Iona
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
32  Gilbert Kirui JR 31:26
39  Kieran Clements SR 31:30
68  Chartt Miller JR 31:41
146  Liam Dee SO 32:01
180  Johannes Motschmann JR 32:09
236  Brandon Allen JR 32:19
251  Jac Hopkins FR 32:22
275  Andrew Tario JR 32:26
871  Alex Carter SO 33:33
991  Thomas McClellan SR 33:44
1,312  Ross Wightman SR 34:09
1,514  Christian Alberico FR 34:26
2,120  Danny Galvin FR 35:24
2,477  Brian Warsh FR 36:16
2,802  Ryan Sleiman JR 37:33
2,938  Robert Kirsty JR 38:43
National Rank #11 of 312
Northeast Region Rank #2 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 6.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 38.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.7%


Regional Champion 8.0%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Gilbert Kirui Kieran Clements Chartt Miller Liam Dee Johannes Motschmann Brandon Allen Jac Hopkins Andrew Tario Alex Carter Thomas McClellan Ross Wightman
Iona Br. Paddy Doyle Meet of Champions 09/16 1198 33:09 33:42 34:02
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 471 31:39 31:37 32:02 31:59 32:17 31:53 33:37 33:50
Metropolitan Conference Championships 10/07
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 34:51
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 377 31:03 30:57 31:56 31:39 32:31 32:21
Princeton Invitational 10/15 1318 33:03 34:30
MAAC Championship 10/29 650 32:10 32:09 32:09 32:09 32:09 32:10 32:09 32:43 33:56 33:20 33:44
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 510 31:31 31:35 32:02 32:21 32:16 32:07 32:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100.0% 12.5 359 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.6 4.2 5.1 7.1 7.6 8.6 8.8 7.8 7.0 6.6 5.0 5.5 4.5 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 1.6 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.0 52 8.0 86.7 4.7 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gilbert Kirui 100% 37.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.6 2.0 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.7 2.3 1.8
Kieran Clements 100% 47.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.3
Chartt Miller 100.0% 72.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
Liam Dee 100.0% 121.8
Johannes Motschmann 100.0% 142.5
Brandon Allen 100.0% 166.8
Jac Hopkins 100.0% 173.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gilbert Kirui 3.8 2.0 16.4 19.2 15.3 12.2 8.2 6.6 4.2 3.0 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2
Kieran Clements 4.7 1.3 9.8 15.3 15.0 12.8 10.2 7.0 6.1 4.2 3.5 2.7 2.1 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4
Chartt Miller 6.8 0.2 1.8 6.4 9.3 12.8 11.2 10.8 7.8 7.1 5.6 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.2 2.3 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.6
Liam Dee 12.8 0.5 1.7 3.6 5.5 7.9 7.7 6.9 7.2 5.3 5.3 3.9 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.9 1.8 1.6 1.2
Johannes Motschmann 17.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.0 3.1 4.0 5.4 6.1 5.3 5.4 3.9 3.6 4.8 3.6 4.0 3.5 2.2 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.4
Brandon Allen 23.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.6 2.3 3.4 4.6 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.2 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.4 2.9 2.9
Jac Hopkins 25.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 2.7 2.1 2.3 3.1 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.7 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 8.0% 100.0% 8.0 8.0 1
2 86.7% 100.0% 86.7 86.7 2
3 4.7% 100.0% 1.4 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 4.7 3
4 0.6% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 4
5 0.1% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 100.0% 8.0 86.7 1.4 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 94.7 5.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 99.1% 2.0 2.0
Wisconsin 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Portland 98.2% 1.0 1.0
UCLA 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 89.6% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 85.2% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 71.5% 1.0 0.7
Tulsa 68.5% 1.0 0.7
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Navy 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 2.0 0.7
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Washington 16.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.7% 2.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 16.4
Minimum 12.0
Maximum 21.0