Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +7.7 75
Results Rating +8.5 73
Consistency 0.15 154
Pace 70.3 132
Improvement -6.3 359

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B 58 B- B+ B+ B+ B
Defense C+ 122 C+ B C A- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 29 C+ 60% 128 +4.4 43
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 261 B- 41% 68 -1.5 259
Three Pointers 40% 208 C+ 35% 120 +0.2 168
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 46 C+ +1.9 107
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 84
Second Chance B 35.4% 49 B- 1.11 70 B+ 0.39 43
Turnovers from Steals B 7.9% 38
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 64
Turnovers B+ 14.1% 36
Freethrows A- 0.37 18 C- 71% 221 B+ 0.26 39
Total Offense B +5.9 58

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 54% 86 C- 12.0% 248
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 77 C+ 4.8% 168
Three Pointers B 91% 35 D 1.5% 316
Total B 62% 53 D+ 6.7% 295

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 148 C 58% 186 +0.7 208
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 107 C+ 37% 123 +0.5 225
Three Pointers 38% 270 C+ 33% 142 -2.0 102
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 137 C+ -0.7 154
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 149
Second Chance B- 28.0% 85 B 0.93 51 B 0.26 57
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 125
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 237
Turnovers C 17.2% 155
Freethrows A- 0.22 10 B 70% 65 A- 0.16 10
Total Defense C+ +1.8 122

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 43 C- 9.9% 212
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 244 B- 7.1% 64
Three Pointers C+ 82% 111 D 0.3% 313
Total B 50% 70 C 5.6% 171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 66 18.1 303
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 78 0.15 94
Consistency 0.13 232 0.12 169
Improvement -2.0 281 -4.4 349

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 90 76 61
Results Rating Rank 97 71 57
Conference Record 6 - 14 7 - 13 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 7 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 3% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 2% 0%
Average Seed 11.2 10.9 11.5
.500 or above 81% 100% 77%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 8% 0% 9%
First Four0% 2% 0%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 18.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 7
Quad 24 - 76 - 14
Quad 36 - 112 - 16
Quad 45 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 334 Southern Indiana W 88 - 58 97% +18  97% 1 - 0 A- +15 C+ +3 B- C+ D A +11 B+ A D+
 Sat, Nov 8 323 IU Indianapolis W 112 - 80 96% +14  84% 2 - 0 A +19 C+ +3 D A+ C+ A- +8 B+ A+ B
 Tue, Nov 11 347 Chicago St. W 98 - 66 98% +24  98% 3 - 0 A- +16 A- +10 B- A+ C B +4 F+ C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 31 @SMU L 85 - 87 17% +0  57% 3 - 1 A- +16 A- +9 A+ B- F B+ +7 C- B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 91 South Carolina W 79 - 72 57% +7  97% 4 - 1 B+ +13 B+ +8 C A+ B- B +5 A B+ F+
 Sun, Nov 23 20 Virginia W 80 - 73 16% +5  97% 5 - 1 A+ +25 A+ +15 A+ C D+ A +10 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Nov 28 163 Wright St. W 94 - 69 85% +5  48% 6 - 1 A +22 B+ +9 A- A+ B A +11 B+ B+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 249 Eastern Michigan W 84 - 68 92% +7  85% 7 - 1 B +8 A +12 A A+ C- D+ -3 C C C+
 Sat, Dec 6 63 Boise St. L 68 - 77 58% -2  30% 7 - 2 C- -3 D+ -3 D A A- C -1 A+ B- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 60 Providence W 113 - 110 2OT 57% -0  36% 8 - 2 1 - 0 B +9 A+ +15 B+ A A+ D- -7 C A- F
 Tue, Dec 16 9 @Connecticut L 60 - 79 9% -10  20% 8 - 3 1 - 1 C+ +4 D+ -4 F B A+ A- +8 B F A
 Sat, Dec 20 61 Northwestern W 61 - 58 46% +4  85% 9 - 3 B+ +12 F+ -8 D- B- D- A+ +20 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 22 318 NJIT W 101 - 52 96% +29  98% 10 - 3 A+ +36 A+ +17 A+ A+ A- A+ +17 B- A+ B-
 Tue, Dec 30 65 @Creighton L 85 - 89 35% -7  1% 10 - 4 1 - 2 B- +8 A- +11 C A- B- C- -3 C- F B
 Sat, Jan 3 35 Villanova L 67 - 85 36% -3  47% 10 - 5 1 - 3 D+ -7 D -5 F A+ C+ C- -2 D A+ B-
 Tue, Jan 6 21 St. John's L 70 - 84 24% -4  30% 10 - 6 1 - 4 C +1 C+ +2 A+ F+ F C -1 C- A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 85 @Xavier L 75 - 89 41% -11  0% 10 - 7 1 - 5 C- -4 C +1 D- A+ C- D+ -4 C+ F C
 Sat, Jan 17 54 @Seton Hall W 77 - 66 31% +6  72% 11 - 7 2 - 5 A+ +24 A+ +17 A- F A+ A- +8 A+ C B+
 Tue, Jan 20 94 DePaul W 87 - 80 68% +2  47% 12 - 7 3 - 5 B +10 A +13 A+ A B+ D+ -4 B+ F+ C
 Fri, Jan 23 81 Marquette W 87 - 76 63% +5  93% 13 - 7 4 - 5 A- +15 A +14 C+ A+ A C+ +1 C- F+ A
 Wed, Jan 28 21 @St. John's L 70 - 92 11% -13  0% 13 - 8 4 - 6 C -1 A+ +15 B C+ A+ F -18 F D- F
 Sat, Jan 31 83 Georgetown L 64 - 77 64% -5  11% 13 - 9 4 - 7 D -9 D+ -4 D D A+ D -6 F A+ B-
 Wed, Feb 4 60 @Providence L 87 - 97 2OT 34% +0  51% 13 - 10 4 - 8 C+ +2 C+ +3 C+ C+ B C -0 C A D
 Sat, Feb 7 81 @Marquette L 55 - 70 40% -8  13% 13 - 11 4 - 9 C- -5 F -12 D F D- A- +7 F A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 11 9 Connecticut L 70 - 80 19% -3  24% 13 - 12 4 - 10 B- +7 A +14 A+ B- A+ F+ -9 C F D-
 Sun, Feb 15 54 Seton Hall L 56 - 63 53% +1  50% 13 - 13 4 - 11 C -0 D- -8 D F A+ A- +7 D+ A+ A
 Wed, Feb 18 83 @Georgetown W 93 - 89 41% +9  99% 14 - 13 5 - 11 B+ +14 A+ +25 A+ C+ A+ F -11 F C- D
 Sat, Feb 21 85 Xavier W 80 - 75 64% +10  98% 15 - 13 6 - 11 B +9 B+ +8 C- C+ A+ C+ +1 C+ B+ D+
 Wed, Feb 25 35 @Villanova L 69 - 79 18%
 Wed, Mar 4 65 Creighton W 80 - 78 58%
 Sat, Mar 7 94 @DePaul L 73 - 74 45%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 13 +8 B +6 A+ C+ B C+ +2 C+ C- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C+ B- C+ C+ 45% 30% 40% B B- B B- B+ B+ A- C- B+ C+ C C+ C+ C+ 40% 23% 38% C+ C+ B- B B C A- B A-
1.17 60% 41% 35% +2 +1 1.08 35% 1.1 .39 14% .37 71% .26 1.06 58% 37% 33% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.9 .26 17% .22 70% .26
Nov
5
Southern Indiana C+ D- D+ A+ C+ 64% 11% 25% A B- B+ D+ C+ D A+ D- A+ A A+ A+ C+ B+ 33% 22% 45% C B+ A A+ A D+ B D- C+
1.17 50% 33% 54% +2 +3 1.11 40% 0.9 .36 17% .47 69% .32 0.77 37% 15% 31% -14 -1 0.72 20% 0.6 .12 16% .27 71% .19
Nov
8
IU Indianapolis C+ A C F D- 52% 13% 35% C+ D A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ F A+ A- C+ A+ A+ A 48% 23% 29% D- B+ C A+ A+ B D+ C- D+
1.24 74% 38% 19% 0 +2 1.07 56% 1.3 .73 19% .59 67% .40 0.89 58% 25% 25% -7 0 0.88 28% 0.6 .16 19% .20 73% .15
Nov
11
Chicago St. A- F F A+ B- 26% 2% 72% C+ B- C+ A+ A+ C A+ F+ A+ B D C F F 42% 40% 19% C F+ A+ F C A+ B- A+ A-
1.34 50% 0% 44% +8 +1 1.21 38% 1.9 .72 19% .51 70% .35 0.90 59% 38% 40% +2 -2 1.02 19% 1.3 .26 22% .23 62% .14
Nov
15
SMU A- A- F A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% B A+ A+ F B- F A+ F A- B+ D D- B B- 63% 15% 22% F C- D- A+ B+ A+ B B- B
1.14 67% 22% 48% +10 0 1.23 43% 0.8 .32 23% .40 61% .24 1.17 68% 50% 33% +8 +3 1.22 42% 0.8 .32 21% .26 73% .19
Nov
21
South Carolina B+ C+ D- D C 43% 35% 22% D C A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F A+ B C+ A+ A A+ 40% 18% 42% C- A A C- B+ F+ D+ A+ B-
1.15 60% 31% 30% -3 -1 0.93 43% 1.5 .66 15% .58 59% .34 1.05 59% 20% 26% -8 0 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 10% .36 68% .24
Nov
23
Virginia A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% A- A+ A+ F C D+ A+ D- A+ A A- A A+ A+ 47% 11% 42% D A+ B- B+ B+ D B+ A+ A+
1.16 55% 60% 43% +7 +1 1.17 40% 0.6 .23 19% .52 69% .36 1.06 50% 33% 26% -9 +2 0.87 38% 1.0 .38 13% .25 47% .12
Nov
28
Wright St. B+ A- A+ D- A- 52% 17% 31% B+ A- B A+ A+ B A+ F C+ A B+ C+ B+ A- 54% 18% 28% F+ B+ A- B- B+ C+ A+ A A+
1.25 68% 67% 29% +8 +1 1.20 35% 1.5 .52 15% .40 58% .23 0.92 52% 36% 29% -6 +1 0.93 25% 1.0 .25 17% .05 67% .03
Dec
2
Eastern Michigan A F A A+ A 51% 17% 32% B A A A+ A+ C- B- A- B+ D+ A A+ F B 59% 16% 25% F C C C C C+ C+ F D
1.27 42% 50% 60% +6 +1 1.17 39% 1.6 .64 17% .34 79% .27 1.03 47% 0% 54% -5 +2 0.96 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 92% .22
Dec
6
Boise St. D+ C- C F F+ 52% 19% 29% A D B- A+ A A- B- F C- C C+ A+ A+ A+ 54% 23% 23% C+ A+ F A+ B- D- F D+ F
1.01 56% 40% 20% -7 +1 0.90 24% 1.6 .37 12% .29 59% .17 1.15 57% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .32 12% .44 81% .35
Dec
13
Providence A+ A F C B 48% 15% 37% A B+ A+ C A A+ A+ C A+ D- B- D- F C 39% 16% 46% C+ C C- A+ A- F A+ C- A+
1.32 67% 22% 35% +2 +2 1.10 43% 1.0 .43 8% .48 71% .34 1.28 59% 45% 41% +6 +1 1.16 37% 0.9 .33 10% .23 78% .18
Dec
16
Connecticut D+ F F F F 51% 6% 43% A+ F C+ A- B A+ A- A A A- D A+ D B+ 49% 20% 31% C B F D+ F A A- A+ A
0.86 35% 0% 23% -21 +3 0.65 27% 1.1 .30 14% .40 79% .32 1.13 68% 20% 38% +3 +1 1.10 47% 1.2 .56 21% .24 62% .15
Dec
20
Northwestern F+ A- F F D- 29% 20% 51% C D- C+ B- B- D- C- C C- A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% A A+ A- A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.91 67% 20% 23% -9 -1 0.82 33% 1.0 .33 21% .26 71% .19 0.87 56% 33% 22% -8 -2 0.81 24% 0.8 .19 13% .16 89% .14
Dec
22
NJIT A+ A+ B+ A- A+ 42% 13% 44% B- A+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ A- B+ 45% 21% 34% F+ B- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.39 73% 43% 39% +10 +1 1.25 37% 1.5 .53 11% .49 75% .37 0.72 54% 18% 28% -9 0 0.85 8% 0.7 .05 19% .19 45% .09
Dec
30
Creighton A- C- F C+ C- 45% 17% 38% A C A+ F+ A- B- A A A+ C- C C D C 38% 9% 53% F+ C- D F F B B- F D
1.17 56% 20% 35% -4 +1 0.97 46% 0.9 .39 14% .30 79% .24 1.23 62% 40% 38% +5 +1 1.15 32% 1.3 .42 17% .25 93% .23
Jan
3
Villanova D D+ F+ F F 37% 19% 44% B F B+ A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A C- F C D+ F+ 40% 25% 36% B D A+ C+ A+ B- D+ C+ D+
0.94 53% 30% 17% -15 0 0.73 36% 1.5 .56 20% .25 93% .23 1.20 81% 38% 37% +11 0 1.23 23% 1.0 .23 15% .33 70% .23
Jan
6
St. John's C+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 38% 27% 36% D+ A+ D- F F+ F A A+ A+ C D C- F+ D- 37% 33% 30% A+ C- A+ F A+ F A+ C A+
0.98 71% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.18 22% 0.7 .15 29% .36 83% .30 1.18 64% 40% 39% +5 -2 1.08 20% 1.4 .29 7% .23 73% .17
Jan
14
Xavier C D- A+ F F+ 39% 16% 45% B D- C A+ A+ C- B A+ A- D+ F A- B+ B- 41% 21% 38% D- C+ F C F C A- F B
1.03 50% 50% 26% -7 +1 0.90 26% 1.7 .43 18% .32 79% .25 1.22 72% 31% 30% +2 0 1.07 39% 1.0 .39 12% .19 83% .16
Jan
17
Seton Hall A+ A+ A+ F A- 42% 16% 42% B- A- F F F A+ A+ A+ A+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ 34% 32% 34% A+ A+ F A+ C B+ F B F
1.15 67% 57% 22% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 12% .69 80% .56 0.98 59% 25% 18% -12 -2 0.74 49% 0.7 .35 19% .46 68% .31
Jan
20
DePaul A A A- A+ A+ 41% 25% 34% C+ A+ C+ A+ A B+ A+ D+ A+ D+ A+ F B A- 25% 16% 59% C+ B+ C- F F+ C D+ F F
1.21 67% 45% 47% +12 0 1.25 31% 1.4 .42 17% .52 68% .35 1.11 38% 63% 30% -5 0 0.92 32% 1.4 .44 17% .35 86% .30
Jan
23
Marquette A C+ A+ F C 53% 13% 34% A C+ A- A+ A+ A A+ C A+ C+ F F A+ D+ 42% 13% 44% B+ C- F D+ F+ A B+ B+ B+
1.24 60% 50% 25% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 16% .52 74% .39 1.08 77% 71% 17% +2 +1 1.08 38% 1.1 .41 20% .25 64% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28
St. John's A+ F A+ A C+ 54% 13% 33% A B B- C C+ A+ A+ F A F F D- F F 40% 21% 38% B+ F D C- D- F A+ D- A+
1.12 40% 50% 40% -5 +2 0.96 32% 0.9 .29 10% .53 50% .27 1.47 71% 45% 45% +13 0 1.29 42% 1.2 .52 8% .24 79% .19
Jan
31
Georgetown D+ F F B+ D- 43% 24% 33% B- D A- F D A+ B- A+ A D D- F F F 31% 29% 40% A- F A+ F+ A+ B- A D A-
0.99 43% 25% 38% -8 0 0.86 37% 0.6 .23 11% .31 89% .28 1.19 67% 50% 53% +17 -2 1.33 18% 1.3 .23 15% .26 79% .20
Feb
4
Providence C+ D- A+ C- C 47% 21% 32% B C+ C B C+ B A+ D A+ C F+ D- C C- 33% 20% 47% B+ C D- A+ A D F A+ F
1.10 48% 58% 33% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.1 .31 13% .49 68% .33 1.23 72% 45% 35% +7 0 1.15 40% 0.8 .30 13% .57 67% .38
Feb
7
Marquette F F+ F B- D- 47% 16% 38% B D A- F F D- B- F D+ A- A F F F 37% 4% 59% C+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A A+
0.82 48% 14% 35% -8 +1 0.89 40% 0.4 .14 24% .29 60% .18 1.05 47% 50% 47% +8 +2 1.22 13% 0.5 .07 18% .18 60% .11
Feb
11
Connecticut A C+ B- A+ A+ 52% 11% 37% A+ A+ C+ B- B- A+ D+ B C- F+ A+ F F D 20% 24% 56% A+ C D+ F F D- A+ F+ A+
1.16 54% 40% 41% +2 +2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 13% .31 75% .23 1.32 40% 67% 43% +11 -2 1.20 40% 1.3 .53 13% .17 78% .13
Feb
15
Seton Hall D- D- C- F D 38% 23% 38% C- D C F F A+ C F+ D+ A- F D+ B+ D- 36% 33% 31% A+ D+ A+ C A+ A F A+ A-
0.84 45% 33% 25% -11 0 0.79 29% 0.4 .10 13% .34 65% .22 0.94 69% 40% 29% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 21% .42 45% .19
Feb
18
Georgetown A+ A A+ A+ A+ 41% 27% 31% C+ A+ B- C C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F F F A F 47% 18% 35% F+ F B- D- C- D B- D C
1.36 67% 64% 44% +15 -1 1.31 32% 1.0 .32 9% .42 77% .32 1.31 71% 78% 28% +10 +1 1.24 32% 1.2 .39 12% .32 79% .25
Feb
21
Xavier B+ C- C- D- D+ 56% 23% 21% B+ C- C- B+ C+ A+ A+ A- A+ C+ D F B C 21% 29% 50% B+ C+ B+ B+ B+ D+ A- F B
1.18 56% 36% 30% -3 +1 0.98 25% 1.0 .25 9% .53 76% .40 1.10 67% 50% 32% +4 -2 1.05 23% 0.9 .20 10% .18 82% .15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 1.0 1.0 4th
5th 2.4 2.7 5.1 5th
6th 16.1 26.0 1.8 43.9 6th
7th 1.5 22.7 1.5 25.7 7th
8th 9.0 5.6 14.6 8th
9th 7.9 0.3 8.3 9th
10th 1.4 1.4 10th
11th 11th
Total 19.9 44.7 29.9 5.5 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 5.5% 6.9% 2.0% 4.9% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 5.1 5.0%
8-12 29.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 29.5 0.7%
7-13 44.7% 0.7% 0.7% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 44.4
6-14 19.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 19.9
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 11.2 98.9 0.5%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 26.5% 10.7 2.9 2.9 20.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5% 9.1% 11.2 7.1 1.9
Lose Out 10.6%