Riley
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #82
New Haven Semi-State Rank #28
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #7
Riley Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Northwood Invite South Bend City Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/29 9/3 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 704 820 749 684 625 642 671 719 727
Team Adjusted Rating 730 749 684 625 642 671 719 727
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northwood Invite South Bend City Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
375  Michael Burns 12 17:23 17:39 17:34 17:30 17:15 17:06 17:17 17:28 17:29 17:24
400  Kevin Liddell 12 17:27 17:50 17:24 17:08 17:27 17:13 17:36 17:20 18:07
410  Austin Whitrock 10 17:29 17:20 17:29 17:13 17:13 17:26 17:39 17:38 17:38 17:37
879  Luke Hanson-Phipps 11 18:15 18:22 18:09 18:23 18:20 18:09 18:05 18:24 18:18
911  Ethan Vandezande 11 18:18 18:44 18:27 18:12 17:58 17:58 18:29 18:10 18:38
918  Riley Fuerbringer 10 18:18 18:24 18:24 18:18 18:27 18:09 18:15 18:12 18:24
1,254  Chris Ashley 11 18:44 18:38 18:29 18:40 18:36 18:54 18:58
1,299  Chan Agwick 12 18:46 18:35 19:30 18:52 19:05 19:12 18:46 18:40 18:27
1,304  Isaiah Rivas 9 18:47 19:09 18:58 18:48 18:36 18:32 18:52
Lucas Carpenter 10 20:13 20:22 19:07 20:34 20:02 20:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.3 170 0.1 10.7 25.3 22.6 18.0 14.1 7.8 1.5
Sectionals 100% 2.5 78 58.6 29.6 11.0 0.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Burns 90.2% 87.7 90.2% 90.2%
Kevin Liddell 80.3% 93.0 80.3% 80.3%
Austin Whitrock 76.8% 95.2 76.8% 76.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Burns 100% 22.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 2.2 3.1 4.3 5.0 5.6 6.5 6.5 6.0 5.7 7.1 6.9 5.4 100.0%
Kevin Liddell 100% 25.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.9 3.0 3.5 3.6 5.1 4.7 5.5 6.2 6.5 6.5 100.0%
Austin Whitrock 100% 25.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.9 2.2 3.3 3.1 4.0 5.5 6.1 6.3 5.7 6.1 100.0%
Luke Hanson-Phipps 100% 53.5 100.0%
Ethan Vandezande 100% 54.9 100.0%
Riley Fuerbringer 100% 55.3 100.0%
Chris Ashley 100% 71.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Burns 9.7 0.2 0.7 2.2 3.5 6.6 11.2 14.7 15.2 15.0 12.9 8.0 4.9 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Kevin Liddell 10.8 0.4 0.4 1.7 3.5 7.1 10.2 14.1 15.0 14.7 12.3 9.0 6.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.1
Austin Whitrock 11.4 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.1 2.3 5.1 7.7 12.4 14.8 14.5 13.6 11.3 7.3 4.9 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1
Luke Hanson-Phipps 22.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 2.4 4.3 4.9 7.9 11.4 13.2 13.5 12.6 8.8
Ethan Vandezande 23.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.8 3.9 5.4 9.2 12.1 13.2 12.0 10.1
Riley Fuerbringer 23.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 2.7 4.2 6.7 9.0 11.7 12.5 13.0 10.3
Chris Ashley 31.8 0.2 0.2 1.0 2.0