Bellmont
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #43
New Haven Semi-State Rank #11
Marion Regional Rank #2
Bellmont Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Bellmont Invitational Celina Rotary Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/23 8/26 9/2 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 511 628 578 615 498 617 554 587 495 461
Team Adjusted Rating 628 578 615 498 617 554 587 495 461
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Bellmont Invitational Celina Rotary Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
109  Justin Gephart 12 16:37 16:33 16:39 16:37 16:29 16:46 16:37 16:46 16:44 16:38
140  Kyle Lawson 10 16:45 16:48 16:52 16:35 16:35 16:48 16:45 17:13 16:38 16:46
397  Nevin Ryan 11 17:23 18:20 17:43 18:15 17:39 18:00 17:59 17:50 17:25 17:10
498  Blaine Johnson 10 17:33 18:03 17:59 18:03 17:16 17:50 17:31 17:23 17:27 17:21
780  Isaac Fuelling 9 18:00 18:22 18:19 18:21 18:07 18:24 18:06 18:10 17:53 17:47
899  Lance Williamson 12 18:08 18:01 17:58 18:18 18:11 19:02 18:18 18:09 19:26 17:55
963  Emerson Brown 11 18:13 18:30 18:04 18:04 18:06 17:58 18:37 18:16 18:27
1,274  Jordan Garlinger 9 18:35 18:22 18:20 18:22 18:34 19:16
1,424  Chase Kukelhan 10 18:46 18:50 18:38 18:40 18:51 18:51
1,451  Nick Corral 10 18:48 19:17 19:15 19:20 18:18 18:27
Ryan Boyle 12 20:20 21:55 20:01 21:15 18:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.5 270 0.2 0.4 1.1 3.5 7.0 18.1 23.7 19.1 12.1 7.6 3.3 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.8 69 26.2 65.8 7.7 0.4
Sectionals 100% 1.0 31 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 33.0% 80.9 0.1 33.0% 33.0%
Kyle Lawson 10.4% 90.6 0.1 10.4% 10.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 100% 24.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.9 1.7 2.6 4.1 3.3 4.1 3.4 2.9 2.8 3.9 3.3 3.2 2.8 3.8 3.2 2.7 100.0%
Kyle Lawson 100% 35.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.4 2.1 2.2 3.0 1.5 2.2 100.0%
Nevin Ryan 100% 88.5 88.2%
Blaine Johnson 100% 103.3 62.4%
Isaac Fuelling 100% 135.9 2.9%
Lance Williamson 100% 144.6 0.6%
Emerson Brown 100% 148.5 0.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 100% 3.3 0.1 27.9 16.8 15.7 12.6 9.5 7.0 5.0 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Kyle Lawson 100% 5.6 4.3 12.0 12.1 13.6 12.8 11.4 10.2 8.8 6.8 5.0 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Nevin Ryan 100% 15.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.3 4.1 7.6 10.8 12.6 9.5 7.6 7.0 6.3 5.3 4.3 4.5 4.3 2.9 2.4 2.5 100.0%
Blaine Johnson 100% 21.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.7 4.1 4.7 5.3 5.2 6.1 5.7 5.5 6.1 5.3 5.5 6.5 5.5 100.0%
Isaac Fuelling 100% 36.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.4 100.0%
Lance Williamson 100% 41.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Emerson Brown 100% 44.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justin Gephart 1.0 79.1 19.5 1.5
Kyle Lawson 1.4 18.3 72.2 9.0 0.6
Nevin Ryan 4.6 9.6 27.2 20.6 15.8 9.8 6.9 3.8 2.6 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
Blaine Johnson 7.3 1.1 5.7 11.2 13.9 14.7 11.6 12.5 9.8 7.6 6.0 3.1 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.2
Isaac Fuelling 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.4 2.9 5.0 8.6 11.4 13.0 14.0 12.9 10.0 6.9 4.8 3.3 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.2
Lance Williamson 17.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 2.4 3.5 7.1 8.3 11.3 13.4 12.9 10.6 8.8 6.3 4.7 3.6 2.4 1.2
Emerson Brown 18.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.8 3.1 4.7 7.1 11.6 12.7 11.6 11.1 10.8 8.4 6.8 4.0 2.2