Creighton
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +8.7 65
Results Rating +9.1 64
Consistency 0.19 340
Pace 68.1 194
Improvement -3.8 321

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 55 B C- B D+ C+
Defense B- 104 B- B- D+ A B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 323 A- 67% 21 -0.2 189
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 321 B- 41% 80 -1.3 248
Three Pointers 51% 19 B- 36% 102 +6.5 21
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 172 B+ +4.7 42
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 51
Second Chance C- 28.1% 242 C 1.03 175 C- 0.29 224
Turnovers from Steals B- 8.5% 95
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 38
Turnovers B 14.4% 46
Freethrows D 0.27 293 B- 75% 101 D+ 0.20 251
Total Offense B +6.1 55

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 57% 55 C+ 9.9% 122
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 212 B- 3.7% 75
Three Pointers D+ 81% 261 D 1.4% 308
Total B 61% 68 B 4.6% 68

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 B- 55% 97 -1.0 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 19 B- 35% 72 +2.1 330
Three Pointers 33% 357 C 34% 162 -4.3 28
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 41 B- -2.3 91
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 73
Second Chance B- 27.6% 75 C 1.03 176 B- 0.28 95
Turnovers from Steals C 9.2% 196
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 309
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 253
Freethrows A 0.21 6 B 70% 62 A 0.15 6
Total Defense B- +2.6 104

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 58 D 7.7% 315
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 164 C 4.8% 176
Three Pointers B- 80% 71 C+ 1.2% 106
Total B+ 48% 31 C- 4.7% 242

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 146 17.8 264
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 34 0.11 24
Consistency 0.13 255 0.15 319
Improvement -1.1 239 -2.6 311

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 80 65 54
Results Rating Rank 81 65 52
Conference Record 8 - 12 10 - 10 11 - 9
Conference Finish 5 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1% 2% 0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.5
.500 or above 64% 79% 29%
.500 or above in Conference 61% 77% 24%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 0%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: DePaul (Home) - 70.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 56 - 15
Quad 36 - 212 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 291 South Dakota W 92 - 76 95% +12  88% 1 - 0 B- +5 B+ +7 F+ A+ D C- -3 C B C
 Tue, Nov 11 12 @Gonzaga L 63 - 90 11% -11  1% 1 - 1 D+ -5 D+ -4 C+ F F+ C +0 D- A+ D
 Fri, Nov 14 350 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84 - 45 98% +18  99% 2 - 1 A +22 A- +10 B+ B+ B- A+ +16 B+ A+ A
 Wed, Nov 19 293 North Dakota W 75 - 60 95% +9  87% 3 - 1 C+ +4 C- -2 F A+ B A- +8 B B+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 45 Baylor L 74 - 81 39% -5  0% 3 - 2 C+ +5 B- +4 A- D D C +0 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 25 8 Iowa St. L 60 - 78 13% -10  0% 3 - 3 C+ +3 C- -2 B+ F D B +5 A+ F D
 Thu, Nov 27 88 Oregon W 76 - 66 59% +6  86% 4 - 3 A- +16 B +7 C+ F A+ A +10 A+ B F+
 Tue, Dec 2 255 Nicholls St. W 96 - 76 93% +15  97% 5 - 3 B+ +12 A+ +19 A+ C B+ D -6 F+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 7 11 @Nebraska L 50 - 71 11% -14  0% 5 - 4 C +1 D- -7 F+ C B B+ +6 A- B+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 96 Kansas St. L 76 - 83 72% -8  2% 5 - 5 C- -4 B- +5 C+ F+ A+ F -10 B D F
 Wed, Dec 17 85 @Xavier W 98 - 57 45% +21  94% 6 - 5 1 - 0 A+ +51 A+ +22 A+ C- C+ A+ +27 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 81 Marquette W 84 - 63 67% +14  77% 7 - 5 2 - 0 A+ +25 C+ +3 B D+ A A+ +20 A+ A+ B-
 Mon, Dec 22 188 Utah Tech W 92 - 69 89% +11  99% 8 - 5 A +18 A- +11 A+ F C B+ +7 C D+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 75 Butler W 89 - 85 65% +7  96% 9 - 5 3 - 0 B +9 A- +11 A- A C+ C- -2 B+ C C
 Sun, Jan 4 54 @Seton Hall L 54 - 56 34% +5  86% 9 - 6 3 - 1 B +11 D+ -4 D- D+ A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 7 35 @Villanova W 76 - 72 20% -2  25% 10 - 6 4 - 1 A +21 A+ +17 A B+ A+ B +5 A B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 21 St. John's L 73 - 90 26% -13  13% 10 - 7 4 - 2 C- -2 A- +10 A+ F A+ F -12 F A+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 83 Georgetown W 86 - 83 OT 67% -1  33% 11 - 7 5 - 2 B- +7 A+ +20 A+ C- A+ F -13 F F D+
 Fri, Jan 16 60 @Providence L 88 - 93 38% -1  43% 11 - 8 5 - 3 B- +7 B +7 D+ A- B- C+ +0 A F D+
 Wed, Jan 21 85 Xavier W 94 - 93 68% +1  62% 12 - 8 6 - 3 B- +5 A+ +16 A+ D- A F -11 F C C
 Tue, Jan 27 81 @Marquette L 62 - 86 44% -17  6% 12 - 9 6 - 4 D- -14 D- -7 C F C+ D- -7 F B F
 Sat, Jan 31 9 Connecticut L 58 - 85 22% -11  3% 12 - 10 6 - 5 D -10 C +1 C+ B- B+ F -16 C F D
 Wed, Feb 4 83 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 44% -4  33% 12 - 11 6 - 6 C+ +2 D -6 B- F+ F A +8 A- A+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 54 Seton Hall W 69 - 68 57% -2  28% 13 - 11 7 - 6 B- +8 B +6 A- A+ F+ B- +2 D D+ A
 Wed, Feb 11 94 @DePaul L 71 - 72 49% -0  41% 13 - 12 7 - 7 B- +8 A +12 A B+ A- D+ -4 C- F B
 Sat, Feb 14 35 Villanova L 69 - 80 39% -9  0% 13 - 13 7 - 8 C +0 C- -1 C+ F+ A- C+ +1 A C F+
 Wed, Feb 18 9 @Connecticut W 91 - 84 10% +2  58% 14 - 13 8 - 8 A+ +30 A+ +20 A+ C A+ A +9 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 21 @St. John's L 52 - 81 12% -16  0% 14 - 14 8 - 9 D+ -8 F -15 D- F D- A +9 B- A+ C+
 Wed, Feb 25 94 DePaul W 75 - 69 70%
 Sat, Feb 28 60 Providence W 86 - 83 60%
 Wed, Mar 4 75 @Butler L 78 - 80 42%
Totals 16 - 15 10 - 10 +9 B +6 D+ B+ C+ B- +3 B- B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B A- B- B- B+ 33% 24% 51% C+ B C- C C- B D B- D+ B- B- B- C B- 39% 28% 33% B+ B- B- C B- D+ A B A
1.17 67% 41% 36% +5 0 1.12 28% 1.0 .29 14% .27 75% .20 1.05 55% 35% 34% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 16% .21 70% .19
Nov
5		 South Dakota B+ B- D F F+ 48% 20% 32% D+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D F A+ D- C- C A C C+ 54% 20% 25% D C F A+ B C A+ A+ A+
1.26 63% 36% 22% -4 +1 0.96 54% 1.5 .83 18% .18 91% .17 1.04 56% 25% 33% -4 +1 0.97 46% 0.5 .22 18% .23 64% .15
Nov
11		 Gonzaga D+ A+ D+ D B 13% 33% 53% F+ C+ C F F F+ A+ D A+ C F F C+ F 28% 33% 39% A- D- B+ A+ A+ D A A+ A+
0.86 83% 33% 29% -2 -3 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 25% .56 65% .36 1.23 82% 60% 33% +14 -2 1.25 31% 0.8 .26 11% .20 54% .11
Nov
14		 Maryland Eastern Shore A- A+ D+ D B+ 38% 12% 50% B- B+ A+ D- B+ B- F C- F A+ B F A+ B- 27% 39% 34% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ F A-
1.30 80% 33% 31% +5 +1 1.15 46% 1.0 .46 14% .20 73% .14 0.70 50% 53% 13% -7 -3 0.82 19% 0.7 .13 28% .13 83% .11
Nov
19		 North Dakota C- A+ F F F 27% 9% 64% D+ F A+ B+ A+ B A F C+ A- B A+ C B 47% 20% 33% C+ B B A- B+ D- A+ D+ A+
1.16 92% 0% 17% -11 +1 0.82 50% 1.3 .64 17% .47 60% .28 0.93 50% 18% 33% -8 +1 0.87 24% 0.9 .21 12% .19 73% .14
Nov
24		 Baylor B- D+ B- A B 38% 13% 48% A+ A- D+ D- D D F+ A+ D+ C A+ A C- A+ 42% 33% 25% D+ A+ F D F C B+ C- B
1.09 55% 43% 40% +4 +1 1.12 26% 0.9 .23 19% .18 90% .16 1.20 39% 33% 36% -9 -1 0.82 52% 1.2 .64 15% .28 75% .21
Nov
25		 Iowa St. C- F A+ A B+ 32% 16% 52% B+ B+ B F F D D+ F D- B B A- A- A+ 52% 24% 24% C A+ C+ F F D A B A
0.88 44% 50% 38% +1 0 1.04 30% 0.4 .11 25% .22 55% .12 1.15 57% 31% 31% -3 +1 0.96 36% 1.5 .53 12% .23 64% .15
Nov
27		 Oregon B B F D+ C 46% 24% 30% B+ C+ F F F A+ A- A+ A+ A C C A+ A+ 43% 32% 25% A A+ C- A B F+ A+ A+ A+
1.12 60% 31% 31% -2 0 0.98 18% 0.7 .12 7% .34 90% .30 0.98 58% 39% 7% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .35 13% .19 64% .12
Dec
2		 Nicholls St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 13% 60% C- A+ F A+ C B+ F A+ F D F A+ F F 45% 25% 30% B- F+ A A+ A+ F B- D+ C+
1.40 80% 57% 48% +21 0 1.45 26% 1.5 .39 18% .12 100% .12 1.11 72% 0% 53% +5 0 1.13 17% 0.3 .06 9% .26 69% .18
Dec
7		 Nebraska D- A+ F F F+ 11% 24% 64% C- F+ D+ B- C B A+ F B+ B+ F A+ C- B+ 25% 25% 49% A+ A- B B+ B+ C- F A+ D
0.78 80% 18% 24% -12 -2 0.73 23% 0.9 .20 19% .33 59% .19 1.11 77% 23% 36% +2 -2 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 13% .36 65% .23
Dec
13		 Kansas St. B- C F A C+ 30% 19% 52% C- C+ D+ F+ F+ A+ D A+ B- F A- A+ F B+ 43% 15% 43% C- B D- C D F C+ F D
1.14 56% 10% 39% -2 0 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 11% .25 93% .23 1.25 52% 13% 43% 0 +1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 11% .25 87% .22
Dec
17		 Xavier A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 12% 52% B+ A+ C- C- C- C+ F F F A+ A C A+ A+ 24% 34% 41% A A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.33 77% 57% 48% +20 +1 1.45 24% 0.8 .20 16% .16 60% .10 0.77 50% 40% 25% -7 -3 0.83 20% 0.7 .13 19% .10 50% .05
Dec
20		 Marquette C+ D B+ A B+ 34% 21% 45% C- B F A+ D+ A B B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ 54% 9% 37% C- A+ A+ B+ A+ B- C A+ B
1.09 53% 42% 40% +3 0 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 16% .31 80% .25 0.82 39% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.79 19% 0.9 .17 16% .31 55% .17
Dec
22		 Utah Tech A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 43% 5% 52% A- A+ D+ F F C D C+ D+ B+ C- B C+ C+ 49% 17% 34% D- C A+ F D+ A A A A
1.28 75% 33% 45% +15 +2 1.38 28% 0.4 .13 15% .25 73% .18 0.96 62% 33% 33% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.8 .30 21% .14 63% .09
Dec
30		 Butler A- B- B- B+ B+ 38% 9% 53% A- A- B A+ A C+ B- A+ A C- B- A+ C A- 45% 17% 38% C+ B+ F A+ C C A- F B-
1.23 62% 40% 38% +5 +1 1.15 32% 1.3 .42 17% .25 93% .23 1.17 56% 20% 35% -4 +1 0.97 46% 0.9 .39 14% .30 79% .24
Jan
4		 Seton Hall D+ B+ D F D 33% 22% 46% D+ D- C- D+ D+ A+ D F F+ A+ A A C- A 42% 46% 13% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- C F D-
0.85 60% 30% 19% -11 -1 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 17% .31 63% .19 0.88 45% 27% 33% -11 -3 0.75 17% 0.7 .11 13% .34 84% .29
Jan
7		 Villanova A+ B+ A+ D A+ 28% 32% 40% D- A A+ D B+ A+ B+ C- B B B F A+ A 36% 31% 34% A+ A B B B+ F A+ C- A
1.21 64% 69% 30% +9 -2 1.16 42% 0.8 .35 13% .29 69% .20 1.14 57% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.97 32% 0.9 .29 10% .19 73% .14
Jan
10		 St. John's A- A+ B- A- A+ 27% 20% 53% D+ A+ F F F A+ A- A+ A+ F C- C F F 28% 33% 39% A+ F B+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+
1.09 69% 40% 38% +7 -1 1.14 7% 0.0 .00 13% .34 85% .29 1.34 60% 39% 57% +14 -2 1.26 33% 0.8 .28 9% .29 67% .20
Jan
13		 Georgetown A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 25% 22% 53% C A+ D- B+ C- A+ F A+ F+ F F C F F 37% 35% 29% A F C F F D+ A B A
1.33 79% 50% 45% +16 -1 1.33 23% 1.1 .27 9% .19 82% .15 1.29 74% 39% 47% +11 -2 1.21 35% 1.9 .65 12% .25 71% .18
Jan
16		 Providence B B- F C- D 35% 18% 47% B- D+ B+ A- A- B- A+ A+ A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% D A F D F D+ F B+ F
1.15 60% 10% 33% -5 0 0.93 34% 1.1 .39 13% .44 83% .36 1.22 63% 50% 19% -4 +2 0.96 45% 1.3 .57 13% .53 71% .38
Jan
21		 Xavier A+ B+ F A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% A- A+ D- F D- A A C+ A F F F+ F F 31% 32% 37% B+ F A F C C A+ F A
1.29 67% 25% 54% +15 +1 1.34 20% 0.7 .13 12% .38 71% .27 1.28 83% 47% 45% +17 -2 1.32 21% 1.3 .28 12% .13 88% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Marquette D- A+ A+ F C+ 24% 24% 53% D- C D- F F C+ F C F D- F A+ D- F 53% 9% 38% C- F A+ F B F C A+ B+
0.90 85% 54% 21% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 20% .07 75% .05 1.25 76% 0% 38% +8 +3 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 9% .30 53% .16
Jan
31		 Connecticut C B A+ F C+ 34% 20% 46% C C+ D A+ B- B+ A+ C- A+ F A+ F F C- 27% 22% 51% A+ C D- F F D A+ A+ A+
0.98 57% 50% 21% -7 0 0.88 20% 1.3 .27 17% .49 71% .34 1.43 43% 55% 46% +9 -1 1.18 42% 1.8 .74 13% .14 43% .06
Feb
4		 Georgetown D A+ A+ F B 25% 23% 52% C- B- D+ F F+ F F F F A A+ C- F A 40% 21% 40% C- A- D A+ A+ B F B- F
0.92 71% 62% 24% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 22% .17 60% .10 1.03 26% 40% 42% -7 0 0.88 38% 0.6 .24 16% .53 73% .39
Feb
7		 Seton Hall B D B B+ A- 29% 11% 60% C+ A- C A+ A+ F+ F A+ D- B- D- B F F 43% 40% 17% A+ D A- F D+ A A- A A
1.03 46% 40% 37% 0 +1 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 27% .25 83% .21 1.02 65% 32% 50% +4 -2 1.06 30% 1.3 .40 21% .27 64% .17
Feb
11		 DePaul A F A+ A+ A+ 18% 32% 50% F A F+ A+ B+ A- D+ B C- D+ F C+ A+ C 49% 19% 33% D- C- F+ F F B C C C
1.15 25% 50% 50% +10 -3 1.16 20% 1.8 .36 16% .29 73% .21 1.16 71% 38% 21% 0 +1 1.05 37% 2.0 .74 19% .32 69% .22
Feb
14		 Villanova C- A+ F D- B- 31% 25% 44% C- C+ C+ F F+ A- D+ F D- C+ C+ B- A- A 37% 26% 37% A- A A- F C F+ C D+ C-
0.99 76% 29% 29% 0 -1 1.00 31% 0.5 .17 17% .21 58% .12 1.15 60% 36% 30% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.3 .38 10% .30 74% .22
Feb
18		 Connecticut A+ D A+ A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% B A+ F A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A B- B+ B- A 31% 25% 44% A+ A+ A+ D- A+ F B+ A+ A
1.21 45% 56% 45% +4 +1 1.12 13% 1.8 .23 11% .47 84% .40 1.11 60% 38% 32% -1 -1 0.98 18% 1.3 .22 7% .26 61% .16
Feb
21		 St. John's F F+ F D- F+ 42% 16% 42% B D- F D- F D- B D- C+ A D+ D- A+ C 44% 33% 24% A+ B- A+ A+ A+ C+ B F D+
0.70 43% 13% 29% -14 +1 0.76 13% 0.8 .10 24% .32 67% .21 1.08 63% 44% 23% 0 -1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 15% .36 87% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 9.4 33.8 18.3 61.5 4th
5th 4.0 20.9 8.9 0.3 34.1 5th
6th 3.5 0.9 4.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 7.6 31.1 42.7 18.6 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 18.6% 7.9% 2.9% 5.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.2 17.2 5.1%
10-10 42.7% 2.2% 1.8% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 41.7 0.4%
9-11 31.1% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 11.7 0.2 0.4 0.0 30.5 0.0%
8-12 7.6% 7.6
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.1% 1.9% 1.1% 11.2 96.9 1.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 10.4 1.9 13.0 29.6 53.7 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6% 23.1% 11.1 2.6 16.7 3.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.8% 6.3% 11.2 4.9 1.5
Lose Out 3.8%