North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #9
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 26.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 79.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/3 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 239 201 285 230 223 328 711 332 250 229 273
Team Adjusted Rating 198 223 229 223 262 239 246 250 224 273
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
16  Ian Hunter 12 15:51 15:28 15:54 15:55 16:07 16:03 15:40 16:15
65  Ian Cummings 12 16:22 16:14 16:25 16:23 16:23 16:29 16:21 16:13 16:29
113  Alex Frey 10 16:38 16:24 16:30 16:39 16:32 16:36 17:20 16:43 16:32
128  Isaac Weber 12 16:42 16:57 16:37 16:32 16:39 16:50
155  Jon Deem-Loureiro 11 16:47 16:38 16:48 16:34 16:39 16:54 16:50 17:05
171  Jack Hawes 11 16:49 16:45 16:36 16:43 16:40 17:00 16:51 16:52 16:59
214  Aidan Minto 11 16:56 16:48 16:51 17:01 16:55 17:19 16:55 16:54 16:55
319  Antwine Johnson 12 17:11 18:09 17:28 17:12 16:49 16:59
321  Eric Petersen 11 17:12 17:44 17:37 17:00 17:05 17:01
330  Oneel Occenat 11 17:12 17:35 17:19 17:17 16:50 17:12 17:13
353  Howard Hendricks 10 17:16 17:06 17:10 17:08 16:59 18:55
554  Raul Lazo 10 17:39 17:18 20:38 18:17 17:38 17:24 17:16
676  James Jackson 10 17:50 17:37 18:11 17:45
789  Jacob Lough 12 18:00 17:05 17:56 18:59 17:46 18:15
796  Jon Petersen 9 18:00 17:57 18:15 18:22 17:47 18:02 17:50
917  Bennett Imel 11 18:09 18:05 18:10 18:20 18:04 18:10
978  Aaron Broderick 9 18:13 18:12 18:19 18:06
1,053  Malcolm Corbett 12 18:18 18:09 18:16 18:04 18:59
1,076  Jacob Ruschhaupt 11 18:21 17:56 18:32 18:33 18:12 18:29
1,082  Max Mukhin 11 18:21 17:56 18:25 18:39
1,167  Nick Davis 10 18:26 18:30 18:40 18:35 18:00
1,371  Spencer Kutschera 12 18:42 17:55 18:17 24:25 18:51
1,388  Logan Rousu 10 18:43 18:47 18:43 18:43
1,591  David Lamb 10 18:57 18:51 18:57 19:06
Ethan Halloran 12 19:06 18:37 18:34 19:56 19:21
Soren Sandstrom 12 19:09 18:48 19:30 19:17 19:02
Ben Fencl 9 19:11 18:57 19:04 19:43
Woodrow Murray 9 19:24 19:01 19:38 19:10 19:52
Phillip Parmelee 11 20:43 18:28 22:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 8.0 261 0.4 2.2 5.2 7.4 11.4 12.6 12.3 11.1 9.4 7.3 6.1 3.5 2.9 2.3 1.8 1.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.1
Semi-State 100% 4.2 137 0.5 5.4 17.7 44.8 21.3 7.4 2.5 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.7 104 0.4 6.1 20.1 68.8 4.1 0.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.9 45 11.8 88.0 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 100% 16.0 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.4 3.2 2.9 3.7 3.6 4.9 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.8 5.5 4.6 4.2 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.5 3.1 3.2 2.5 99.8%
Ian Cummings 100% 62.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 58.8%
Alex Frey 100% 98.1 13.6%
Isaac Weber 100% 108.7 0.1 7.3%
Jon Deem-Loureiro 100% 119.8 2.9%
Jack Hawes 100% 122.0 2.0%
Aidan Minto 100% 137.7 0.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 100% 5.6 0.5 2.0 10.7 13.7 13.7 15.1 11.1 9.6 6.8 4.1 2.6 2.5 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Ian Cummings 100% 23.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 4.0 3.9 4.5 3.8 3.4 99.3%
Alex Frey 100% 39.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.6 1.2 1.8 91.0%
Isaac Weber 100% 45.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.7 85.5%
Jon Deem-Loureiro 100% 50.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 74.0%
Jack Hawes 100% 53.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 68.1%
Aidan Minto 100% 64.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 44.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 100% 5.5 0.6 2.9 9.8 12.6 17.0 15.0 13.8 10.4 5.7 4.6 2.8 1.7 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ian Cummings 100% 17.8 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.7 2.8 3.7 4.0 4.2 5.3 4.7 5.1 5.8 6.4 5.8 7.4 5.7 5.1 6.4 5.2 5.2 4.5 100.0%
Alex Frey 100% 26.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 3.7 4.8 5.8 6.3 6.9 100.0%
Isaac Weber 100% 28.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.4 2.6 3.2 3.6 4.2 4.6 100.0%
Jon Deem-Loureiro 100% 31.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.8 2.5 100.0%
Jack Hawes 100% 32.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.4 100.0%
Aidan Minto 100% 37.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 1.6 4.7 81.5 9.2 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1
Ian Cummings 6.2 12.2 14.3 11.6 10.5 9.3 14.0 12.6 9.4 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
Alex Frey 10.7 0.3 1.3 2.0 3.8 4.5 4.6 7.2 13.3 18.3 16.8 11.3 7.8 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
Isaac Weber 12.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.6 5.3 7.1 11.9 15.4 15.8 14.4 10.5 5.2 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2
Jon Deem-Loureiro 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.9 4.2 5.7 11.1 14.8 14.3 16.3 11.9 7.0 4.8 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.6
Jack Hawes 14.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.8 5.5 8.2 11.8 15.3 15.7 14.2 9.8 6.1 3.8 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1
Aidan Minto 16.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.9 4.1 7.2 9.9 17.0 16.7 14.7 11.3 6.7 5.6 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.1