Furman
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
21  Aaron Templeton JR 31:13
32  Josh Brickell SR 31:25
62  Tanner Hinkle SR 31:33
78  Frank Lara SR 31:39
88  Troy Reeder SR 31:44
119  Mason Coppi SO 31:51
189  Daniel Bernal FR 32:07
214  Ryan Adams SO 32:12
417  Jake Ogden SO 32:40
550  Allen Clark FR 32:56
670  Lee Shearer SR 33:08
715  Trent Mandato FR 33:14
1,313  Patrick McNamara SO 34:05
1,409  Quintin McKinnish JR 34:11
1,601  Thomas Moore SO 34:27
2,584  Hayden Cox JR 36:45
National Rank #5 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #1 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Nationals


National Champion 1.3%
Top 5 at Nationals 47.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 87.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.5%


Regional Champion 91.3%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Aaron Templeton Josh Brickell Tanner Hinkle Frank Lara Troy Reeder Mason Coppi Daniel Bernal Ryan Adams Jake Ogden Allen Clark Lee Shearer
Furman Classic 09/09 382 31:37 31:45 31:35 31:57 31:40 32:07 31:48 32:49 32:54 32:05
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 298 31:16 31:22 31:37 32:02 31:45 31:36 32:02 32:27 32:29 32:37 32:43
Furman Gene Mullin Invite 10/07 1333
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 256 31:18 31:06 31:30 31:21 31:51 31:47 32:09
High Point Vertcross 10/13 1036 32:20 32:57 33:20 33:31
Southern Conference Championship 10/28 327 31:15 31:26 31:37 31:46 31:46 32:06 32:10 32:14 32:40
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 209 30:56 31:25 31:25 31:29 31:17 31:42 31:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 6.5 240 1.3 5.5 13.7 13.3 14.1 10.6 10.0 8.1 6.2 4.4 3.6 2.2 1.9 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.1 56 91.3 8.3 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Templeton 100% 23.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.4 3.0 1.9 3.3 4.4 3.4 3.0 3.0 2.6 3.3 2.4 2.8 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.4
Josh Brickell 100% 40.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.1 1.3 2.1 2.0
Tanner Hinkle 100% 59.8 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.6 1.1
Frank Lara 100% 71.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7
Troy Reeder 100% 80.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2
Mason Coppi 100% 100.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Daniel Bernal 100% 139.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Templeton 3.7 6.5 16.4 18.9 11.5 8.8 6.3 4.9 3.5 3.7 2.7 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.9 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2
Josh Brickell 6.9 1.1 3.9 8.7 12.4 9.8 7.8 7.3 5.9 4.9 4.8 3.9 3.7 2.7 2.6 1.8 2.5 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.8 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.6 1.2
Tanner Hinkle 10.3 0.2 1.2 2.7 5.5 6.4 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.8 5.9 4.7 4.8 3.6 3.5 3.8 3.3 3.4 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.2
Frank Lara 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.5 6.1 5.6 5.8 5.1 5.5 5.9 5.0 4.1 5.0 4.6 4.0 2.7 3.7 2.7 3.0 2.2 2.4 1.7 1.5 1.7
Troy Reeder 14.7 0.4 1.0 2.3 2.5 4.3 3.8 5.2 6.2 6.0 5.4 5.5 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.7 3.1 2.7 1.9 2.4 1.9 2.0
Mason Coppi 19.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.5 3.8 4.1 4.1 4.9 5.3 4.4 4.8 4.3 3.3 4.1 3.5 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.6 2.6
Daniel Bernal 29.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.6 4.0 3.3 3.8 2.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 91.3% 100.0% 91.3 91.3 1
2 8.3% 100.0% 8.3 8.3 2
3 0.4% 100.0% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 100.0% 91.3 8.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Colorado St. 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Southern Utah 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 99.4% 1.0 1.0
Virginia Tech 99.4% 1.0 1.0
Air Force 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
UCLA 88.5% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 88.2% 1.0 0.9
Washington 71.7% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Princeton 69.0% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 2.0 1.1
Mid. Tenn. State 48.7% 1.0 0.5
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 2.0 0.7
Wisconsin 26.1% 2.0 0.5
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Purdue 22.8% 2.0 0.5
San Francisco 20.6% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Belmont 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 16.9
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 23.0