Creighton
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#66
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#52
Pace70.3#149
Improvement+0.6#134

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#69
First Shot+3.5#76
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#131
Layup/Dunks+13.3#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#337
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#296
Freethrows-2.3#307
Improvement+2.4#19

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#83
First Shot+0.6#148
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#45
Layups/Dunks-2.1#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#281
Freethrows+3.5#12
Improvement-1.9#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 3.8% 5.3% 1.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.8% 35.1% 19.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.6% 32.6% 17.9%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 72.3% 80.2% 60.6%
.500 or above in Conference 41.8% 46.2% 35.4%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.4% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 7.9% 11.3%
First Four5.5% 6.0% 4.9%
First Round25.6% 32.0% 16.3%
Second Round11.0% 13.7% 7.1%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 4.3% 1.8%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Home) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 25 - 48 - 13
Quad 35 - 113 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 90-77 99%     1 - 0 -9.7 -0.7 -10.2
  Nov 11, 2021 278   Kennesaw St. W 51-44 93%     2 - 0 -2.2 -21.4 +19.5
  Nov 16, 2021 107   @ Nebraska W 77-69 51%     3 - 0 +15.2 +5.5 +9.4
  Nov 19, 2021 216   Brown W 78-57 82%     4 - 0 +18.7 +4.1 +13.8
  Nov 21, 2021 42   Colorado St. L 81-95 38%     4 - 1 -3.6 +8.0 -11.3
  Nov 22, 2021 154   Southern Illinois W 66-64 74%     5 - 1 +2.8 +4.6 -1.5
  Nov 27, 2021 322   SIU Edwardsville W 70-65 96%     6 - 1 -7.2 -7.3 +0.1
  Nov 30, 2021 182   North Dakota St. W 80-55 86%     7 - 1 +21.0 +17.3 +7.5
  Dec 04, 2021 59   Iowa St. W 73-70 59%    
  Dec 11, 2021 20   BYU L 69-76 26%    
  Dec 14, 2021 96   Arizona St. W 77-72 68%    
  Dec 17, 2021 6   Villanova L 66-73 26%    
  Dec 20, 2021 86   @ DePaul L 75-77 44%    
  Dec 28, 2021 128   Georgetown W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 01, 2022 62   @ Marquette L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 05, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 63-76 11%    
  Jan 11, 2022 54   Providence W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 37   @ Xavier L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 19, 2022 61   St. John's W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 22, 2022 86   DePaul W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 26, 2022 103   @ Butler W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 29, 2022 37   Xavier L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 01, 2022 26   @ Connecticut L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 04, 2022 28   @ Seton Hall L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 08, 2022 103   Butler W 68-62 70%    
  Feb 12, 2022 128   @ Georgetown W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 20, 2022 62   Marquette W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 23, 2022 61   @ St. John's L 76-79 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 54   @ Providence L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 02, 2022 26   Connecticut L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 05, 2022 28   Seton Hall L 70-73 41%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.4 2.7 1.1 0.2 7.5 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 4.1 3.2 1.2 0.1 10.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.9 4.3 1.2 0.1 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.1 5.3 1.0 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.3 1.9 5.2 4.7 1.1 0.1 13.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 5.1 4.0 1.2 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 1.7 4.1 3.9 0.9 0.2 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.6 6.4 8.6 11.9 12.0 12.9 12.7 10.7 7.2 5.3 3.0 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 91.5% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 69.4% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
15-5 31.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
14-6 7.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.0% 100.0% 10.2% 89.8% 5.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0%
15-5 1.6% 100.0% 17.3% 82.7% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.0% 97.9% 8.0% 89.9% 7.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 97.7%
13-7 5.3% 89.4% 6.5% 82.9% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.6 88.7%
12-8 7.2% 80.0% 8.3% 71.7% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 78.2%
11-9 10.7% 56.2% 5.2% 50.9% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 1.8 0.6 4.7 53.7%
10-10 12.7% 33.6% 2.9% 30.7% 10.6 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.9 0.8 0.0 8.4 31.6%
9-11 12.9% 13.1% 1.7% 11.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 11.2 11.6%
8-12 12.0% 2.8% 0.9% 1.9% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.7 1.9%
7-13 11.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.2%
6-14 8.6% 0.5% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 8.5
5-15 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 6.4
4-16 3.6% 3.6
3-17 1.8% 1.8
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 28.8% 2.9% 25.8% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.5 4.0 5.1 4.9 6.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 71.2 26.6%