Virginia Tech
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
61  Peter Seufer JR 31:33
104  Patrick Joseph SR 31:47
107  Daniel Jaskowak SR 31:48
163  Neil Gourley SR 32:03
224  Diego Zarate JR 32:13
236  Vincent Ciattei SR 32:15
260  Jack Joyce SO 32:20
443  Fitsum Seyoum SO 32:43
486  Andrew Eason JR 32:47
826  Brent Musselman SR 33:25
960  Andrew Goldman JR 33:35
1,259  Owen Buck FR 34:00
National Rank #19 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #3 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.5%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 81.0%


Regional Champion 8.4%
Top 5 in Regional 99.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Peter Seufer Patrick Joseph Daniel Jaskowak Neil Gourley Diego Zarate Vincent Ciattei Jack Joyce Fitsum Seyoum Andrew Eason Brent Musselman Andrew Goldman
Virginia Tech Alumni Invitational 09/15 889 32:35 32:36 32:35 32:36 32:36 33:22
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 456 31:27 31:37 31:50 32:04 32:04 32:07 32:15 32:38 32:45 34:13 34:00
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 1026 32:36 32:43 33:33 32:51
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 376 30:57 31:52 31:17 31:51 32:12 32:04 32:21
ACC Championship 10/27 543 31:29 32:15 31:58 32:00 32:28 32:08 32:16 32:36 32:51 34:19
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 409 31:17 31:34 31:18 32:25 32:06 32:21 32:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.5% 15.7 431 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.5 2.4 3.9 4.5 6.1 7.1 6.2 7.0 6.4 6.4 6.2 6.0 7.2 5.6 4.3 3.6 2.5 2.9 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3
Region Championship 100% 2.2 105 8.4 70.3 16.8 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peter Seufer 99.5% 58.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.0
Patrick Joseph 99.5% 91.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Daniel Jaskowak 99.5% 93.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Neil Gourley 99.5% 129.4
Diego Zarate 99.5% 157.3
Vincent Ciattei 99.5% 164.9
Jack Joyce 99.5% 173.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peter Seufer 10.2 0.4 1.3 4.0 6.0 6.9 6.0 6.4 6.8 6.1 5.2 5.7 5.5 4.5 4.0 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.7 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2
Patrick Joseph 16.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.8 2.8 3.2 3.9 4.6 6.0 5.7 5.1 5.4 4.5 4.8 4.2 4.4 3.7 2.9 3.4 2.6 2.7 2.2 2.4
Daniel Jaskowak 17.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.5 4.4 4.1 4.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.1 3.9 4.4 3.7 2.8 3.3 2.4 3.1 2.4 2.7
Neil Gourley 25.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.8 1.6 2.2 2.7 3.5 2.9 4.5 4.4 3.3 3.7 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.7
Diego Zarate 32.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.3 2.9 2.4
Vincent Ciattei 34.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.3
Jack Joyce 38.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 8.4% 100.0% 8.4 8.4 1
2 70.3% 100.0% 70.3 70.3 2
3 16.8% 100.0% 1.7 1.2 0.6 1.3 4.6 4.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 16.8 3
4 3.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 3.4 4
5 0.9% 58.8% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 5
6 0.2% 66.7% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 99.5% 8.4 70.3 1.7 1.6 0.8 1.4 4.6 5.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 78.7 20.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 98.0% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Princeton 69.0% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Mid. Tenn. State 48.7% 1.0 0.5
Utah State 39.2% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Georgetown 31.5% 1.0 0.3
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 2.0 0.5
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Campbell 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Belmont 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 7.5
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 11.0