Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #9
Brown County Semi-State Rank #2
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 6.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 55.5%
Advance to State Finals 99.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Titan Invitational North Harrison Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic
Date 8/29 9/3 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 232 234 1,175 203 244
Team Adjusted Rating 234 232 203 244
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Titan Invitational North Harrison Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic
38  Hunter Griffin 12 16:07 16:15 16:01 16:01
54  Weston Naville 11 16:15 16:10 16:12 16:23
65  Will Conway 9 16:23 16:17 16:25 16:27
152  Nicholas Gordan 12 16:46 16:47 16:38 16:46
176  Justin McWilliams 12 16:50 16:53 16:35 16:56
244  Mitchel Meier 11 17:04 17:41 16:59 16:58
260  Adam Heitz 11 17:06 16:56 17:02 17:10
429  Garrett Gravitt 12 17:31 17:22 17:42 17:24
526  Seth Owings 12 17:43 18:17 17:26
847  Nate Wheatley 10 18:16 18:30 18:05 18:12 18:21
1,150  Kyle Hohl 12 18:40 18:34 19:02 18:46 18:25
1,234  Ethan Edwards 9 18:47 18:45 20:43 18:53 18:44
Micah Yankey 10 19:10 19:10 19:23 19:15 19:06
Rollin Douglas 10 19:36 20:02 19:29 19:53 18:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.8% 10.1 289 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 3.9 5.4 8.6 11.2 11.8 12.4 13.6 10.4 7.6 5.4 3.3 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2
Semi-State 100% 2.8 114 0.6 47.1 31.2 14.3 5.5 1.2 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 39 98.2 1.8
Sectionals 100% 1.0 24 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 100.0% 37.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.1 80.0% 98.3%
Weston Naville 99.9% 54.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 60.0% 91.4%
Will Conway 99.8% 70.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 20.0% 77.5%
Nicholas Gordan 99.8% 123.2 0.0% 12.0%
Justin McWilliams 99.8% 130.8 0.0% 6.2%
Mitchel Meier 99.8% 154.4 0.0% 0.3%
Adam Heitz 99.8% 157.4 0.0% 0.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 100% 9.6 1.7 3.3 3.7 4.5 5.4 6.7 6.3 6.2 7.7 7.5 6.8 7.2 6.2 4.9 4.7 3.9 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Weston Naville 100% 14.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 1.6 2.4 3.3 3.4 3.8 4.9 6.9 7.0 6.3 6.5 6.8 6.3 5.1 5.5 4.7 3.3 3.1 3.4 2.4 2.1 1.1 100.0%
Will Conway 100% 19.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.7 3.4 4.0 5.2 5.4 5.3 6.3 6.8 5.5 5.0 6.0 3.9 4.1 3.5 100.0%
Nicholas Gordan 100% 40.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.5 99.9%
Justin McWilliams 100% 44.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 99.7%
Mitchel Meier 100% 60.9 0.1 0.1 93.5%
Adam Heitz 100% 62.9 0.1 90.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 100% 3.0 6.1 15.1 28.8 29.1 13.5 4.7 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Weston Naville 100% 4.6 0.5 3.1 9.1 19.7 29.9 19.6 9.5 4.7 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Will Conway 100% 5.9 0.1 0.3 2.0 7.2 15.7 27.0 20.3 12.5 6.7 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Nicholas Gordan 100% 12.1 0.1 0.4 3.1 6.3 8.3 9.3 9.9 11.5 10.4 10.0 8.9 6.7 5.1 3.9 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 13.8 0.2 1.2 3.0 5.6 7.3 7.2 8.6 9.2 9.7 10.5 10.3 8.7 7.1 4.7 2.8 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Mitchel Meier 100% 19.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.6 2.4 3.6 4.0 7.5 8.3 8.6 10.0 11.0 9.9 10.8 7.6 5.8 4.7 100.0%
Adam Heitz 100% 20.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.4 2.4 3.1 5.2 7.0 9.2 9.3 10.6 10.8 10.5 9.7 6.9 5.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 1.5 19.1 62.3 15.1 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.1
Weston Naville 2.6 3.1 17.8 52.4 21.7 4.3 0.8 0.2
Will Conway 3.5 0.5 3.5 18.8 55.8 16.6 4.1 0.5 0.3
Nicholas Gordan 6.4 0.3 15.9 24.0 25.2 16.4 9.6 4.5 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1
Justin McWilliams 7.2 0.1 0.2 6.8 16.3 21.8 23.7 13.6 8.8 4.7 2.7 0.8 0.6 0.1
Mitchel Meier 10.6 0.3 0.7 2.3 6.0 13.8 16.8 17.3 14.0 13.1 8.5 5.3 2.0 0.5
Adam Heitz 11.1 0.3 1.7 4.0 10.8 14.0 17.9 16.2 14.1 10.8 7.2 2.7 0.6 0.1