Bellmont
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #40
New Haven Semi-State Rank #13
Marion Regional Rank #2
Bellmont Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Norwell Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/12 9/1 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 487 575 584 519 604 516 402 504 458
Team Adjusted Rating 575 584 519 604 516 402 504 458
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Norwell Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
202  Kyle Lawson 11 16:59 17:13 16:45 16:55 17:09 16:55 16:42 16:58 17:07
305  Jordan Garlinger 10 17:13 17:45 17:44 17:26 17:36 17:34 17:06 17:13 17:01
310  Nevin Ryan 12 17:15 17:56 17:41 17:25 17:38 17:08 17:09 17:18 17:02
351  Isaac Fuelling 10 17:19 17:24 17:45 17:28 17:38 17:35 16:58 17:16 17:08
374  Blaine Johnson 11 17:23 16:56 17:26 17:20 17:36 17:18 17:07 17:35 17:29
660  Emerson Brown 12 17:53 18:03 18:46 17:58 17:55 17:37 18:02 17:53 17:53
1,062  Nick Corral 11 18:24 18:37 18:25 18:32 18:21 18:06 18:22 18:32 18:28
1,198  Chase Kukelhan 11 18:34 18:48 18:04 19:26 18:23 18:18
1,200  Deion Guise 9 18:34 19:06 19:04 18:33 18:44 18:16
1,531  Brett Johnson 9 18:58 19:20 18:52 19:01 19:04 18:38
Dominick Litchfield 9 19:13 19:14 19:35 18:52
Kobe Baker 9 19:26 19:39 19:24 19:02 19:20 19:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 12.6 325 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.3 6.9 9.8 10.7 11.7 12.7 13.7 13.1 9.2 4.4 0.7
Regionals 100% 2.3 72 13.0 49.5 27.9 9.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 27 99.8 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Lawson 0.2% 89.5 0.2% 0.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Lawson 100% 63.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jordan Garlinger 100% 89.9 99.8%
Nevin Ryan 100% 91.6 99.9%
Isaac Fuelling 100% 99.8 99.2%
Blaine Johnson 100% 105.4 98.4%
Emerson Brown 100% 140.2 39.4%
Nick Corral 100% 160.5 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Lawson 100% 8.9 0.4 1.7 3.8 6.1 8.0 9.4 10.5 10.8 10.9 9.4 7.7 6.5 4.8 4.1 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jordan Garlinger 100% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 3.1 3.8 5.8 6.2 7.9 9.8 10.1 9.8 8.3 7.9 6.0 4.7 3.6 2.7 1.8 1.2 1.0 100.0%
Nevin Ryan 100% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.8 6.0 7.1 8.3 9.1 10.2 8.9 8.7 6.9 5.5 4.3 3.7 1.8 1.7 1.1 100.0%
Isaac Fuelling 100% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.2 3.2 4.9 5.5 7.4 8.9 9.2 9.6 9.3 8.3 7.6 5.6 4.3 3.0 2.4 100.0%
Blaine Johnson 100% 19.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.8 3.8 5.4 6.8 7.8 8.6 9.7 10.3 8.7 7.3 6.7 5.0 3.7 100.0%
Emerson Brown 100% 32.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.7 100.0%
Nick Corral 100% 51.4 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Lawson 2.0 16.1 33.3 35.6 10.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
Jordan Garlinger 4.5 0.5 3.7 10.7 24.4 22.7 17.0 10.9 5.5 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Nevin Ryan 4.8 0.6 2.5 8.3 21.2 22.3 18.5 13.0 7.9 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Isaac Fuelling 6.1 0.1 0.7 3.1 8.6 15.1 20.4 20.2 14.7 9.0 4.6 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Blaine Johnson 6.9 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.3 9.5 15.1 21.5 20.1 13.4 8.2 3.8 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Emerson Brown 13.3 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.4 9.8 14.5 13.2 11.9 10.9 9.7 8.4 5.9 3.2 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Nick Corral 22.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.9 4.6 6.7 9.6 11.4 11.6 11.9 10.9 8.5