Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #22
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #2
Chesterton Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 5.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 353 387 573 315 582 298 1,166 457 365 413 355 355
Team Adjusted Rating 387 466 315 582 298 353 403 365 413 355 355
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
57  Matthew Streeter 12 16:24 16:50 16:15 17:20 16:19 16:57 16:49 16:40 16:27 16:17
146  Cole Dolson 11 16:48 16:18 16:58 16:26 17:24 16:28 16:49 16:54 16:51 16:44 17:02
183  Evan O'Connor 9 16:54 17:38 17:29 17:29 17:42 16:54 16:56 17:12 17:05 16:47
212  Josh Dennington 12 16:59 16:31 17:19 16:57 17:28 16:52 16:49 17:00 17:11 16:51 17:03
287  Jackson Tuck 10 17:11 17:18 17:53 16:45 17:27 16:53 17:30 16:54 17:14 17:10 17:09
421  Josh Tuck 10 17:30 17:51 17:35 17:15 17:42 16:58 17:53 17:33 17:24 17:29
664  Reece Erow 11 17:55 17:45 18:26 18:02 17:59 17:35 17:36 18:14 17:53 18:00 17:56
787  Max Welbourne 9 18:07 19:24 18:30 18:06 18:07 17:59 17:54
841  Ethan Mohoi 12 18:12 18:01 18:16 17:56 18:19 18:05 18:31
1,009  Lucas Vinet 12 18:26 18:11 18:22 18:28 18:32 18:27
1,044  Billy Clinkert 11 18:28 18:42 18:29 18:17 18:23 18:33 18:30
1,123  Brendan Hoch 12 18:34 19:37 18:34 18:27 18:33 18:27
1,154  Ryan Schlyer 12 18:36 18:24 18:24 18:00 20:55 18:46
1,412  Bobby Berger 10 18:55 19:57 18:45 18:43 18:42 19:17
Trevor Arlington 9 19:34 18:34 19:23 19:20 20:40 19:41 19:38
Francis Fox 12 19:40 20:11 20:34 18:48 19:37 19:51 19:19 19:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 17.3 438 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.7 3.0 3.8 5.1 5.8 6.0 7.8 8.9 8.8 12.3 12.4 11.2 7.0 2.6 0.4
Semi-State 100% 2.2 106 28.7 33.6 26.0 9.5 1.9 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 34 99.6 0.4
Sectionals 100% 1.0 37 99.3 0.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Streeter 100% 63.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 96.5%
Cole Dolson 100% 118.9 36.7%
Evan O'Connor 100% 131.9 21.3%
Josh Dennington 100% 142.1 9.7%
Jackson Tuck 100% 159.5 1.3%
Josh Tuck 100% 181.2 0.0%
Reece Erow 100% 197.5 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Streeter 100% 4.8 0.1 10.4 16.7 13.3 12.0 10.8 8.4 6.4 5.1 3.2 2.5 2.6 2.0 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Cole Dolson 100% 21.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.5 2.4 3.1 2.5 2.8 3.5 2.3 4.0 4.0 3.3 3.6 3.4 3.4 4.5 2.9 3.6 2.8 3.4 3.2 100.0%
Evan O'Connor 100% 28.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.1 2.8 2.5 2.7 3.2 2.1 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.5 100.0%
Josh Dennington 100% 35.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.5 2.3 1.9 100.0%
Jackson Tuck 100% 48.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.0 99.8%
Josh Tuck 100% 71.7 0.1 86.4%
Reece Erow 100% 106.2 19.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Streeter 100% 1.5 20.9 58.5 12.8 4.6 2.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Cole Dolson 100% 5.7 0.1 0.6 13.6 13.1 14.7 11.8 10.2 9.4 8.0 7.0 5.0 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Evan O'Connor 100% 8.0 0.2 4.1 6.4 8.1 9.6 10.4 10.8 10.1 10.7 9.5 8.3 4.8 3.4 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Josh Dennington 100% 10.1 1.1 2.4 3.7 5.4 6.3 8.9 9.3 11.8 11.2 11.5 10.1 7.5 5.4 2.9 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jackson Tuck 100% 14.0 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.2 2.6 4.1 6.0 8.6 11.9 13.5 14.1 10.3 8.5 5.8 3.9 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Josh Tuck 100% 20.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 2.0 3.2 6.6 7.9 8.6 9.8 9.4 8.9 7.7 7.0 4.5 4.9 100.0%
Reece Erow 100% 35.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.1 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Streeter 1.5 20.1 64.0 9.3 4.0 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.1
Cole Dolson 5.2 0.1 0.8 17.0 15.3 14.5 12.6 11.8 10.0 8.9 4.8 3.0 0.9 0.4 0.2
Evan O'Connor 7.1 0.1 0.3 4.6 8.7 11.3 11.0 13.0 12.8 11.5 11.9 8.0 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.1
Josh Dennington 8.9 0.1 1.5 3.3 5.1 7.2 9.4 11.4 13.1 13.9 16.3 10.6 5.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1
Jackson Tuck 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.1 5.7 7.3 13.1 23.3 21.6 12.0 5.3 2.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1
Josh Tuck 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.6 14.7 17.2 14.0 10.5 8.6 6.5 4.6 3.3 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.7
Reece Erow 28.0 0.3 1.3 1.2 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.9 4.4 5.4 4.2 4.7