Bellmont
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #31
New Haven Semi-State Rank #10
Marion Regional Rank #1
Bellmont Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Celina Rotary Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/29 9/5 9/19 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 440 NEI 450 491 475 441 459 419
Team Adjusted Rating NEI 450 491 475 441 459 419
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Celina Rotary Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
65  Isaac Fuelling 12 16:25 NEI 16:38 17:04 16:43 16:36 16:39 16:25 16:18
70  Deion Guise 11 16:27 NEI 16:24 16:56 16:31 16:38 16:14 16:15 16:49
90  Jordan Garlinger 12 16:34 NEI 16:38 16:42 16:29 16:32 16:38 16:35
615  Dominick Litchfield 11 17:52 NEI 17:48 17:40 18:01 17:34 18:03 17:52
642  Brett Johnson 11 17:53 NEI 17:56 17:45 17:58 17:57 17:54 17:46
1,393  Henry Kukelhan 10 18:54 NEI 18:55 18:47 18:44 18:54 18:59
1,431  Elijah Orbringer 10 18:57 19:11 18:47 18:47 18:58 19:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.3 268 0.1 0.8 1.4 4.8 10.3 16.0 23.2 18.7 13.2 7.1 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.3 54 79.8 15.0 4.2 1.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 98.6 1.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Fuelling 65.3% 59.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 65.3% 65.3%
Deion Guise 59.5% 61.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 59.5% 59.5%
Jordan Garlinger 25.6% 70.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 25.6% 25.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Fuelling 100% 21.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.3 3.6 3.8 4.5 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.4 4.0 3.9 4.8 100.0%
Deion Guise 100% 22.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.1 3.1 3.4 4.2 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.5 4.4 4.5 5.4 4.2 3.9 100.0%
Jordan Garlinger 100% 29.7 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.1 4.3 3.6 4.0 100.0%
Dominick Litchfield 100% 127.4 99.3%
Brett Johnson 100% 129.6 98.7%
Henry Kukelhan 100% 174.1 0.4%
Elijah Orbringer 100% 174.9 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Fuelling 100% 2.1 13.7 34.4 27.3 12.8 6.1 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Deion Guise 100% 2.3 11.0 30.1 28.6 15.9 7.7 4.0 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jordan Garlinger 100% 3.8 1.6 7.2 15.9 32.6 18.7 9.9 6.5 3.9 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Dominick Litchfield 100% 21.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.7 3.5 8.6 10.4 12.0 10.2 10.0 7.9 7.4 6.0 100.0%
Brett Johnson 100% 22.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.5 6.2 7.6 11.1 10.5 9.8 9.6 7.3 5.4 100.0%
Henry Kukelhan 100% 53.0 100.0%
Elijah Orbringer 100% 54.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Fuelling 1.0 52.8 33.9 11.9 1.6
Deion Guise 1.3 38.2 40.8 18.4 2.6 0.1
Jordan Garlinger 2.4 6.7 20.7 60.4 11.6 0.5 0.2
Dominick Litchfield 8.3 0.7 3.6 14.0 24.9 23.2 14.4 8.1 4.4 3.1 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.5
Brett Johnson 8.6 0.8 2.4 11.9 21.7 22.6 17.0 9.4 6.2 4.1 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2
Henry Kukelhan 23.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.1 5.9 10.0 11.4 12.7 12.5 11.8
Elijah Orbringer 24.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.3 2.7 4.4 6.8 9.1 10.8 12.1 12.6