7 10.6 1.6 0.0 16.0 8th
9th 0.9 8.3 3.2 0.1 12.4 9th
10th 0.3 3.3 3.7 0.2 7.4 10th
11th 1.0 2.0 0.2 3.2 11th
Total 1.3 6.2 16.3 25.1 25.7 16.3 7.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 45.5% 9.1% 36.4% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 40.0%
11-9 1.8% 23.2% 3.3% 19.9% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 20.6%
10-10 7.2% 9.5% 1.8% 7.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 6.5 7.8%
9-11 16.3% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 16.0 0.5%
8-12 25.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 11.3 0.1 0.1 25.5 0.1%
7-13 25.1% 0.4% 0.4% 12.1 0.1 0.0 25.0
6-14 16.3% 16.3
5-15 6.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 6.2
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.8% 0.6% 1.1% 10.9 98.3 1.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%