Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#57
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#51
Pace73.2#81
Improvement-1.8#297

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#50
First Shot+2.2#117
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#9
Layup/Dunks+2.2#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#138
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement+0.2#158

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#84
First Shot+3.6#67
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#242
Layups/Dunks-5.4#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#41
Freethrows+3.4#18
Improvement-1.9#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.8% 4.0% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.4% 45.9% 28.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.5% 43.9% 26.9%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 9.3
.500 or above 87.5% 93.3% 81.5%
.500 or above in Conference 59.4% 64.2% 54.5%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.4% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.3% 3.2%
First Four8.6% 9.4% 7.8%
First Round32.7% 40.9% 24.2%
Second Round14.0% 18.0% 9.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 4.0% 1.9%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Neutral) - 50.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 26 - 49 - 12
Quad 35 - 114 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 318 Southern Indiana W 88-58 97%     1 - 0 +17.8 +5.3 +10.5
  Sat, Nov 8 357 IU Indianapolis W 112-80 98%     2 - 0 +15.0 +4.2 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 11 341 Chicago St. W 98-66 98%     3 - 0 +17.9 +13.6 +2.9
  Sat, Nov 15 42 @SMU L 85-87 30%     3 - 1 +13.1 +13.0 +0.2
  Fri, Nov 21 86 South Carolina W 79-72 63%     4 - 1 +13.3 +11.4 +2.0
  Sun, Nov 23 25 Virginia W 80-73 31%     5 - 1 +21.9 +13.3 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 28 153 Wright St. W 94-69 87%     6 - 1 +22.5 +13.4 +7.3
  Tue, Dec 2 224 Eastern Michigan W 84-68 93%     7 - 1 +9.2 +13.8 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 6 46 Boise St. L 68-77 56%     7 - 2 -0.8 +3.9 -5.1
  Sat, Dec 13 73 Providence W 113-110 2OT 68%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +7.8 +18.2 -10.9
  Tue, Dec 16 6 @Connecticut L 60-79 10%     8 - 3 1 - 1 +5.1 -0.1 +5.2
  Sat, Dec 20 59 Northwestern W 80-79 51%    
  Mon, Dec 22 352 NJIT W 88-62 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 38 @Creighton L 74-80 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 39 Villanova W 74-73 51%    
  Tue, Jan 6 18 St. John's L 79-83 34%    
  Wed, Jan 14 101 @Xavier W 80-78 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 58 @Seton Hall L 71-74 40%    
  Tue, Jan 20 109 DePaul W 80-71 80%    
  Fri, Jan 23 99 Marquette W 83-75 76%    
  Wed, Jan 28 18 @St. John's L 76-86 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 89 Georgetown W 82-75 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 73 @Providence L 85-86 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 99 @Marquette W 80-78 56%    
  Wed, Feb 11 6 Connecticut L 70-78 22%    
  Sun, Feb 15 58 Seton Hall W 74-71 61%    
  Wed, Feb 18 89 @Georgetown W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 101 Xavier W 83-75 76%    
  Wed, Feb 25 39 @Villanova L 71-77 31%    
  Wed, Mar 4 38 Creighton W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Mar 7 109 @DePaul W 77-74 61%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.7 0.6 0.2 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.8 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 5.6 5.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 6.8 6.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 18.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.7 6.3 4.7 1.3 0.1 15.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.7 0.8 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.5 4.8 7.5 10.9 13.4 14.5 14.3 11.5 9.1 5.6 2.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 48.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 36.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
15-5 12.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.1% 99.7% 12.4% 87.3% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 2.8% 98.2% 8.8% 89.4% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 98.0%
14-6 5.6% 93.7% 7.4% 86.3% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.4 93.2%
13-7 9.1% 86.4% 6.4% 80.0% 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.2 85.5%
12-8 11.5% 67.6% 4.7% 62.8% 9.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.0 1.4 0.0 3.7 65.9%
11-9 14.3% 48.9% 3.3% 45.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.9 2.5 0.0 7.3 47.2%
10-10 14.5% 27.1% 1.8% 25.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.1 0.1 10.6 25.8%
9-11 13.4% 7.7% 1.0% 6.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 12.4 6.8%
8-12 10.9% 1.6% 0.5% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.7 1.1%
7-13 7.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.0%
6-14 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 4.8
5-15 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 2.5
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 37.4% 3.0% 34.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.8 7.8 9.9 7.7 0.2 0.0 62.6 35.5%