Roncalli
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #75
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #23
Rushville Regional Rank #3
New Palestine Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 18th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Triton Early Bird Invitational Harvey Circle City Conference Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up CougarPalooza Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational New Palestine Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/19 8/23 9/6 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/3 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 673 746 660 723 759 802 754 699 734 1,248 695 723 616
Team Adjusted Rating 671 660 705 736 714 704 699 734 673 695 723 616
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Triton Early Bird Invitational Harvey Circle City Conference Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up CougarPalooza Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational New Palestine Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
86  Nick Perkins 11 16:30 16:27 16:27 16:22 16:29 16:34 16:20 16:18 16:42 16:35 16:46 16:25 16:47
649  Dave Schrader 12 17:48 18:20 18:19 17:58 18:09 17:47 18:05 18:01 18:07 17:35
673  Sam George 10 17:50 18:04 17:47 18:04 18:17 18:11 18:01 17:48 18:17 17:48 17:51 17:38
839  Ryan Flick 10 18:04 17:51 17:49 17:51 18:12 18:27 18:08 18:06 18:00 18:00
909  Owen Herndon 10 18:09 17:47 18:21 18:25 17:58 18:11 18:20 18:00
1,007  Liam Irwin 10 18:16 18:27 18:43 18:41 18:21 18:42 18:16 18:37 18:18 18:14 18:37 18:03
1,250  Jason Croddy 12 18:34 18:33 18:23 18:24 18:22 18:34 18:21 18:43 18:39 18:46 18:39
1,509  Chris Figueroa 10 18:52 19:06 18:43 18:40 18:41 19:36 19:04 18:38
1,558  Tim Adams 11 18:55 19:28 18:49 18:43 18:50 18:58 18:57
Michael Runholt 11 19:11 19:37 18:59 19:03 18:45 19:54 18:58 19:12 19:17
Calder Robinson 11 19:21 19:27 20:59 19:40 18:57 18:58 19:19 19:24
Max Peeples 10 19:28 18:26 18:59 18:47 18:49 19:57 19:44 20:13 19:49
Matthew Croddy 9 19:37 19:21 19:37 19:24 19:16 20:16 19:48 19:29 19:49
Jack Tichenor 12 19:41 20:03 19:26 19:42 19:43 19:09 20:00 19:49
Ethan Gosser 10 20:00 20:28 19:27 18:49 19:31 20:04 21:53 22:03 19:24




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 16.4 439 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.2 9.1 14.2 16.2 17.3 18.9 15.5 0.8
Regionals 100% 3.2 101 2.0 24.9 34.5 26.1 10.5 1.8 0.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.7 95 1.1 18.2 23.7 28.4 26.8 1.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Perkins 40.1% 65.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 40.1% 40.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Perkins 100% 30.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.3 3.3 2.8 100.0%
Dave Schrader 100% 133.9 16.0%
Sam George 100% 136.7 11.3%
Ryan Flick 100% 149.2 1.2%
Owen Herndon 100% 152.9 0.5%
Liam Irwin 100% 157.0 0.0%
Jason Croddy 100% 165.6 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Perkins 100% 1.0 74.8 17.3 4.7 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Dave Schrader 100% 26.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.5 1.8 3.0 3.8 4.9 4.2 4.7 5.4 4.8 5.1 100.0%
Sam George 100% 28.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.3 4.5 4.5 5.4 4.9 100.0%
Ryan Flick 100% 37.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.1 100.0%
Owen Herndon 100% 41.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 100.0%
Liam Irwin 100% 46.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jason Croddy 100% 56.0 99.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Perkins 1.0 78.2 15.9 4.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Dave Schrader 19.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 2.5 3.9 4.3 5.6 7.0 7.3 8.2 9.1 8.6 9.4 7.1 6.1 6.5 4.6
Sam George 20.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.8 3.3 4.7 5.6 6.2 7.2 7.1 9.3 9.7 9.6 7.7 7.8 5.0
Ryan Flick 25.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.9 4.5 7.1 8.1 9.5
Owen Herndon 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.5 4.7 4.4 7.1
Liam Irwin 30.7 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.3
Jason Croddy 36.1 0.2 0.1