Creighton
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#38
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#74
Pace66.2#270
Improvement+3.2#27

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#43
First Shot+6.5#29
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#135
Layup/Dunks+1.4#126
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#9
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement+1.3#80

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#45
First Shot+5.4#37
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#207
Layups/Dunks-3.0#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#51
Freethrows+5.6#3
Improvement+1.8#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 7.0% 7.9% 2.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.3% 53.1% 35.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.4% 49.1% 32.5%
Average Seed 8.6 8.5 9.1
.500 or above 85.9% 88.7% 71.3%
.500 or above in Conference 84.7% 87.8% 68.8%
Conference Champion 5.8% 6.7% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.9%
First Four8.6% 8.7% 8.2%
First Round46.3% 49.1% 31.5%
Second Round24.8% 26.6% 15.0%
Sweet Sixteen6.9% 7.4% 3.8%
Elite Eight2.5% 2.8% 1.2%
Final Four0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Home) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 26 - 310 - 13
Quad 34 - 114 - 14
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 274 South Dakota W 92-76 97%     1 - 0 +6.9 +8.9 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 11 5 @Gonzaga L 63-90 13%     1 - 1 -2.2 -0.7 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 14 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-45 99%     2 - 1 +24.2 +12.2 +15.3
  Wed, Nov 19 344 North Dakota W 75-60 99%     3 - 1 +0.6 +3.3 -1.5
  Mon, Nov 24 32 Baylor L 74-81 46%     3 - 2 +6.5 +7.1 -0.8
  Tue, Nov 25 4 Iowa St. L 60-78 18%     3 - 3 +4.0 +0.3 +3.1
  Thu, Nov 27 62 Oregon W 76-66 64%     4 - 3 +18.9 +9.6 +9.6
  Tue, Dec 2 236 Nicholls St. W 96-76 96%     5 - 3 +12.8 +23.4 -10.2
  Sun, Dec 7 24 @Nebraska L 50-71 29%     5 - 4 -2.9 -9.9 +5.0
  Sat, Dec 13 67 Kansas St. L 76-83 75%     5 - 5 -1.6 +8.3 -10.2
  Wed, Dec 17 101 @Xavier W 98-57 67%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +48.9 +24.5 +22.2
  Sat, Dec 20 99 Marquette W 79-69 84%    
  Mon, Dec 22 262 Utah Tech W 82-61 98%    
  Tue, Dec 30 57 Butler W 80-74 71%    
  Sun, Jan 4 58 @Seton Hall L 68-69 50%    
  Wed, Jan 7 39 @Villanova L 68-71 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 18 St. John's L 75-77 44%    
  Tue, Jan 13 89 Georgetown W 79-70 81%    
  Fri, Jan 16 73 @Providence W 81-79 57%    
  Wed, Jan 21 101 Xavier W 79-68 83%    
  Tue, Jan 27 99 @Marquette W 76-72 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 6 Connecticut L 66-72 31%    
  Wed, Feb 4 89 @Georgetown W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Feb 7 58 Seton Hall W 71-65 70%    
  Wed, Feb 11 109 @DePaul W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Feb 14 39 Villanova W 71-68 61%    
  Wed, Feb 18 6 @Connecticut L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 18 @St. John's L 72-80 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 109 DePaul W 77-65 86%    
  Sat, Feb 28 73 Providence W 84-76 76%    
  Wed, Mar 4 57 @Butler L 76-77 49%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.6 5.5 3.4 1.0 0.1 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 4.9 8.2 6.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 24.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 5.9 7.6 3.9 1.1 0.1 20.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.7 4.9 1.9 0.2 13.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.1 0.9 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.3 6.9 10.5 13.2 14.9 14.4 12.7 9.3 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 94.4% 0.9    0.8 0.2
17-3 62.6% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1
16-4 31.2% 1.8    0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
15-5 9.4% 0.9    0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 2.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 29.2% 70.8% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.0% 100.0% 27.6% 72.4% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.7% 99.4% 25.9% 73.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
16-4 5.6% 98.2% 16.2% 82.0% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.9%
15-5 9.3% 95.3% 12.6% 82.7% 7.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.4 94.6%
14-6 12.7% 86.9% 10.3% 76.6% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.8 3.1 2.5 0.7 1.7 85.4%
13-7 14.4% 69.8% 7.6% 62.2% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.5 3.4 1.9 0.0 4.3 67.3%
12-8 14.9% 46.6% 5.4% 41.1% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.0 0.0 8.0 43.5%
11-9 13.2% 22.4% 3.6% 18.8% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 0.2 10.3 19.5%
10-10 10.5% 6.5% 2.1% 4.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 9.8 4.4%
9-11 6.9% 2.3% 2.0% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.7 0.2%
8-12 4.3% 1.4% 1.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
7-13 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 2.4
6-14 1.1% 1.1
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 50.3% 7.3% 43.0% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.5 6.8 9.0 9.3 9.7 8.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 49.7 46.4%